NFL Week 3 VolumeThe team with more volume went 7–9 in Week 3, with $436.91M traded
Prediction market traders put $436.91M on NFL Week 3's games, $251.72M of it on who would win and $35.23M on player props. The most went to Eagles at Bears ($77.06M). Most of the volume before kickoff was on the winner in 7 of 16 decided games; the costliest miss was the Seahawks, with 91% of their game's volume, who lost to the Commanders.
- Kalshi$318.59M73%
- Polymarket US$65.87M15%
- Polymarket$52.44M12%
Did the volume back the winner? Every Week 3 game
Each game has two bars in its teams’ colors: the volume traders put on each side, and the market’s price. Where a team’s share of the volume runs further than its price, traders like it more than the market does.
Traders backed the Packers, and they lost 14–35. 66% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 71% chance to win.
- Winner
- $24.31M
- Spread
- $11.27M
- Total
- $6.08M
- Quarters
- $1.26M
- Props
- $6.94M
- Other
- $4.24M
- Kalshi
- $44.30M82%
- Poly US
- $1.58M3%
- Polymarket
- $8.21M15%
Traders backed the Panthers, and they lost 18–21. 64% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 59% chance to win.
- Winner
- $8.67M
- Spread
- $1.98M
- Total
- $1.19M
- Quarters
- $135K
- Props
- $745K
- Other
- $536K
- Kalshi
- $9.12M69%
- Poly US
- $2.00M15%
- Polymarket
- $2.14M16%
Traders backed the Bengals, and they lost 27–30. 67% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 55% chance to win.
- Winner
- $5.98M
- Spread
- $2.91M
- Total
- $982K
- Quarters
- $276K
- Props
- $901K
- Other
- $717K
- Kalshi
- $7.17M61%
- Poly US
- $2.09M18%
- Polymarket
- $2.51M21%
Traders backed the Texans, and they lost 17–19. 65% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 56% chance to win.
- Winner
- $7.11M
- Spread
- $1.90M
- Total
- $634K
- Quarters
- $151K
- Props
- $723K
- Other
- $520K
- Kalshi
- $7.50M68%
- Poly US
- $1.57M14%
- Polymarket
- $1.98M18%
Traders backed the Chiefs, and they won 24–10. 86% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them an 81% chance to win.
- Winner
- $12.75M
- Spread
- $5.99M
- Total
- $758K
- Quarters
- $237K
- Props
- $1.10M
- Other
- $1.21M
- Kalshi
- $12.47M57%
- Poly US
- $4.41M20%
- Polymarket
- $5.15M23%
Traders backed the Bills, and they won 24–16. 73% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 60% chance to win.
- Winner
- $9.15M
- Spread
- $5.49M
- Total
- $1.31M
- Quarters
- $268K
- Props
- $1.33M
- Other
- $1.00M
- Kalshi
- $12.14M65%
- Poly US
- $2.75M15%
- Polymarket
- $3.64M20%
Traders backed the Jaguars, and they won 35–6. 52% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 54% chance to win.
- Winner
- $3.60M
- Spread
- $1.73M
- Total
- $1.05M
- Quarters
- $162K
- Props
- $738K
- Other
- $553K
- Kalshi
- $5.57M71%
- Polymarket
- $2.27M29%
Traders backed the Lions, and they won 31–24. 74% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 68% chance to win.
- Winner
- $3.55M
- Spread
- $4.47M
- Total
- $1.43M
- Quarters
- $173K
- Props
- $1.41M
- Other
- $732K
- Kalshi
- $7.58M64%
- Poly US
- $1.10M9%
- Polymarket
- $3.08M26%
Traders backed the Seahawks, and they lost 31–33. 91% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 55% chance to win.
- Winner
- $13.15M
- Spread
- $4.25M
- Total
- $1.26M
- Quarters
- $324K
- Props
- $1.07M
- Other
- $994K
- Kalshi
- $14.67M70%
- Poly US
- $3.11M15%
- Polymarket
- $3.28M16%
Traders backed the Giants, and they won 12–7. 50% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 60% chance to win.
- Winner
- $3.58M
- Spread
- $2.41M
- Total
- $1.14M
- Quarters
- $89.5K
- Props
- $805K
- Other
- $617K
- Kalshi
- $5.32M62%
- Poly US
- $975K11%
- Polymarket
- $2.34M27%
Traders backed the 49ers, and they won 36–30. 85% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 73% chance to win.
