Sports Markets NFL Odds and Prediction Markets

2026-2027 NFL Odds & Prediction Markets

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Updated 40 minutes ago · 1:47 PM PDT

The Los Angeles Chargers are the Week 1 favorite at prediction markets with -413 odds or 80.5% implied probability. Next up is Jacksonville trading at -326 (76.5%). This page updates with all NFL games, as released by prediction markets. So far, contracts have generated $89.4K in early trading volume, all of it on Kalshi while Polymarket has not listed the games. Our 2026-2027 NFL odds tracker aggregates live pricing using volume-weighted average pricing (VWAP), with hourly updates.

Largest Spread

0.00%

Current Favorite

80.5%

Los Angeles Chargers 4.0%

30D Volume (Share)

$89.4K

Momentum Leader

+3.5%

Las Vegas 30D change

Odds for all 16 Teams (Sept 9-16)

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

LAC

Los Angeles Chargers

Vol $2.4K Spread —

Agg 80.5%

↓ -4.0%

Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 80.5%

Kalshi 80.5%

Vol $2.4K 80–81¢

Jacksonville

Vol $830 Spread —

Agg 76.5%

↑ +0.5%

Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 76.5%

Kalshi 76.5%

Vol $830 76–77¢

Detroit

Vol $3.6K Spread —

Agg 76.0%

↑ +0.5%

New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 76.0%

Kalshi 76.0%

Vol $3.6K 75–77¢

Philadelphia

Vol $717 Spread —

Agg 66.0%

↓ -0.5%

Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 66.0%

Kalshi 66.0%

Vol $717 65–67¢

Seattle

Vol $14.1K Spread —

Agg 65.5%

↓ -0.5%

New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)

K 65.5%

Kalshi 65.5%

Vol $14.1K 65–66¢

Cincinnati

Vol $300 Spread —

Agg 64.0%

↑ +1.0%

Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 64.0%

Kalshi 64.0%

Vol $300 63–65¢

Las Vegas

Vol $2.0K Spread —

Agg 64.0%

↑ +3.5%

Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 64.0%

Kalshi 64.0%

Vol $2.0K 63–65¢

Baltimore

Vol $1.1K Spread —

Agg 63.5%

↓ -2.5%

Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 63.5%

Kalshi 63.5%

Vol $1.1K 62–65¢

LAR

Los Angeles Rams

Vol $6.1K Spread —

Agg 62.5%

↓ -1.5%

San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)

K 62.5%

Kalshi 62.5%

Vol $6.1K 62–63¢

Pittsburgh

Vol $748 Spread —

Agg 58.5%

↓ -0.5%

Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 58.5%

Kalshi 58.5%

Vol $748 58–59¢

Kansas City

Vol $1.7K Spread —

Agg 58.0%

— +0.0%

Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)

K 58.0%

Kalshi 58.0%

Vol $1.7K 57–59¢

Dallas

Vol $10.7K Spread —

Agg 57.5%

↓ -0.5%

Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)

K 57.5%

Kalshi 57.5%

Vol $10.7K 57–58¢

Chicago

Vol $2.3K Spread —

Agg 57.0%

↓ -1.0%

Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 57.0%

Kalshi 57.0%

Vol $2.3K 56–58¢

Tennessee

Vol $2.0K Spread —

Agg 56.5%

↑ +0.5%

New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 56.5%

Kalshi 56.5%

Vol $2.0K 56–57¢

Minnesota

Vol $950 Spread —

Agg 52.5%

↑ +1.5%

Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 52.5%

Kalshi 52.5%

Vol $950 52–53¢

Buffalo

Vol $5.4K Spread —

Agg 50.0%

↓ -1.5%

Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 50.0%

Kalshi 50.0%

Vol $5.4K 49–51¢

Green Bay

Vol $3.0K Spread —

Agg 49.5%

↓ -3.0%

Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 49.5%

Kalshi 49.5%

Vol $3.0K 49–50¢

Houston

Vol $974 Spread —

Agg 49.5%

↓ -0.5%

Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 49.5%

Kalshi 49.5%

Vol $974 48–51¢

Denver

Vol $3.2K Spread —

Agg 43.5%

↑ +1.0%

Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)

K 43.5%

Kalshi 43.5%

Vol $3.2K 43–44¢

NYG

New York Giants

Vol $1.2K Spread —

Agg 43.5%

↑ +1.0%

Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)

K 43.5%

Kalshi 43.5%

Vol $1.2K 42–45¢

Carolina

Vol $272 Spread —

Agg 42.5%

↓ -1.0%

Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 42.5%

Kalshi 42.5%

Vol $272 42–43¢

NYJ

New York Jets

Vol $1.3K Spread —

Agg 42.5%

↓ -2.5%

New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 42.5%

Kalshi 42.5%

Vol $1.3K 42–43¢

Atlanta

Vol $846 Spread —

Agg 40.5%

↓ -1.5%

Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 40.5%

Kalshi 40.5%

Vol $846 40–41¢

San Francisco

Vol $7.2K Spread —

Agg 36.5%

— +0.0%

San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)

