Bills vs. VikingsWeek 9 Predictions, Picks and Odds
Buffalo visits Minnesota on Monday night, pairing high-scoring road form with an unbeaten opponent at the cutoff. Compare live win probabilities, the spread and total.
About 3 in 5 (−163)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $161 if correct, before fees.
About 2 in 5 (+160)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $259 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 62¢64.6¢63¢ + fee$155per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 61.5¢63.4¢61.8¢ + fee$158per $100
- PolymarketOutside US5% fee · bid 62¢64.2¢63¢ + fee$156per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Bills by 3.2 with 45.3 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: BUF -3.5, total 44.5.
Bills vs. Vikings moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo BillsAway · −163 | 62% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $161 | Kalshi63¢ | Polymarket US61.8¢ | Gemini63¢ | |
| Minnesota VikingsHome · +160 | 38% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $259 | Kalshi39¢ | Polymarket US38.5¢ | Gemini39¢ |
Best prices to buy: Buffalo at 61.8¢ on Polymarket US; Minnesota at 38.5¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $1.1M on Kalshi and $516K on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 9, 12:56 PM and 12:57 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Buffalo lost 1 point, to 63%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 27 to Nov 8 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Bills vs. Vikings spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 25 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 9, 12:12 PM and 12:59 PM ET.
Bills vs. Vikings team totals
Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 17 team total lines
All 17 team total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Nov 9, 12:59 PM ET.
Bills vs. Vikings player props
Every NFL player prop this week, with projections and best picks →
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin JeffersonMIN | Anytime touchdown | 38% | 38¢ | 63¢ |
| James Cook IIIBUF | Anytime touchdown | 49% | 49¢ | 52¢ |
| Josh AllenBUF | Anytime touchdown | 53% | 53¢ | 48¢ |
| Tai FeltonMIN | Anytime touchdown | 7.5% | 8¢ | 93¢ |
| Myles PriceMIN | First touchdown | 1.5% | 2¢ | 99¢ |
| Justin JeffersonMIN | First touchdown | 8.5% | 9¢ | 92¢ |
| T.J. HockensonMIN | First touchdown | 6.5% | 7¢ | 94¢ |
| Gavin BartholomewMIN | Anytime touchdown | 4.5% | 5¢ | 96¢ |
| Carson WentzMIN | Anytime touchdown | 6.5% | 7¢ | 94¢ |
| Dalton KincaidBUF | Anytime touchdown | 24% | 24¢ | 77¢ |
| Dalton KincaidBUF | First touchdown | 5.5% | 6¢ | 95¢ |
| Justin JeffersonMIN | 80+ receiving yards | 49% | 49¢ | 52¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Nov 9, 12:59 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
8:15 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 9 games 15 games
- FinalJAC Jaguars33BAL Ravens10$93M traded
- FinalCIN Bengals34ATL Falcons17$6.8M traded
- FinalCLE Browns22NO Saints23$5.4M traded
- FinalDAL Cowboys27IND Colts23$4.8M traded
- FinalDEN Broncos26CAR Panthers21$4.6M traded
- FinalDET Lions19MIA Dolphins9$3.1M traded
- FinalLAR Rams20WAS Commanders13$4M traded
- FinalNYG Giants19PHI Eagles11$7.4M traded
- FinalNYJ Jets12KC Chiefs35$5.1M traded
- FinalHOU Texans44LAC Chargers22$3.4M traded
- FinalLV Raiders17SF 49ers38$4.3M traded
- FinalARI Cardinals3SEA Seahawks17$4.5M traded
- FinalGB Packers45NE Patriots27$8.3M traded
- FinalTB Buccaneers24CHI Bears27$9M traded
- Mon 8:15 PM ETThis gameBUF BillsMIN VikingsBUF 62%
The Buffalo Bills visit the Minnesota Vikings at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Nov. 9, 2026, at U.S. Bank Stadium, with coverage on ESPN and ABC. Buffalo is the early market favorite for this Week 9 matchup.
Buffalo most recently won 33-30 at Las Vegas before a Week 7 bye. Minnesota beat Indianapolis 16-10 on Oct. 25. Records and trends cover completed games through Oct. 30, excluding Nov. 1; the live board updates separately.
Bills vs Vikings odds and info
Date & time: Monday, Nov. 9, 2026, at 8:15 p.m. ET / 5:15 p.m. PST
Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Moneyline: Bills 55.5%, Vikings 45% on Kalshi
Spread: Bills -2.5 at 51%, Vikings +2.5 at 49% on Polymarket US
Over/under: 48.5 points, Over 49%, Under 51% on Polymarket US
Records through Oct. 30: Bills 5-1, Vikings 6-0
Native bid/ask midpoint snapshots checked Oct. 30, 2026: Kalshi at 8:28 a.m. PT; Polymarket US at 8:29 a.m. PT. Separate Kalshi team markets need not total 100%. Spread and total are selected near-even contracts, not executable buy prices.
Picks & predictions
Moneyline: Traders favor Buffalo despite Minnesota's unbeaten record at the cutoff. The Bills are 3-0 on the road, scoring 35.3 points per game. The Vikings are 3-0 at home and have allowed 14 points per home game.
Against the spread: Buffalo needs a margin of at least three to cover the selected -2.5 contract. Both teams are 4-2 against the spread overall. Buffalo is 2-1 on the road; Minnesota is 1-2 at home, where two wins fell short of the listed spread.
Over/under: The 48.5-point contract leans slightly under. Buffalo games are 5-1 over/under, with all three road games going over. Minnesota games are 1-5, including unders in its last three. This pairs a high-scoring road sample with a low-scoring defensive sample.
Form: Josh Allen threw two touchdowns without an interception at Las Vegas. Kyler Murray threw one touchdown without an interception against Indianapolis. Buffalo is 2-1 over its last three games, while Minnesota won all three and allowed 33 points combined.
For current offer details and qualifying terms, see our Kalshi promo code guide.
Bills vs. Vikings stats
Latest-game comparison: Buffalo's Week 6 game on Oct. 18 and Minnesota's Week 7 game on Oct. 25, 2026. Buffalo had a Week 7 bye. These are single-game results, not season averages.
| Team stat | Bills | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 33 | 16 |
| Points allowed | 30 | 10 |
| QB gross passing yards | 255 | 150 |
| QB passing TDs / INTs | 2 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Stat leaders: Latest-game passing leaders were Josh Allen for Buffalo (255 yards) and Kyler Murray for Minnesota (150 yards); these are not Week 9 starter announcements.
Latest-game sources: official NFL Bills at Raiders gamebook and Colts at Vikings gamebook. Season trends: ESPN's Bills schedule and Vikings schedule, completed-game scores and listed closing lines. Checked Oct. 30; refreshed as each week is completed.
How to trade Bills vs. Vikings odds
In a hypothetical trade, 100 Yes contracts at 60¢ cost $60 and pay $100 if Yes settles, a $40 profit before fees. This example is not a quote for either team. Compare available prices and each contract's rules before buying.
Explore other matchups and futures on our NFL odds hub. Trading involves risk, and you can lose your entire position.
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