Group G World Cup Odds Today
Prediction markets give Belgium the highest probability of advancing out of Group G at 66.6%, with Egypt at 16.3%, Iran at 8.4%, and New Zealand at 5.1% across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini. Group play opens Monday, June 15 with Belgium vs Egypt at Lumen Field in Seattle (3 p.m. ET on Fox), followed that night by Iran vs New Zealand at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California (9 p.m. ET on FS1). The group continues Sunday, June 21 with Belgium vs Iran at SoFi Stadium and New Zealand vs Egypt at BC Place in Vancouver, and closes Friday, June 26 with Egypt vs Iran at Lumen Field and New Zealand vs Belgium at BC Place. Our Group G odds table below shows the best price from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini on each outcome, refreshing every 30 minutes.
Group G Prediction Market Odds
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
BEBelgium
Vol $16.8K
Spread 1.0%
Agg
-200↓ -2.3%
K
-208
P
-199
EGEgypt
Vol $4.5K
Spread 1.0%
Agg
+512↑ +0.8%
P
+488
K
+525
IRIran
Vol $8.4K
Spread 2.3%
Agg
+1,092↑ +0.4%
K
+900
P
+1,199
NZNew Zealand
Vol $141
Spread 1.6%
Agg
+1,842↑ +2.3%
P
+1,842
K
+2,757
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket | OG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BE Belgium | -200 ↓ -2.3% | 1.0% | $16.8K |
Kalshi
-208
|
Polymarket
-199
|
OG
—
|
EG Egypt | +512 ↑ +0.8% | 1.0% | $4.5K |
Kalshi
+525
|
Polymarket
+488
|
OG
—
|
IR Iran | +1,092 ↑ +0.4% | 2.3% | $8.4K |
Kalshi
+900
|
Polymarket
+1,199
|
OG
—
|
NZ New Zealand | +1,842 ↑ +2.3% | 1.6% | $141 |
Kalshi
+2,757
|
Polymarket
+1,842
|
OG
—
|
Belgium has a 66.6% implied probability to win Group G
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Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations
Outcome Diff
| Outcome A | Outcome B | Venue | A Odds | B Odds | Diff | Strategy | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BE Belgium |
NZ New Zealand |
Kalshi | A -208 | B +2,757 | +64.00% | Buy spread | |
BE Belgium |
NZ New Zealand |
Polymarket | A -199 | B +1,842 | +61.35% | Buy spread | |
BE Belgium |
IR Iran |
Polymarket | A -199 | B +1,199 | +58.80% | Buy spread | |
BE Belgium |
IR Iran |
Kalshi | A -208 | B +900 | +57.50% | Buy spread | |
BE Belgium |
EG Egypt |
Kalshi | A -208 | B +525 | +51.50% | Buy spread | |
BE Belgium |
EG Egypt |
Polymarket | A -199 | B +488 | +49.50% | Buy spread | |
EG Egypt |
NZ New Zealand |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +2,757 | +12.50% | Buy spread | |
EG Egypt |
NZ New Zealand |
Polymarket | A +488 | B +1,842 | +11.85% | Buy spread | |
EG Egypt |
IR Iran |
Polymarket | A +488 | B +1,199 | +9.30% | Buy spread | |
IR Iran |
NZ New Zealand |
Kalshi | A +900 | B +2,757 | +6.50% | Buy spread | |
EG Egypt |
IR Iran |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +900 | +6.00% | Buy spread | |
IR Iran |
NZ New Zealand |
Polymarket | A +1,199 | B +1,842 | +2.55% | Buy spread |
After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.
Group G schedule
| Date | Time (ET) | Match | Venue | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, June 15 | 3 p.m. | Belgium vs Egypt | Lumen Field, Seattle | Fox |
| Mon, June 15 | 9 p.m. | Iran vs New Zealand | SoFi Stadium, Inglewood | FS1 |
| Sun, June 21 | 3 p.m. | Belgium vs Iran | SoFi Stadium, Inglewood | FS1 |
| Sun, June 21 | 9 p.m. | New Zealand vs Egypt | BC Place, Vancouver | FS1 |
| Fri, June 26 | 11 p.m. | Egypt vs Iran | Lumen Field, Seattle | FS1 |
| Fri, June 26 | 11 p.m. | New Zealand vs Belgium | BC Place, Vancouver | Fox |
Group G standings
| Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| New Zealand | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Standings are zeroed out pre-tournament — first matchday is set for June 15. The team order follows the official draw seeding (Belgium 1, Egypt 2, Iran 3, New Zealand 4). The top two teams will advance directly to the round of 32, with the third-place team eligible if they finish among the eight best thirds across the 12 groups.
| All 12 World Cup groups | ||
|---|---|---|
| Group A Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia | Group B Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia-Herzegovina | Group C Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti |
| Group D USA, Paraguay, Australia, Turkiye | Group E Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curacao | Group F Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia, Sweden |
| Group G Belgium, Iran, Egypt, New Zealand | Group H Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde | Group I France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq |
| Group J Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan | Group K Portugal, Colombia, Uzbekistan, DR Congo | Group L England, Croatia, Panama, Ghana |