2026-2027 NFL Odds & Prediction Markets
The Los Angeles Chargers are the Week 1 favorite at prediction markets with -488 odds or 83.0% implied probability. Next up is Jacksonville trading at -355 (78.0%). This page updates with all NFL games, as released by prediction markets. So far, contracts have generated $33.9K in early trading volume, all of it on Kalshi while Polymarket has not listed the games. Our 2026-2027 NFL odds tracker aggregates live pricing using volume-weighted average pricing (VWAP), with hourly updates.
Odds for all 16 Teams (Sept 9-16)
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
LACLos Angeles Chargers
Vol $1.7K
Spread β
Agg
83.0%β +5.5%Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
83.0%
JAJacksonville
Vol $1.4K
Spread β
Agg
78.0%β +25.0%Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
78.0%
DEDetroit
Vol $1.4K
Spread β
Agg
76.5%β +10.5%New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
76.5%
LVLas Vegas
Vol $891
Spread β
Agg
68.5%β +17.0%Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
68.5%
PHPhiladelphia
Vol $168
Spread β
Agg
68.0%β +17.5%Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
68.0%
CICincinnati
Vol $249
Spread β
Agg
66.5%β +20.0%Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
66.5%
SESeattle
Vol $3.6K
Spread β
Agg
65.5%β -1.0%New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K
65.5%
BABaltimore
Vol $291
Spread β
Agg
65.0%β +12.0%Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
65.0%
LARLos Angeles Rams
Vol $1.1K
Spread β
Agg
65.0%β +7.5%San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K
65.0%
PIPittsburgh
Vol $1.2K
Spread β
Agg
61.5%β +11.0%Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
61.5%
DADallas
Vol $1.1K
Spread β
Agg
59.0%β +11.5%Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
K
59.0%
CHChicago
Vol $538
Spread β
Agg
55.0%β +7.5%Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
55.0%
TETennessee
Vol $192
Spread β
Agg
55.0%β -4.0%New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
55.0%
KCKansas City
Vol $225
Spread β
Agg
54.5%β +9.0%Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
K
54.5%
BUBuffalo
Vol $457
Spread β
Agg
53.0%β +2.0%Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
53.0%
MIMinnesota
Vol $806
Spread β
Agg
49.0%β -4.0%Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
49.0%
DEDenver
Vol $2.0K
Spread β
Agg
48.0%β -3.0%Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
K
48.0%
HOHouston
Vol $415
Spread β
Agg
47.0%β +9.0%Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
47.0%
GBGreen Bay
Vol $1.3K
Spread β
Agg
46.5%β +6.0%Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
46.5%
CACarolina
Vol $190
Spread β
Agg
45.0%β +7.0%Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
45.0%
NYJNew York Jets
Vol $736
Spread β
Agg
44.0%β +4.5%New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
44.0%
NYGNew York Giants
Vol $1.4K
Spread β
Agg
41.5%β -6.5%Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
K
41.5%
MIMiami
Vol $610
Spread β
Agg
38.5%β -7.0%Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
38.5%
INIndianapolis
Vol $408
Spread β
Agg
38.0%β -4.5%Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
38.0%
TBTampa Bay
Vol $269
Spread β
Agg
38.0%β -7.5%Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
38.0%
SFSan Francisco
Vol $1.3K
Spread β
Agg
37.5%β -18.0%San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K
37.5%
ATAtlanta
Vol $289
Spread β
Agg
37.0%β +0.5%Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
37.0%
NENew England
Vol $6.3K
Spread β
Agg
35.5%β +2.5%New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K
35.5%
WAWashington
Vol $299
Spread β
Agg
33.5%β -4.0%Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
33.5%
NONew Orleans
Vol $699
Spread β
Agg
26.0%β -8.5%New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
26.0%
CLCleveland
Vol $767
Spread β
Agg
25.5%β -16.0%Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
25.5%
ARArizona
Vol $1.7K
Spread β
Agg
18.0%β -2.5%Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
18.0%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
LAC Los Angeles Chargers Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 83.0% β +5.5% | β | $1.7K |
Kalshi
83.0%
|
JA Jacksonville Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 78.0% β +25.0% | β | $1.4K |
Kalshi
78.0%
|
DE Detroit New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 76.5% β +10.5% | β | $1.4K |
Kalshi
76.5%
|
LV Las Vegas Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 68.5% β +17.0% | β | $891 |
Kalshi
68.5%
|
PH Philadelphia Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 68.0% β +17.5% | β | $168 |
Kalshi
68.0%
|
CI Cincinnati Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 66.5% β +20.0% | β | $249 |
Kalshi
66.5%
|
SE Seattle New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT) | 65.5% β -1.0% | β | $3.6K |
Kalshi
65.5%
|
BA Baltimore Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 65.0% β +12.0% | β | $291 |
Kalshi
65.0%
|
LAR Los Angeles Rams San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT) | 65.0% β +7.5% | β | $1.1K |
Kalshi
65.0%
|
PI Pittsburgh Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 61.5% β +11.0% | β | $1.2K |
Kalshi
61.5%
|
DA Dallas Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT) | 59.0% β +11.5% | β | $1.1K |
Kalshi
59.0%
|
CH Chicago Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 55.0% β +7.5% | β | $538 |
Kalshi
55.0%
|
TE Tennessee New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 55.0% β -4.0% | β | $192 |
Kalshi
55.0%
|
KC Kansas City Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT) | 54.5% β +9.0% | β | $225 |
Kalshi
54.5%
|
BU Buffalo Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 53.0% β +2.0% | β | $457 |
Kalshi
53.0%
|
MI Minnesota Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 49.0% β -4.0% | β | $806 |
Kalshi
49.0%
|
DE Denver Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT) | 48.0% β -3.0% | β | $2.0K |
Kalshi
48.0%
|
