2027 Super Bowl Odds & Predictions on NFL Futures

LIVE
Updated 14 minutes ago · 3:44 PM PDT

Prediction markets currently make the Los Angeles Rams the Super Bowl LXI favorite at 16.2% (+518), followed by the Buffalo Bills at 7.9% (+1,167) and the Seattle Seahawks at 7.5% (+1,233). Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, following the 2026 NFL regular season and playoffs. This tracker compares live team-by-team futures from Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, and OG, including consensus probabilities, price differences, and market movement. Odds and data refresh every 30 minutes.

Largest Spread
1.48%
San Francisco 49ers → View arbs
Current Favorite
+518
Los Angeles Rams 0.2%
24H Volume (Share)
$694.4K
K: 24.4% P: 75.6% G: 0.0%
Momentum Leader
+0.8%
Denver Broncos 7D change

Top US prediction markets with Super Bowl futures

2027 Super Bowl News and Updates

Follow the injuries, trades, returns, suspensions, and other major NFL developments that could materially affect Super Bowl LXI futures. Routine roster moves and minor injuries are excluded.

  • Sept. 1, 2026: The Rams began working Aaron Donald back after his decision to end retirement, with Sean McVay saying his return date remained undetermined. Los Angeles remained the Super Bowl favorite near 16%, after its aggregated probability rose from approximately 15.0% to 16.6% around the announcement.

