2027 Oscars Odds: Best Picture, Actor, Actress &amp; Director

Vol $0 2–5¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
PHM Project Hail Mary	79.5% ↑ +10.0%	—	$2.0K	Kalshi 79.5% 77–82¢ Vol $2.0K
TO The Odyssey	79.5% ↓ -7.5%	—	$1	Kalshi 79.5% 78–81¢ Vol $1
DPT Dune: Part Three	74.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$2	Kalshi 74.5% 72–77¢ Vol $2
WHN Wild Horse Nine	70.5% ↑ +7.5%	—	$3	Kalshi 70.5% 67–74¢ Vol $3
DI Digger	70.0% ↑ +7.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 70.0% 68–72¢ Vol $0
FJ Fjord	68.0% ↑ +32.0%	—	$100	Kalshi 68.0% 66–70¢ Vol $100
TSR The Social Reckoning	44.0% ↑ +3.0%	—	$48	Kalshi 44.0% 40–48¢ Vol $48
DD Disclosure Day	40.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$252	Kalshi 40.5% 37–44¢ Vol $252
TAO The Adventures of Cliff Booth	38.0% ↓ -4.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 38.0% 36–40¢ Vol $1
BH Being Heumann	32.5% ↑ +7.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 32.5% 30–35¢ Vol $0
1F 1949 / Fatherland	30.5% ↓ -9.5%	—	$3	Kalshi 30.5% 29–32¢ Vol $3
JOS Jack of Spades	30.5% ↑ +12.5%	—	$5	Kalshi 30.5% 29–32¢ Vol $5
CTH Cry to Heaven	28.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 28.0% 25–31¢ Vol $0
BE Behemoth	27.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$7	Kalshi 27.0% 24–30¢ Vol $7
JO Josephine	26.0% ↓ -7.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 26.0% 23–29¢ Vol $0
AOA All of a Sudden	25.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 25.5% 23–28¢ Vol $0
SAS Sense and Sensibility	25.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 25.0% 22–28¢ Vol $0
SR Saturn Return	18.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 18.5% 15–22¢ Vol $0
TDO The Death of Robin Hood	12.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 12.5% 9–16¢ Vol $0
WE Werwulf	12.5% ↓ -12.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 12.5% 9–16¢ Vol $0
TES The Entertainment System Is Down	11.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 11.5% 8–15¢ Vol $0
AR Artificial	10.5% ↓ -6.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 10.5% 7–14¢ Vol $0
IN Ink	9.5% ↑ +2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.5% 6–13¢ Vol $0
MI Michael	9.0% ↓ -3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.0% 5–13¢ Vol $0
ILB I Love Boosters	7.0% ↓ -13.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 7.0% 6–8¢ Vol $5
AD Avengers: Doomsday	6.0% ↑ +1.5%	—	$2	Kalshi 6.0% 2–10¢ Vol $2
TD The Drama	6.0% ↑ +1.0%	—	$4	Kalshi 6.0% 2–10¢ Vol $4
NTM Narnia: The Magician's Nephew	4.0% ↓ -25.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.0% 0–8¢ Vol $0
PT Parallel Tales	3.5% ↓ -28.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.5% 2–5¢ Vol $0

Predictions for 2027 Best Picture Award

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

The Odyssey

Vol $993 Spread —

Agg 33.5%

↑ +4.0%

K 33.5%

Kalshi 33.5%

Vol $993 33–34¢

Digger

Vol $36 Spread —

Agg 12.5%

↑ +5.0%

K 12.5%

Kalshi 12.5%

Vol $36 11–14¢

DPT

Dune: Part Three

Vol $333 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↑ +3.0%

K 11.5%

Kalshi 11.5%

Vol $333 10–13¢

WHN

Wild Horse Nine

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.0%

— +0.0%

K 8.0%

Kalshi 8.0%

Vol $0 7–9¢

PHM

Project Hail Mary

Vol $1.2K Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 7.5%

Kalshi 7.5%

Vol $1.2K 7–8¢

Disclosure Day

Vol $24 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↑ +2.0%

K 5.5%

Vol $24 5–6¢

TSR

The Social Reckoning

Vol $9 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 3.0%

Kalshi 3.0%

Vol $9 2–4¢

Fjord

Vol $274 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $274 2–3¢

TAO

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Vol $11 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↑ +1.0%

