The Dutch were eliminated from the World Cup after losing to Morocco in the Round of 32. Cody Gakpo put the Netherlands 1-0 up, but a last-gasp header from Morocco center-back Issa Diop made it 1-1. The teams couldn’t be separated in extra time, so the game went to a penalty shootout. Justin Kluivert, Quentin Timber, and Crysencio Summerville all missed their penalty kicks, as Morocco won 3-2.

Netherlands World Cup 2026 recap

Prediction markets gave the Netherlands a 5.0% chance of winning the World Cup prior to their defeat. That left the Oranje behind just six other teams in the futures market: France, Spain, England, Argentina, Portugal, and Brazil.

The Dutch made a flying start to their World Cup campaign. They could only draw 2-2 with Japan in their opening game, but they then thumped Sweden 5-1 on Matchday 2, before beating Tunisia 3-1 in their final group stage game. However, they were handed a nightmare Round of 32 clash with Morocco, and they ultimately crashed out.

For live pricing on all remaining World Cup contenders, see our 2026 World Cup odds and probabilities.

Key players for the Netherlands

The Netherlands boast one of the best squads in the world right now. They have depth in almost every position, but these are the key players that starred for them at the World Cup:

• Virgil Van Dijk: Liverpool’s captain looked like a fading force at times ;ast season after a knee injury, but when he’s on song he can absolutely dominate opposing forwards while offering a goal threat from set pieces. He scored a pinpoint header in the Netherlands 2-2 draw with Japan on Matchday 1, and he looked like the team’s primary goal threat throughout the game.
• Ryan Gravenberch: The breakout star of Liverpool’s 2024-25 Premier League title-winning campaign will be central to how the Netherlands play. His ball carrying, press resistance, and positional discipline give the Dutch a platform that makes their defensive odds even more compelling. He provided two assists in the 2-2 draw with Japan, and he looked composed in possession against Sweden too.
• Frenkie de Jong: Barcelona’s deep-lying playmaker provided the springboard for the Oranje’s attacks, forming a double pivot with Gravenberch — one of the strongest midfield pairings at the tournament.

Related markets for the World Cup

Prediction market contracts on the Netherlands winning the World Cup have resolved to “no” after the Dutch were eliminated. You can still browse markets on the other teams at this tournament:

• Reach a specific round: Kalshi has contracts on whether a team will qualify for a certain round of the World Cup, such as the semifinals or the final.
• Golden Boot: Lionel Messi currently leads the way, with Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland hot on his heels.

More World Cup markets

Where to bet on the World Cup

Kalshi and Polymarket are the best prediction markets for World Cup. Both carry a range of futures contracts — tournament winner, round advancement, and so on – plus markets on each game. Popular options include the three-way moneyline, total goals, spreads, and goalscorer props, which settle at the end of regulation time (90 minutes plus injury time). You can also back a team to advance in each game, which includes the potential for extra time and penalties.

Prediction sites are particularly worth watching for users in states like California and Texas, which haven’t legalized online sports betting — at least two Netherlands group stage games will be played in Texas. See the latest prediction promo offers for new accounts.