last updated: Sept. 2, 2026

Current 2026-2027 Super Bowl Odds and Futures

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
Vol $47.3K Spread 2.0%
Agg +518
↓ -0.2%
O +456
G +471
P +506
K +525
BB
Buffalo Bills
Vol $44.1K Spread 2.5%
Agg +1,167
↓ -0.3%
O +900
P +1,076
G +1,076
K +1,233
SS
Seattle Seahawks
Vol $41.4K Spread 1.0%
Agg +1,233
— +0.0%
G +1,076
O +1,150
K +1,233
P +1,233
BR
Baltimore Ravens
Vol $34.3K Spread 2.5%
Agg +1,392
↓ -0.1%
O +1,011
G +1,233
P +1,381
K +1,438
KCC
Kansas City Chiefs
Vol $24.7K Spread 2.5%
Agg +1,536
— +0.0%
O +1,150
G +1,438
P +1,500
K +1,718
DB
Denver Broncos
Vol $17.3K Spread 2.7%
Agg +1,734
↑ +0.8%
O +1,150
G +1,438
K +1,718
P +1,769
PE
Philadelphia Eagles
Vol $24.3K Spread 2.5%
Agg +1,996
↑ +0.4%
O +1,329
G +1,718
P +1,920
K +2,122
HT
Houston Texans
Vol $19.7K Spread 2.6%
Agg +2,138
↑ +0.1%
O +1,329
G +1,718
K +2,122
P +2,147
DC
Dallas Cowboys
Vol $29.0K Spread 2.7%
Agg +2,166
↓ -0.3%
O +1,329
G +1,718
K +2,122
P +2,199
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Vol $46.9K Spread 1.7%
Agg +2,186
— +0.0%
O +1,567
G +1,718
K +2,122
P +2,199
NEP
New England Patriots
Vol $26.4K Spread 2.9%
Agg +2,287
↑ +0.3%
O +1,329
G +1,718
K +2,122
P +2,310
DL
Detroit Lions
Vol $28.5K Spread 2.5%
Agg +2,309
↑ +0.2%
O +1,567
G +2,122
P +2,253
K +2,757
CB
Cincinnati Bengals
Vol $24.6K Spread 3.4%
Agg +2,422
↑ +0.6%
O +1,329
G +1,900
K +2,122
P +2,640
SF4
San Francisco 49ers
Vol $15.8K Spread 3.6%
Agg +2,544
↓ -0.7%
O +1,329
G +1,718
K +2,122
P +2,799
CB
Chicago Bears
Vol $16.7K Spread 2.5%
Agg +2,734
↓ -0.1%
O +1,567
G +2,122
P +2,717
K +2,757
GBP
Green Bay Packers
Vol $6.4K Spread 2.8%
Agg +2,884
↑ +0.2%
O +1,567
G +2,122
K +2,757
P +3,075
JJ
Jacksonville Jaguars
Vol $15.8K Spread 2.7%
Agg +4,096
↑ +0.1%
O +1,900
G +2,757
K +3,900
P +4,155
MV
Minnesota Vikings
Vol $14.2K Spread 3.5%
Agg +5,681
— +0.0%
O +1,900
K +3,900
G +3,900
P +6,352
PS
Pittsburgh Steelers
Vol $5.0K Spread 2.9%
Agg +7,227
↑ +0.5%
O +2,400
G +4,900
K +6,567
P +8,596
IC
Indianapolis Colts
Vol $2.9K Spread 1.8%
Agg +8,083
↑ +0.1%
O +3,233
K +6,567
G +6,567
P +8,596
TBB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Vol $13.1K Spread 1.9%
Agg +9,279
— +0.0%
O +3,233
G +3,900
K +6,567
P +9,424
NYG
New York Giants
Vol $20.1K Spread 3.2%
Agg +10,821
↓ -0.2%
O +2,400
G +3,900
K +6,567
P +11,665
WC
Washington Commanders
Vol $13.7K Spread 2.2%
Agg +10,939
↑ +0.2%
O +3,233
G +3,900
K +6,567
P +11,665
NOS
New Orleans Saints
Vol $26.9K Spread 1.5%
Agg +15,299
— +0.0%
O +4,900
G +6,567
P +15,285
K +19,900
NYJ
New York Jets
Vol $23.5K Spread 1.5%
Agg +18,085
↓ -0.1%
O +4,900
G +6,567
P +18,082
K +19,900
CP
Carolina Panthers
Vol $2.9K Spread 1.5%
Agg +18,222
— +0.0%
O +4,900
G +6,567
P +18,082
K +19,900
MD
Miami Dolphins
Vol $4.0K Spread 1.5%
Agg +18,286
— +0.0%
O +4,900
G +6,567
P +18,082
K +19,900
AF
Atlanta Falcons
Vol $13.2K Spread 1.6%
Agg +22,048
— +0.0%
O +4,900
G +6,567
K +19,900
P +22,122
CB
Cleveland Browns
Vol $12.1K Spread 1.6%
Agg +22,098
↓ -0.1%
O +4,900
G +6,567
K +19,900