K 2.5%

Vol $11 2–3¢

Behemoth

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 1.5%

CTH

Cry to Heaven

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↑ +1.0%

K 1.5%

Michael

Vol $2 Spread —

Agg 1.0%

↑ +0.5%

K 1.0%

Kalshi 1.0%

Vol $2 0–2¢

1949 / Fatherland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -3.0%

K 0.5%

AOA

All of a Sudden

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.5%

Artificial

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.5%

Avengers: Doomsday

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

ILB

I Love Boosters

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Ink

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Josephine

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

NTM

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.5%

SAS

Sense and Sensibility

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

TDO

The Death of Robin Hood

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

The Drama

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

TES

The Entertainment System Is Down

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 0.5%

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Werwulf

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TO The Odyssey	33.5% ↑ +4.0%	—	$993	Kalshi 33.5% 33–34¢ Vol $993
DI Digger	12.5% ↑ +5.0%	—	$36	Kalshi 12.5% 11–14¢ Vol $36
DPT Dune: Part Three	11.5% ↑ +3.0%	—	$333	Kalshi 11.5% 10–13¢ Vol $333
WHN Wild Horse Nine	8.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 8.0% 7–9¢ Vol $0
PHM Project Hail Mary	7.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$1.2K	Kalshi 7.5% 7–8¢ Vol $1.2K
DD Disclosure Day	5.5% ↑ +2.0%	—	$24	Kalshi 5.5% 5–6¢ Vol $24
TSR The Social Reckoning	3.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$9	Kalshi 3.0% 2–4¢ Vol $9
FJ Fjord	2.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$274	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $274
TAO The Adventures of Cliff Booth	2.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$11	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $11
BE Behemoth	1.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0
CTH Cry to Heaven	1.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0
MI Michael	1.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$2	Kalshi 1.0% 0–2¢ Vol $2
1F 1949 / Fatherland	0.5% ↓ -3.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AOA All of a Sudden	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AR Artificial	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AD Avengers: Doomsday	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
ILB I Love Boosters	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
IN Ink	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
JO Josephine	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
NTM Narnia: The Magician's Nephew	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
SAS Sense and Sensibility	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TDO The Death of Robin Hood	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TD The Drama	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TES The Entertainment System Is Down	0.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
WE Werwulf	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

Predictions on 2027 Oscar for Best Actor

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Tom Cruise

Vol $53 Spread —

Agg 30.5%

↑ +6.0%

K 30.5%

Kalshi 30.5%

Vol $53 28–33¢

John Malkovich

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 21.0%

↓ -3.0%

K 21.0%

Kalshi 21.0%

Vol $5 18–24¢

Adam Driver

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.0%

↑ +5.0%

K 8.0%

Kalshi 8.0%

Vol $0 6–10¢

JOC

Josh O'Connor

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

— +0.0%

K 5.0%

Kalshi 5.0%

Vol $0 4–6¢

Brad Pitt

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

— +0.0%

K 4.0%

Kalshi 4.0%

Vol $0 2–6¢

Sebastian Stan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 3.5%

Vol $0 1–6¢

Keanu Reeves

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

— +0.0%

K 3.0%

Kalshi 3.0%

Vol $0 1–5¢

Andrew Scott

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $0 1–4¢

Channing Tatum

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $0 1–4¢

Charles Melton

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $0 1–4¢

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TC Tom Cruise	30.5% ↑ +6.0%	—	$53	Kalshi 30.5% 28–33¢ Vol $53
JM John Malkovich	21.0% ↓ -3.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 21.0% 18–24¢ Vol $5
AD Adam Driver	8.0% ↑ +5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 8.0% 6–10¢ Vol $0
JOC Josh O'Connor	5.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 5.0% 4–6¢ Vol $0
BP Brad Pitt	4.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.0% 2–6¢ Vol $0
SS Sebastian Stan	3.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.5% 1–6¢ Vol $0
KR Keanu Reeves	3.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.0% 1–5¢ Vol $0
AS Andrew Scott	2.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0
CT Channing Tatum	2.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0
CM Charles Melton	2.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	1.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0

2027 Best Director odds and predictions

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Christopher Nolan

Vol $44 Spread —

Agg 30.0%

↓ -3.0%

K 30.0%

Kalshi 30.0%

Vol $44 28–32¢

Martin McDonagh

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 12.0%

↓ -6.5%

K 12.0%

Kalshi 12.0%

Vol $0 10–14¢

PLC

Phil Lord & Christopher Miller

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.5%

↑ +4.5%

K 8.5%

Kalshi 8.5%

Vol $0 7–10¢

David Fincher

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 8.0%

Kalshi 8.0%

Vol $0 7–9¢

Steven Spielberg

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

— +0.0%

K 7.0%

Kalshi 7.0%

Vol $0 6–8¢

Andrew Haigh

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↓ -3.5%

K 3.5%

Vol $0 3–4¢

Danny Boyle

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 2.0%

Kalshi 2.0%

Vol $0 0–4¢

Joel Coen

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 2.0%

Kalshi 2.0%

Vol $0 0–4¢

NHJ

Na Hong-jin

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 2.0%

Kalshi 2.0%

Vol $0 0–4¢

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
CN Christopher Nolan	30.0% ↓ -3.0%	—	$44	Kalshi 30.0% 28–32¢ Vol $44
MM Martin McDonagh	12.0% ↓ -6.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 12.0% 10–14¢ Vol $0
PLC Phil Lord & Christopher Miller	8.5% ↑ +4.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 8.5% 7–10¢ Vol $0
DF David Fincher	8.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 8.0% 7–9¢ Vol $0
SS Steven Spielberg	7.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.0% 6–8¢ Vol $0
AH Andrew Haigh	3.5% ↓ -3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.5% 3–4¢ Vol $0
DB Danny Boyle	2.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0
JC Joel Coen	2.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0
NHJ Na Hong-jin	2.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

2027 Oscar for Best Actress Award Predictions

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Renate Reinsve

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 20.5%

↓ -2.0%

K 20.5%

Kalshi 20.5%

Vol $0 18–23¢

Sandra Hüller

Vol $134 Spread —

Agg 14.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 14.0%

Kalshi 14.0%

Vol $134 11–17¢

Cynthia Erivo

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -2.5%

K 5.5%

Vol $0 4–7¢

Dakota Johnson

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%

Joan Collins

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%

Kirsten Dunst

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%

Natalie Portman

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%

Penélope Cruz

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%

Scarlett Johansson

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↓ -2.5%

K 3.5%

Vol $0 2–5¢

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%