- Winner
- $9.18M
- Spread
- $5.13M
- Total
- $1.88M
- Props
- $1.37M
- Other
- $1.17M
- Kalshi
- $13.49M71%
- Poly US
- $2.29M12%
- Polymarket
- $3.13M17%
Traders backed the Buccaneers, and they lost 16–23. 57% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 51% chance to win.
- Winner
- $19.24M
- Spread
- $2.91M
- Total
- $963K
- Props
- $989K
- Other
- $908K
- Kalshi
- $14.40M57%
- Poly US
- $7.47M30%
- Polymarket
- $3.32M13%
Traders backed the Cowboys, and they lost 31–34. 54% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 45% chance to win.
- Winner
- $28.28M
- Spread
- $4.88M
- Total
- $2.63M
- Props
- $2.44M
- Other
- $1.33M
- Kalshi
- $25.82M65%
- Poly US
- $9.77M24%
- Polymarket
- $4.35M11%
Traders backed the Raiders, and they won 35–27. 52% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 41% chance to win.
- Winner
- $15.67M
- Spread
- $4.27M
- Total
- $1.27M
- Quarters
- $248K
- Props
- $1.07M
- Other
- $828K
- Kalshi
- $14.98M64%
- Poly US
- $5.07M22%
- Polymarket
- $3.30M14%
Traders backed the Rams, and they lost 26–30. 59% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 53% chance to win.
- Winner
- $47.93M
- Spread
- $9.42M
- Total
- $3.54M
- Quarters
- $963K
- Props
- $5.91M
- Other
- $4.68M
- Kalshi
- $56.09M77%
- Poly US
- $13.17M18%
- Polymarket
- $3.18M4%
Traders backed the Eagles, and they lost 7–27. 83% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 57% chance to win.
- Winner
- $39.59M
- Spread
- $15.44M
- Total
- $6.28M
- Quarters
- $1.28M
- Props
- $7.68M
- Other
- $6.80M
- Kalshi
- $67.97M88%
- Poly US
- $8.52M11%
- Polymarket
- $580K1%
Where Week 3 was traded
Kalshi handled 73% of the volume traded on Week 3. The average trade was biggest on Polymarket ($549) and smallest on Kalshi ($61). Player props are 11% of Kalshi’s volume.
Kalshi
73% of the week- Trades
- 5,206,986
- Avg. trade
- $61
- Last 24h
- $63.96M
- Winner
- $177.72M56%
- Spread
- $49.84M16%
- Total
- $22.66M7%
- Quarters & halves
- $6.31M2%
- Player props
- $35.23M11%
- Other
- $26.83M8%
Polymarket US
15% of the week- Trades
- 759,889
- Avg. trade
- $87
- Last 24h
- $7.61M
- Winner
- $50.03M76%
- Spread
- $14.01M21%
- Total
- $1.83M3%
Polymarket
12% of the week- Trades
- 95,498
- Avg. trade
- $549
- Last 24h
- $0
- Winner
- $23.98M46%
- Spread
- $20.58M39%
- Total
- $7.88M15%
What Week 3 combos rode on
Kalshi combo buyers put at least $55.24M into combos with a Week 3 leg, across 20,706 combos averaging 7.9 legs. Traders taking the other side (NO) paid another $74.02M.
Most-traded combo legs
YES volume in combos with each leg (a combo counts for each of its legs).
- Chiefs to win3,807 combos$12.82MYES
- Seahawks to win2,854 combos$10.38MYES
- Bills to win3,199 combos$10.03MYES
- 49ers to win3,057 combos$9.55MYES
- Lions to win2,640 combos$7.30MYES
- Eagles to win2,333 combos$5.29MYES
- Ravens to win1,298 combos$4.30MYES
- Rams to win1,290 combos$3.76MYES
Biggest combos
The largest YES trades, which pay only if every leg hits.
- $95.3K to win $326KPanthers to win · Bills to win2legs
- $89.1K to win $104KNo: ATL Falcons wins 1H by over 7.5 points? · No: Coastal Carolina wins 1H by over 7.5 points2legs
- $86.7K to win $289KRams to win · Davante Adams anytime touchdown · Under 48.53legs
Kalshi combos (multi-leg contracts) with at least one leg in a Week 3 game, counted once each. Volume is what buyers paid; YES buyers need every leg to hit, NO buyers take the other side. Kept apart from the week’s other figures. This week is older than the window AllTop measures combo coverage over, so these are floors. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate.
Biggest Week 3 trades
The largest single trades on who wins.