HO Houston Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 47.0% β +9.0% | β | $415 |
Kalshi
47.0%
|
GB Green Bay Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 46.5% β +6.0% | β | $1.3K |
Kalshi
46.5%
|
CA Carolina Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 45.0% β +7.0% | β | $190 |
Kalshi
45.0%
|
NYJ New York Jets New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 44.0% β +4.5% | β | $736 |
Kalshi
44.0%
|
NYG New York Giants Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT) | 41.5% β -6.5% | β | $1.4K |
Kalshi
41.5%
|
MI Miami Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 38.5% β -7.0% | β | $610 |
Kalshi
38.5%
|
IN Indianapolis Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 38.0% β -4.5% | β | $408 |
Kalshi
38.0%
|
TB Tampa Bay Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 38.0% β -7.5% | β | $269 |
Kalshi
38.0%
|
SF San Francisco San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT) | 37.5% β -18.0% | β | $1.3K |
Kalshi
37.5%
|
AT Atlanta Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 37.0% β +0.5% | β | $289 |
Kalshi
37.0%
|
NE New England New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT) | 35.5% β +2.5% | β | $6.3K |
Kalshi
35.5%
|
WA Washington Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 33.5% β -4.0% | β | $299 |
Kalshi
33.5%
|
NO New Orleans New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 26.0% β -8.5% | β | $699 |
Kalshi
26.0%
|
CL Cleveland Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 25.5% β -16.0% | β | $767 |
Kalshi
25.5%
|
AR Arizona Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 18.0% β -2.5% | β | $1.7K |
Kalshi
18.0%
|
Track Week 1 probability for each team across 16 games
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Sept 9-16 Matchups and Odds
How NFL prediction market odds work
An NFL prediction market contract is a binary position on a single outcome, such as whether a specific team will win. Each contract is priced in cents, and that price reflects the market’s implied probability. A contract priced at $0.54 means traders collectively assign a 54% chance to that outcome resolving Yes.
If the outcome resolves Yes, the contract pays $1. If No, it pays $0. Contracts can be bought or sold at any time before the market closes. For example, a trader who buys shares of Arvell Reese to go in the top 3 selections at $0.70 and watches it climb to $0.88 can sell before the draft and lock in a return without waiting for the pick.
Unlike a traditional sportsbook, there is no house margin embedded in the price. Prediction market prices reflect genuine crowd conviction, which is why tight spreads between Kalshi and Polymarket on high-volume contracts signal strong consensus. For a direct comparison of how trading works at the two leading platforms, see our Kalshi vs. Polymarket breakdown.
NFL contract resolution criteria
Here is the resolution language sourced directly from both platforms.
- Kalshi: The market resolves Yes if the named player is selected at the specified pick number or within the specified range in the 2026 NFL Draft. Outcome is verified from official NFL Draft results. If a player withdraws before the draft or goes undrafted, the market resolves No. Markets close when the relevant pick is announced.
- Polymarket: Each market resolves Yes if the named player is selected at the specified pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, based on official NFL announcements. The market resolves No if it becomes impossible for the outcome to occur β including if a player withdraws from the draft. Resolution source is official NFL Draft results. Projected resolution date is on or around April 23β25, 2026, depending on the pick in question.
A few edge cases worth understanding before you trade: if a pick is traded on draft night, the new team’s selection counts for team-specific markets. If a player removes themselves from the draft after markets open but before the pick is made, contracts resolve to No, not pending.
Where to trade NFL markets in 2026
NFL markets are continously being released, and more as we get closer to the start of the season. Each market will have different pricing, fee structures, liquidity levels, and bonus offers. Here is what you need to know about each heading into draft week.
- Kalshi is the primary CFTC-regulated prediction market for US traders, available in 49 states. Kalshi carries the deepest regulated US liquidity on NFLcontracts, with specific pick markets and many more open for trading. Week 1 lines have been released along with props on head coach and starting quaterback.
- Polymarket carries significant global volume on NFL Draft props. Polymarket US operates as a separate CFTC-regulated entity for US-based traders. Individual player volume is visible alongside prices, giving traders a clear read on where money is flowing. We are waiting on Polymarket’s lines.
- OG Predictions offers draft markets with a competitive bonus structure. Liquidity is lower than Kalshi and Polymarket on draft contracts. Be sure to check the bid-ask spread before entering a position, particularly on lower-volume props. We are waiting on OG.
- DraftKings Predictions brings one of the most recognizable brands in US sports to the prediction market space, with a user experience familiar to anyone who has used the DraftKings sportsbook. NFL Draft coverage is available. We are waiting on DraftKings.
- FanDuel Predicts has expanded into prediction markets with a streamlined interface suited for traders coming from a traditional sports betting background. NFL Draft contracts are available. We are waiting on FanDuel.
- Underdog Predict rounds out the field with draft market coverage and a familiar environment for sports-focused traders. We do not have an API for Underdog.
Prediction market trading is available nationwide, including states without traditional sports betting, such as California and Texas. For the latest platform offers heading into draft week, see our full list of prediction market promos.