P +22,122
TT
Tennessee Titans
Vol $20.1K Spread 1.6%
Agg +22,107
— +0.0%
O +4,900
G +6,567
K +19,900
P +22,122
AC
Arizona Cardinals
Vol $27.2K Spread 1.6%
Agg +22,122
↓ -0.1%
O +4,900
G +6,567
K +19,900
P +22,122
LVR
Las Vegas Raiders
Vol $32.4K Spread 1.7%
Agg +28,309
— +0.0%
O +4,900
G +6,567
K +19,900
P +28,471
OutcomeAggregatedSpreadVolumeKalshiPolymarketGeminiOG
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
+518
↓ -0.2%
2.0%
$47.3K
Kalshi +525
15–17¢ Vol $29.0K
Polymarket +506
16–17¢ Vol $18.3K
Gemini +471
17–18¢ Vol $0
OG +456
18¢
BB
Buffalo Bills
+1,167
↓ -0.3%
2.5%
$44.1K
Kalshi +1,233
7–8¢ Vol $26.8K
Polymarket +1,076
8–9¢ Vol $17.3K
Gemini +1,076
8–9¢ Vol $21
OG +900
10¢
SS
Seattle Seahawks
+1,233
— +0.0%
1.0%
$41.4K
Kalshi +1,233
7–8¢ Vol $7.3K
Polymarket +1,233
7–8¢ Vol $34.2K
Gemini +1,076
8–9¢ Vol $1
OG +1,150
BR
Baltimore Ravens
+1,392
↓ -0.1%
2.5%
$34.3K
Kalshi +1,438
6–7¢ Vol $6.4K
Polymarket +1,381
6.7–6.8¢ Vol $27.8K
Gemini +1,233
7–8¢ Vol $3
OG +1,011
KCC
Kansas City Chiefs
+1,536
— +0.0%
2.5%
$24.7K
Kalshi +1,718
5–6¢ Vol $4.6K
Polymarket +1,500
6.2–6.3¢ Vol $20.1K
Gemini +1,438
6–7¢ Vol $56
OG +1,150
DB
Denver Broncos
+1,734
↑ +0.8%
2.7%
$17.3K
Kalshi +1,718
5–6¢ Vol $12.0K
Polymarket +1,769
5.3–5.4¢ Vol $5.4K
Gemini +1,438
6–7¢ Vol $0
OG +1,150
PE
Philadelphia Eagles
+1,996
↑ +0.4%
2.5%
$24.3K
Kalshi +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $9.7K
Polymarket +1,920
4.9–5¢ Vol $14.6K
Gemini +1,718
5–6¢ Vol $0
OG +1,329
HT
Houston Texans
+2,138
↑ +0.1%
2.6%
$19.7K
Kalshi +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $7.5K
Polymarket +2,147
4.4–4.5¢ Vol $12.2K
Gemini +1,718
5–6¢ Vol $0
OG +1,329
DC
Dallas Cowboys
+2,166
↓ -0.3%
2.7%
$29.0K
Kalshi +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $12.3K
Polymarket +2,199
4.3–4.4¢ Vol $16.7K
Gemini +1,718
5–6¢ Vol $1
OG +1,329
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
+2,186
— +0.0%
1.7%
$46.9K
Kalshi +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $7.3K
Polymarket +2,199
4.3–4.4¢ Vol $39.5K
Gemini +1,718
5–6¢ Vol $77
OG +1,567
NEP
New England Patriots
+2,287
↑ +0.3%
2.9%
$26.4K
Kalshi +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $3.0K
Polymarket +2,310
4.1–4.2¢ Vol $23.4K
Gemini +1,718
5–6¢ Vol $1
OG +1,329
DL
Detroit Lions
+2,309
↑ +0.2%
2.5%
$28.5K
Kalshi +2,757
3–4¢ Vol $3.7K
Polymarket +2,253
4.2–4.3¢ Vol $24.7K
Gemini +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $0
OG +1,567
CB
Cincinnati Bengals
+2,422
↑ +0.6%
3.4%
$24.6K
Kalshi +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $9.1K
Polymarket +2,640
3.6–3.7¢ Vol $15.5K
Gemini +1,900
4–6¢ Vol $1
OG +1,329
SF4
San Francisco 49ers
+2,544
↓ -0.7%
3.6%
$15.8K
Kalshi +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $5.0K
Polymarket +2,799
3.4–3.5¢ Vol $10.8K
Gemini +1,718
5–6¢ Vol $0
OG +1,329
CB
Chicago Bears
+2,734
↓ -0.1%
2.5%
$16.7K
Kalshi +2,757
3–4¢ Vol $7.0K
Polymarket +2,717
3.5–3.6¢ Vol $9.7K
Gemini +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $1
OG +1,567
GBP
Green Bay Packers
