NFL Prediction Markets: Latest Odds and Best Sites
NFL prediction markets are open for Week 1, with the Los Angeles Chargers priced as the strongest favorite at -441 odds, or an 81.5% implied probability. Jacksonville is next at -365, or 78.5%. This 2026-27 NFL odds tracker compares live game probabilities across Kalshi, Gemini, Polymarket US and Polymarket Global using volume-weighted average pricing, with new matchups added as markets open and prices refreshed hourly.
Odds for all 16 Teams (Sept 9-16)
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
LACLos Angeles Chargers
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
81.5%— +0.0%Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
81.5%
P
81.5%
U
81.5%
G
81.5%
JAJacksonville
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
78.5%↑ +2.5%Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
78.5%
P
78.5%
U
78.5%
G
78.5%
DEDetroit
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
74.0%↓ -2.0%New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P
74.5%
U
74.5%
K
74.0%
G
74.0%
PHPhiladelphia
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
67.6%↑ +2.1%Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
P
68.5%
U
68.0%
K
67.5%
G
67.5%
CICincinnati
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
65.4%↑ +1.9%Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
65.5%
G
65.5%
P
64.5%
U
64.5%
LARLos Angeles Rams
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
64.5%↑ +1.0%San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
U
65.0%
K
64.5%
P
64.5%
G
64.5%
LVLas Vegas
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
62.5%↓ -1.0%Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
U
63.0%
K
62.5%
P
62.5%
G
62.5%
PIPittsburgh
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
62.5%↑ +4.0%Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
U
63.5%
K
62.5%
P
62.5%
G
62.5%
SESeattle
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
62.5%↓ -3.0%New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K
62.5%
P
62.5%
G
62.5%
U
62.0%
BABaltimore
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
61.5%↓ -2.0%Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P
62.5%
U
62.0%
K
61.5%
G
61.5%
DADallas
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
60.5%↑ +3.0%Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
K
60.5%
P
60.5%
G
60.5%
U
60.0%
CHChicago
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
59.8%↑ +0.8%Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P
60.5%
U
60.5%
K
59.5%
G
59.5%
KCKansas City
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
56.5%↓ -1.0%Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
K
56.5%
P
56.5%
U
56.5%
G
56.5%
MIMinnesota
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
53.5%↑ +4.0%Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
U
54.0%
K
53.5%
P
53.5%
G
53.5%
TETennessee
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
52.5%↓ -2.5%New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
52.5%
P
52.5%
G
52.5%
U
52.0%
BUBuffalo
Vol —
Spread 1.5%
Agg
51.0%↑ +1.5%Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
U
52.0%
K
51.5%
G
51.5%
P
50.5%
HOHouston
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
49.0%↓ -1.5%Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P
49.5%
K
48.5%
U
48.5%
G
48.5%
NYJNew York Jets
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
47.5%↑ +4.0%New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
U
48.5%
K
47.5%
P
47.5%
G
47.5%
GBGreen Bay
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
46.5%↓ -3.0%Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
K
46.5%
P
46.5%
U
46.5%
G
46.5%
DEDenver
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
43.5%↑ +2.0%Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)
U
44.0%
K
43.5%
P
43.5%
G
43.5%
NYGNew York Giants
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
40.5%↓ -2.5%Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)
K
40.5%
U
40.5%
G
40.5%
P
39.5%
CACarolina
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
39.8%↓ -1.7%Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
40.5%
G
40.5%
U
40.0%
P
39.5%
INIndianapolis
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
38.5%↑ +2.0%Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
38.5%
U
38.5%
G
38.5%
P
37.5%
NENew England
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
38.4%↑ +3.9%New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K
38.5%
U
38.5%
G
38.0%
P
37.5%
ATAtlanta
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
36.7%↓ -3.8%Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
P
37.5%
U
37.0%
K
36.5%
G
36.5%
MIMiami
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
36.5%↑ +2.0%Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
P
37.5%
U
37.5%
K
36.5%
G
36.5%
SFSan Francisco
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
35.5%— +0.0%San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)
K
35.5%
P
35.5%
U
35.5%
G
35.5%
TBTampa Bay
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
35.5%↓ -0.5%Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
U
36.0%
