2026-2027 NFL Odds & Prediction Markets

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Updated 45 minutes ago Β· 10:29 AM PDT

The Los Angeles Chargers are the Week 1 favorite at prediction markets with -488 odds or 83.0% implied probability. Next up is Jacksonville trading at -355 (78.0%). This page updates with all NFL games, as released by prediction markets. So far, contracts have generated $33.9K in early trading volume, all of it on Kalshi while Polymarket has not listed the games. Our 2026-2027 NFL odds tracker aggregates live pricing using volume-weighted average pricing (VWAP), with hourly updates.

Largest Spread
0.00%
Current Favorite
83.0%
Los Angeles Chargers +5.5%
30D Volume (Share)
$33.9K
K: 100.0%
Momentum Leader
+25.0%
Jacksonville 30D change

Odds for all 16 Teams (Sept 9-16)

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Vol $1.7K Spread β€”
Agg 83.0%
↑ +5.5%
Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 83.0%
JA
Jacksonville
Vol $1.4K Spread β€”
Agg 78.0%
↑ +25.0%
Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 78.0%
DE
Detroit
Vol $1.4K Spread β€”
Agg 76.5%
↑ +10.5%
New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 76.5%
LV
Las Vegas
Vol $891 Spread β€”
Agg 68.5%
↑ +17.0%
Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 68.5%
PH
Philadelphia
Vol $168 Spread β€”
Agg 68.0%
↑ +17.5%
Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 68.0%
CI
Cincinnati
Vol $249 Spread β€”
Agg 66.5%
↑ +20.0%
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 66.5%
SE
Seattle
Vol $3.6K Spread β€”
Agg 65.5%
↓ -1.0%
New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K 65.5%
BA
Baltimore
Vol $291 Spread β€”
Agg 65.0%
↑ +12.0%
Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 65.0%
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
Vol $1.1K Spread β€”
Agg 65.0%
↑ +7.5%
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K 65.0%
PI
Pittsburgh
Vol $1.2K Spread β€”
Agg 61.5%
↑ +11.0%
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 61.5%
DA
Dallas
Vol $1.1K Spread β€”
Agg 59.0%
↑ +11.5%
Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
K 59.0%
CH
Chicago
Vol $538 Spread β€”
Agg 55.0%
↑ +7.5%
Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 55.0%
TE
Tennessee
Vol $192 Spread β€”
Agg 55.0%
↓ -4.0%
New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 55.0%
KC
Kansas City
Vol $225 Spread β€”
Agg 54.5%
↑ +9.0%
Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
K 54.5%
BU
Buffalo
Vol $457 Spread β€”
Agg 53.0%
↑ +2.0%
Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 53.0%
MI
Minnesota
Vol $806 Spread β€”
Agg 49.0%
↓ -4.0%
Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 49.0%
DE
Denver
Vol $2.0K Spread β€”
Agg 48.0%
↓ -3.0%
Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
K 48.0%
HO
Houston
Vol $415 Spread β€”
Agg 47.0%
↑ +9.0%
Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 47.0%
GB
Green Bay
Vol $1.3K Spread β€”
Agg 46.5%
↑ +6.0%
Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 46.5%
CA
Carolina
Vol $190 Spread β€”
Agg 45.0%
↑ +7.0%
Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 45.0%
NYJ
New York Jets
Vol $736 Spread β€”
Agg 44.0%
↑ +4.5%
New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 44.0%
NYG
New York Giants
Vol $1.4K Spread β€”
Agg 41.5%
↓ -6.5%
Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
K 41.5%
MI
Miami
Vol $610 Spread β€”
Agg 38.5%
↓ -7.0%
Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 38.5%
IN
Indianapolis
Vol $408 Spread β€”
Agg 38.0%
↓ -4.5%
Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 38.0%
TB
Tampa Bay
Vol $269 Spread β€”
Agg 38.0%
↓ -7.5%
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 38.0%
SF
San Francisco
Vol $1.3K Spread β€”
Agg 37.5%
↓ -18.0%
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K 37.5%
AT
Atlanta
Vol $289 Spread β€”
Agg 37.0%
↑ +0.5%
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 37.0%
NE
New England
Vol $6.3K Spread β€”
Agg 35.5%
↑ +2.5%
New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K 35.5%
WA
Washington
Vol $299 Spread β€”
Agg 33.5%
↓ -4.0%
Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 33.5%
NO
New Orleans
Vol $699 Spread β€”
