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Buccaneers vs. Bears Final Score & Odds RecapThe Bears beat the Buccaneers 27–24 at home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears, Sunday, Nov 8. Final: Buccaneers 24, Bears 27. Kalshi and Polymarket US settled the game on Chicago. Trading has closed on Gemini, and it hasn't reported a result yet.

Winner
Chicago Bears

Settled on Kalshi (Nov 8, 11:46 PM ET) and Polymarket US (Nov 8, 11:41 PM ET)

Tampa BayBuccaneers3-6 · Away
24
FinalFinal
1234T
TB0671124
CHI1437327
ChicagoBears7-2 · Home
27
Buccaneers win chance, the whole game
–ESPN’s model 0%
KalshiPolymarketESPN model
Half0%10%20%30%40%KOQ2Q3Q48:309:009:3010:0010:3011:0011:30
CHI TD0–7TB FG3–14CHI FG3–17TB TD13–17TB TD13–24TB TD24–24
Biggest swingTB −22¢

4th 0:47: C.Williams pass deep left to C.Loveland pushed ob at TB 16 for 38 yards (I.Melif…

Traded on the game$9.0M

On every market we track on it (winner, spread, total, quarters, props and more), across Polymarket US, Polymarket and Kalshi. Kalshi’s share is its own volume, $1 a contract.

How the markets called it

At kickoff
  • Kalshi
  • Polymarket US

Bears won as the favorite, 27–24.

Spread
CHI −6.5Buccaneers covered
Total
47.5Over: 51 points

Each venue’s last price for each team at or before 8:10 PM ET, 10 minutes before kickoff; the spread and total are Kalshi’s lines priced closest to even. No price from Polymarket by then.

Money traded

$9.0M in all · 782,704 trades
  • Polymarket US$4.0M
    44%
  • Polymarket$3.1M
    35%
  • Kalshi$1.9M
    21%

Kalshi, by bet type

  • Winner$501k
    26%
  • Spread$516k
    27%
  • Total points$737k
    38%
  • Quarters and halves$9.5k
    0%
  • Player props$153k
    8%
  • Everything else$14k
    1%

Every market we track on the game (winner, spread, total, quarters and halves, player props and the rest), from each market’s opening to settlement. Parlays aren’t counted. Kalshi’s figure is its own volume, as Kalshi shows it: contracts traded, each counted at its $1 payout (our data partner AllTop’s count of every Kalshi trade on the game’s markets). Polymarket’s and Polymarket US’s are dollars paid for their contracts (price times contracts), as our data partner AllTop reports each trade. The total adds the three.

Biggest trades

  1. $498k on the Bears at 91¢Kalshi · Sun 11:02 PM · 9 fills
  2. $148k on the Bears at 66¢Kalshi · Sun 11:33 PM · 2 fills
  3. $139k on the Bears at 66¢Kalshi · Sun 11:33 PM · 2 fills
  4. $102k on the Buccaneers at 29¢Kalshi · Sun 8:02 PM
  5. $99k on the Bears at 99¢Kalshi · Sun 11:38 PM
  6. $94k traded on the Bears at 71¢Polymarket · Sun 6:44 PM
  7. $75k traded on the Bears at 71¢Polymarket · Sun 6:44 PM
  8. $60k on the Bears at 69¢Kalshi · Sun 11:30 PM

On the winner market, any time before settlement. Polymarket doesn’t say which side its buyer took, so its trades show the team traded.

Quarter & half winners

Kalshi, settled
  • 1st quarterCHI
  • 2nd quarterTB
  • 3rd quarterTie
  • 4th quarterTB
  • 1st halfCHI
  • 2nd halfTB

Player props

Kalshi, settled
  • D'Andre SwiftMissed
    CHI · 1+ TD0 TD
    1,083,230 contracts traded
  • Colston LovelandMissed
    CHI · 1+ TD0 TD
    855,707 contracts traded
  • Bucky IrvingHit
    TB · 1+ TD2 TD
    835,037 contracts traded
  • Luther Burden IIIMissed
    CHI · 2+ TD1 TD
    665,649 contracts traded
  • Emeka EgbukaMissed
    TB · First touchdown
    589,733 contracts traded
  • Rome OdunzeHit
    CHI · First touchdown
    409,218 contracts traded

Each player’s most-traded prop on Kalshi, as it settled.

