Chiefs vs. BroncosWeek 8 Predictions, Picks and Odds
Kansas City seeks a rebound after its first loss, while Denver is 3-0 at home. Compare live odds, spread, total and AFC West season trends.
About even (−111)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $188 if correct, before fees.
About even (+111)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $211 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Chiefs vs. Broncos moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi and Polymarket US.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City ChiefsAway · −111 | 53% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $188 | Kalshi53¢ | Polymarket US53¢ | |
| Denver BroncosHome · +111 | 47% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $211 | Kalshi48¢ | Polymarket US47.3¢ |
Best prices to buy: Kansas City at 53¢ on Kalshi and Polymarket US; Denver at 47.3¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $20K on Kalshi and $2K on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Oct 27, 6:45 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Kansas City lost 1 point, to 53%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 20 to Oct 26 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Chiefs vs. Broncos spread and over/under
Kalshi and Polymarket US price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 24 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 27, 5:44 PM and 6:46 PM ET.
Chiefs vs. Broncos team totals
Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 17 team total lines
All 17 team total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Oct 27, 6:46 PM ET.
The Kansas City Chiefs visit the Denver Broncos at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 1, at Empower Field at Mile High, with coverage on CBS.
Kansas City’s unbeaten start ended in a 20-3 loss at Seattle. Denver won 30-16 at Arizona and is 3-0 at home. The Chiefs enter 5-1 and the Broncos 5-2. Compare the live probabilities, spread and full-game total above, followed by the season trends and latest completed-game stats.
Chiefs vs Broncos odds and info
Date & Time: Sunday, November 1, 2026, at 4:25 p.m. ET
Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Moneyline: Chiefs 52.5%, Broncos 47.5%
Spread: Chiefs -1.5 at 48.5%, Broncos +1.5 at 51.5%
Over/Under: 40.5 points, Over 51.5%, Under 48.5%
Records: Chiefs 5-1, Broncos 5-2
Kalshi snapshot checked Oct. 27, 2026, at 1:18 p.m. ET. Percentages are bid/ask midpoints, not prices to buy. The selected half-point spread and total are the two-sided contracts nearest 50%, with traded volume breaking ties. Lines and prices can change; current buy prices appear in the live tables above. Team records and season trends are through Week 7.
Picks & predictions
Moneyline: Traders give Kansas City a narrow 52.5% edge over Denver’s 47.5%. Kansas City’s 5-1 record supplies the broader case, but Denver’s 3-0 home start keeps this closer than the Chiefs’ season record alone suggests.
Against the Spread: The selected Kansas City -1.5 contract is 48.5%, with Denver +1.5 at 51.5%. Kansas City is 3-3 ATS, 3-2 as a favorite and 1-2 on the road. Denver is 5-2 ATS, 1-2 as an underdog and 3-0 at home. Denver’s home performance is the stronger counterweight to the market’s narrow Chiefs lean.
Over/Under: Kalshi’s selected 40.5-point total is almost even, with Over 51.5% and Under 48.5%. Kansas City games are 4-2 to the under and Denver games are 5-2 to the under. Kansas City’s latest game produced only 23 combined points, while Denver’s produced 46.
Form: Kansas City’s first loss was 20-3 at Seattle, where Patrick Mahomes passed for 165 yards, no touchdowns and one interception. Denver won 30-16 at Arizona with Bo Nix passing for 222 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. The Chiefs’ rebound case depends on recovering offensive production, not simply carrying their five earlier wins forward.
Eligible new users who register with the Kalshi promo code RATE can receive $55 in trading credit after $25 in qualifying trades within 90 days. New customers 18+; state restrictions and terms apply.
Chiefs vs. Broncos stats
Latest completed-game comparison through Week 7: Chiefs, Week 7 on Oct. 25, 2026, against Seattle Seahawks; Broncos, Week 7 on Oct. 25, 2026, against Arizona Cardinals. These are single-game results, not season averages.
| Team stat | Chiefs (Week 7) | Broncos (Week 7) |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 3 | 30 |
| Points allowed | 20 | 16 |
| QB passing yards | 165 | 222 |
| QB passing TDs / INTs | 0 / 1 | 1 / 0 |
Passing leaders: Patrick Mahomes had 165 passing yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception for the Chiefs. Bo Nix had 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions for the Broncos. Quarterback yardage is gross passing yards, before sack losses.
Sources: Chiefs game log and Broncos vs. Cardinals game center. Checked Oct. 27, 2026; through Week 7.
How to trade Chiefs vs. Broncos odds
A moneyline contract concerns who wins, a spread contract concerns the winning margin, and a full-game total concerns both teams’ combined points. Compare prices for the same outcome and line across venues.
In a hypothetical trade, buying 100 Yes contracts at 60¢ costs $60. If Yes settles, they pay $100, a $40 profit before fees. This example is not a live quote. For the rest of the slate, compare our NFL Week 8 odds. Trading involves risk, and you can lose your entire position.
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