- Bears at 99¢Eagles at Bears · Kalshi · Mon 10:56 PM$720Kpays $727K
- Falcons at 98¢Falcons at Packers · Kalshi · Thu 10:42 PM$490Kpays $500K
- Chiefs at 85¢Chiefs at Dolphins · Kalshi · Sun 1:03 PM$425Kpays $500K
- Chiefs at 85¢Chiefs at Dolphins · Kalshi · Sun 1:03 PM$407Kpays $479K
- Eagles at 58¢Eagles at Bears · Kalshi · Mon 9:39 PM$290Kpays $500K
- Eagles at 58¢Eagles at Bears · Kalshi · Mon 9:39 PM$290Kpays $500K
Biggest price moves
Kalshi’s price, since the market opened.
Once a game is settled its market closes, so its move since open drops off here.
- Bijan Robinson45 markets · Falcons at Packers$1.44Mtraded
- Saquon Barkley28 markets · Eagles at Bears$1.21Mtraded
- D'Andre Swift29 markets · Eagles at Bears$1.18Mtraded
- Davante Adams28 markets · Rams at Broncos$1.17Mtraded
- Kyren Williams26 markets · Rams at Broncos$1.11Mtraded
Where the volume disagreed with the market
Each dot is the team with more volume in a game: across, its chance to win when the market opened; up, its share of the volume before kickoff. Above the dashed line, traders liked it more than the opening price did. Bigger dots, more volume.
52% of the volume at 41% price at open against the Saints.
91% of the volume, 37 points above their 55% price at open.
50% of the volume at 41% price at open against the Giants.
the Packers, the Panthers, the Chiefs, the Jaguars, the Lions, the Buccaneers, the Rams: the volume and the opening price agreed.
Week 3 volume, game by game
Every game’s volume, by market and by exchange, and the side buyers took. Tap a column to sort.
| Volume | By exchange | Volume’s side | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume vs. price | Whales | |||||||||
| Eagles at BearsFinal 7–27 | $77.06M | $39.59M | $7.68M | 1,102,619 | $67.97M88% | $8.52M11% | $580K1% | Volume PHI 83%Price 57% | 35330% | +25 |
| Rams at BroncosFinal 26–30 | $72.44M | $47.93M | $5.91M | 1,035,469 | $56.09M77% | $13.17M18% | $3.18M4% | Volume LAR 59%Price 53% | 30514% | +6 |
| Falcons at PackersFinal 35–14 | $54.10M | $24.31M | $6.94M | 840,662 | $44.30M82% | $1.58M3% | $8.21M15% | Volume ATL 34%Price 30% | 19424% | −4 |
| Ravens at CowboysFinal 34–31 | $39.94M | $28.28M | $2.44M | 602,397 | $25.82M65% | $9.77M24% | $4.35M11% | Volume BAL 46%Price 55% | 1329% | +9 |
| Vikings at BuccaneersFinal 23–16 | $25.19M | $19.24M | $989K | 236,574 | $14.40M57% | $7.47M30% | $3.32M13% | Volume MIN 43%Price 49% | 10714% | +6 |
| Raiders at SaintsFinal 35–27 | $23.35M | $15.67M | $1.07M | 338,606 | $14.98M64% | $5.07M22% | $3.30M14% | Volume LV 52%Price 41% | 8012% | +11 |
| Chiefs at DolphinsFinal 24–10 | $22.03M | $12.75M | $1.10M | 243,600 | $12.47M57% | $4.41M20% | $5.15M23% | Volume KC 86%Price 81% | 5618% | +5 |
| Seahawks at CommandersFinal 31–33 | $21.06M | $13.15M | $1.07M | 266,645 | $14.67M70% | $3.11M15% | $3.28M16% | Volume SEA 91%Price 55% | 10216% | +37 |
| Cardinals at 49ersFinal 30–36 | $18.91M | $9.18M | $1.37M | 242,261 | $13.49M71% | $2.29M12% | $3.13M17% | Volume ARI 15%Price 28% | 10524% | +12 |
| Chargers at BillsFinal 16–24 | $18.54M | $9.15M | $1.33M | 278,136 | $12.14M65% | $2.75M15% | $3.64M20% | Volume LAC 27%Price 41% | 3610% | +13 |
| Panthers at BrownsFinal 18–21 | $13.25M | $8.67M | $745K | 200,034 | $9.12M69% | $2.00M15% | $2.14M16% | Volume CAR 64%Price 59% | 6417% | +5 |
| Bengals at SteelersFinal 27–30 | $11.76M | $5.98M | $901K | 174,147 | $7.17M61% | $2.09M18% | $2.51M21% | Volume CIN 67%Price 55% | 166% | +13 |
| Jets at LionsFinal 24–31 | $11.76M | $3.55M | $1.41M | 138,142 | $7.58M64% | $1.10M9% | $3.08M26% | Volume NYJ 26%Price 33% | 179% | +6 |
| Texans at ColtsFinal 17–19 | $11.04M | $7.11M | $723K | 138,555 | $7.50M68% | $1.57M14% | $1.98M18% | Volume HOU 65%Price 56% | 5415% | +9 |
| Titans at GiantsFinal 7–12 | $8.64M | $3.58M | $805K | 116,797 | $5.32M62% | $975K11% | $2.34M27% | Volume TEN 50%Price 41% | 1910% | −9 |
| Patriots at JaguarsFinal 6–35 | $7.84M | $3.60M | $738K | 107,729 | $5.57M71% | – | $2.27M29% | Volume NE 48%Price 46% | 1614% | −3 |
| Week 3 | $436.91M | $251.72M | $35.23M | 6,062,373 | $318.59M73% | $65.87M15% | $52.44M12% | |||