  1. 11:38Kalshi
    11 big bets · $277k all on the Bears
    • 11:38 · $22k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $15k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $11k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $16k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $10k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $28k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $12k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $26k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $99k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $20k on the Bears at 99¢
    • 11:38 · $20k on the Bears at 99¢
    CHI
  2. Bears drive8 plays, 49 yards, 2:51FG
  3. Q4 0:0011:38END GAME
  4. Q4 0:0011:383rd & 14 at TB 20CHI 24–27(:03) C.Santos 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-T.Taylor. Penalty on TB-A.Robinson, Unnecessary Roughness, declined.—4.5¢→4.5¢$1.0M traded3% TBESPN 0% TB
  5. 11:38Kalshi
    7 big bets · $148k all on the Bears
    • 11:38 · $11k on the Bears at 97¢
    • 11:38 · $19k on the Bears at 96¢
    • 11:38 · $15k on the Bears at 96¢
    • 11:38 · $25k on the Bears at 96¢
    • 11:37 · $33k on the Bears at 96¢
    • 11:37 · $12k on the Bears at 95¢
    • 11:37 · $33k on the Bears at 95¢
    CHI
  6. Q4 0:0311:37Timeout #1 by CHI at 00:03.
  7. 11:37Kalshi$27k on the Bears at 96¢, $28k if they winCHI
  8. Q4 0:3611:372nd & 13 at TB 19C.Williams kneels to TB 20 for -1 yards.—4.5¢→4.5¢$215k traded17% TBESPN 16% TB
  9. 11:36Kalshi$14k on the Bears at 96¢, $14k if they winCHI
  10. Q4 0:3611:36Timeout #3 by TB at 00:36.
  11. 11:36Kalshi
    2 big bets · $32k all on the Bears
    • 11:36 · $14k on the Bears at 96¢
    • 11:36 · $18k on the Bears at 96¢
    CHI
  12. Q4 0:4011:361st & 10 at TB 16C.Williams kneels to TB 19 for -3 yards.—4.5¢→4.5¢$825k traded2% TBESPN 15% TB
  13. Q4 0:4711:352nd & 9 at CHI 46C.Williams pass deep left to C.Loveland pushed ob at TB 16 for 38 yards (I.Melifonwu).TB −22¢26.5¢→4.5¢$193k traded6% TBESPN 9% TB
  14. Q4 1:2211:341st & 10 at CHI 45D.Swift left end to CHI 46 for 1 yard (J.Parrish).—26.5¢→26.5¢$167k traded0% TBESPN 35% TB
  15. Q4 2:0011:333rd & 4 at CHI 37C.Williams pass short left to K.Raymond to CHI 45 for 8 yards (J.Trotter).TB −8¢34.5¢→26.5¢
  16. Q4 2:0011:32Two-Minute Warning
  17. Q4 2:3711:322nd & 10 at CHI 31C.Williams pass short left to C.Loveland to CHI 37 for 6 yards (I.Melifonwu).TB −2¢35.5¢→33.5¢
  18. Q4 2:4611:311st & 10 at CHI 31C.Williams pass incomplete deep right to C.Loveland (I.Melifonwu) [R.Bain].—35.5¢→35.5¢
  19. Q4 2:5111:30C.McLaughlin kicks 55 yards from TB 35 to CHI 10. J.Blackwell to CHI 31 for 21 yards (M.Killebrew).
  20. Buccaneers drive2 plays, 17 yards, 0:47TD
  21. Q4 2:5111:271st & Goal at CHI 6TB 24–24B.Irving left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. B.Mayfield rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.TB +5¢18.5¢→24¢
  22. Q4 3:3811:271st & 10 at CHI 17B.Irving right tackle to CHI 6 for 11 yards (C.Phillips).TB +3¢15.5¢→18.5¢
  23. Bears drive3 plays, 7 yards, 0:49Fumble
  24. Q4 3:4811:243rd & 7 at CHI 15C.Williams pass short left to L.Burden to CHI 19 for 4 yards (R.Bain; K.Scott). FUMBLES (R.Bain), RECOVERED by TB-I.Melifonwu at CHI 21. I.Melifonwu to CHI 17 for 4 yards (J.Thuney). CHI-L.Burden was injured during the play.TB +9¢6.5¢→15.5¢
  25. Q4 3:4811:23Timeout #2 by TB at 03:48.
  26. Q4 3:5211:232nd & 6 at CHI 16D.Swift right tackle to CHI 15 for -1 yards (T.Smith).TB +1¢5.5¢→6.5¢
  27. Q4 4:2711:221st & 10 at CHI 12D.Swift right guard to CHI 16 for 4 yards (J.Trotter).—5.5¢→5.5¢
  28. Buccaneers drive5 plays, 16 yards, 3:36Punt
  29. Q4 4:2711:20Official Timeout at 04:27.
