News categoryRegulation & Policy
Regulation & Policy stories
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- CFTC Leaders Set Enforcement Priorities, Press Exchanges on Insider Trading and Manipulation
CFTC Enforcement Director David Miller said the agency will aggressively detect, investigate and prosecute insider trading in prediction markets.
- 14 Prediction Market Bills and Counting Reveal Deep Divisions, Long Odds
This year's prediction market bills in Congress focus on insider trading, war and sports markets and advertising, and analysts call them messaging bills with no path to passage.
- Texas Elevates Prediction Markets to 2027 Priority as Courts Shape the Rules
Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick is pushing prediction markets onto the 2027 agenda as legal battles leave the regulatory framework unsettled. Federal preemption rulings may determine what comes next.
- Kalshi Campaign Calls Out Key Misconceptions Emanating from Congress
Kalshi launched an ad blitz in D.C. in response to the wave of Congressional pressure, much of which has leaned on some critical misconceptions of regulated prediction markets like Kalshi.
- NFL Pushes Kalshi, Polymarket to Limit Manipulation-Prone Sports Markets
The NFL sent letters to regulated prediction market platforms asking them to avoid markets easily manipulated, such as player injuries and announcer mentions.
- Rep. Seth Moulton Bars Staff From Prediction Markets as New Bills Target Insider Trading
Rep. Seth Moulton is the first member of Congress to bar his staff from prediction markets, as the PREDICT Act targets insider trading by officials and their families.
- Coinbase Rejects Stablecoin Yield Ban in New Clarity Act Draft as Experts Weigh In
Coinbase rejected a new Clarity Act draft that bans passive stablecoin yield, and some experts call the restriction protectionism against a competitive threat to banks.
- Iran Ceasefire Trades Again Spotlight Insider Trading Rules in Prediction Markets
Well-timed Polymarket trades ahead of a US policy shift on Iran have drawn scrutiny and highlight differences in how insider trading is handled across markets.
- New Bipartisan Senate Bill Targets Sports Prediction Markets
The bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act would ban sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms.
- Prediction Market Land Grab: DCMs, FCMs, and the Race to Control the Stack
A wave of exchange filings and acquisitions has platforms competing to control US prediction market infrastructure. We break down the key players and their strategies.
- Stablecoin Yield Debate Pits Wall Street Against Crypto as US Nears Policy Breakthrough
Experts tell DeFi Rate a possible compromise on stablecoin yield signals a shift in how US policymakers approach crypto market structure and stablecoin rules.
- MLB Partners with Polymarket, Signs First-Of-Its-Kind CFTC Agreement
Partnership and CFTC agreement signal deeper alignment between leagues, prediction platforms, and federal regulators on market integrity monitoring.
- Inside New CFTC Prediction Market Guidance: Milbank Attorneys Weigh In
Milbank, the law firm defending Kalshi in ongoing court battles, offered a behind-the-scenes look at recent CFTC prediction market guidance and what it means for exchanges.
- CFTC Launches Prediction Market Rulemaking, Issues Guidance Sports Contracts
The CFTC opened a comment period on prediction market regulation and reinforced exchanges' role in policing event contracts.
- Congress Introduces Wave of Bills Targeting Prediction Markets
Five bills introduced in Congress this year target prediction market insider trading, sports contracts and death bets. We break down each one and where it stands.
- Mastercard Crypto Partner Push Undercuts Banks’ Case Against Stablecoin Yield
Mastercard signed dozens of crypto companies to its network while banks lobby Congress to ban stablecoin yield and crypto rewards in the CLARITY Act, rewards Mastercard already offers.
- What Tokenized Asset Clarity Means for Future of Prediction Markets
New U.S. guidance on tokenized securities adds to a growing regulatory push toward blockchain finance, with potential ripple effects for prediction markets.
- Trump Says Banks Are Trying to Undermine Crypto’s Agenda in Clarity Act Debate
Trump blames banks for delaying the Clarity Act as stablecoin yield debate stalls in the Senate. Prediction markets show 2026 passage likely.
- CFTC Chair Selig Announces Rulemaking Push: What it Means for Prediction Markets
CFTC Chair Michael Selig confirmed plans to set self-certification standards and begin formal rulemaking for prediction markets. What it means for the industry.
- Kalshi Codifies Death Settlement Rule in CFTC Filing Amid Iran Market Backlash
What’s in Kalshi’s rulebook update filing, plus a look at how other prediction exchanges handled Iranian Supreme Leader markets following Khamenei’s death.