World Cup Group B Winner Odds and Predictions
Group B opened with two draws — Canada 1-1 Bosnia, Qatar 1-1 Switzerland — so all four sit on a point. Forward-looking lede, same format as Group A: Prediction markets give Switzerland the edge at 100.0%, with Bosnia and Herzegovina at 0.0%, Canada at 0.0%, and Qatar at 0.0% across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini. All four teams opened with a draw, leaving Group B level on a point apiece heading into a decisive Matchday 2 on Thursday, June 18. Switzerland and Bosnia and Herzegovina meet first (3 p.m. ET), followed by co-hosts Canada against Qatar in Vancouver (6 p.m. ET) — a result that would push the winner clear at the top. The group closes Wednesday, June 24 with Switzerland vs Canada in Vancouver and Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar in Seattle, with the top two advancing automatically to the Round of 32. The odds table below shows the best price from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini on each outcome, refreshing every 30 minutes.
Switzerland Has a 100.0% Chance of Winning Group B
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
SWSwitzerland
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
100.0%Settled
K
100.0%
P
100.0%
BAHBosnia and Herzegovina
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
0.0%Settled
K
0.0%
P
0.0%
CACanada
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
0.0%Settled
K
0.0%
P
0.0%
QAQatar
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
0.0%Settled
K
0.0%
P
0.0%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket | OG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SW Switzerland | 100.0% Settled | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
100.0% |
Polymarket
100.0% |
OG
— |
BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.0% Settled | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
0.0% |
Polymarket
0.0% |
OG
— |
CA Canada | 0.0% Settled | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
0.0% |
Polymarket
0.0% |
OG
— |
QA Qatar | 0.0% Settled | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
0.0% |
Polymarket
0.0% |
OG
— |
Probability Over Time
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| All 12 World Cup groups | ||
|---|---|---|
| Group A Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia | Group B Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia-Herzegovina | Group C Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti |
| Group D USA, Paraguay, Australia, Turkiye | Group E Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curacao | Group F Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia, Sweden |
| Group G Belgium, Iran, Egypt, New Zealand | Group H Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde | Group I France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq |
| Group J Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan | Group K Portugal, Colombia, Uzbekistan, DR Congo | Group L England, Croatia, Panama, Ghana |
