2027 Oscars Odds: Best Picture, Actor, Actress &amp; Director

Vol $0 6–11¢

Artificial

Vol $34 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -9.0%

K 7.5%

Kalshi 7.5%

Vol $34 4–11¢

Avengers: Doomsday

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↑ +0.5%

K 5.0%

Kalshi 5.0%

Vol $0 1–9¢

NTM

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Vol $125 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

↓ -26.5%

K 3.0%

Kalshi 3.0%

Vol $125 0–6¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TO The Odyssey	78.5% ↓ -8.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 78.5% 76–81¢ Vol $0
DPT Dune: Part Three	75.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 75.0% 73–77¢ Vol $0
PHM Project Hail Mary	67.5% ↓ -2.0%	—	$32	Kalshi 67.5% 66–69¢ Vol $32
WHN Wild Horse Nine	65.0% ↑ +2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 65.0% 64–66¢ Vol $0
DI Digger	62.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$25	Kalshi 62.5% 62–63¢ Vol $25
TAO The Adventures of Cliff Booth	44.0% ↑ +2.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 44.0% 41–47¢ Vol $5
DD Disclosure Day	43.0% ↑ +1.5%	—	$8	Kalshi 43.0% 41–45¢ Vol $8
TSR The Social Reckoning	38.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 38.5% 38–39¢ Vol $0
FJ Fjord	38.0% ↑ +2.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 38.0% 35–41¢ Vol $1
1F 1949 / Fatherland	35.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$75	Kalshi 35.0% 32–38¢ Vol $75
JO Josephine	30.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 30.5% 30–31¢ Vol $0
CTH Cry to Heaven	28.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 28.0% 25–31¢ Vol $5
BE Behemoth	27.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$123	Kalshi 27.0% 25–29¢ Vol $123
WE Werwulf	25.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 25.5% 23–28¢ Vol $0
BH Being Heumann	25.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 25.0% 21–29¢ Vol $0
SAS Sense and Sensibility	24.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 24.0% 21–27¢ Vol $0
ILB I Love Boosters	20.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 20.5% 17–24¢ Vol $0
JOS Jack of Spades	20.0% ↑ +2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 20.0% 17–23¢ Vol $0
AOA All of a Sudden	19.5% ↓ -6.5%	—	$259	Kalshi 19.5% 17–22¢ Vol $259
PT Parallel Tales	17.0% ↓ -15.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 17.0% 10–24¢ Vol $0
TES The Entertainment System Is Down	13.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 13.0% 10–16¢ Vol $0
SR Saturn Return	12.5% ↓ -5.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 12.5% 12–13¢ Vol $0
TDO The Death of Robin Hood	12.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 12.0% 9–15¢ Vol $0
MI Michael	10.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$2	Kalshi 10.0% 7–13¢ Vol $2
TD The Drama	9.0% ↑ +4.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.0% 6–12¢ Vol $0
IN Ink	8.5% ↑ +1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 8.5% 6–11¢ Vol $0
AR Artificial	7.5% ↓ -9.0%	—	$34	Kalshi 7.5% 4–11¢ Vol $34
AD Avengers: Doomsday	5.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 5.0% 1–9¢ Vol $0
NTM Narnia: The Magician's Nephew	3.0% ↓ -26.5%	—	$125	Kalshi 3.0% 0–6¢ Vol $125