+2,884
↑ +0.2%
2.8%
$6.4K
Kalshi +2,757
3–4¢ Vol $3.6K
Polymarket +3,075
3.1–3.2¢ Vol $2.7K
Gemini +2,122
4–5¢ Vol $1
OG +1,567
JJ
Jacksonville Jaguars
+4,096
↑ +0.1%
2.7%
$15.8K
Kalshi +3,900
2–3¢ Vol $3.5K
Polymarket +4,155
2.3–2.4¢ Vol $12.3K
Gemini +2,757
3–4¢ Vol $1
OG +1,900
MV
Minnesota Vikings
+5,681
— +0.0%
3.5%
$14.2K
Kalshi +3,900
2–3¢ Vol $2.7K
Polymarket +6,352
1.5–1.6¢ Vol $11.5K
Gemini +3,900
2–3¢ Vol $0
OG +1,900
PS
Pittsburgh Steelers
+7,227
↑ +0.5%
2.9%
$5.0K
Kalshi +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $2.9K
Polymarket +8,596
1.1–1.2¢ Vol $2.0K
Gemini +4,900
1–3¢ Vol $71
OG +2,400
IC
Indianapolis Colts
+8,083
↑ +0.1%
1.8%
$2.9K
Kalshi +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $596
Polymarket +8,596
1.1–1.2¢ Vol $2.3K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $0
OG +3,233
TBB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+9,279
— +0.0%
1.9%
$13.1K
Kalshi +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $394
Polymarket +9,424
1–1.1¢ Vol $12.7K
Gemini +3,900
2–3¢ Vol $24
OG +3,233
NYG
New York Giants
+10,821
↓ -0.2%
3.2%
$20.1K
Kalshi +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $2.0K
Polymarket +11,665
0.8–0.9¢ Vol $18.1K
Gemini +3,900
2–3¢ Vol $0
OG +2,400
WC
Washington Commanders
+10,939
↑ +0.2%
2.2%
$13.7K
Kalshi +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket +11,665
0.8–0.9¢ Vol $12.5K
Gemini +3,900
2–3¢ Vol $0
OG +3,233
NOS
New Orleans Saints
+15,299
— +0.0%
1.5%
$26.9K
Kalshi +19,900
0–1¢ Vol $102
Polymarket +15,285
0.6–0.7¢ Vol $26.8K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $0
OG +4,900
NYJ
New York Jets
+18,085
↓ -0.1%
1.5%
$23.5K
Kalshi +19,900
0–1¢ Vol $53
Polymarket +18,082
0.5–0.6¢ Vol $23.5K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $0
OG +4,900
CP
Carolina Panthers
+18,222
— +0.0%
1.5%
$2.9K
Kalshi +19,900
0–1¢ Vol $246
Polymarket +18,082
0.5–0.6¢ Vol $2.7K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $0
OG +4,900
MD
Miami Dolphins
+18,286
— +0.0%
1.5%
$4.0K
Kalshi +19,900
0–1¢ Vol $482
Polymarket +18,082
0.5–0.6¢ Vol $3.5K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $0
OG +4,900
AF
Atlanta Falcons
+22,048
— +0.0%
1.6%
$13.2K
Kalshi +19,900
0–1¢ Vol $384
Polymarket +22,122
0.4–0.5¢ Vol $12.9K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $0
OG +4,900
CB
Cleveland Browns
+22,098
↓ -0.1%
1.6%
$12.1K
Kalshi +19,900
0–1¢ Vol $109
Polymarket +22,122
0.4–0.5¢ Vol $12.0K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $0
OG +4,900
TT
Tennessee Titans
+22,107
— +0.0%
1.6%
$20.1K
Kalshi +19,900
0–1¢ Vol $135
Polymarket +22,122
0.4–0.5¢ Vol $20.0K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $0
OG +4,900
AC
Arizona Cardinals
+22,122
↓ -0.1%
1.6%
$27.2K
Kalshi +19,900
0–1¢ Vol $14
Polymarket +22,122
0.4–0.5¢ Vol $27.2K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $0
OG +4,900
LVR
Las Vegas Raiders
+28,309
— +0.0%
1.7%
$32.4K
Kalshi +19,900
0–1¢ Vol $312
Polymarket +28,471
0.3–0.4¢ Vol $32.0K
Gemini +6,567
1–2¢ Vol $15
OG +4,900