K 36.5%

Kalshi 36.5%

Vol $7.2K 36–37¢

Tampa Bay

Vol $1.2K Spread —

Agg 36.5%

↓ -1.0%

Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 36.5%

Kalshi 36.5%

Vol $1.2K 36–37¢

Miami

Vol $622 Spread —

Agg 36.0%

↓ -1.0%

Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 36.0%

Kalshi 36.0%

Vol $622 35–37¢

Indianapolis

Vol $415 Spread —

Agg 35.5%

↓ -2.0%

Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 35.5%

Kalshi 35.5%

Vol $415 34–37¢

New England

Vol $10.1K Spread —

Agg 35.5%

↑ +0.5%

New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)

K 35.5%

Kalshi 35.5%

Vol $10.1K 35–36¢

Washington

Vol $332 Spread —

Agg 34.5%

↓ -2.0%

Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 34.5%

Kalshi 34.5%

Vol $332 33–36¢

New Orleans

Vol $1.3K Spread —

Agg 23.5%

↓ -2.0%

New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 23.5%

Kalshi 23.5%

Vol $1.3K 23–24¢

Cleveland

Vol $807 Spread —

Agg 22.5%

↓ -2.0%

Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 22.5%

Kalshi 22.5%

Vol $807 22–23¢

Arizona

Vol $1.6K Spread —

Agg 19.0%

↑ +1.0%

Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 19.0%

Kalshi 19.0%

Vol $1.6K 18–20¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
LAC Los Angeles Chargers Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	80.5% ↓ -4.0%	—	$2.4K	Kalshi 80.5% 80–81¢ Vol $2.4K
JA Jacksonville Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	76.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$830	Kalshi 76.5% 76–77¢ Vol $830
DE Detroit New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	76.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$3.6K	Kalshi 76.0% 75–77¢ Vol $3.6K
PH Philadelphia Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	66.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$717	Kalshi 66.0% 65–67¢ Vol $717
SE Seattle New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)	65.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$14.1K	Kalshi 65.5% 65–66¢ Vol $14.1K
CI Cincinnati Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	64.0% ↑ +1.0%	—	$300	Kalshi 64.0% 63–65¢ Vol $300
LV Las Vegas Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	64.0% ↑ +3.5%	—	$2.0K	Kalshi 64.0% 63–65¢ Vol $2.0K
BA Baltimore Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	63.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$1.1K	Kalshi 63.5% 62–65¢ Vol $1.1K
LAR Los Angeles Rams San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)	62.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$6.1K	Kalshi 62.5% 62–63¢ Vol $6.1K
PI Pittsburgh Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	58.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$748	Kalshi 58.5% 58–59¢ Vol $748
KC Kansas City Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)	58.0% — +0.0%	—	$1.7K	Kalshi 58.0% 57–59¢ Vol $1.7K
DA Dallas Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)	57.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$10.7K	Kalshi 57.5% 57–58¢ Vol $10.7K
CH Chicago Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	57.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$2.3K	Kalshi 57.0% 56–58¢ Vol $2.3K
TE Tennessee New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	56.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$2.0K	Kalshi 56.5% 56–57¢ Vol $2.0K
MI Minnesota Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	52.5% ↑ +1.5%	—	$950	Kalshi 52.5% 52–53¢ Vol $950
BU Buffalo Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	50.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$5.4K	Kalshi 50.0% 49–51¢ Vol $5.4K
GB Green Bay Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	49.5% ↓ -3.0%	—	$3.0K	Kalshi 49.5% 49–50¢ Vol $3.0K
HO Houston Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	49.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$974	Kalshi 49.5% 48–51¢ Vol $974
DE Denver Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)	43.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$3.2K	Kalshi 43.5% 43–44¢ Vol $3.2K
NYG New York Giants Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)	43.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$1.2K	Kalshi 43.5% 42–45¢ Vol $1.2K
CA Carolina Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	42.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$272	Kalshi 42.5% 42–43¢ Vol $272
NYJ New York Jets New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	42.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$1.3K	Kalshi 42.5% 42–43¢ Vol $1.3K
AT Atlanta Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	40.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$846	Kalshi 40.5% 40–41¢ Vol $846
SF San Francisco San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)	36.5% — +0.0%	—	$7.2K	Kalshi 36.5% 36–37¢ Vol $7.2K
TB Tampa Bay Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	36.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$1.2K	Kalshi 36.5% 36–37¢ Vol $1.2K
MI Miami Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	36.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$622	Kalshi 36.0% 35–37¢ Vol $622
IN Indianapolis Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	35.5% ↓ -2.0%	—	$415	Kalshi 35.5% 34–37¢ Vol $415
NE New England New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)	35.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$10.1K	Kalshi 35.5% 35–36¢ Vol $10.1K
WA Washington Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	34.5% ↓ -2.0%	—	$332	Kalshi 34.5% 33–36¢ Vol $332
NO New Orleans New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	23.5% ↓ -2.0%	—	$1.3K	Kalshi 23.5% 23–24¢ Vol $1.3K
CL Cleveland Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	22.5% ↓ -2.0%	—	$807	Kalshi 22.5% 22–23¢ Vol $807
AR Arizona Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	19.0% ↑ +1.0%	—	$1.6K	Kalshi 19.0% 18–20¢ Vol $1.6K

