NFL Prediction Markets: Latest Odds and Best Sites

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Updated 37 minutes ago · 2:47 PM PDT

NFL prediction markets are open for Week 1, with the Los Angeles Chargers priced as the strongest favorite at -441 odds, or an 81.5% implied probability. Jacksonville is next at -365, or 78.5%. This 2026-27 NFL odds tracker compares live game probabilities across Kalshi, Gemini, Polymarket US and Polymarket Global using volume-weighted average pricing, with new matchups added as markets open and prices refreshed hourly.

Largest Spread
1.50%
Buffalo
Current Favorite
81.5%
Los Angeles Chargers 0.0%
30D Volume (Share)
K: — P: — U: — G: —
Momentum Leader
+4.0%
Pittsburgh 30D change

Odds for all 16 Teams (Sept 9-16)

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Vol Spread 0.0%
Agg 81.5%
— +0.0%
Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 81.5%
P 81.5%
U 81.5%
G 81.5%
JA
Jacksonville
Vol Spread 0.0%
Agg 78.5%
↑ +2.5%
Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 78.5%
P 78.5%
U 78.5%
G 78.5%
DE
Detroit
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 74.0%
↓ -2.0%
New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P 74.5%
U 74.5%
K 74.0%
G 74.0%
PH
Philadelphia
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 67.6%
↑ +2.1%
Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
P 68.5%
U 68.0%
K 67.5%
G 67.5%
CI
Cincinnati
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 65.4%
↑ +1.9%
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 65.5%
G 65.5%
P 64.5%
U 64.5%
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 64.5%
↑ +1.0%
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
U 65.0%
K 64.5%
P 64.5%
G 64.5%
LV
Las Vegas
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 62.5%
↓ -1.0%
Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
U 63.0%
K 62.5%
P 62.5%
G 62.5%
PI
Pittsburgh
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 62.5%
↑ +4.0%
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
U 63.5%
K 62.5%
P 62.5%
G 62.5%
SE
Seattle
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 62.5%
↓ -3.0%
New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K 62.5%
P 62.5%
G 62.5%
U 62.0%
BA
Baltimore
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 61.5%
↓ -2.0%
Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P 62.5%
U 62.0%
K 61.5%
G 61.5%
DA
Dallas
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 60.5%
↑ +3.0%
Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
K 60.5%
P 60.5%
G 60.5%
U 60.0%
CH
Chicago
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 59.8%
↑ +0.8%
Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P 60.5%
U 60.5%
K 59.5%
G 59.5%
KC
Kansas City
Vol Spread 0.0%
Agg 56.5%
↓ -1.0%
Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
K 56.5%
P 56.5%
U 56.5%
G 56.5%
MI
Minnesota
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 53.5%
↑ +4.0%
Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
U 54.0%
K 53.5%
P 53.5%
G 53.5%
TE
Tennessee
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 52.5%
↓ -2.5%
New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 52.5%
P 52.5%
G 52.5%
U 52.0%
BU
Buffalo
Vol Spread 1.5%
Agg 51.0%
↑ +1.5%
Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
U 52.0%
K 51.5%
G 51.5%
P 50.5%
HO
Houston
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 49.0%
↓ -1.5%
Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P 49.5%
K 48.5%
U 48.5%
G 48.5%
NYJ
New York Jets
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 47.5%
↑ +4.0%
New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
U 48.5%
K 47.5%
P 47.5%
G 47.5%
GB
Green Bay
Vol Spread 0.0%
Agg 46.5%
↓ -3.0%
Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 46.5%
P 46.5%
U 46.5%
G 46.5%
DE
Denver
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 43.5%
↑ +2.0%
Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
U 44.0%
K 43.5%
P 43.5%
G 43.5%
NYG
New York Giants
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 40.5%
↓ -2.5%
Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
K 40.5%
U 40.5%
G 40.5%
P 39.5%
CA
Carolina
