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Lions vs. Bills Final Score & Odds RecapThe Bills beat the Lions 41–31 at home

Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills, Thursday, Sep 17. Final: Lions 31, Bills 41. Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket settled the game on Buffalo.

Winner
Buffalo Bills

Settled on Kalshi (Sep 17, 11:34 PM ET), Polymarket US (Sep 17, 11:32 PM ET) and Polymarket (Sep 17, 11:46 PM ET)

By Data observed
DetroitLionsAway
31
FinalFinal
1234T
DET01071431
BUF14137741
BuffaloBillsHome
41
Lions win chance, the whole game
–ESPN’s model 0%
KalshiPolymarketESPN model
Half0%10%20%30%KOQ2Q3Q48:309:009:3010:0010:3011:00
BUF TD0–7BUF TD0–21DET FG10–27BUF TD17–34BUF TD24–41
Biggest swingDET −4¢

3rd 1:07: J.Allen scrambles right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Bass extra point is GOOD, …

Traded on the game$162M

On every market we track on it (winner, spread, total, quarters, props and more), across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket. Kalshi’s and Polymarket US’s shares are their own published volume, $1 a contract.

How the markets called it

At kickoff

We don’t have a price from Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket at or before 8:05 PM ET, 10 minutes before kickoff, so there’s no pregame call to show.

Money traded

$162M in all · 843,451 trades
  • Kalshi$110M
    68%
  • Polymarket US$44M
    27%
  • Polymarket$8.2M
    5%

Kalshi, by bet type

  • Winner$46M
    42%
  • Spread$16M
    15%
  • Total points$8.4M
    8%
  • Quarters and halves$9.3M
    8%
  • Player props$28M
    26%
  • Everything else$1.8M
    2%

Every market we track on the game (winner, spread, total, quarters and halves, player props and the rest), from each market’s opening to settlement. Parlays aren’t counted. Kalshi’s figure is its own volume, as Kalshi shows it: contracts traded, each counted at its $1 payout. Polymarket US’s is its official trade volume from the exchange’s daily market reports, counted the same way. Polymarket’s is dollars paid for its contracts (price times contracts), as our data partner AllTop reports each trade. The total adds the three.

Biggest trades

  1. $308k on the Bills at 99¢Kalshi · Thu 11:09 PM
  2. $254k on the Bills at 99¢Kalshi · Thu 11:09 PM
  3. $190k on the Bills at 96¢Kalshi · Thu 9:06 PM
  4. $157k on the Bills at 98¢Kalshi · Thu 11:07 PM

On the winner market, any time before settlement. Polymarket doesn’t say which side its buyer took, so its trades show the team traded.

Quarter & half winners

Kalshi, settled
  • 1st quarterBUF
  • 2nd quarterBUF
  • 3rd quarterTie
  • 4th quarterDET
  • 1st halfBUF
  • 2nd halfDET

Player props

Kalshi, settled
  • James Cook IIIHit
    BUF · 1+ TD1 TD
    $893k traded
  • Jared GoffMissed
    DET · 1+ TD0 TD
    $176k traded

Each player’s most-traded prop on Kalshi, as it settled.