Agg 26.0%
↓ -8.5%
New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 26.0%
CL
Cleveland
Vol $767 Spread β€”
Agg 25.5%
↓ -16.0%
Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K 25.5%
AR
Arizona
Vol $1.7K Spread β€”
Agg 18.0%
↓ -2.5%
Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K 18.0%
OutcomeAggregatedSpreadVolumeKalshi
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
83.0%
↑ +5.5%
β€”
$1.7K
Kalshi 83.0%
82–84Β’ Vol $1.7K
JA
Jacksonville
Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
78.0%
↑ +25.0%
β€”
$1.4K
Kalshi 78.0%
76–80Β’ Vol $1.4K
DE
Detroit
New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
76.5%
↑ +10.5%
β€”
$1.4K
Kalshi 76.5%
74–79Β’ Vol $1.4K
LV
Las Vegas
Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
68.5%
↑ +17.0%
β€”
$891
Kalshi 68.5%
64–73Β’ Vol $891
PH
Philadelphia
Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
68.0%
↑ +17.5%
β€”
$168
Kalshi 68.0%
65–71Β’ Vol $168
CI
Cincinnati
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
66.5%
↑ +20.0%
β€”
$249
Kalshi 66.5%
63–70Β’ Vol $249
SE
Seattle
New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
65.5%
↓ -1.0%
β€”
$3.6K
Kalshi 65.5%
64–67Β’ Vol $3.6K
BA
Baltimore
Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
65.0%
↑ +12.0%
β€”
$291
Kalshi 65.0%
63–67Β’ Vol $291
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
65.0%
↑ +7.5%
β€”
$1.1K
Kalshi 65.0%
60–70Β’ Vol $1.1K
PI
Pittsburgh
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
61.5%
↑ +11.0%
β€”
$1.2K
Kalshi 61.5%
59–64Β’ Vol $1.2K
DA
Dallas
Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
59.0%
↑ +11.5%
β€”
$1.1K
Kalshi 59.0%
55–63Β’ Vol $1.1K
CH
Chicago
Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
55.0%
↑ +7.5%
β€”
$538
Kalshi 55.0%
52–58Β’ Vol $538
TE
Tennessee
New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
55.0%
↓ -4.0%
β€”
$192
Kalshi 55.0%
52–58Β’ Vol $192
KC
Kansas City
Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
54.5%
↑ +9.0%
β€”
$225
Kalshi 54.5%
47–62Β’ Vol $225
BU
Buffalo
Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
53.0%
↑ +2.0%
β€”
$457
Kalshi 53.0%
51–55Β’ Vol $457
MI
Minnesota
Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
49.0%
↓ -4.0%
β€”
$806
Kalshi 49.0%
47–51Β’ Vol $806
DE
Denver
Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
48.0%
↓ -3.0%
β€”
$2.0K
Kalshi 48.0%
41–55Β’ Vol $2.0K
HO
Houston
Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
47.0%
↑ +9.0%
β€”
$415
Kalshi 47.0%
41–53Β’ Vol $415
GB
Green Bay
Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
46.5%
↑ +6.0%
β€”
$1.3K
Kalshi 46.5%
40–53Β’ Vol $1.3K
CA
Carolina
Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
45.0%
↑ +7.0%
β€”
$190
Kalshi 45.0%
43–47Β’ Vol $190
NYJ
New York Jets
New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
44.0%
↑ +4.5%
β€”
$736
Kalshi 44.0%
36–52Β’ Vol $736
NYG
New York Giants
Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
41.5%
↓ -6.5%
β€”
$1.4K
Kalshi 41.5%
35–48Β’ Vol $1.4K
MI
Miami
Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
38.5%
↓ -7.0%
β€”
$610
Kalshi 38.5%
30–47Β’ Vol $610
IN
Indianapolis
Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
38.0%
↓ -4.5%
β€”
$408
Kalshi 38.0%
33–43Β’ Vol $408
TB
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
38.0%
↓ -7.5%
β€”
$269
Kalshi 38.0%
35–41Β’ Vol $269
SF
San Francisco
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
37.5%
↓ -18.0%
β€”
$1.3K
Kalshi 37.5%
35–40Β’ Vol $1.3K
AT
Atlanta
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
37.0%
↑ +0.5%
β€”
$289
Kalshi 37.0%
32–42Β’ Vol $289
NE
New England
New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
35.5%
↑ +2.5%
β€”
$6.3K
Kalshi 35.5%
33–38Β’ Vol $6.3K
WA
Washington
Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
33.5%
↓ -4.0%
β€”
$299
Kalshi 33.5%
32–35Β’ Vol $299
NO
New Orleans
New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
26.0%
↓ -8.5%
β€”
$699
Kalshi 26.0%
23–29Β’ Vol $699
CL
Cleveland
Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
25.5%
↓ -16.0%
β€”
$767
Kalshi 25.5%
23–28Β’ Vol $767
AR
Arizona
Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
18.0%
↓ -2.5%
β€”
$1.7K
Kalshi 18.0%
16–20Β’ Vol $1.7K