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 39.8%
↓ -1.7%
Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 40.5%
G 40.5%
U 40.0%
P 39.5%
IN
Indianapolis
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 38.5%
↑ +2.0%
Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 38.5%
U 38.5%
G 38.5%
P 37.5%
NE
New England
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 38.4%
↑ +3.9%
New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K 38.5%
U 38.5%
G 38.0%
P 37.5%
AT
Atlanta
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 36.7%
↓ -3.8%
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P 37.5%
U 37.0%
K 36.5%
G 36.5%
MI
Miami
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 36.5%
↑ +2.0%
Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
P 37.5%
U 37.5%
K 36.5%
G 36.5%
SF
San Francisco
Vol Spread 0.0%
Agg 35.5%
— +0.0%
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K 35.5%
P 35.5%
U 35.5%
G 35.5%
TB
Tampa Bay
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 35.5%
↓ -0.5%
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
U 36.0%
K 35.5%
P 35.5%
G 35.5%
WA
Washington
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 31.8%
↓ -3.2%
Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
U 32.5%
K 32.0%
G 32.0%
P 31.5%
NO
New Orleans
Vol Spread 1.0%
Agg 26.5%
↑ +2.5%
New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 26.5%
U 26.5%
G 26.5%
P 25.5%
CL
Cleveland
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 21.8%
↓ -2.7%
Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 22.0%
U 22.0%
G 22.0%
P 21.5%
AR
Arizona
Vol Spread 0.5%
Agg 18.5%
— +0.0%
Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
U 19.0%
K 18.5%
P 18.5%
G 18.5%
OutcomeAggregatedSpreadVolumeKalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
81.5%
— +0.0%
0.0%
Kalshi 81.5%
81–82¢ Vol $58.4K
Polymarket 81.5%
18–19¢ Vol $8.0K
Polymarket US 81.5%
81–81.5¢
Gemini 81.5%
81–82¢
JA
Jacksonville
Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
78.5%
↑ +2.5%
0.0%
Kalshi 78.5%
78–79¢ Vol $30.1K
Polymarket 78.5%
21–22¢ Vol $2.6K
Polymarket US 78.5%
78–78.5¢
Gemini 78.5%
78–79¢
DE
Detroit
New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
74.0%
↓ -2.0%
0.5%
Kalshi 74.0%
73–75¢ Vol $85.7K
Polymarket 74.5%
25–26¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket US 74.5%
73.5–74.5¢
Gemini 74.0%
73–75¢
PH
Philadelphia
Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
67.6%
↑ +2.1%
1.0%
Kalshi 67.5%
67–68¢ Vol $26.8K
Polymarket 68.5%
31–32¢ Vol $2.6K
Polymarket US 68.0%
67–68¢
Gemini 67.5%
67–68¢
CI
Cincinnati
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
65.4%
↑ +1.9%
1.0%
Kalshi 65.5%
65–66¢ Vol $10.3K
Polymarket 64.5%
35–36¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket US 64.5%
64–64.5¢
Gemini 65.5%
65–66¢
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
64.5%
↑ +1.0%
0.5%
Kalshi 64.5%
64–65¢ Vol $176.1K
Polymarket 64.5%
35–36¢ Vol $15.6K
Polymarket US 65.0%
64.5–65¢
Gemini 64.5%
64–65¢
LV
Las Vegas
Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
62.5%
↓ -1.0%
0.5%
Kalshi 62.5%
62–63¢ Vol $20.6K
Polymarket 62.5%
37–38¢ Vol $12.1K
Polymarket US 63.0%
62.5–63¢
Gemini 62.5%
62–63¢
PI
Pittsburgh
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
62.5%
↑ +4.0%
1.0%
Kalshi 62.5%
62–63¢ Vol $34.6K
Polymarket 62.5%
37–38¢ Vol $2.9K
Polymarket US 63.5%
63–63.5¢
Gemini 62.5%
62–63¢
SE
Seattle
New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
62.5%
↓ -3.0%
0.5%
Kalshi 62.5%
62–63¢ Vol $333.9K
Polymarket 62.5%
37–38¢ Vol $14.6K
Polymarket US 62.0%
61.5–62¢
Gemini 62.5%
62–63¢
BA
Baltimore
Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
61.5%
↓ -2.0%
1.0%
Kalshi 61.5%
61–62¢ Vol $38.9K
Polymarket 62.5%
62–63¢ Vol $3.0K
Polymarket US 62.0%
61.5–62¢
Gemini 61.5%
61–62¢
DA
Dallas
Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
60.5%
↑ +3.0%
0.5%
Kalshi 60.5%
60–61¢ Vol $133.8K
Polymarket 60.5%
60–61¢ Vol $3.6K
Polymarket US 60.0%
59.5–60¢
Gemini 60.5%
60–61¢
CH
Chicago
Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
59.8%
↑ +0.8%
1.0%
Kalshi 59.5%
59–60¢ Vol $70.3K
Polymarket 60.5%
