Kalshi Asks Full Sixth Circuit to Review Panel Decision Favoring Ohio and Tennessee Officials
Kalshi follows pattern from unfavorable ruling at the Ninth Circuit with en banc re-hearing request at the Sixth Circuit.
Derek Helling
Our reporting on election markets, the CFTC and the courts, weekly volume, and the companies building prediction markets.
Kalshi follows pattern from unfavorable ruling at the Ninth Circuit with en banc re-hearing request at the Sixth Circuit.
Derek Helling
Amy Acton remains the prediction-market favorite for Ohio governor as Trump and Vance campaign in a state Republicans increasingly have to defend.
Cheryle Shepstone
Democrat Adam Hamilton is running even with Republican Roger Marshall in polling, drawing national money into a once-safe GOP seat, but Kalshi and Polymarket still give the incumbent a roughly three-in-five chance.
Cheryle Shepstone
New rule stresses that gambling products aren't swaps, unless the CFTC says they are, which makes them not gambling.
Derek Helling
Kalshi reached $19.03 billion in weekly contract volume Oct. 5-11. Polymarket US Trade Volume nearly tripled in six weeks.
Matthew Bain
Matthew Bain
Cheryle Shepstone
Derek Helling
Derek Helling
Iliana Mavrou
Cheryle Shepstone
Kalshi offers prediction markets across popular esports, with the Thunderpick World Championship among this week's headliners. New customers are eligible for a $25 bonus after $10 in trades using code RATE.
Ezra Frech leads Kalshi’s Dancing With the Stars Season 35 winner market as Tuesday’s Super Bowl Night episode approaches. New users can claim a $25 bonus with code RATE after trading $10.
The Rams host the Bills in what could be a Super Bowl preview on Monday Night Football. The Kalshi promo code RATE gives new users a $25 welcome bonus $10 in trades.
DeFi Rate’s newsroom covers prediction markets as markets: what traders are pricing, how much money is behind it, and the rules and court cases that decide where these exchanges can operate. Election reports track races where market prices move. Volume reports use exchange data to show where money is going. Regulation and legal coverage follows the CFTC, state regulators and the courts.
A price quoted in a story is the price when the story was published, and the story says which venue it came from. Markets keep moving, so for the current price follow the story’s link to our odds page for that market.
When we get something wrong, we correct the story and add a dated note saying what changed. Updates that add new information are labeled as updates. Corrections are never made silently.
DeFi Rate earns commissions when readers open accounts through some links, including promo-code offers. Those relationships don’t decide which stories we run or what they say, and promotional posts are labeled Odds and promos.
Every story names its primary source. Prices quoted in a story are from the time it was published, and each says which venue they came from. Full methodology →