K
35.5%
P
35.5%
G
35.5%
WAWashington
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
31.8%↓ -3.2%Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
U
32.5%
K
32.0%
G
32.0%
P
31.5%
NONew Orleans
Vol —
Spread 1.0%
Agg
26.5%↑ +2.5%New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
26.5%
U
26.5%
G
26.5%
P
25.5%
CLCleveland
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
21.8%↓ -2.7%Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)
K
22.0%
U
22.0%
G
22.0%
P
21.5%
ARArizona
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
18.5%— +0.0%Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)
U
19.0%
K
18.5%
P
18.5%
G
18.5%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAC Los Angeles Chargers Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 81.5% — +0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
81.5%
|
Polymarket
81.5%
|
Polymarket US
81.5%
|
Gemini
81.5%
|
JA Jacksonville Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 78.5% ↑ +2.5% | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
78.5%
|
Polymarket
78.5%
|
Polymarket US
78.5%
|
Gemini
78.5%
|
DE Detroit New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 74.0% ↓ -2.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
74.0%
|
Polymarket
74.5%
|
Polymarket US
74.5%
|
Gemini
74.0%
|
PH Philadelphia Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 67.6% ↑ +2.1% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
67.5%
|
Polymarket
68.5%
|
Polymarket US
68.0%
|
Gemini
67.5%
|
CI Cincinnati Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 65.4% ↑ +1.9% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
65.5%
|
Polymarket
64.5%
|
Polymarket US
64.5%
|
Gemini
65.5%
|
LAR Los Angeles Rams San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT) | 64.5% ↑ +1.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
64.5%
|
Polymarket
64.5%
|
Polymarket US
65.0%
|
Gemini
64.5%
|
LV Las Vegas Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 62.5% ↓ -1.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
62.5%
|
Polymarket
62.5%
|
Polymarket US
63.0%
|
Gemini
62.5%
|
PI Pittsburgh Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 62.5% ↑ +4.0% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
62.5%
|
Polymarket
62.5%
|
Polymarket US
63.5%
|
Gemini
62.5%
|
SE Seattle New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT) | 62.5% ↓ -3.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
62.5%
|
Polymarket
62.5%
|
Polymarket US
62.0%
|
Gemini
62.5%
|
BA Baltimore Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 61.5% ↓ -2.0% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
61.5%
|
Polymarket
62.5%
|
Polymarket US
62.0%
|
Gemini
61.5%
|
DA Dallas Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT) | 60.5% ↑ +3.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
60.5%
|
Polymarket
60.5%
|
Polymarket US
60.0%
|
Gemini
60.5%
|
CH Chicago Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 59.8% ↑ +0.8% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
59.5%
|
Polymarket
60.5%
|
Polymarket US
60.5%
|
Gemini
59.5%
|
KC Kansas City Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT) | 56.5% ↓ -1.0% | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
56.5%
|
Polymarket
56.5%
|
Polymarket US
56.5%
|
Gemini
56.5%
|
MI Minnesota Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 53.5% ↑ +4.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
53.5%
|
Polymarket
53.5%
|
Polymarket US
54.0%
|
Gemini
53.5%
|
TE Tennessee New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 52.5% ↓ -2.5% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
52.5%
|
Polymarket
52.5%
|
Polymarket US
52.0%
|
Gemini
52.5%
|
BU Buffalo Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 51.0% ↑ +1.5% | 1.5% | — |
Kalshi
51.5%
|
Polymarket
50.5%
|
Polymarket US
52.0%
|
Gemini
51.5%
|
HO Houston Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 49.0% ↓ -1.5% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
48.5%
|
Polymarket
49.5%
|
Polymarket US
48.5%
|
Gemini
48.5%
|
NYJ New York Jets New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 47.5% ↑ +4.0% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
47.5%
|
Polymarket
47.5%
|
Polymarket US
48.5%
|
Gemini
47.5%
|
GB Green Bay Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 46.5% ↓ -3.0% | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
46.5%
|
Polymarket
46.5%
|
Polymarket US
46.5%
|
Gemini
46.5%
|
DE Denver Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT) | 43.5% ↑ +2.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
43.5%
|
Polymarket
43.5%
|
Polymarket US
44.0%
|
Gemini
43.5%
|
NYG New York Giants Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT) | 40.5% ↓ -2.5% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
40.5%
|
Polymarket
39.5%
|
Polymarket US
40.5%
|
Gemini
40.5%
|
CA Carolina Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 39.8% ↓ -1.7% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
40.5%
|
Polymarket
39.5%
|
Polymarket US
40.0%
|
Gemini
40.5%
|