  30. Q4 4:4111:184th & 11 at TB 31R.Dixon punts 47 yards to CHI 22, Center-E.Deckers. K.Raymond to CHI 27 for 5 yards (K.Kieft; K.Knowles).PENALTY on CHI-C.Lewis, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CHI 22.TB +1¢4.5¢→5.5¢
  31. Q4 5:2611:183rd & 21 at TB 21B.Mayfield pass short right to K.Gainwell to TB 31 for 10 yards (D.Bush).TB −5¢9.5¢→4.5¢
  32. Q4 6:1111:172nd & 13 at TB 29B.Mayfield sacked at TB 21 for -8 yards (sack split by D.Hardy and G.Jarrett).—9.5¢→9.5¢
  33. Q4 6:5411:161st & 10 at TB 32B.Mayfield sacked at TB 29 for -3 yards (J.Simmons).TB −4¢13.5¢→9.5¢
  34. Q4 7:1911:153rd & 8 at TB 17B.Mayfield sacked at TB 5 for -12 yards (sack split by A.Booker and M.Sweat).PENALTY on CHI-A.Booker, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at TB 17 - No Play.—13.5¢→13.5¢
  35. Q4 7:2511:142nd & 8 at TB 17B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right [M.Sweat].TB +5¢8.5¢→13.5¢
  36. Q4 7:2511:132nd & 3 at TB 22PENALTY on TB-T.Wirfs, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TB 22 - No Play.TB −3¢11.5¢→8.5¢$72k traded9% TBESPN 9% TB
  37. Q4 8:0311:131st & 10 at TB 15B.Mayfield pass short right to B.Irving to TB 22 for 7 yards (D.Bush; M.Sweat).TB +1¢10.5¢→11.5¢$95k traded34% TBESPN 12% TB
  38. Bears drive5 plays, 19 yards, 3:21Punt
  39. Q4 8:1011:124th & 12 at TB 46T.Taylor punts 31 yards to TB 15, Center-S.Daly, fair catch by T.Johnson. ** Injury Update: TB-S.Tucker has returned to the game.—10.5¢→10.5¢$49k traded32% TBESPN 11% TB
  40. Q4 8:1011:114th & 7 at TB 41PENALTY on CHI, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at TB 41 - No Play.—10.5¢→10.5¢$81k traded24% TBESPN 11% TB
  41. Q4 9:0311:103rd & 5 at TB 39C.Williams pass short right to L.Burden to TB 41 for -2 yards (Z.McCollum).—10.5¢→10.5¢$95k traded8% TBESPN 11% TB
  42. Q4 9:4811:092nd & 3 at TB 37C.Williams sacked at TB 39 for -2 yards (sack split by A.Nelson and C.Kancey).TB +4¢6.5¢→10.5¢$107k traded5% TBESPN 9% TB
  43. Q4 10:2211:091st & 10 at TB 44S.Ahmed left guard to TB 37 for 7 yards (C.Kancey).TB −1¢7.5¢→6.5¢$128k traded4% TBESPN 7% TB
  44. Q4 10:5911:082nd & 7 at CHI 38C.Williams pass short right to S.Roush pushed ob at TB 44 for 18 yards (I.Melifonwu).TB −10¢17.5¢→7.5¢$837k traded14% TBESPN 8% TB
  45. Q4 11:2411:051st & 10 at CHI 35D.Swift right end to CHI 38 for 3 yards (V.Vea).Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)TB +8¢9.5¢→17.5¢$19k traded52% TBESPN 19% TB
  46. Q4 11:2411:04C.McLaughlin kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback to the CHI 35.
  47. Buccaneers drive8 plays, 48 yards, 4:00FG
  48. Q4 11:2411:01Official Timeout at 11:24.
  49. Q4 11:2411:014th & 9 at CHI 17TB 16–24C.McLaughlin 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Deckers, Holder-R.Dixon.TB +1¢8.5¢→9.5¢
  50. Q4 11:2811:004th & 4 at CHI 12PENALTY on TB, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at CHI 12 - No Play.TB −1¢9.5¢→8.5¢
  51. Q4 12:1910:593rd & 10 at CHI 18B.Mayfield pass short right to K.Gainwell to CHI 12 for 6 yards (D.Bush; J.Simmons).—9.5¢→9.5¢
  52. Q4 12:2410:582nd & 10 at CHI 18B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to C.Otton.TB −3¢12.5¢→9.5¢
  53. Q4 13:0610:581st & 10 at CHI 18K.Gainwell right end to CHI 18 for no gain (J.Johnson; D.Thieneman).TB −2¢14.5¢→12.5¢
  54. Q4 13:3810:572nd & 3 at CHI 26K.Gainwell left end pushed ob at CHI 18 for 8 yards (T.Stevenson).—14.5¢→14.5¢
  55. Q4 14:1810:561st & 10 at CHI 33B.Irving left guard to CHI 26 for 7 yards (N.Gallimore).TB +1¢13.5¢→14.5¢
  56. Q4 15:0010:552nd & 3 at TB 42B.Irving left tackle to CHI 33 for 25 yards (M.Sweat). FUMBLES (M.Sweat), ball out of bounds at CHI 31.TB +3¢10.5¢→13.5¢
NFL Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8