Predictions for 2027 Best Picture Award

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

The Odyssey

Vol $569 Spread —

Agg 22.5%

↓ -7.0%

K 22.5%

Kalshi 22.5%

Vol $569 22–23¢

Digger

Vol $1.1K Spread —

Agg 15.5%

↑ +8.0%

K 15.5%

Kalshi 15.5%

Vol $1.1K 15–16¢

DPT

Dune: Part Three

Vol $229 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↑ +3.0%

K 11.5%

Kalshi 11.5%

Vol $229 11–12¢

PHM

Project Hail Mary

Vol $53 Spread —

Agg 9.5%

↑ +1.5%

K 9.5%

Kalshi 9.5%

Vol $53 9–10¢

WHN

Wild Horse Nine

Vol $356 Spread —

Agg 8.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 8.5%

Vol $356 8–9¢

TSR

The Social Reckoning

Vol $256 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↓ -4.5%

K 3.5%

Vol $256 3–4¢

TAO

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↑ +1.0%

K 2.5%

Kalshi 2.5%

Vol $5 2–3¢

Behemoth

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 1.5%

CTH

Cry to Heaven

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↑ +1.0%

K 1.5%

Fjord

Vol $13 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 1.5%

Vol $13 1–2¢

Disclosure Day

Vol $613 Spread —

Agg 1.0%

↓ -2.5%

K 1.0%

Kalshi 1.0%

Vol $613 0–2¢

1949 / Fatherland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -3.0%

K 0.5%

AOA

All of a Sudden

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.5%

Artificial

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.5%

Avengers: Doomsday

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

ILB

I Love Boosters

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Ink

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Josephine

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Michael

Vol $9 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Vol $9 0–1¢

NTM

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.5%

SAS

Sense and Sensibility

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

TDO

The Death of Robin Hood

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

The Drama

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

TES

The Entertainment System Is Down

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 0.5%

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Werwulf

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TO The Odyssey	22.5% ↓ -7.0%	—	$569	Kalshi 22.5% 22–23¢ Vol $569
DI Digger	15.5% ↑ +8.0%	—	$1.1K	Kalshi 15.5% 15–16¢ Vol $1.1K
DPT Dune: Part Three	11.5% ↑ +3.0%	—	$229	Kalshi 11.5% 11–12¢ Vol $229
PHM Project Hail Mary	9.5% ↑ +1.5%	—	$53	Kalshi 9.5% 9–10¢ Vol $53
WHN Wild Horse Nine	8.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$356	Kalshi 8.5% 8–9¢ Vol $356
TSR The Social Reckoning	3.5% ↓ -4.5%	—	$256	Kalshi 3.5% 3–4¢ Vol $256
TAO The Adventures of Cliff Booth	2.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $5
BE Behemoth	1.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0
CTH Cry to Heaven	1.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0
FJ Fjord	1.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$13	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $13
DD Disclosure Day	1.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$613	Kalshi 1.0% 0–2¢ Vol $613
1F 1949 / Fatherland	0.5% ↓ -3.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AOA All of a Sudden	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AR Artificial	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AD Avengers: Doomsday	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
ILB I Love Boosters	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
IN Ink	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
JO Josephine	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
MI Michael	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$9	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $9
NTM Narnia: The Magician's Nephew	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
SAS Sense and Sensibility	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TDO The Death of Robin Hood	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TD The Drama	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TES The Entertainment System Is Down	0.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
WE Werwulf	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

Predictions on 2027 Oscar for Best Actor

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Tom Cruise

Vol $151 Spread —

Agg 31.5%

↑ +7.0%

K 31.5%

Kalshi 31.5%

Vol $151 31–32¢

John Malkovich

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 19.5%

↓ -4.5%

K 19.5%

Kalshi 19.5%

Vol $0 16–23¢

JOC

Josh O'Connor

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

↑ +1.0%

K 6.0%

Vol $0 3–9¢

Brad Pitt

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 4.5%

Kalshi 4.5%

Vol $0 1–8¢

Sebastian Stan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.5%

— +0.0%

K 4.5%

Kalshi 4.5%

Vol $0 2–7¢

Adam Driver

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 3.5%

Andrew Scott

Vol $3 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 3.5%

Vol $3 1–6¢

Channing Tatum

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 3.5%

Charles Melton

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 3.5%

Keanu Reeves

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 3.5%

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TC Tom Cruise	31.5% ↑ +7.0%	—	$151	Kalshi 31.5% 31–32¢ Vol $151
JM John Malkovich	19.5% ↓ -4.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 19.5% 16–23¢ Vol $0
JOC Josh O'Connor	6.0% ↑ +1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.0% 3–9¢ Vol $0
BP Brad Pitt	4.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.5% 1–8¢ Vol $0
SS Sebastian Stan	4.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.5% 2–7¢ Vol $0
AD Adam Driver	3.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.5% 1–6¢ Vol $0
AS Andrew Scott	3.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$3	Kalshi 3.5% 1–6¢ Vol $3
CT Channing Tatum	3.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.5% 1–6¢ Vol $0
CM Charles Melton	3.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.5% 1–6¢ Vol $0
KR Keanu Reeves	3.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.5% 1–6¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	1.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0

2027 Best Director odds and predictions

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Christopher Nolan

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 30.5%

↓ -2.5%

K 30.5%

Kalshi 30.5%

Vol $1 28–33¢

Martin McDonagh

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 10.5%

↓ -8.0%

K 10.5%

Kalshi 10.5%

Vol $0 10–11¢

PLC

Phil Lord & Christopher Miller

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 9.0%

↑ +5.0%

K 9.0%

Kalshi 9.0%

Vol $0 6–12¢

David Fincher

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 8.5%

Vol $0 8–9¢

NHJ

Na Hong-jin

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 7.5%

Kalshi 7.5%

Vol $0 6–9¢

Steven Spielberg

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $0 5–8¢

Andrew Haigh

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 6.0%

Vol $0 4–8¢

Danny Boyle

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

↓ -4.0%

K 3.0%

Kalshi 3.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

Joel Coen

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 2.0%

Kalshi 2.0%

Vol $0 0–4¢

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
CN Christopher Nolan	30.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$1	Kalshi 30.5% 28–33¢ Vol $1
MM Martin McDonagh	10.5% ↓ -8.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 10.5% 10–11¢ Vol $0
PLC Phil Lord & Christopher Miller	9.0% ↑ +5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.0% 6–12¢ Vol $0
DF David Fincher	8.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 8.5% 8–9¢ Vol $0
NHJ Na Hong-jin	7.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.5% 6–9¢ Vol $0
SS Steven Spielberg	6.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.5% 5–8¢ Vol $0
AH Andrew Haigh	6.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.0% 4–8¢ Vol $0
DB Danny Boyle	3.0% ↓ -4.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0
JC Joel Coen	2.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

2027 Oscar for Best Actress Award Predictions

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Renate Reinsve

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 25.5%

↑ +3.0%

K 25.5%

Kalshi 25.5%

Vol $0 25–26¢

Sandra Hüller

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.5%

↓ -7.5%

K 8.5%

Vol $0 5–12¢

Cynthia Erivo

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 7.5%

Kalshi 7.5%

Vol $0 4–11¢

Scarlett Johansson

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

↑ +1.0%

K 7.0%

Kalshi 7.0%

Vol $0 4–10¢

Dakota Johnson

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Joan Collins

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Kirsten Dunst

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Natalie Portman

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Penélope Cruz

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

— +0.0%

K 6.0%

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%