IN Indianapolis Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 38.5% ↑ +2.0% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
38.5%
|
Polymarket
37.5%
|
Polymarket US
38.5%
|
Gemini
38.5%
|
NE New England New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT) | 38.4% ↑ +3.9% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
38.5%
|
Polymarket
37.5%
|
Polymarket US
38.5%
|
Gemini
38.0%
|
AT Atlanta Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 36.7% ↓ -3.8% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
36.5%
|
Polymarket
37.5%
|
Polymarket US
37.0%
|
Gemini
36.5%
|
MI Miami Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 36.5% ↑ +2.0% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
36.5%
|
Polymarket
37.5%
|
Polymarket US
37.5%
|
Gemini
36.5%
|
SF San Francisco San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT) | 35.5% — +0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
35.5%
|
Polymarket
35.5%
|
Polymarket US
35.5%
|
Gemini
35.5%
|
TB Tampa Bay Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 35.5% ↓ -0.5% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
35.5%
|
Polymarket
35.5%
|
Polymarket US
36.0%
|
Gemini
35.5%
|
WA Washington Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 31.8% ↓ -3.2% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
32.0%
|
Polymarket
31.5%
|
Polymarket US
32.5%
|
Gemini
32.0%
|
NO New Orleans New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 26.5% ↑ +2.5% | 1.0% | — |
Kalshi
26.5%
|
Polymarket
25.5%
|
Polymarket US
26.5%
|
Gemini
26.5%
|
CL Cleveland Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT) | 21.8% ↓ -2.7% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
22.0%
|
Polymarket
21.5%
|
Polymarket US
22.0%
|
Gemini
22.0%
|
AR Arizona Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT) | 18.5% — +0.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
18.5%
|
Polymarket
18.5%
|
Polymarket US
19.0%
|
Gemini
18.5%
|
Track Week 1 probability for each team across 16 games
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Sept 9-16 Matchups and Odds
Where to trade NFL markets in 2026
NFL prediction markets are available across several major platforms, with new markets continually added throughout the season. Each platform offers a different mix of NFL markets, pricing, fees, liquidity, and promotions, making it worth comparing your options before you trade.
Prediction market platforms serve eligible users across much of the US, including in states without legal online sports betting, such as California and Texas. Availability varies by platform, market type, and location. Below, we compare selected platforms for trading NFL prediction markets and the key differences among them.
For complete details on current sign-up offers, see our complete guide to prediction market promos.
1. Polymarket US: Broad NFL market selection and current deposit incentive
Polymarket US offers NFL prediction markets on individual games and season-long outcomes. It is separate from Polymarket Global, and market availability differs between the two.
NFL traders can find moneylines, spreads, totals, props, and futures such as division races and the Super Bowl winner. Polymarket US’s current fee schedule lists taker trading fees and maker rebates but no separate settlement fee. Eligible new users who sign up through the RATE offer and deposit at least $10 receive a $50 trading credit.
| Polymarket Bonus | Deposit $10 get a $50 trading bonus |
| Polymarket Promo Code | RATE |
| Terms and Conditions | Must be physically located in eligible state. VPN access will not work. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+ |
2. Kalshi: High-volume NFL markets and deep liquidity
Kalshi is one of the most established options for trading NFL prediction markets, with high trading volume and deep order books across major events. The platform is available on iOS, Android, and desktop, and offers an extensive selection of football contracts throughout the season. Traders can also earn interest on eligible cash held in their accounts while waiting for the next opportunity.
NFL coverage is extensive, from the weekly slates of games to a deep roster of futures. Kalshi’s combination of market depth and liquidity can make it easier to enter and exit positions, particularly on heavily traded games and season-long markets. For traders who want broad NFL coverage on a platform that also offers markets across politics, economics, and culture, Kalshi is one of the most complete options available.
| Kalshi Bonus | Trade $10, Get $25 |
| Kalshi Promo Code | RATE |
| Terms and Conditions | Must be physically located in an eligible state. VPN access will not work. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+ |
3. FanDuel Predicts: Familiar NFL pricing and multiple display formats
FanDuel Predicts helps smooth the transition from sports betting to prediction markets, letting you view contract prices as percentages, multipliers, dollar values, or American odds. If you have used FanDuel Sportsbook, the app will feel immediately familiar. It’s user-friendly and delivers a seamless experience, from sign-up to trading and beyond.