Odds Over Time

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Arbitrage Scanner

Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations

Minimum Spread 1.5%

Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)

OutcomeVenue PairLeg A (Buy)Leg B (Sell)Gross SpreadAfter FeesActionableTrade Now
SF4
San Francisco 49ers
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
3.5¢
Sell @ G
+1.50%
+1.48%
No
NYG
New York Giants
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.9¢
Sell @ G
+1.10%
+1.09%
No
WC
Washington Commanders
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.9¢
Sell @ G
+1.10%
+1.09%
No
TBB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
1.1¢
Sell @ G
+0.90%
+0.89%
No
GBP
Green Bay Packers
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
3.2¢
Sell @ G
+0.80%
+0.78%
No
NEP
New England Patriots
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
4.2¢
Sell @ G
+0.80%
+0.78%
No
LVR
Las Vegas Raiders
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.4¢
Sell @ G
+0.60%
+0.60%
No
JJ
Jacksonville Jaguars
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
2.4¢
Sell @ G
+0.60%
+0.59%
No
DC
Dallas Cowboys
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
4.4¢
Sell @ G
+0.60%
+0.58%
No
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
4.4¢
Sell @ G
+0.60%
+0.58%
No
DB
Denver Broncos
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
5.4¢
Sell @ G
+0.60%
+0.58%
No
AF
Atlanta Falcons
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.5¢
Sell @ G
+0.50%
+0.50%
No
CB
Cleveland Browns
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.5¢
Sell @ G
+0.50%
+0.50%
No
TT
Tennessee Titans
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.5¢
Sell @ G
+0.50%
+0.50%
No
AC
Arizona Cardinals
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.5¢
Sell @ G
+0.50%
+0.50%
No
HT
Houston Texans
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
4.5¢
Sell @ G
+0.50%
+0.48%
No
NYJ
New York Jets
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.6¢
Sell @ G
+0.40%
+0.40%
No
CP
Carolina Panthers
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.6¢
Sell @ G
+0.40%
+0.40%
No
MD
Miami Dolphins
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.6¢
Sell @ G
+0.40%
+0.40%
No
MV
Minnesota Vikings
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
1.6¢
Sell @ G
+0.40%
+0.39%
No
CB
Chicago Bears
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
3.6¢
Sell @ G
+0.40%
+0.38%
No
NOS
New Orleans Saints
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
0.7¢
Sell @ G
+0.30%
+0.30%
No
CB
Cincinnati Bengals
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
3.7¢
Sell @ G
+0.30%
+0.28%
No
BR
Baltimore Ravens
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
6.8¢
Sell @ G
+0.20%
+0.17%
No
KCC
Kansas City Chiefs
Kalshi Polymarket
Buy @ K
Sell @ P
6.2¢
+0.20%
+0.13%
No
DL
Detroit Lions
Kalshi Polymarket
Buy @ K
Sell @ P
4.2¢
+0.20%
+0.13%
No
PE
Philadelphia Eagles
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
Sell @ G
+0.00%
-0.02%
No
SS
Seattle Seahawks
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
Sell @ G
+0.00%
-0.03%
No
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
17¢
Sell @ G
17¢
+0.00%
-0.07%
No
BB
Buffalo Bills
Kalshi Polymarket
Buy @ K
Sell @ P
+0.00%
-0.08%
No
PS
Pittsburgh Steelers
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
1.2¢
Sell @ G
-0.20%
-0.20%
No
IC
Indianapolis Colts
Polymarket Gemini
Buy @ P
1.2¢
Sell @ G
-0.20%
-0.20%
No

Outcome Diff

Outcome AOutcome BVenueA OddsB OddsDiffStrategyTrade Now
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
DC
Dallas Cowboys
Polymarket
A
+506
B
+2,199
+12.15%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Polymarket
A
+506
B
+2,199
+12.15%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
HT
Houston Texans
Polymarket
A
+506
B
+2,147
+12.05%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
PE
Philadelphia Eagles
Gemini
A
+471
B
+1,718
+12.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
HT
Houston Texans
Gemini
A
+471
B
+1,718
+12.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
DC
Dallas Cowboys
Gemini
A
+471
B
+1,718
+12.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Gemini
A
+471
B
+1,718
+12.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
PE
Philadelphia Eagles
Polymarket
A
+506
B
+1,920
+11.55%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
PE
Philadelphia Eagles
Kalshi
A
+525
B
+2,122
+11.50%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
HT
Houston Texans
Kalshi
A
+525
B
+2,122
+11.50%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
DC
Dallas Cowboys
Kalshi
A
+525
B
+2,122
+11.50%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Kalshi
A
+525
B
+2,122
+11.50%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
DB
Denver Broncos
Polymarket
A
+506
B
+1,769
+11.15%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
KCC
Kansas City Chiefs
Gemini
A
+471
B
+1,438
+11.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
DB
Denver Broncos
Gemini
A
+471
B
+1,438
+11.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
KCC
Kansas City Chiefs
Kalshi
A
+525
B
+1,718
+10.50%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
DB
Denver Broncos
Kalshi
A
+525
B
+1,718
+10.50%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
KCC
Kansas City Chiefs
Polymarket
A
+506
B
+1,500
+10.25%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
BR
Baltimore Ravens
Gemini
A
+471
B
+1,233
+10.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
BR
Baltimore Ravens
Polymarket
A
+506
B
+1,381
+9.75%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
BR
Baltimore Ravens
Kalshi
A
+525
B
+1,438
+9.50%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
SS
Seattle Seahawks
Polymarket
A
+506
B
+1,233
+9.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
BB
Buffalo Bills
Gemini
A
+471
B
+1,076
+9.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
SS
Seattle Seahawks
Gemini
A
+471
B
+1,076
+9.00%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
BB
Buffalo Bills
Kalshi
A
+525
B
+1,233
+8.50%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
SS
Seattle Seahawks
Kalshi
A
+525
B
+1,233
+8.50%
Buy spread
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
BB
Buffalo Bills
Polymarket
A
+506
B
+1,076
+8.00%
Buy spread
BB
Buffalo Bills
DC
Dallas Cowboys
Polymarket
A
+1,076
B
+2,199
+4.15%
Buy spread
BB
Buffalo Bills
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Polymarket
A
+1,076
B
+2,199
+4.15%
Buy spread
BB
Buffalo Bills
HT
Houston Texans
Polymarket
A
+1,076
B
+2,147
+4.05%
Buy spread
Kalshi Trading Fee 1% (min $0.07, max $1.75) per side
Polymarket Trading Fee 0% (gas only)
Gemini Trading Fee 0.40% per side
Polymarket US Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.