Track Week 1 probability for each team across 16 games

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Sept 9-16 Matchups and Odds

How NFL prediction market odds work

An NFL prediction market contract is a binary position on a single outcome, such as whether a specific team will win. Each contract is priced in cents, and that price reflects the market’s implied probability. A contract priced at $0.54 means traders collectively assign a 54% chance to that outcome resolving Yes.

If the outcome resolves Yes, the contract pays $1. If No, it pays $0. Contracts can be bought or sold at any time before the market closes. For example, a trader who buys shares of Arvell Reese to go in the top 3 selections at $0.70 and watches it climb to $0.88 can sell before the draft and lock in a return without waiting for the pick.

Unlike a traditional sportsbook, there is no house margin embedded in the price. Prediction market prices reflect genuine crowd conviction, which is why tight spreads between Kalshi and Polymarket on high-volume contracts signal strong consensus. For a direct comparison of how trading works at the two leading platforms, see our Kalshi vs. Polymarket breakdown.

NFL contract resolution criteria

Here is the resolution language sourced directly from both platforms.

  • Kalshi: The market resolves Yes if the named player is selected at the specified pick number or within the specified range in the 2026 NFL Draft. Outcome is verified from official NFL Draft results. If a player withdraws before the draft or goes undrafted, the market resolves No. Markets close when the relevant pick is announced.
  • Polymarket: Each market resolves Yes if the named player is selected at the specified pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, based on official NFL announcements. The market resolves No if it becomes impossible for the outcome to occur β€” including if a player withdraws from the draft. Resolution source is official NFL Draft results. Projected resolution date is on or around April 23–25, 2026, depending on the pick in question.

A few edge cases worth understanding before you trade: if a pick is traded on draft night, the new team’s selection counts for team-specific markets. If a player removes themselves from the draft after markets open but before the pick is made, contracts resolve to No, not pending.

Where to trade NFL markets in 2026

NFL markets are continously being released, and more as we get closer to the start of the season. Each market will have different pricing, fee structures, liquidity levels, and bonus offers. Here is what you need to know about each heading into draft week.

  • Kalshi is the primary CFTC-regulated prediction market for US traders, available in 49 states. Kalshi carries the deepest regulated US liquidity on NFLcontracts, with specific pick markets and many more open for trading. Week 1 lines have been released along with props on head coach and starting quaterback.
  • Polymarket carries significant global volume on NFL Draft props. Polymarket US operates as a separate CFTC-regulated entity for US-based traders. Individual player volume is visible alongside prices, giving traders a clear read on where money is flowing. We are waiting on Polymarket’s lines.
  • OG Predictions offers draft markets with a competitive bonus structure. Liquidity is lower than Kalshi and Polymarket on draft contracts. Be sure to check the bid-ask spread before entering a position, particularly on lower-volume props. We are waiting on OG.
  • DraftKings Predictions brings one of the most recognizable brands in US sports to the prediction market space, with a user experience familiar to anyone who has used the DraftKings sportsbook. NFL Draft coverage is available. We are waiting on DraftKings.
  • FanDuel Predicts has expanded into prediction markets with a streamlined interface suited for traders coming from a traditional sports betting background. NFL Draft contracts are available. We are waiting on FanDuel.
  • Underdog Predict rounds out the field with draft market coverage and a familiar environment for sports-focused traders. We do not have an API for Underdog.

Prediction market trading is available nationwide, including states without traditional sports betting, such as California and Texas. For the latest platform offers heading into draft week, see our full list of prediction market promos.