World Cup Group C Winner Odds and Predictions
Who is the favorite to win Group C? Our aggregated odds feed has Brazil sitting at 75.5% probability to win, followed by Morocco (18.5%), Scotland (7.5%), and Haiti (1.0%). Morocco beat Brazil 2–1 in their last meeting, a March 2023 friendly in Tangier, and they enter the group opener as the first African side ever to reach a World Cup semifinal. Group play opens Saturday, June 13, with Brazil vs Morocco at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (6 p.m. ET on FS1) and Haiti vs Scotland at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts (9 p.m. ET on FS1). The group wraps Wednesday, June 24 with Scotland vs Brazil at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami and Morocco vs Haiti at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Use the odds table below to find the best prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini. Odds and probability updated every 30 minutes.
World Cup Group C Predictions: Brazil Favorite to Win
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
BRBrazil
Vol $8.0K
Spread 5.5%
Agg
75.5%↑ +0.5%
O
81.0%
K
75.5%
P
75.5%
MOMorocco
Vol $15.8K
Spread 7.5%
Agg
18.5%↑ +0.1%
O
25.0%
K
18.5%
P
17.5%
SCScotland
Vol $124.2K
Spread 8.8%
Agg
7.5%↑ +2.3%
O
14.0%
K
7.5%
P
5.2%
HAHaiti
Vol $5.3K
Spread 5.5%
Agg
1.0%— +0.0%
O
6.0%
P
1.4%
K
0.5%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket | OG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BR Brazil | 75.5% ↑ +0.5% | 5.5% | $8.0K |
Kalshi
75.5%
|
Polymarket
75.5%
|
OG
81.0%
|
MO Morocco | 18.5% ↑ +0.1% | 7.5% | $15.8K |
Kalshi
18.5%
|
Polymarket
17.5%
|
OG
25.0%
|
SC Scotland | 7.5% ↑ +2.3% | 8.8% | $124.2K |
Kalshi
7.5%
|
Polymarket
5.2%
|
OG
14.0%
|
HA Haiti | 1.0% — +0.0% | 5.5% | $5.3K |
Kalshi
0.5%
|
Polymarket
1.4%
|
OG
6.0%
|
Probability Over Time
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Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations
Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)
| Outcome | Venue Pair | Leg A (Buy) | Leg B (Sell) | Gross Spread | After Fees | Actionable | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SC Scotland |
Polymarket
→
Kalshi | Buy @ P 5.4¢ | Sell @ K 7¢ | +1.60% | +1.53% |
Yes | |
HA Haiti |
Kalshi
→
Polymarket | Buy @ K 1¢ | Sell @ P 1¢ | +0.00% | -0.07% |
No | |
MO Morocco |
Polymarket
→
Kalshi | Buy @ P 18¢ | Sell @ K 18¢ | +0.00% | -0.18% |
No | |
BR Brazil |
Polymarket
→
Kalshi | Buy @ P 76¢ | Sell @ K 75¢ | -1.00% | -1.75% |
No |
Outcome Diff
| Outcome A | Outcome B | Venue | A Odds | B Odds | Diff | Strategy | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BR Brazil |
HA Haiti |
Kalshi | A 75.5% | B 0.5% | +75.00% | Buy spread | |
BR Brazil |
HA Haiti |
Polymarket | A 75.5% | B 1.4% | +74.10% | Buy spread | |
BR Brazil |
SC Scotland |
Polymarket | A 75.5% | B 5.2% | +70.30% | Buy spread | |
BR Brazil |
SC Scotland |
Kalshi | A 75.5% | B 7.5% | +68.00% | Buy spread | |
BR Brazil |
MO Morocco |
Polymarket | A 75.5% | B 17.5% | +58.00% | Buy spread | |
BR Brazil |
MO Morocco |
Kalshi | A 75.5% | B 18.5% | +57.00% | Buy spread | |
MO Morocco |
HA Haiti |
Kalshi | A 18.5% | B 0.5% | +18.00% | Buy spread | |
MO Morocco |
HA Haiti |
Polymarket | A 17.5% | B 1.4% | +16.10% | Buy spread | |
MO Morocco |
SC Scotland |
Polymarket | A 17.5% | B 5.2% | +12.30% | Buy spread | |
MO Morocco |
SC Scotland |
Kalshi | A 18.5% | B 7.5% | +11.00% | Buy spread | |
SC Scotland |
HA Haiti |
Kalshi | A 7.5% | B 0.5% | +7.00% | Buy spread | |
SC Scotland |
HA Haiti |
Polymarket | A 5.2% | B 1.4% | +3.80% | Buy spread |
After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.
| All 12 World Cup groups | ||
|---|---|---|
| Group A Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia | Group B Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia-Herzegovina | Group C Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti |
| Group D USA, Paraguay, Australia, Turkiye | Group E Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curacao | Group F Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia, Sweden |
| Group G Belgium, Iran, Egypt, New Zealand | Group H Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde | Group I France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq |
| Group J Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan | Group K Portugal, Colombia, Uzbekistan, DR Congo | Group L England, Croatia, Panama, Ghana |