60–61¢ Vol $2.8K
Polymarket US 60.5%
60–60.5¢
Gemini 59.5%
59–60¢
KC
Kansas City
Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
56.5%
↓ -1.0%
0.0%
Kalshi 56.5%
56–57¢ Vol $16.9K
Polymarket 56.5%
43–44¢ Vol $12.8K
Polymarket US 56.5%
56–56.5¢
Gemini 56.5%
56–57¢
MI
Minnesota
Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
53.5%
↑ +4.0%
0.5%
Kalshi 53.5%
53–54¢ Vol $32.2K
Polymarket 53.5%
46–47¢ Vol $2.5K
Polymarket US 54.0%
53.5–54¢
Gemini 53.5%
53–54¢
TE
Tennessee
New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
52.5%
↓ -2.5%
0.5%
Kalshi 52.5%
52–53¢ Vol $13.2K
Polymarket 52.5%
47–48¢ Vol $763
Polymarket US 52.0%
51.5–52¢
Gemini 52.5%
52–53¢
BU
Buffalo
Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
51.0%
↑ +1.5%
1.5%
Kalshi 51.5%
51–52¢ Vol $68.8K
Polymarket 50.5%
50–51¢ Vol $15.2K
Polymarket US 52.0%
51.5–52¢
Gemini 51.5%
51–52¢
HO
Houston
Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
49.0%
↓ -1.5%
1.0%
Kalshi 48.5%
48–49¢ Vol $33.8K
Polymarket 49.5%
50–51¢ Vol $15.2K
Polymarket US 48.5%
48–48.5¢
Gemini 48.5%
48–49¢
NYJ
New York Jets
New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
47.5%
↑ +4.0%
1.0%
Kalshi 47.5%
47–48¢ Vol $28.6K
Polymarket 47.5%
47–48¢ Vol $763
Polymarket US 48.5%
48–48.5¢
Gemini 47.5%
47–48¢
GB
Green Bay
Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
46.5%
↓ -3.0%
0.0%
Kalshi 46.5%
46–47¢ Vol $76.4K
Polymarket 46.5%
46–47¢ Vol $2.5K
Polymarket US 46.5%
46–46.5¢
Gemini 46.5%
46–47¢
DE
Denver
Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
43.5%
↑ +2.0%
0.5%
Kalshi 43.5%
43–44¢ Vol $70.4K
Polymarket 43.5%
43–44¢ Vol $12.8K
Polymarket US 44.0%
43.5–44¢
Gemini 43.5%
43–44¢
NYG
New York Giants
Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
40.5%
↓ -2.5%
1.0%
Kalshi 40.5%
40–41¢ Vol $30.8K
Polymarket 39.5%
60–61¢ Vol $3.6K
Polymarket US 40.5%
40–40.5¢
Gemini 40.5%
40–41¢
CA
Carolina
Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
39.8%
↓ -1.7%
1.0%
Kalshi 40.5%
40–41¢ Vol $12.7K
Polymarket 39.5%
60–61¢ Vol $2.8K
Polymarket US 40.0%
39.5–40¢
Gemini 40.5%
40–41¢
IN
Indianapolis
Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
38.5%
↑ +2.0%
1.0%
Kalshi 38.5%
38–39¢ Vol $9.9K
Polymarket 37.5%
62–63¢ Vol $3.0K
Polymarket US 38.5%
38–38.5¢
Gemini 38.5%
38–39¢
NE
New England
New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
38.4%
↑ +3.9%
1.0%
Kalshi 38.5%
38–39¢ Vol $281.4K
Polymarket 37.5%
37–38¢ Vol $14.6K
Polymarket US 38.5%
38–38.5¢
Gemini 38.0%
37–39¢
AT
Atlanta
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
36.7%
↓ -3.8%
1.0%
Kalshi 36.5%
36–37¢ Vol $14.0K
Polymarket 37.5%
37–38¢ Vol $2.9K
Polymarket US 37.0%
36.5–37¢
Gemini 36.5%
36–37¢
MI
Miami
Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
36.5%
↑ +2.0%
1.0%
Kalshi 36.5%
36–37¢ Vol $14.5K
Polymarket 37.5%
37–38¢ Vol $12.1K
Polymarket US 37.5%
37–37.5¢
Gemini 36.5%
36–37¢
SF
San Francisco
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
35.5%
— +0.0%
0.0%
Kalshi 35.5%
35–36¢ Vol $178.1K
Polymarket 35.5%
35–36¢ Vol $15.6K
Polymarket US 35.5%
35–35.5¢
Gemini 35.5%
35–36¢
TB
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
35.5%
↓ -0.5%
0.5%
Kalshi 35.5%
35–36¢ Vol $17.4K
Polymarket 35.5%
35–36¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket US 36.0%
35.5–36¢
Gemini 35.5%
35–36¢
WA
Washington
Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
31.8%
↓ -3.2%
1.0%
Kalshi 32.0%
31–33¢ Vol $21.0K
Polymarket 31.5%
31–32¢ Vol $2.6K
Polymarket US 32.5%
32–33¢
Gemini 32.0%
31–33¢
NO
New Orleans
New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
26.5%
↑ +2.5%
1.0%
Kalshi 26.5%
26–27¢ Vol $22.7K
Polymarket 25.5%
25–26¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket US 26.5%
25.5–26.5¢
Gemini 26.5%
26–27¢
CL
Cleveland
Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
21.8%
↓ -2.7%
0.5%
Kalshi 22.0%
21–23¢ Vol $16.3K
Polymarket 21.5%
21–22¢ Vol $2.6K
Polymarket US 22.0%
21.5–22¢
Gemini 22.0%
21–23¢
AR
Arizona
Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
18.5%
— +0.0%
0.5%
Kalshi 18.5%
18–19¢ Vol $17.0K
Polymarket 18.5%
18–19¢ Vol $8.0K
Polymarket US 19.0%
18.5–19¢
Gemini 18.5%
18–19¢

