2027 Oscars Odds: Best Picture, Actor, Actress &amp; Director

Vol $0 1–2¢

CTH

Cry to Heaven

Vol $11 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%

Vol $11 1–2¢

NTM

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%

Vol $0 1–2¢

TAO

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Vol $7 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%

Vol $7 1–2¢

TES

The Entertainment System Is Down

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.0%

— +0.0%

K 1.0%

Kalshi 1.0%

Vol $0 0–2¢

Artificial

Vol $6 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Vol $6 0–1¢

Avengers: Doomsday

Vol $4 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Vol $4 0–1¢

ILB

I Love Boosters

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Vol $1 0–1¢

Ink

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Josephine

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Vol $1 0–1¢

Michael

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Vol $5 0–1¢

SAS

Sense and Sensibility

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

TDO

The Death of Robin Hood

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

The Drama

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Werwulf

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TO The Odyssey	32.5% — +0.0%	—	$1.2K	Kalshi 32.5% 31–34¢ Vol $1.2K
DPT Dune: Part Three	11.0% ↑ +1.5%	—	$98	Kalshi 11.0% 10–12¢ Vol $98
PHM Project Hail Mary	10.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$404	Kalshi 10.5% 9–12¢ Vol $404
TSR The Social Reckoning	7.5% — +0.0%	—	$20	Kalshi 7.5% 7–8¢ Vol $20
DI Digger	6.5% — +0.0%	—	$17	Kalshi 6.5% 6–7¢ Vol $17
WHN Wild Horse Nine	6.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.5% 6–7¢ Vol $0
1F 1949 / Fatherland	2.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$980	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $980
DD Disclosure Day	2.5% — +0.0%	—	$6	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $6
FJ Fjord	2.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0
AOA All of a Sudden	2.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0
BE Behemoth	1.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0
CTH Cry to Heaven	1.5% — +0.0%	—	$11	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $11
NTM Narnia: The Magician's Nephew	1.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0
TAO The Adventures of Cliff Booth	1.5% — +0.0%	—	$7	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $7
TES The Entertainment System Is Down	1.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.0% 0–2¢ Vol $0
AR Artificial	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$6	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $6
AD Avengers: Doomsday	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$4	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $4
ILB I Love Boosters	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $1
IN Ink	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
JO Josephine	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $1
MI Michael	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $5
SAS Sense and Sensibility	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TDO The Death of Robin Hood	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TD The Drama	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
WE Werwulf	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

Predictions on 2027 Oscar for Best Actor

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Tom Cruise

Vol $14 Spread —

Agg 25.0%

↑ +0.5%

K 25.0%

Kalshi 25.0%

Vol $14 23–27¢

John Malkovich

Vol $4 Spread —

Agg 24.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 24.5%

Kalshi 24.5%

Vol $4 22–27¢

JOC

Josh O'Connor

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

— +0.0%

K 5.0%

Kalshi 5.0%

Vol $0 1–9¢

Sebastian Stan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.5%

— +0.0%

K 4.5%

Kalshi 4.5%

Vol $0 2–7¢

Brad Pitt

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

— +0.0%

K 4.0%

Kalshi 4.0%

Vol $0 0–8¢

Adam Driver

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

— +0.0%

K 3.0%

Andrew Scott

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

— +0.0%

K 3.0%

Channing Tatum

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

— +0.0%

K 3.0%

Charles Melton

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

— +0.0%

K 3.0%

Keanu Reeves

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

— +0.0%

K 3.0%

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%

Vol $0 0–3¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TC Tom Cruise	25.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$14	Kalshi 25.0% 23–27¢ Vol $14
JM John Malkovich	24.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$4	Kalshi 24.5% 22–27¢ Vol $4
JOC Josh O'Connor	5.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 5.0% 1–9¢ Vol $0
SS Sebastian Stan	4.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.5% 2–7¢ Vol $0
BP Brad Pitt	4.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.0% 0–8¢ Vol $0
AD Adam Driver	3.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0
AS Andrew Scott	3.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0
CT Channing Tatum	3.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0
CM Charles Melton	3.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0
KR Keanu Reeves	3.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	1.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 0–3¢ Vol $0

2027 Best Director odds and predictions

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Christopher Nolan

Vol $23 Spread —

Agg 38.5%

↑ +2.0%

K 38.5%

Kalshi 38.5%

Vol $23 35–42¢

Martin McDonagh

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 16.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 16.5%

Kalshi 16.5%

Vol $1 13–20¢

PLC

Phil Lord & Christopher Miller

Vol $4 Spread —

Agg 8.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 8.5%

Kalshi 8.5%

Vol $4 7–10¢

David Fincher

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 7.0%

Kalshi 7.0%

Vol $0 3–11¢

Andrew Haigh

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Danny Boyle

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Joel Coen

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

NHJ

Na Hong-jin

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Steven Spielberg

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

↓ -0.5%

K 6.0%

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

— +0.0%

K 2.0%

Kalshi 2.0%

Vol $0 0–4¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
CN Christopher Nolan	38.5% ↑ +2.0%	—	$23	Kalshi 38.5% 35–42¢ Vol $23
MM Martin McDonagh	16.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$1	Kalshi 16.5% 13–20¢ Vol $1
PLC Phil Lord & Christopher Miller	8.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$4	Kalshi 8.5% 7–10¢ Vol $4
DF David Fincher	7.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.0% 3–11¢ Vol $0
AH Andrew Haigh	6.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.0% 2–10¢ Vol $0
DB Danny Boyle	6.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.0% 2–10¢ Vol $0
JC Joel Coen	6.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.0% 2–10¢ Vol $0
NHJ Na Hong-jin	6.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.0% 2–10¢ Vol $0
SS Steven Spielberg	6.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.0% 2–10¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	2.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0

2027 Oscar for Best Actress Award Predictions

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Renate Reinsve

Vol $4 Spread —

Agg 24.5%

— +0.0%

K 24.5%

Kalshi 24.5%

Vol $4 21–28¢

Sandra Hüller

Vol $3 Spread —

Agg 8.5%

↑ +1.0%

K 8.5%

Kalshi 8.5%

Vol $3 5–12¢

Cynthia Erivo

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.0%

— +0.0%

K 8.0%

Kalshi 8.0%

Vol $0 4–12¢

Dakota Johnson

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Joan Collins

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Kirsten Dunst

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Natalie Portman

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Penélope Cruz

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Scarlett Johansson

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

↓ -0.5%

K 6.0%

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%