Track Week 1 probability for each team across 16 games

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Sept 9-16 Matchups and Odds

The Patriots face the Seahawks in the NFL season's kickoff game. When: Wednesday, September 9 at 8:20pm EDT Where to watch: NBC, Peacock, NFL+

The 49ers face the Rams in the league's first regular-season game in Australia. When: Thursday, September 10 at 8:35pm EDT Where to watch: Netflix

The Bears travel to Charlotte to face the Panthers. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Buccaneers face the Bengals in Cincinnati. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Saints travel to Detroit to face the Lions. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Bills face the Texans in Houston. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Ravens travel to Indianapolis to face the Colts. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Jets face the Titans in Nashville. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Falcons travel to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Browns face the Jaguars in Jacksonville. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Dolphins face the Raiders in Las Vegas. When: Sunday, September 13 at 4:25pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Packers face the Vikings in the NFC North opener. When: Sunday, September 13 at 4:25pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Commanders travel to Philadelphia to face the Eagles. When: Sunday, September 13 at 4:25pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Cowboys face the Giants in the Sunday Night Football opener. When: Sunday, September 13 at 8:20pm EDT Where to watch: NBC

How NFL prediction market odds work

An NFL prediction market contract is a binary position on a single outcome, such as whether a specific team will win. Each contract is priced in cents, and that price reflects the market’s implied probability. A contract priced at $0.54 means traders collectively assign a 54% chance to that outcome resolving Yes.

If the outcome resolves Yes, the contract pays $1. If No, it pays $0. Contracts can be bought or sold at any time before the market closes. For example, a trader who buys shares of Arvell Reese to go in the top 3 selections at $0.70 and watches it climb to $0.88 can sell before the draft and lock in a return without waiting for the pick.

Unlike a traditional sportsbook, there is no house margin embedded in the price. Prediction market prices reflect genuine crowd conviction, which is why tight spreads between Kalshi and Polymarket on high-volume contracts signal strong consensus. For a direct comparison of how trading works at the two leading platforms, see our Kalshi vs. Polymarket breakdown.

NFL contract resolution criteria

Here is the resolution language sourced directly from both platforms.

Kalshi: The market resolves Yes if the named player is selected at the specified pick number or within the specified range in the 2026 NFL Draft. Outcome is verified from official NFL Draft results. If a player withdraws before the draft or goes undrafted, the market resolves No. Markets close when the relevant pick is announced.
Polymarket: Each market resolves Yes if the named player is selected at the specified pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, based on official NFL announcements. The market resolves No if it becomes impossible for the outcome to occur — including if a player withdraws from the draft. Resolution source is official NFL Draft results. Projected resolution date is on or around April 23–25, 2026, depending on the pick in question.

A few edge cases worth understanding before you trade: if a pick is traded on draft night, the new team’s selection counts for team-specific markets. If a player removes themselves from the draft after markets open but before the pick is made, contracts resolve to No, not pending.

Where to trade NFL markets in 2026

NFL markets are continously being released, and more as we get closer to the start of the season. Each market will have different pricing, fee structures, liquidity levels, and bonus offers. Here is what you need to know about each heading into draft week.

Kalshi is the primary CFTC-regulated prediction market for US traders, available in 49 states. Kalshi carries the deepest regulated US liquidity on NFLcontracts, with specific pick markets and many more open for trading. Week 1 lines have been released along with props on head coach and starting quaterback.
Polymarket carries significant global volume on NFL Draft props. Polymarket US operates as a separate CFTC-regulated entity for US-based traders. Individual player volume is visible alongside prices, giving traders a clear read on where money is flowing. We are waiting on Polymarket’s lines.
OG Predictions offers draft markets with a competitive bonus structure. Liquidity is lower than Kalshi and Polymarket on draft contracts. Be sure to check the bid-ask spread before entering a position, particularly on lower-volume props. We are waiting on OG.
DraftKings Predictions brings one of the most recognizable brands in US sports to the prediction market space, with a user experience familiar to anyone who has used the DraftKings sportsbook. NFL Draft coverage is available. We are waiting on DraftKings.
FanDuel Predicts has expanded into prediction markets with a streamlined interface suited for traders coming from a traditional sports betting background. NFL Draft contracts are available. We are waiting on FanDuel.
Underdog Predict rounds out the field with draft market coverage and a familiar environment for sports-focused traders. We do not have an API for Underdog.

Prediction market trading is available nationwide, including states without traditional sports betting, such as California and Texas. For the latest platform offers heading into draft week, see our full list of prediction market promos.