The biggest limitation is availability. FanDuel Predicts does not offer sports event contracts in states where FanDuel Sportsbook operates, so NFL prediction markets are not available nationwide. In eligible states, traders can access NFL contracts covering individual games and other football outcomes while using the same familiar pricing formats and interface.
| FanDuel Bonus | Bonus on Sign-up |
| FanDuel Promo Code | Not Required |
| Terms and Conditions | Must be physically located in an eligible state. Sports contracts are not available in all states that it serves. VPN access will not work. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+ |
4. OG Predictions: NFL markets with flexible trading features
OG Predictions is built by Crypto.com and offers NFL prediction markets alongside its broad lineup of sports, finance, politics, and cryptocurrency contracts. The platform includes community-focused features such as leaderboards. Contracts trade through Crypto.com’s federally regulated derivatives infrastructure.
NFL traders can find markets covering individual games and season-long outcomes. Market depth varies by contract, so review the available prices and order book before trading. OG Predictions may be most useful for traders who already use the Crypto.com ecosystem.
| OG Bonus | Trade $10, Get $10 |
| OG Promo Code | No code needed |
| Terms and Conditions | Must be physically located in an eligible state. VPN access will not work. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+ |
5. DKeX (formerly DraftKings Predictions): Great for new NFL traders seeking a familiar app
DKeX offers one of the most familiar entry points to prediction markets for existing DraftKings customers. The app looks and works much like DraftKings’ other products, so sportsbook and DFS users should have little trouble finding their way around. Contracts trade through DKeX, the federally regulated exchange formerly known as Railbird that DraftKings acquired.
NFL availability is more limited. DKeX does not offer sports event contracts in states where DraftKings Sportsbook operates, meaning many traders will not have access to NFL markets. Where they are available, DKeX provides a familiar way to trade football contracts. Traders looking for broader NFL prediction market coverage and deeper liquidity may find stronger options elsewhere.
| DKeX Bonus | Spend $5+, Get $200 in Bonuses (Paid Over 21 Days) |
| DKeX Promo Code | |
| Terms and Conditions | Must be physically located in an eligible state. Does not offer sports event contracts in all states that it serves. Will require KYC verification. Must be 18+ |
6. Gemini Predictions: NFL markets inside the Gemini app
Gemini Predictions brings event-contract trading into the Gemini app, with markets across sports, politics, economics, crypto, and other categories. Its NFL selection includes individual games and other football outcomes, and Gemini prices are included in the live comparison above.
For existing Gemini users, the integrated setup provides access to prediction markets alongside the platform’s crypto products. Market selection and liquidity vary by contract, and availability depends on location.
| Gemini Bonus | Trade $10, Get $10 |
| Gemini Promo Code | Not Required |
| Terms and Conditions | Must be physically located in an eligible state. Market availability varies by location. Identity verification is required. Must be 18+ (21+ in select jurisdictions). |
What NFL prediction markets can you trade?
NFL prediction markets cover everything from individual games to outcomes that will not be decided until the end of the season. Available contracts can vary by platform and change throughout the year. Options for NFL trading include:
- Game winners: Trade on which team will win an individual NFL game.
- Spreads: Trade on whether a team will cover a specified point spread.
- Game totals: Trade on whether the combined score will finish above or below a set total.
- Player props: Markets tied to individual player performances, such as passing, rushing, receiving, or scoring outcomes.
- Game props: Contracts covering quarters and halves of play, team performance, and other game-specific outcomes.
- Season futures: Longer-term markets covering division and conference winners, playoff qualification, and the Super Bowl.
- Awards: Trade on season-long honors such as MVP, Offensive Rookie of the Year, and other NFL awards.
- NFL Draft: Markets can cover draft position, individual players, and other outcomes leading into the annual NFL Draft.
Not every platform offers every type of NFL market, and availability can also depend on where you are located. Market selection, pricing, and trading volume change throughout the season, so compare available contracts and review the rules before placing a trade.
