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2027 Super Bowl Halftime: Who Will Headline?

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Updated 43 minutes ago · 8:45 AM PDT

Current Super Bowl Odds Prediction Market Promos

Kalshi and Polymarket currently offer "Who will headline the Super Bowl?" contracts for the 2027 show, with JAY-Z leading the board at 47.5% probability of being named and Justin Bieber, Miley Cyrus, and Billie Eilish sitting as the next most likely contenders. Total volume on the market sits at $31.7K. Our Super Bowl headliner tracker aggregates cross-platform odds for 2027 Super Bowl. Current probability synthesis from Kalshi and Polymarket. Stats and data updated every 30 minutes.

Largest Spread

10.05%

Drake

Current Favorite

47.5%

JAY-Z +42.5%

30D Volume (Share)

$31.7K

Momentum Leader

+42.5%

JAY-Z YTD change

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Current Odds Snapshot

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

JZ

JAY-Z

Vol $11.1K Spread —

Agg 47.5%

↑ +42.5%

K 47.5%

Vol $11.1K 45–50¢

JB

Justin Bieber

Vol $1.4K Spread 4.9%

Agg 25.6%

↑ +15.1%

K 28.0%

P 23.2%

Vol $1.3K 26–30¢

Polymarket 23.2%

Vol $98 5.2–41.1¢

MC

Miley Cyrus

Vol $2.3K Spread —

Agg 24.0%

↑ +4.5%

K 24.0%

Vol $2.3K 21–27¢

BE

Billie Eilish

Vol $219 Spread —

Agg 22.5%

↑ +17.0%

K 22.5%

Vol $219 17–28¢

DL

Dua Lipa

Vol $1.6K Spread 9.7%

Agg 22.3%

↑ +14.8%

P 27.2%

K 17.5%

Polymarket 27.2%

Vol $1.6K 14.3–40¢

Vol $13 13–22¢

OR

Olivia Rodrigo

Vol $1.4K Spread —

Agg 18.0%

↓ -0.5%

P 18.0%

Polymarket 18.0%

Vol $1.4K 16–20¢

HS

Harry Styles

Vol $1.2K Spread 8.0%

Agg 12.5%

↑ +5.0%

K 16.5%

P 8.5%

Vol $0 16–17¢

Polymarket 8.5%

Vol $1.2K 8.4–8.6¢

SC

Sabrina Carpenter

Vol $246 Spread —

Agg 12.5%

↑ +3.5%

K 12.5%

Vol $246 11–14¢

BT

BTS

Vol $98 Spread —

Agg 11.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 11.0%

Vol $98 9–13¢

DR

Drake

Vol $421 Spread 10.0%

Agg 10.0%

↑ +3.0%

P 15.0%

K 5.0%

Polymarket 15.0%

Vol $411 15–15.1¢

Vol $10 2–8¢

AG

Ariana Grande

Vol $857 Spread —

Agg 10.0%

↑ +2.5%

K 10.0%

Vol $857 8–12¢

TS

Taylor Swift

Vol $2.3K Spread 0.5%

Agg 10.0%

↓ -2.5%

K 10.0%

P 9.6%

Vol $2.2K 7–13¢

Polymarket 9.6%

Vol $100 6.3–12.8¢

PM

Post Malone

Vol $452 Spread —

Agg 9.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 9.5%

Vol $452 7–12¢

ME

Metallica

Vol $34 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

↑ +0.5%

K 7.0%

Vol $34 6–8¢

LG

Lady Gaga

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -2.5%

K 6.5%

TM

Tate McRae

Vol $89 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↑ +2.5%

K 5.5%

Vol $89 4–7¢

AD

Adele

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.0%

BB

Backstreet Boys

Vol $6 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 5.0%

MW

Morgan Wallen

Vol $81 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↓ -4.5%

K 5.0%

Vol $81 4–6¢

BL

BLACKPINK

Vol $76 Spread —

Agg 4.5%

↑ +1.0%

K 4.5%

Vol $76 4–5¢

CB

Cardi B

Vol $12 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

— +0.0%

K 4.0%

Vol $12 3–5¢

FF

Foo Fighters

Vol $6 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

↓ -2.5%

K 4.0%

TTC

Tyler, The Creator

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 4.0%

CB

Chris Brown

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 3.5%

ES

Ed Sheeran

Vol $11 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 3.5%

Vol $11 3–4¢

TS

Travis Scott

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

↓ -4.5%

K 3.0%

CR

Chappell Roan

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -3.0%

K 2.5%

GNR

Guns N' Roses

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 2.5%

LP

Linkin Park

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 2.5%

MTS

Megan Thee Stallion

Vol $432 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -2.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $432 1–4¢