2027 Super Bowl Odds: Favorites, Contenders and Dark Horses

The 2027 Super Bowl market has a clear favorite but remains wide open behind it. As of Sept. 2, the Los Angeles Rams lead the aggregated prediction-market odds at roughly 16%, more than twice the Buffalo Bills’ 8% probability. The Baltimore Ravens and defending champion Seattle Seahawks are both near 7%, while the Kansas City Chiefs sit just below 6%. Los Angeles has separated from the field, but its price still suggests the championship race is far from settled.

Buffalo, Baltimore, Seattle, and Kansas City form the main group behind the Rams. The Bills and Ravens remain the leading AFC challengers, while the Seahawks enter the season as defending champions. Kansas City is slightly lower-priced but remains firmly in the mix with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. With only a few percentage points separating these teams, early regular-season results could quickly reorder this tier.

Several intriguing teams are clustered between 4% and 5%, including the Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers, Houston Texans, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Cincinnati Bengals. Philadelphia and Cincinnati stand out as lower-priced teams led by quarterbacks who have already reached a Super Bowl, while Houston offers upside behind a defense regarded as one of the league’s best. Dallas is also worth watching after becoming one of the market’s strongest preseason risers.

The Rams have made the largest meaningful move since the market opened. Their initial Kalshi price represented an implied probability of approximately 8.5%, compared with 16% now. Dallas and Cincinnati have each climbed from roughly 2.5% to 4.5%, while Seattle has moved in the opposite direction, falling from approximately 11.5% to 7.5%. Since Aug. 1, movement has been more restrained, although the Rams have gained about 0.9 percentage points, Dallas 1.2 points, and Houston 0.6 points.

Opening futures odds: Kalshi vs. DraftKings

At launch, Kalshi offered more appealing Super Bowl LXI odds than DraftKings on 26 of the 32 teams. The largest advantages were concentrated among mid-tier contenders and long shots, including New England, Cincinnati, Tampa Bay, Tennessee, New Orleans, and Carolina. These opening prices are retained for historical comparison; see the live Super Bowl odds above for current prices.

DraftKings offered the better opening price on six teams: Seattle, the New York Giants, Atlanta, the New York Jets, Miami, and Arizona. Some differences were marginal, particularly for the Giants and Jets, while the gaps were more substantial for Seattle, Miami, and Arizona. The comparison shows why prices should be checked across platforms, although current pricing and available liquidity matter more than the opening numbers when placing a trade.

NFL markets on prediction sites

The best prediction sites offer a wide range of NFL markets, from season-long futures to individual games and player props. We’ve rounded up the most common options below.

Futures markets

These markets focus on a team’s performance over the entire season. Here are the main futures options at prediction sites:

  • Super Bowl winner: A simple yes/no prediction on whether a team will win the Super Bowl. Prediction sites release prices on each team before the season begins. The sites then update their prices as the season unfolds, reflecting the current state of play.
  • Conference champions: You can also predict which team will win the AFC and the NFC. For example, you might find this option: “Buffalo to win the AFC – yes, 15¢, no 87¢.” If you think Buffalo will win the conference, you can buy contracts at 15¢. The contracts will settle at $1 if the Bills win the AFC, so you’d earn a profit of $0.85 on each contract.
  • Division winners: Prediction markets allow you to trade on which team will win each division. Here’s an example: “Detroit to win the NFC North – yes 38¢, no 69¢.” If you don’t expect the Lions to win the division, you can buy “no” contracts at 69¢. Once again, they’ll settle at $1 if Detroit doesn’t win the division, so you’d earn a $0.31 profit on each contract.
  • Best regular season record: You can predict which team will finish the regular season with the league’s best record. Prices change throughout the season as results reshape the race.
  • To make the playoffs: Prediction markets let you speculate on whether a team will make or miss the playoffs. Just buy “yes” contracts if you think they’ll make the playoffs or “no” contracts if you think they’ll miss out.