How NFL prediction market odds work
An NFL prediction market contract is a position on a specific outcome, such as whether a team will win a game. Contracts are priced between $0 and $1, and the price is commonly read as the market’s implied probability. A Yes contract trading at $0.54 indicates a roughly 54% market-implied probability that the outcome will occur.
In a standard binary resolution, each winning contract pays $1 and each losing contract pays $0. Traders can also sell before the market closes if an order can be matched. For example, a trader who buys a Yes contract on a team to win at $0.54 and later sells at $0.78 realizes a $0.24 gross gain per contract before fees.
Prediction markets also price NFL outcomes differently from traditional sportsbooks. Prices are driven by trading activity between market participants, while costs can come through trading fees and bid-ask spreads rather than traditional sportsbook vig. As new information arrives, prices can move quickly to reflect changing market expectations. For a direct comparison of how trading works at two leading platforms, see our Kalshi vs. Polymarket breakdown.
NFL prediction markets vs. sportsbooks
NFL prediction markets and sportsbooks can offer similar types of markets, but they work differently. At a sportsbook, you place a wager at odds set by the operator. On a prediction market, you buy or sell contracts at prices determined by trading activity between market participants.
Prediction market prices can change as traders buy and sell contracts, and you can enter or exit a position before the outcome is decided. Sportsbooks generally build a margin, or vig, into their odds, while prediction market trading costs can include platform fees and the bid-ask spread between available buy and sell prices.
Prediction markets operate under a different regulatory framework than state-licensed sportsbooks, allowing them to serve a broader range of states. This means NFL contracts are offered in some states that do not currently offer legal online sports betting. Sports contract availability varies by platform and location, so always check what is offered where you live.
How NFL prediction market contracts resolve
Most binary NFL contracts settle at $1 for the winning side and $0 for the losing side under contract-specific resolution criteria. Once the outcome can be determined under those rules, the platform resolves the market and pays or makes winning positions redeemable, depending on the platform.
Resolution criteria vary by contract. For example, a game-winner market may rely on the NFL’s official final result, while a season-long market may define a different source or cutoff date. The rules also explain how unusual circumstances such as postponed or canceled games, ties, stat corrections, or other changes are handled.
Always review the market rules before placing a trade. Kalshi, Polymarket, and other platforms display resolution criteria and the designated source used to verify the result on each contract’s market page. The market title provides a quick description of what you are trading, but the full rules determine how the contract ultimately settles.
Prediction Market NFL Trading Volume Could Reach $57 Billion This Season
DeFi Rate projects Kalshi NFL trading volume will reach roughly $3.2 billion through Week 1 and $57 billion across the full 2026–27 season. The forecast reflects the sharp expansion in prediction-market participation and NFL contract inventory over the past year, while using last season’s week-by-week trading pattern to model how volume is likely to build across the season rather than extrapolating the current growth rate indefinitely.
NFL Win Totals 2026: What Prediction Markets Say About All 32 Teams
The Super Bowl favorite Rams and several other contenders are expected to battle for double digit wins, while others could have their work cut out to finish the season above .500.
NFL Again Demands Prediction Markets Pull ‘Objectionable’ Bets Ahead of Kickoff
The league says contracts on player injuries, officiating, broadcast mentions and easily manipulated plays remain available months after its first warning. Its latest letter, sent days before the 2026 season begins, sharpens the pressure on Kalshi, Polymarket and other federally regulated exchanges, and notably calls their products “bets.”
NFL Week 1 Predictions: Daily Updates and Odds
Kalshi moved the Bills from 1.5-point favorites to 1.5-point underdogs against the Texans overnight, while Buffalo’s win price held near 50%. The Patriots vs. Seahawks topped $1 million in Kalshi game composite volume by 6:05 a.m. ET Monday, Sept. 7, adding $108,641 over the past 24 hours to remain Week 1’s most actively traded matchup.
NFL Prediction Market Volume Reaches $167.8M in Week Ending August 16
NFL volume across Kalshi, Polymarket Global and Polymarket US hit $167.8 million, up 324.4% from week prior.
Panthers vs. Cardinals: NFL Hall of Fame Game Odds & Predictions
Preview of Thursday night’s Panthers vs. Cardinals showdown. Latest pricing from Kalshi and Polymarket, preseason NFL futures, and more.


