Economics Prediction Markets: Policy, Commodities, Trade
24H Volume
$1.2M
Kalshi
86.5%
Polymarket
13.5%
Polymarket US
0%
Active Markets
5,509
Kalshi
5,025
Polymarket
362
Polymarket US
122
Open Interest
Approx. OI
$56.5M
Kalshi
$56.5M
Polymarket
β
Polymarket US
β
Top Market (24H)
$184.6K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?
Today's Top Markets by Volume
Fed Decision in September?
WTB
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting
50.0%
WTF
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting
50.0%
WTF
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting
1.0%
WTF
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting
1.0%
WTF
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting
1.0%
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
H2
Hike 25bps
50.0%
MR
Maintain rate
49.0%
H2
Hike >25bps
2.0%
C2
Cut 25bps
1.0%
C2
Cut >25bps
1.0%
US gas prices this week
39
$3.900
100.0%
41
$4.100
100.0%
41
$4.120
100.0%
40
$4.000
100.0%
39
$3.920
100.0%
40
$4.020
100.0%
40
$4.060
100.0%
39
$3.980
100.0%
40
$4.080
100.0%
39
$3.940
100.0%
40
$4.040
100.0%
41
$4.122
100.0%
39
$3.960
100.0%
41
$4.124
100.0%
41
$4.128
99.0%
41
$4.126
99.0%
41
$4.130
99.0%
41
$4.136
98.0%
41
$4.132
98.0%
41
$4.134
98.0%
41
$4.138
93.0%
41
$4.140
81.0%
41
$4.142
76.0%
41
$4.144
71.0%
41
$4.146
62.0%
41
$4.148
41.0%
41
$4.150
12.0%
41
$4.160
4.0%
42
$4.200
1.0%
41
$4.180
1.0%
42
$4.220
1.0%
42
$4.260
1.0%
42
$4.240
1.0%
43
$4.300
1.0%
42
$4.280
1.0%
US gas prices tomorrow
41
> $4.135
100.0%
41
> $4.105
100.0%
41
> $4.120
100.0%
41
> $4.115
100.0%
41
> $4.125
100.0%
41
> $4.130
100.0%
41
> $4.110
100.0%
41
> $4.140
95.0%
41
> $4.145
54.0%
41
> $4.150
29.0%
41
> $4.155
4.0%
41
> $4.165
1.0%
41
> $4.160
1.0%
41
> $4.185
1.0%
41
> $4.180
1.0%
41
> $4.175
1.0%
41
> $4.170
1.0%
Top Economic Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket
Displays both open and closed markets on Kalshi and Polymarket. Filter by status or platform. Volume based on the last 7 days.
1
Fed Decision in September?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting
50%
$3.0M
$0
Sep 15
Active
2
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
Hike 25bps
50%
$221.5K
$26.8M
Dec 16
Active
3
US gas prices this week
$3.900
100%
$66.1K
$498.5K
Sep 14
Active
4
US gas prices tomorrow
> $4.135
100%
$43.6K
$64.7K
Sep 13
Active
5
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
93%
$43.3K
$0
Dec 30
Active
6
Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?
No
51%
$38.2K
$5.8K
Mar 31
Active
7
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
1
8%
$30.7K
$5.7M
Jan 1
Active
8
How many jobs added in August?
$150K
Outcome
$30.2K
β
Sep 4
Closed
9
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2029
73%
$29.2K
$3.8M
Apr 1
Active
10
Fed rate cut by…?
December 2026 meeting
7%
$28.7K
$0
Jan 7
Active
11
Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
> $83.49
100%
$21.5K
$57.9K
Sep 15
Active
12
Texas gas prices tomorrow
> $3.64
99%
$21.5K
$21.4K
Sep 13
Active
13
Fed Decision in October?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
68%
$18.3K
$0
Oct 28
Active
14
Georgia gas prices tomorrow
> $3.86
100%
$15.2K
$16.9K
Sep 13
Active
15
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
72%
$15.1K
$0
Dec 8
Active
16
Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
> $4.26
99%
$13.4K
$14.9K
Sep 13
Active
17
Florida gas prices tomorrow
$3.8850
75%
$13.2K
$12.5K
Sep 13
Active
18
Recession in γ
€2027?
No
75%
$13.1K
$166.4K
Feb 7
Active
19
Washington gas prices tomorrow
> $5.4700
99%
$13.1K
$12.9K
Sep 13
Active
20
August Unemployment Rate
the August 2026 unemployment rate
Outcome
$13.0K
β
Sep 4
Closed
21
North Carolina gas prices tomorrow
> $3.80
98%
$12.6K
$12.8K
Sep 13
Active
22
Illinois gas prices tomorrow
> $4.265
99%
$12.4K
$14.3K
Sep 13
Active
23
Ohio gas prices tomorrow
$3.8950
97%
$12.3K
$13.2K
Sep 13
Active
24
Recession before 2027?
No
95%
$11.9K
$890.4K
Feb 7
Active
25
California gas prices tomorrow
> $5.825
100%
$11.7K
$13.4K
Sep 13
Active
26
New Jersey gas prices tomorrow
> $4.225
99%
$10.9K
$13.1K
Sep 13
Active
27
New York gas prices tomorrow
> $4.2650
98%
$10.8K
$10.9K
Sep 13
Active
28
Bank of Russia decision in September?
