DeFi Rate authorPat Evans
Stories by Pat Evans
41–60 of 145, newest first
- Prediction Markets Doubtful SAVE America Act Passes
The SAVE America Act would require proof of citizenship to register to vote in federal elections, but Kalshi traders see little chance it becomes law this year.
- Prediction Markets Lenghten El-Sayed Lead For Michigan Democratic Senate Primary After Debate With Stevens
Abdul El-Sayed enters the final week before Michigan's Democratic Senate primary with a commanding lead on Kalshi and Polymarket after his debate with Rep. Haley Stevens.
- Prediction Markets Stay Blue As Democrats Pick Jackson In Maine Senate Race
Former state Senate President Troy Jackson is now Maine's Democratic Senate nominee after Graham Platner's exit, and markets still lean toward a Democratic pickup.
- Prediction Markets Heavily Favor James, Benson in Michigan Governor Primaries
Prediction markets have James at over 80% to win the GOP nod for Michigan governor, while they’re trading at over 90% for Benson on the Democratic side.
- Prediction Markets Favor Miami as LeBron James Frenzy Builds with $220M in Trading
LeBron James's next team is the NBA's biggest offseason market, and Kalshi and Polymarket both favor a Miami Heat reunion over Cleveland, Golden State and Philadelphia.
- Trump Backs Graham Nordone as She Takes Predictions Markets Lead in South Carolina GOP Senate Scramble
After Trump's endorsement, interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone moved ahead of Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman in markets for South Carolina's Republican Senate primary.
- Prediction Markets Big On Biggs Heading Into Arizona Republican Governor Primary
Markets make Andy Biggs a near-certain winner of Arizona's Republican governor primary, but price Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs as the clear favorite in November.
- Prediction Markets Price Jackson as Clear Favorite in Maine as Democrats Keep Edge Over Collins
After a Thursday debate, Troy Jackson has surged to the front of Maine’s Democratic replacement race, and prediction markets are now pricing him at approximately 90% to win the nomination.
- Sen. Mitch McConnell’s Hospitalization Fuels Exit Speculation, but Prediction Markets Speculate He Stays
Sen. Mitch McConnell's latest hospitalization has revived questions about whether he can finish his term, but prediction markets give a resignation a low chance.
- Prediction Markets Tighten On Michigan Democratic Senate Primary as Stevens Pushes El-Sayed in Tossup State
Abdul El-Sayed still leads Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary race, but his peak prediction market chances of 87% have dropped down into the 60s as Rep. Haley Stevens closes the gap.
- South Dakota Set For First-Ever Governor Runoff as Prediction Markets Favor the Incumbent
Gov. Larry Rhoden and businessman Toby Doeden meet in South Dakota's first governor primary runoff, and Kalshi favors Rhoden even as polls reportedly show a tie.
- Fry Surges in South Carolina GOP Senate Scramble as Prediction Markets Keep Republicans Favored
Gov. Henry McMaster appointed Lindsey Graham's sister to the interim seat, and Rep. Russell Fry leads markets for the special primary as Republicans stay favored.
- Graham’s Death Triggers South Carolina GOP Scramble, Prediction Markets Still See Red Senate Seat
Lindsey Graham's death set off races for an interim appointment and a November special election, and prediction markets still strongly favor Republicans to hold the seat.
- Platner Exit Scrambles Maine Senate Race, Prediction Markets Still Give Democrats Narrow Edge
Democrats keep a narrow edge in Maine's Senate race after Graham Platner's exit as the party seeks a replacement to face Sen. Susan Collins, with Troy Jackson an early favorite.
- Prediction Markets Put Donalds on Track for Easy Florida Governor Win
Prediction markets make Rep. Byron Donalds the clear favorite in Florida's Republican governor primary and price the November race as a Republican hold.
- Prediction Markets Favor Hong in Wisconsin Governor Primary as Progressive Wave Faces a Redder State Test
Francesca Hong leads Wisconsin's Democratic governor primary, but unlike New York and Colorado, the state is a battleground where a progressive nominee may struggle.
- Platner’s Scandal Upends Maine Senate Race, But Prediction Markets Still Favor Democrats
The Maine Senate race received bombshell news Monday, but prediction markets for Senate party winner have barely moved off Democrats.
- AOC Boosts El-Sayed on Prediction Markets as Michigan Senate Primary Clears Up
Abdul El-Sayed’s Michigan Senate bid got a major lift from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s endorsement, while Mallory McMorrow’s exit further narrowed the Democratic primary field ahead of August 4.
- Senate Control in Play as Polls Tighten, Prediction Markets Send Mixed Messages
A new round of polling shows the 2026 Senate map is genuinely up for grabs, with Democrats putting several GOP-held seats in play and both prediction markets still giving Republicans a slight edge.
- Prediction Markets Nail Progressive Wave in Colorado Primary Races
Prediction markets largely called Colorado's primaries, catching the progressive wave behind Phil Weiser and Melat Kiros, while the state stays safely blue for November.