Volume: every market on each game (winner, spread, total, quarters and player props), price × contracts as each exchange reports its trades. Winner and Props: those markets alone. Whales: winner trades of $10,000 or more, and their share of the winner volume. Exchanges: Kalshi, Polymarket US (Polymarket’s US exchange) and Polymarket (its international exchange). Sides: Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers, by the team they bought (Polymarket doesn’t publish its buyer’s side). Price: the average of Kalshi’s and Polymarket US’s midpoints. Gap: the leading side’s share of the volume minus its chance. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate, as of Oct 6, 6:05 PM ET.
Week 3 in numbers
Ready to quote. Each line carries its time; copy one and cite DeFi Rate.
- $436.91M was traded on NFL Week 3 games on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, $251.72M of it on the winners, across 6,062,373 trades (as of Oct 6, 6:05 PM ET).
- Eagles at Bears drew the most volume of any Week 3 game: $77.06M across all its markets.
- In 2 Week 3 games, most of the volume before kickoff was on the underdog at the opening price, led by the Raiders (52% of the volume at a 41% opening price).
- Kalshi accounted for 73% of the volume traded on Week 3 games; Polymarket US for 15%.
- The biggest single Week 3 trade: $720K on the Bears at 99 cents on Kalshi.
- The team with most of the prediction market volume won 7 of 16 finished Week 3 games.
- Kalshi combo buyers put at least $55.24M into combos with a Week 3 leg; the most-traded combo leg is KC to win (as of Oct 6, 6:05 PM ET).
- $35.23M was traded on Week 3 player props; Bijan Robinson drew the most, $1.44M across 45 markets.
Use these numbers
- Volume
- What buyers paid for contracts. A contract pays $1 if it comes true.
- Volume’s side
- The team Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers put more dollars on, before kickoff.
- Price
- The market’s chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask, averaged across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
- Updated
- No longer: every game is final, so these numbers are as the week finished.
NFL Week 3 volume, answered
Which NFL Week 3 game has the most volume traded on it?
Eagles at Bears, with $77.06M traded across all its markets ($39.59M on who wins) across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
How much has been traded on NFL Week 3?
$436.91M on the week's games since the markets opened ($251.72M on the winners), in 6,062,373 trades, $71.57M of it in the last 24 hours.
How did the team with more volume do in Week 3?
The team with most of the volume before kickoff won 7 of 16 finished games.
How much was traded on NFL Week 3 player props?
$35.23M since the markets opened. Bijan Robinson drew the most prop volume, $1.44M across 45 markets.
What was the biggest Week 3 trade?
$720K on the Bears at 99 cents on Kalshi.
Where do these numbers come from?
Every trade on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, collected by AllTop and counted by DeFi Rate. Volume is what buyers paid; the side is the team they bought.
Where prediction market volume went on NFL Week 3: the dollars traded on every game, which team the buyers took, the biggest single trades and the most-traded player props, across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
Week 3 completed-game archive
- Falcons vs. Packers: Thursday, Sept. 24
- Cardinals vs. 49ers: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Ravens vs. Cowboys: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Panthers vs. Browns: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Bengals vs. Steelers: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Texans vs. Colts: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Chiefs vs. Dolphins: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Chargers vs. Bills: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Rams vs. Broncos: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Raiders vs. Saints: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Vikings vs. Buccaneers: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Patriots vs. Jaguars: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Jets vs. Lions: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Titans vs. Giants: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Eagles vs. Bears: Monday, Sept. 28
See every game, the Super Bowl and MVP races on the NFL odds page, and print the pick'em sheet.
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