News categoryData
Data stories
11 stories, newest first
- Kalshi Tops $7.5B With a Day Left, Smashing Its Own Weekly Volume Record
With one day still to trade, Kalshi had already beaten its weekly volume record, driven by World Cup matches, and was on track for its first eight-billion-dollar week.
- Kalshi Posts $13B Record Volume in March, Extends Lead Over Polymarket to $1B
Both platforms hit March records, then diverged: Kalshi rose 6.4% in the week of March 30 while Polymarket fell 12%, widening Kalshi’s notional volume lead to $932M.
- The Hidden Tax Inside Your Prediction Market App: March Madness Odds Compared
We compared pricing on six prediction market apps and two sportsbooks for NCAA tournament games and found house take varied widely between platforms.
- Kalshi Hits Record $3.4B Week with March Madness as Polymarket Tallies $2.5B
Kalshi posted a new record $3.40 billion notional volume week as Polymarket’s sports volume surged 32% week over week with NCAA basketball tournaments in full swing.
- Kalshi and Polymarket Generate Over $200M on Oscars, Calling 19 of 24 Winners
Prediction markets correctly call 19 of 24 Oscar category winners as the role of market-based forecasts expands in awards season.
- Kalshi Posts Record $2.9B Week on NCAA Basketball Tournaments as Polymarket Dips
Kalshi posted a new volume record for the week of March 9-15, surging to $2.9B on the back of NCAAB conference tournaments. Meanwhile, Polymarket dipped 6% ahead of the March fed meeting.
- Prediction Markets Hit $5.9B as Kalshi and Polymarket Set Combined Weekly Record
Kalshi and Polymarket had their biggest combined week on record as Polymarket passed a billion dollars in weekly sports volume for the first time.
- Trump Speech Generated $11.97M in Volume, Kalshi Hourly Breakdown
Kalshi’s mention market on Trump’s speech took in 391,165 trades over 46 days of live markets . 79% of the money showed up on speech night for a total of 11.97 million in lifetime value.
- Trump’s State of the Union Is a Multi-Million Dollar Mention Market — Here’s How Traders Are Playing It
We found average hit rate, historical trends, and what two experts have to say about Trump mention markets heading into the State of the Union address.
- Prediction Markets Cool to $5.3B After Super Bowl Surge as 6-Month Growth Hits 13x
Weekly volume fell after the Super Bowl spike, yet industry volume has grown sharply over six months, with Kalshi leading in sports and Polymarket in non-sports markets.
- $1.63B in Super Bowl Prediction Market Volume, $304M on Culture: Full Data Breakdown
DeFi Rate tracked Super Bowl prediction market volume across dozens of markets and mention strikes, including heavy trading on the halftime show and ads.