Track Week 1 probability for each team across 16 games

Hover for details · Cursor-synced tooltips

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Platform:
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Outcome:
Visible lines Aggregated · VWAP · All platforms
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Sept 9-16 Matchups and Odds

Free Bracket Pool – Live Game or Printable

Build a free 2026 NFL Pick’em pool with no sign-up required. Invite friends, colleagues and share on social. We keep track and do the work for you.  You can also opt for a paper copy with our printable NFL schedules.

Where to trade NFL markets in 2026

NFL prediction markets are available across several major platforms, with new markets continually added throughout the season. Each platform offers a different mix of NFL markets, pricing, fees, liquidity, and promotions, making it worth comparing your options before you trade.

Prediction market platforms serve eligible users across much of the US, including in states without legal online sports betting, such as California and Texas. Availability varies by platform, market type, and location. Below, we compare selected platforms for trading NFL prediction markets and the key differences among them.

For complete details on current sign-up offers, see our complete guide to prediction market promos.

1. Polymarket US: Broad NFL market selection and current deposit incentive

Polymarket US offers NFL prediction markets on individual games and season-long outcomes. It is separate from Polymarket Global, and market availability differs between the two.

NFL traders can find moneylines, spreads, totals, props, and futures such as division races and the Super Bowl winner. Polymarket US’s current fee schedule lists taker trading fees and maker rebates but no separate settlement fee. Eligible new users who sign up through the RATE offer and deposit at least $10 receive a $50 trading credit.

Polymarket BonusDeposit $10 get a $50 trading bonus
Polymarket Promo CodeRATE
Terms and ConditionsMust be physically located in eligible state. VPN access will not work. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+

2. Kalshi: High-volume NFL markets and deep liquidity

Kalshi is one of the most established options for trading NFL prediction markets, with high trading volume and deep order books across major events. The platform is available on iOS, Android, and desktop, and offers an extensive selection of football contracts throughout the season. Traders can also earn interest on eligible cash held in their accounts while waiting for the next opportunity.