Game markets

You’ll also find markets on many NFL regular-season and playoff games, although availability varies by platform. These are the main market types:

  • Moneyline: A simple prediction on which team will win the game. For example, Kalshi offered 68¢ contracts on Seattle to win Super Bowl LX. Buying 100 contracts cost $68. Each contract paid $1 after the Seahawks won, producing a $100 payout and a $32 profit before fees.
  • Point spread: One team is given a handicap, which creates a point spread. You can then make a yes/no prediction on whether a team will cover the spread. For example, you could buy “yes” contracts at 51¢ on Seattle -3.5 vs. New England in Super Bowl LX. They won by 16 points, easily covering the 3.5-point spread.
  • Total points: The market will set a total points line, such as 45.5 points. You can then predict whether the game will see “over” or “under” 45.5 points.
  • Team totals: You can also make yes/no predictions on how many points a team will score during a game.
  • Player props: These markets allow you to trade on an individual player’s performance. For example, you can make an over/under prediction on a quarterback’s passing yards.
  • Game props: Predict whether an event will happen during the game. For example, will there be a 2-point conversion? Will there be a safety? Will the third quarter be the highest scoring quarter?
  • Live markets: These markets are available after the game begins. For instance, you can predict which player will score the next touchdown.

Novelty markets

Prediction sites also offer novelty markets tied to the Super Bowl and its surrounding events. Previously available examples include:

  • Will the Super Bowl winner visit the White House?
  • Which celebrities will attend the game?
  • What words or phrases will the announcers say?
  • Which brands or celebrities will appear in commercials?
  • Who will perform during the halftime show?

Super Bowl props

Common Super Bowl prop markets include:

  1. Super Bowl MVP: You can predict which player will be named Super Bowl MVP. In Super Bowl LX, Kenneth Walker III won the award after entering game day as an 8.1% outsider and rushing for 135 yards on 27 carries.
  2. Halftime show performer: Markets can cover the headliner, guest appearances, songs performed, and who will appear on stage. Follow our live 2027 tracker for current favorites and prices.
  3. Who will attend the Super Bowl: Celebrity-attendance markets can include Hollywood stars, politicians, musicians, and former NFL players.
  4. What will the announcers say?: These mention markets cover whether specific words or phrases will be spoken during the broadcast, from common football terms to more unusual references.
  5. Who will advertise during the Super Bowl: For Super Bowl LX, Kalshi listed contracts on celebrities and brands appearing in commercials, including Sydney Sweeney, Timothée Chalamet, State Farm, Toyota, OpenAI, and Salesforce.

Which prediction market to choose?

The leading prediction market platforms offer Super Bowl contracts, although market names and available outcomes vary by venue. Common options include the championship winner, conference and division futures, individual games, and novelty props. Current activity also differs across platforms; compare the latest figures in our NFL market volume tracker.

Availability varies by platform, product, and state. Review local eligibility before trading; our state guides cover California, Texas, and Florida.

  • Kalshi: Kalshi supports bank-linked and fiat funding and lists team futures, conference and division winners, and season-long props. Use the Kalshi referral code RATE. Current offer: Trade $10, Get $25.
  • Polymarket: Polymarket operates U.S. and global products with different access and funding requirements. Its Super Bowl selection can include team futures and entertainment props, with available contracts changing as the season progresses.
  • Gemini: Gemini Predictions offers sports event contracts within the Gemini app. The live feed above includes its Super Bowl futures when available.
  • OG: Backed by Crypto.com, OG offers sports prediction markets that can include moneylines, spreads, totals, and player props. Its current availability and offer details are covered in our review.
  • DraftKings: DraftKings Predictions lists sports and non-sports event contracts in eligible jurisdictions. Its current offer and state availability are covered in our review.

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About The Author
Author Cheryle Shepstone
Cheryle Shepstone
Cheryle is Director of Content and Strategy at DeFi Rate. She oversees the prediction market research, platform reviews, and editorial methodology behind every guide—from primary source verification through final fact-check. Before DeFi Rate, she led content and growth strategy at Catena Media, where she helped shape content and revenue strategy for regulated and financial markets. She has 20 years of experience in research and marketing strategy