Falcons vs. BuccaneersWeek 8 Predictions, Picks and Odds
Atlanta and Tampa Bay meet after Week 7 wins, but the Buccaneers are still 0-4 at home. Compare live odds, spread, total and NFC South trends.
About even (−121)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $181 if correct, before fees.
About 2 in 5 (+124)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $222 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Falcons vs. Buccaneers moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi and Polymarket US.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay BuccaneersHome · −121 | 55% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $181 | Kalshi55¢ | Polymarket US55.3¢ | |
| Atlanta FalconsAway · +124 | 45% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $222 | Kalshi45¢ | Polymarket US45¢ |
Best prices to buy: Tampa Bay at 55¢ on Kalshi; Atlanta at 45¢ on Kalshi and Polymarket US. Buying both costs exactly the $1 payout: no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $11K on Kalshi and $983 on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Oct 27, 5:30 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Tampa Bay gained 3 points, to 55%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 20 to Oct 26 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers spread and over/under
Kalshi and Polymarket US price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 24 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 27, 4:21 PM and 5:30 PM ET.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers team totals
Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 17 team total lines
All 17 team total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Oct 27, 5:30 PM ET.
The Atlanta Falcons visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 1, at Raymond James Stadium, with coverage on FOX.
Both teams won Sunday: Atlanta beat San Francisco 29-20, and Tampa Bay defeated Carolina 43-13. Atlanta is 3-4, Tampa Bay 2-5. The question for traders is how much to carry forward from those wins: compare the live probabilities, spread and full-game total above with the season trends below.
Falcons vs Buccaneers odds and info
Date & Time: Sunday, November 1, 2026, at 1 p.m. ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Moneyline: Falcons 45.5%, Buccaneers 54.5%
Spread: Buccaneers -2.5 at 49%, Falcons +2.5 at 51%
Over/Under: 45.5 points, Over 50.5%, Under 49.5%
Records: Falcons 3-4, Buccaneers 2-5
Kalshi snapshot checked Oct. 27, 2026, at 1:18 p.m. ET. Percentages are bid/ask midpoints, not prices to buy. The selected half-point spread and total are the two-sided contracts nearest 50%, with traded volume breaking ties. Lines and prices can change; current buy prices appear in the live tables above. Team records and season trends are through Week 7.
Picks & predictions
Moneyline: Traders give Tampa Bay a narrow 54.5% edge. Tampa Bay’s 43-13 win is the stronger latest scoreline, but Atlanta holds the better season record at 3-4 versus 2-5.
Against the Spread: The selected Kalshi line is Tampa Bay -2.5 at 49%, with Atlanta +2.5 at 51%. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS, 3-3 as an underdog and 2-1 on the road. Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS, 0-2 as a favorite and 0-4 at home. Those splits give Atlanta’s side more historical support than Tampa Bay’s latest winning margin alone suggests.
Over/Under: Kalshi’s 45.5-point total is nearly even: Over 50.5%, Under 49.5%. Both teams’ games are 4-3 to the over this season. Atlanta’s latest ended with 49 combined points and Tampa Bay’s with 56.
Form: Atlanta ended a two-game losing streak with its 29-20 win over San Francisco. Michael Penix Jr. passed for 213 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Tampa Bay beat Carolina 43-13 with Baker Mayfield throwing for 64 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. The Buccaneers’ home record remains 0-4.
Eligible new users who register with the Kalshi promo code RATE can receive $55 in trading credit after $25 in qualifying trades within 90 days. New customers 18+; state restrictions and terms apply.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers stats
Latest completed-game comparison through Week 7: Falcons, Week 7 on Oct. 25, 2026, against San Francisco 49ers; Buccaneers, Week 7 on Oct. 25, 2026, against Carolina Panthers. These are single-game results, not season averages.
| Team stat | Falcons (Week 7) | Buccaneers (Week 7) |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 29 | 43 |
| Points allowed | 20 | 13 |
| QB passing yards | 213 | 64 |
| QB passing TDs / INTs | 3 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Passing leaders: Michael Penix Jr. had 213 passing yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions for the Falcons. Baker Mayfield had 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions for the Buccaneers. Quarterback yardage is gross passing yards, before sack losses.
Sources: Falcons game center, Falcons game report, and Buccaneers game report. Checked Oct. 27, 2026; through Week 7.
How to trade Falcons vs. Buccaneers odds
A moneyline contract concerns who wins, a spread contract concerns the winning margin, and a full-game total concerns both teams’ combined points. Compare prices for the same outcome and line across venues.
In a hypothetical trade, buying 100 Yes contracts at 60¢ costs $60. If Yes settles, they pay $100, a $40 profit before fees. This example is not a live quote. For the rest of the slate, compare our NFL Week 8 odds. Trading involves risk, and you can lose your entire position.
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