NFL coverage is extensive, from the weekly slates of games to a deep roster of futures. Kalshi’s combination of market depth and liquidity can make it easier to enter and exit positions, particularly on heavily traded games and season-long markets. For traders who want broad NFL coverage on a platform that also offers markets across politics, economics, and culture, Kalshi is one of the most complete options available.

Kalshi BonusTrade $10, Get $25
Kalshi Promo CodeRATE
Terms and ConditionsMust be physically located in an eligible state. VPN access will not work. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+

3. FanDuel Predicts: Familiar NFL pricing and multiple display formats

FanDuel Predicts helps smooth the transition from sports betting to prediction markets, letting you view contract prices as percentages, multipliers, dollar values, or American odds. If you have used FanDuel Sportsbook, the app will feel immediately familiar. It’s user-friendly and delivers a seamless experience, from sign-up to trading and beyond.

The biggest limitation is availability. FanDuel Predicts does not offer sports event contracts in states where FanDuel Sportsbook operates, so NFL prediction markets are not available nationwide. In eligible states, traders can access NFL contracts covering individual games and other football outcomes while using the same familiar pricing formats and interface.

FanDuel BonusBonus on Sign-up
FanDuel Promo CodeNot Required
Terms and ConditionsMust be physically located in an eligible state. Sports contracts are not available in all states that it serves. VPN access will not work. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+

4. OG Predictions: NFL markets with flexible trading features

OG Predictions is built by Crypto.com and offers NFL prediction markets alongside its broad lineup of sports, finance, politics, and cryptocurrency contracts. The platform includes community-focused features such as leaderboards. Contracts trade through Crypto.com’s federally regulated derivatives infrastructure.

NFL traders can find markets covering individual games and season-long outcomes. Market depth varies by contract, so review the available prices and order book before trading. OG Predictions may be most useful for traders who already use the Crypto.com ecosystem.

OG BonusTrade $10, Get $10
OG Promo CodeNo code needed
Terms and ConditionsMust be physically located in an eligible state. VPN access will not work. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+

5. DKeX (formerly DraftKings Predictions): Great for new NFL traders seeking a familiar app

DKeX offers one of the most familiar entry points to prediction markets for existing DraftKings customers. The app looks and works much like DraftKings’ other products, so sportsbook and DFS users should have little trouble finding their way around. Contracts trade through DKeX, the federally regulated exchange formerly known as Railbird that DraftKings acquired.

NFL availability is more limited. DKeX does not offer sports event contracts in states where DraftKings Sportsbook operates, meaning many traders will not have access to NFL markets. Where they are available, DKeX provides a familiar way to trade football contracts. Traders looking for broader NFL prediction market coverage and deeper liquidity may find stronger options elsewhere.

DKeX BonusSpend $5+, Get $200 in Bonuses (Paid Over 21 Days)
DKeX Promo Code
Terms and ConditionsMust be physically located in an eligible state. Does not offer sports event contracts in all states that it serves. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+

6. Gemini Predictions: NFL markets inside the Gemini app

Gemini Predictions brings event-contract trading into the Gemini app, with markets across sports, politics, economics, crypto, and other categories. Its NFL selection includes individual games and other football outcomes, and Gemini prices are included in the live comparison above.

For existing Gemini users, the integrated setup provides access to prediction markets alongside the platform’s crypto products. Market selection and liquidity vary by contract, and availability depends on location.

Gemini BonusTrade $10, Get $10
Gemini Promo CodeNot Required
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What NFL prediction markets can you trade?

NFL prediction markets cover everything from individual games to outcomes that will not be decided until the end of the season. Available contracts can vary by platform and change throughout the year. Options for NFL trading include:

  • Game winners: Trade on which team will win an individual NFL game.
  • Spreads: Trade on whether a team will cover a specified point spread.
  • Game totals: Trade on whether the combined score will finish above or below a set total.
  • Player props: Markets tied to individual player performances, such as passing, rushing, receiving, or scoring outcomes.
  • Game props: Contracts covering quarters and halves of play, team performance, and other game-specific outcomes.
  • Season futures: Longer-term markets covering division and conference winners, playoff qualification, and the Super Bowl.
  • Awards: Trade on season-long honors such as MVP, Offensive Rookie of the Year, and other NFL awards.
  • NFL Draft: Markets can cover draft position, individual players, and other outcomes leading into the annual NFL Draft.