Buccaneers vs. Bears moneyline

Final

Trading has closed, so there's no price to buy.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears: moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini, observed between Nov 8, 11:42 PM ET and Nov 9, 1:11 AM ET
TeamAverageKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
Chicago Bears ClosedHome–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledGeminiClosed
Tampa Bay Buccaneers ClosedAway–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledGeminiClosed

Kalshi: SettledPolymarket US: SettledGemini: Closed Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 8, 11:42 PM ET and Nov 9, 1:11 AM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeOct 27 – Nov 7
2030405060708029%72%
BuccaneersBears

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 27 to Nov 7 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Spread & total · Kalshi

How the Buccaneers vs. Bears spread and total settled

Kalshi's results for the lines either side of where each ladder settled.

Bears win by more than…

Spread ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
3+ ptsSettled Yes
4+ ptsSettled No
All 29 spread lines

Spread ladder, Kalshi: every line
Buccaneers 2+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 3+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 4+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 5+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 6+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 7+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 8+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 10+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 11+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 14+ ptsSettled No
Buccaneers 15+ ptsSettled No
Bears 2+ ptsSettled Yes
Bears 3+ ptsSettled Yes
Bears 4+ ptsSettled No
Bears 5+ ptsSettled No
Bears 6+ ptsSettled No
Bears 7+ ptsSettled No
Bears 8+ ptsSettled No
Bears 10+ ptsSettled No
Bears 11+ ptsSettled No
Bears 14+ ptsSettled No
Bears 15+ ptsSettled No
Bears 17+ ptsSettled No
Bears 18+ ptsSettled No
Bears 21+ ptsSettled No
Bears 24+ ptsSettled No
Bears 28+ ptsSettled No
Bears 31+ ptsSettled No
Bears 34+ ptsSettled No
Total points over…

Total points ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
49.5Settled Yes
52.5Settled No
All 19 total lines

Total points ladder, Kalshi: every line
25.5Settled Yes
28.5Settled Yes
31.5Settled Yes
34.5Settled Yes
37.5Settled Yes
40.5Settled Yes
43.5Settled Yes
44.5Settled Yes
45.5Settled Yes
46.5Settled Yes
47.5Settled Yes
48.5Settled Yes
49.5Settled Yes
52.5Settled No
55.5Settled No
58.5Settled No
61.5Settled No
64.5Settled No
67.5Settled No

Settled Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 8, 10:22 PM and 11:46 PM ET.