  1. Bills drive4 plays, 13 yards, 1:42End
  2. Q4 0:0011:28END GAME
  3. Q4 0:1111:283rd & 12 at DET 22J.Allen kneels to DET 23 for -1 yards.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  4. Q4 0:4911:282nd & 11 at DET 21J.Allen kneels to DET 22 for -1 yards.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  5. Q4 1:2811:271st & 10 at DET 20J.Allen kneels to DET 21 for -1 yards.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  6. Q4 1:3311:262nd & 9 at DET 35J.Cook left tackle to DET 38 for -3 yards (T.Lacy, T.Williams).PENALTY on DET-T.Lacy, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at DET 35 - No Play.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  7. Q4 1:3311:25Timeout #2 by DET at 01:33.
  8. Q4 1:3911:251st & 10 at DET 36J.Cook right guard to DET 35 for 1 yard (M.Rodriguez; T.Williams).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  9. Q4 1:4211:24J.Bates kicks onside 12 yards from DET 35 to DET 47. K.Shakir to DET 36 for 11 yards (J.Saylors).
  10. Lions drive7 plays, 68 yards, 1:08TD
  11. Q4 1:4211:221st & 10 at BUF 27DET 31–41J.Goff pass deep middle to A.St. Brown for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN [M.Danna]. J.Bates extra point is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  12. Q4 1:4811:21Timeout #1 by BUF at 01:48.
  13. Q4 2:0011:201st & 10 at BUF 44J.Goff pass deep left to J.Williams to BUF 27 for 17 yards (T.Bernard; D.Hamlin). BUF-J.Solomon was injured during the play.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  14. Q4 2:0011:18Two-Minute Warning
  15. Q4 2:0611:181st & 10 at DET 44J.Goff pass short middle to J.Gibbs to BUF 44 for 12 yards (C.Bishop).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  16. Q4 2:1211:174th & 18 at DET 24J.Goff pass deep left to I.TeSlaa pushed ob at DET 44 for 20 yards (C.Benford).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  17. Q4 2:1611:173rd & 18 at DET 24J.Goff pass incomplete deep middle to A.St. Brown.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  18. Q4 2:4111:162nd & 10 at DET 32J.Goff sacked at DET 24 for -8 yards (sack split by M.Hoecht and B.Chubb).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  19. Q4 2:4511:161st & 10 at DET 32J.Goff pass incomplete short right to J.Gibbs.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  20. Q4 2:5011:15T.Bass kicks 56 yards from BUF 35 to DET 9. T.Kennedy pushed ob at DET 32 for 23 yards (D.Igbinosun).
  21. Bills drive8 plays, 61 yards, 4:38TD
  22. Q4 2:5011:13Official Timeout at 02:50.
  23. Q4 2:5011:111st & Goal at DET 1BUF 24–41J.Cook right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Ferguson, Holder-T.Doman.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  24. Q4 3:0111:101st & 10 at DET 23J.Cook right tackle pushed ob at DET 1 for 22 yards (C.Clark).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  25. Q4 3:4511:101st & 10 at DET 35J.Allen pass short middle to K.Coleman to DET 23 for 12 yards (J.Campbell) [T.Nowaske]. ** Injury Update: DET-R.Ya-Sin has returned to the game.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  26. Q4 4:3111:092nd & 12 at BUF 49J.Allen pass short right to K.Shakir to DET 35 for 16 yards (C.Clark; J.Campbell).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  27. Q4 5:2511:071st & 10 at DET 49J.Cook right tackle to BUF 49 for -2 yards (K.Dorsey). The player down by contact was assisted by replay.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  28. Q4 6:0511:053rd & 7 at BUF 42J.Allen pass short left to K.Coleman to DET 49 for 9 yards (R.Ya-Sin). DET-R.Ya-Sin was injured during the play.—3.5¢→3.5¢
  29. Q4 6:4711:042nd & 8 at BUF 41J.Cook left guard to BUF 42 for 1 yard (C.Izien).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  30. Q4 7:2811:041st & 10 at BUF 39J.Cook left tackle to BUF 41 for 2 yards (C.Clark).DET −2¢5.5¢→3.5¢
  31. Lions drive3 plays, 0 yards, 0:57Punt
  32. Q4 7:2811:01Official Timeout at 07:28.
  33. Q4 7:3611:014th & 10 at DET 10J.Fox punts 51 yards to BUF 39, Center-H.Hatten. G.Dortch ran ob at BUF 39 for no gain.—5.5¢→5.5¢
  34. Q4 7:4111:003rd & 10 at DET 10J.Goff pass incomplete short right to A.St. Brown (D.Walker).—5.5¢→5.5¢
  35. Q4 8:2010:592nd & 10 at DET 10J.Gibbs up the middle to DET 10 for no gain (C.Bishop).DET −1¢6.5¢→5.5¢
  36. Q4 8:2510:591st & 10 at DET 10J.Goff pass incomplete short middle to J.Gibbs (D.Walker).—6.5¢→6.5¢
  37. Bills drive6 plays, 15 yards, 2:28Punt
  38. Q4 8:2510:56Official Timeout at 08:25.
  39. Q4 8:3210:564th & 8 at 50T.Doman punts 40 yards to DET 10, Center-R.Ferguson, fair catch by T.Kennedy.—6.5¢→6.5¢
  40. Q4 8:3710:553rd & 8 at 50J.Allen pass incomplete short right to K.Shakir.—6.5¢→6.5¢
  41. Q4 8:4510:542nd & 8 at 50J.Allen pass incomplete short right [A.Hutchinson].—6.5¢→6.5¢
  42. Q4 9:2210:541st & 10 at BUF 48J.Cook right guard to 50 for 2 yards (T.Williams; T.Lacy).—6.5¢→6.5¢
  43. Q4 10:0610:533rd & 3 at BUF 42J.Allen left tackle to BUF 48 for 6 yards (T.Harper).—6.5¢→6.5¢
  44. Q4 10:4710:522nd & 10 at BUF 35J.Allen pass short left to D.Kincaid to BUF 42 for 7 yards (T.Harper).—6.5¢→6.5¢
  45. Q4 10:5310:511st & 10 at BUF 35J.Allen pass incomplete short right.—6.5¢→6.5¢
  46. Q4 10:5310:51J.Bates kicks 65 yards from DET 35 to end zone, Touchback to the BUF 35.
  47. Lions drive11 plays, 66 yards, 5:14TD
  48. Q4 10:5310:48Official Timeout at 10:53.
  49. Q4 10:5310:471st & Goal at BUF 1DET 24–34J.Goff pass short left to S.LaPorta for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. J.Bates extra point is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.DET +2¢4.5¢→6.5¢
  50. Q4 11:0110:463rd & 7 at BUF 9J.Goff pass incomplete short right to S.LaPorta.PENALTY on BUF-C.Benford, Defensive Pass Interference, 8 yards, enforced at BUF 9 - No Play.DET −1¢5.5¢→4.5¢
  51. Q4 11:4210:452nd & 6 at BUF 8J.Gibbs right guard to BUF 9 for -1 yards (D.Williams).—5.5¢→5.5¢
  52. Q4 12:1810:451st & 10 at BUF 12J.Goff scrambles left tackle pushed ob at BUF 8 for 4 yards (B.Chubb).DET +1¢4.5¢→5.5¢
  53. Q4 12:2410:444th & 8 at BUF 17J.Goff pass incomplete short left to J.Williams (D.Igbinosun) [B.Chubb].PENALTY on BUF-D.Igbinosun, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 17 - No Play.—4.5¢→4.5¢
  54. Q4 12:2410:434th & 3 at BUF 12PENALTY on DET-L.Borom, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 12 - No Play.—4.5¢→4.5¢
  55. Q4 12:2810:423rd & 3 at BUF 12J.Goff pass incomplete short left to I.TeSlaa (C.Benford).—4.5¢→4.5¢
  56. Q4 13:0510:412nd & 3 at BUF 12J.Gibbs left tackle to BUF 12 for no gain (C.Benford).DET +1¢3.5¢→4.5¢
  57. Q4 13:3510:411st & 10 at BUF 19J.Goff pass short left to S.LaPorta pushed ob at BUF 12 for 7 yards (C.Bishop).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  58. Q4 14:1310:403rd & 8 at BUF 30J.Goff pass short left to A.St. Brown to BUF 19 for 11 yards (D.Alford).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  59. Q4 14:5510:392nd & 10 at BUF 32J.Gibbs right guard to BUF 30 for 2 yards (C.Benford; D.Walker).—3.5¢→3.5¢
  60. Q4 15:0010:391st & 10 at BUF 32J.Goff pass incomplete deep middle to A.St. Brown (D.Williams) [D.Walker].—3.5¢→3.5¢
NFL Week 2 · Thu, Sep 17