Not every platform offers every type of NFL market, and availability can also depend on where you are located. Market selection, pricing, and trading volume change throughout the season, so compare available contracts and review the rules before placing a trade.

How NFL prediction market odds work

An NFL prediction market contract is a position on a specific outcome, such as whether a team will win a game. Contracts are priced between $0 and $1, and the price is commonly read as the market’s implied probability. A Yes contract trading at $0.54 indicates a roughly 54% market-implied probability that the outcome will occur.

In a standard binary resolution, each winning contract pays $1 and each losing contract pays $0. Traders can also sell before the market closes if an order can be matched. For example, a trader who buys a Yes contract on a team to win at $0.54 and later sells at $0.78 realizes a $0.24 gross gain per contract before fees.

Prediction markets also price NFL outcomes differently from traditional sportsbooks. Prices are driven by trading activity between market participants, while costs can come through trading fees and bid-ask spreads rather than traditional sportsbook vig. As new information arrives, prices can move quickly to reflect changing market expectations. For a direct comparison of how trading works at two leading platforms, see our Kalshi vs. Polymarket breakdown.

NFL prediction markets vs. sportsbooks

NFL prediction markets and sportsbooks can offer similar types of markets, but they work differently. At a sportsbook, you place a wager at odds set by the operator. On a prediction market, you buy or sell contracts at prices determined by trading activity between market participants.

Prediction market prices can change as traders buy and sell contracts, and you can enter or exit a position before the outcome is decided. Sportsbooks generally build a margin, or vig, into their odds, while prediction market trading costs can include platform fees and the bid-ask spread between available buy and sell prices.

Prediction markets operate under a different regulatory framework than state-licensed sportsbooks, allowing them to serve a broader range of states. This means NFL contracts are offered in some states that do not currently offer legal online sports betting. Sports contract availability varies by platform and location, so always check what is offered where you live.

How NFL prediction market contracts resolve

Most binary NFL contracts settle at $1 for the winning side and $0 for the losing side under contract-specific resolution criteria. Once the outcome can be determined under those rules, the platform resolves the market and pays or makes winning positions redeemable, depending on the platform.

Resolution criteria vary by contract. For example, a game-winner market may rely on the NFL’s official final result, while a season-long market may define a different source or cutoff date. The rules also explain how unusual circumstances such as postponed or canceled games, ties, stat corrections, or other changes are handled.

Always review the market rules before placing a trade. Kalshi, Polymarket, and other platforms display resolution criteria and the designated source used to verify the result on each contract’s market page. The market title provides a quick description of what you are trading, but the full rules determine how the contract ultimately settles.

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Prediction Market NFL Trading Volume Could Reach $57 Billion This Season

DeFi Rate projects Kalshi NFL trading volume will reach roughly $3.2 billion through Week 1 and $57 billion across the full 2026–27 season. The forecast reflects the sharp expansion in prediction-market participation and NFL contract inventory over the past year, while using last season’s week-by-week trading pattern to model how volume is likely to build across the season rather than extrapolating the current growth rate indefinitely.

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NFL Again Demands Prediction Markets Pull ‘Objectionable’ Bets Ahead of Kickoff

The league says contracts on player injuries, officiating, broadcast mentions and easily manipulated plays remain available months after its first warning. Its latest letter, sent days before the 2026 season begins, sharpens the pressure on Kalshi, Polymarket and other federally regulated exchanges, and notably calls their products “bets.”

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Kalshi moved the Bills from 1.5-point favorites to 1.5-point underdogs against the Texans overnight, while Buffalo’s win price held near 50%. The Patriots vs. Seahawks topped $1 million in Kalshi game composite volume by 6:05 a.m. ET Monday, Sept. 7, adding $108,641 over the past 24 hours to remain Week 1’s most actively traded matchup.