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting
64%
$10.1K
$0
Sep 11
Closing Soon
29
US SPR level for the week ending September 4, 2026
Above 280M
100%
$9.6K
$9.9K
Sep 16
Active
30
Bank of Japan Decision in September?
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting
98%
$9.5K
$0
Sep 18
Active
31
Next Fed rate hike?
Dec 31, 2027
84%
$9.4K
$1.4M
Jan 1
Active
32
Diesel prices tomorrow
> $5.830
100%
$9.3K
$9.2K
Sep 13
Closing Soon
33
August Inflation US – Monthly
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August
47%
$9.0K
$0
Sep 10
Closing Soon
34
Crude Oil all time high by…?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31
10%
$8.9K
$0
Dec 31
Active
35
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change in Bank of Japanβs interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
78%
$8.2K
$0
Oct 29
Active
36
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
Above 1,600
94%
$7.0K
$24.7K
May 10
Active
37
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by…?
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30
7%
$6.5K
$0
Dec 31
Active
38
Fed Decision in December?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
45%
$6.4K
$0
Dec 9
Active
39
Copper price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Above $5.79
97%
$6.3K
$13.8K
Oct 7
Active
40
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6
78%
$6.2K
$0
Sep 6
Closing Soon
41
Diesel prices this week
> $5.74
100%
$5.9K
$58.2K
Sep 14
Active
42
Fed rate hike by…?
October 2026 Meeting
62%
$5.5K
$0
Dec 8
Active
43
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.7%
100%
$4.7K
$369.9K
Dec 11
Active
44
CPI in August
> -0.4%
100%
$4.6K
$177.8K
Dec 11
Active
45
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
South Koreaβs 2026 Annual Inflation
31%
$4.5K
$0
Dec 30
Active
46
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (JunβJulβSep)
51%
$3.9K
$0
Sep 15
Active
47
Wyoming total coal production in 2026
Above 180 MMst
93%
$3.7K
$10.1K
Apr 8
Active
48
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
At least 250 billion
5%
$3.7K
$75.9K
Mar 31
Active
49
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
Above 56.00%
98%
$3.3K
$13.2K
Jan 15
Active
50
CPI-U index in August
334.300
98%
$3.2K
$51.2K
Sep 18
Active
51
Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
Above 28.0Β’/kWh
96%
$2.9K
$10.2K
Mar 7
Active
52
Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
Will
64%
$2.8K
$0
Oct 29
Active
53
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No
96%
$2.7K
$0
Dec 31
Active
54
US unemployment rate at year-end 2026
Above 3.0%
99%
$2.7K
$5.2K
Jan 15
Active
55
South Korea exports YoY for September
Above 45.0%
92%
$2.6K
$4.0K
Oct 7
Active
56
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
> 3.50%
100%
$2.6K
$929.9K
Sep 23
Active
57
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Maintain rate
69%
$2.5K
$459.2K
Jan 27
Active
58
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
Maintain rate
50%
$2.5K
$106.6K
Mar 10
Active
59
Broadline Retail Ad Spend in September
Above 111
91%
$2.3K
$3.1K
Oct 12
Active
60
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2028
> 56.00%
97%
$2.3K
$2.0K
Jan 12
Active
61
S&P close price end of 2026?
8000β8199
17%
$2.2K
$2.3M
Jan 7
Active
62
New Jersey gas prices this week
$4.20
98%
$2.1K
$9.0K
Sep 14
Active
63
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Yes
91%
$2.1K
$452.8K
Jan 7
Active
64
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
98%
$2.1K
$8.0K
Jan 13
Active
65
Brent crude oil price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Above $71.99
99%
$2.0K
$18.5K
Oct 7
Active
66
August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
H: 0.4%, C: 0.2%
38%
$2.0K
$20.6K
Sep 18
Active
67
Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
> 447,500
97%
$1.9K
$11.1K
May 7
Active
68
Amusement Parks Ad Spend in September
Above 103
88%
$1.8K
$2.1K
Oct 12
Active
69
Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
$91.00β$91.99
10%
$1.8K
$19.5K
Sep 18
Active
70
How high will WTI oil get by Sep 30, 2026?
$91.50
99%
$1.7K
$23.6K
Oct 7
Active
71
US recession by end of 2026?
No
93%
$1.7K
$0
Jan 30
Active
72
Fed rate cut before 2027?
No
90%
$1.7K
$537.3K
Jan 1
Active
73
September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents
No change, >0 dissents
45%
$1.6K
$59.4K
Sep 23
Active
74
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
Above $4.60
41%
$1.6K
$680.5K
Jan 6
Active
75
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2031
> 56.00%
91%
$1.5K
$2.2K
Jan 16
Active
76
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13
33%
$1.5K
$0
Sep 13
Active
77
How high will gas prices in California get this year?
Above $6.20
67%
$1.5K
$64.6K
Jan 7
Active
78
Fitness Centers Ad Spend in September
Above 123
64%
$1.4K
$584
Oct 12
Active
79
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
Above $3,800
95%
$1.4K
$24.3K
Feb 7
Active
80
Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
185,000+
97%
$1.4K
$2.6K
Sep 17
Active