Lions vs. Bills moneyline

Final

Trading has closed, so there's no price to buy.

Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills: moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, observed between Sep 17, 8:09 PM ET and Sep 18, 11:37 AM ET
TeamAverageKalshiPolymarket USPolymarketSources
Buffalo Bills Settled YesHome–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledPolymarketSettled
Detroit Lions Settled NoAway–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledPolymarketSettled

Kalshi: SettledPolymarket US: SettledPolymarket: Settled Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 17, 8:09 PM ET and Sep 18, 11:37 AM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeAug 28 – Sep 16
304050607032%68%
LionsBills

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Aug 28 to Sep 16 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Spread & total · Kalshi

How the Lions vs. Bills spread and total settled

Kalshi's results for the lines either side of where each ladder settled.

Bills win by more than…

Spread ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
10+ ptsSettled Yes
11+ ptsSettled No
All 29 spread lines

Spread ladder, Kalshi: every line
Lions 2+ ptsSettled No
Lions 3+ ptsSettled No
Lions 4+ ptsSettled No
Lions 5+ ptsSettled No
Lions 6+ ptsSettled No
Lions 7+ ptsSettled No
Lions 8+ ptsSettled No
Lions 10+ ptsSettled No
Lions 11+ ptsSettled No
Lions 14+ ptsSettled No
Lions 15+ ptsSettled No
Bills 2+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 3+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 4+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 5+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 6+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 7+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 8+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 10+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 11+ ptsSettled No
Bills 14+ ptsSettled No
Bills 15+ ptsSettled No
Bills 17+ ptsSettled No
Bills 18+ ptsSettled No
Bills 21+ ptsSettled No
Bills 24+ ptsSettled No
Bills 28+ ptsSettled No
Bills 31+ ptsSettled No
Bills 34+ ptsSettled No
Total points over…

Total points ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
69.5Settled Yes
72.5Settled No
All 21 total lines

Total points ladder, Kalshi: every line
30.5Settled Yes
33.5Settled Yes
36.5Settled Yes
39.5Settled Yes
42.5Settled Yes
45.5Settled Yes
48.5Settled Yes
49.5Settled Yes
50.5Settled Yes
51.5Settled Yes
52.5Settled Yes
53.5Settled Yes
54.5Settled Yes
57.5Settled Yes
60.5Settled Yes
63.5Settled Yes
66.5Settled Yes
69.5Settled Yes
72.5Settled No
75.5Settled No
78.5Settled No

Settled Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 17, 9:43 PM ET and Sep 18, 12:04 AM ET.

NFL Week 2 games 16 games

Week 2 data →

Lions vs. Bills game stats

Team statLionsBills
Final score3141
Total yards355446
Passing yards289243
Rushing yards66203
Turnovers00
Possession26:1533:45

Stat leaders: Passing, Jared Goff (26/38, 327 yards, 4 TD); rushing, James Cook III (21 carries, 135 yards, 1 TD); receiving, Amon-Ra St. Brown (9 receptions, 142 yards, 2 TD).

Source: ESPN game summary. Headline volume is the whole-game total across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket: every market we track on the game, each venue counted as the Game Center’s money note explains. Announcer-mention markets and parlays aren’t counted.

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Source: DraftKings Predictions / Gemini / Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket / Polymarket US / ProphetX / Rothera / Underdog Exchange via DeFi Rate: volume by category as of Oct 28, 10:30 PM ET.