NFL Week 9 games 15 games

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Chicago Bears at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026, at Soldier Field, with coverage on NBC. Chicago is the early market favorite for this Sunday night matchup.

Tampa Bay most recently won 43-13 at Carolina; Chicago beat New England 30-24. Records and trends below cover completed games through Oct. 30, before the Nov. 1 games. The live board updates separately.

Buccaneers vs Bears odds and info

  • Date & time: Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026, at 8:20 p.m. ET / 5:20 p.m. PST

  • Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

  • Moneyline: Bears 72.5%, Buccaneers 29% on Kalshi

  • Spread: Buccaneers +6.5 at 50.25%, Bears -6.5 at 49.75% on Polymarket US

  • Over/under: 48.5 points, Over 49.5%, Under 50.5% on Polymarket US

  • Records through Oct. 30: Buccaneers 2-5, Bears 5-2

Native bid/ask midpoint snapshots checked Oct. 30, 2026: Kalshi at 8:28 a.m. PT; Polymarket US at 8:29 a.m. PT. Separate Kalshi team markets need not total 100%. Spread and total are selected near-even contracts, not executable buy prices.

Picks & predictions

  • Moneyline: Traders favor Chicago, which is 3-1 at home and has allowed just 13 points per home game. Tampa Bay's 2-1 road record is stronger than its overall record, with both wins coming away from home.

  • Against the spread: Chicago must win by at least seven to cover the selected -6.5 contract. The Bears are 5-2 against the spread overall and 3-1 at home. Tampa Bay is 2-5 overall but 2-1 on the road, giving the underdog a stronger away profile.

  • Over/under: The 48.5-point market is nearly evenly split. Chicago games are 3-4 over/under, with three unders in four home games. Tampa Bay games are 4-3, including two overs in three road games. The Buccaneers have scored 31.3 points per road game.

  • Form: Both teams are 2-1 over their last three games. Chicago's Caleb Williams threw for 308 yards against New England. Tampa Bay scored 43 at Carolina despite just 64 passing yards from Baker Mayfield; that score was not driven by high passing yardage.

For current offer details and qualifying terms, see our Kalshi promo code guide.

Buccaneers vs. Bears stats

Latest-game comparison: Tampa Bay's Week 7 game on Oct. 25 and Chicago's Week 7 game on Oct. 22, 2026. These are single-game results, not season averages.

Latest completed games through Oct. 30, 2026.
Team statBuccaneersBears
Points scored4330
Points allowed1324
QB gross passing yards64308
QB passing TDs / INTs1 / 02 / 0

Stat leaders: Latest-game passing leaders were Baker Mayfield for Tampa Bay (64 yards) and Caleb Williams for Chicago (308 yards); these are not Week 9 starter announcements.

Latest-game sources: official NFL Buccaneers at Panthers gamebook and Patriots at Bears gamebook. Season trends: ESPN's Buccaneers schedule and Bears schedule, completed-game scores and listed closing lines. Checked Oct. 30; refreshed as each week is completed.

How to trade Buccaneers vs. Bears odds

In a hypothetical trade, 100 Yes contracts at 60¢ cost $60 and pay $100 if Yes settles, a $40 profit before fees. This example is not a quote for either team. Compare available prices and each contract's rules before buying.

Explore other matchups and futures on our NFL odds hub. Trading involves risk, and you can lose your entire position.

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Source: DraftKings Predictions / Gemini / Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket / Polymarket US / ProphetX / Rothera / Underdog Exchange via DeFi Rate: volume by category as of Nov 9, 10:30 AM ET.