PI

Pink

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 2.5%

RI

Rihanna

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 2.5%

KWY

Kanye West / Ye

Vol $7.1K Spread 0.3%

Agg 2.4%

↓ -2.7%

K 2.5%

P 2.2%

Vol $1.2K 1–4¢

Polymarket 2.2%

Vol $5.9K 1.3–3.1¢

AD

AC/DC

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 2.0%

CA

Christina Aguilera

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 2.0%

CO

Coldplay

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 2.0%

CE

Cynthia Erivo

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 2.0%

DC

Doja Cat

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -2.5%

K 2.0%

EA

Eagles

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 2.0%

EJ

Elton John

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -2.5%

K 2.0%

GD

Green Day

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 2.0%

IS

Ice Spice

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 2.0%

ID

Imagine Dragons

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -3.0%

K 2.0%

KG

Karol G

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -3.5%

K 2.0%

KP

Katy Perry

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 2.0%

LB

Lil Baby

Vol $61 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 2.0%

Vol $61 1–3¢

MC

Mariah Carey

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 2.0%

OA

Oasis

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -2.5%

K 2.0%

OU

Outkast

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -3.0%

K 2.0%

PJ

Pearl Jam

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 2.0%

SR

Sexyy Red

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 2.0%

SZ

SZA

Vol $4 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 2.0%

TP

T-Pain

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -3.0%

K 2.0%

LW

Lil Wayne

Vol $102 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↓ -2.5%

K 1.5%

Vol $102 0–3¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi	Polymarket
JZ JAY-Z	47.5% ↑ +42.5%	—	$11.1K	Kalshi 47.5% 45–50¢ Vol $11.1K	Polymarket — —
JB Justin Bieber	25.6% ↑ +15.1%	4.9%	$1.4K	Kalshi 28.0% 26–30¢ Vol $1.3K	Polymarket 23.2% 5.2–41.1¢ Vol $98
MC Miley Cyrus	24.0% ↑ +4.5%	—	$2.3K	Kalshi 24.0% 21–27¢ Vol $2.3K	Polymarket — —
BE Billie Eilish	22.5% ↑ +17.0%	—	$219	Kalshi 22.5% 17–28¢ Vol $219	Polymarket — —
DL Dua Lipa	22.3% ↑ +14.8%	9.7%	$1.6K	Kalshi 17.5% 13–22¢ Vol $13	Polymarket 27.2% 14.3–40¢ Vol $1.6K
OR Olivia Rodrigo	18.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$1.4K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 18.0% 16–20¢ Vol $1.4K
HS Harry Styles	12.5% ↑ +5.0%	8.0%	$1.2K	Kalshi 16.5% 16–17¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 8.5% 8.4–8.6¢ Vol $1.2K
SC Sabrina Carpenter	12.5% ↑ +3.5%	—	$246	Kalshi 12.5% 11–14¢ Vol $246	Polymarket — —
BT BTS	11.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$98	Kalshi 11.0% 9–13¢ Vol $98	Polymarket — —
DR Drake	10.0% ↑ +3.0%	10.0%	$421	Kalshi 5.0% 2–8¢ Vol $10	Polymarket 15.0% 15–15.1¢ Vol $411
AG Ariana Grande	10.0% ↑ +2.5%	—	$857	Kalshi 10.0% 8–12¢ Vol $857	Polymarket — —
TS Taylor Swift	10.0% ↓ -2.5%	0.5%	$2.3K	Kalshi 10.0% 7–13¢ Vol $2.2K	Polymarket 9.6% 6.3–12.8¢ Vol $100
PM Post Malone	9.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$452	Kalshi 9.5% 7–12¢ Vol $452	Polymarket — —
ME Metallica	7.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$34	Kalshi 7.0% 6–8¢ Vol $34	Polymarket — —
LG Lady Gaga	6.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$5	Kalshi 6.5% 6–7¢ Vol $5	Polymarket — —
TM Tate McRae	5.5% ↑ +2.5%	—	$89	Kalshi 5.5% 4–7¢ Vol $89	Polymarket — —
AD Adele	5.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 5.0% 4–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BB Backstreet Boys	5.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$6	Kalshi 5.0% 4–6¢ Vol $6	Polymarket — —
MW Morgan Wallen	5.0% ↓ -4.5%	—	$81	Kalshi 5.0% 4–6¢ Vol $81	Polymarket — —
BL BLACKPINK	4.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$76	Kalshi 4.5% 4–5¢ Vol $76	Polymarket — —
CB Cardi B	4.0% — +0.0%	—	$12	Kalshi 4.0% 3–5¢ Vol $12	Polymarket — —
FF Foo Fighters	4.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$6	Kalshi 4.0% 3–5¢ Vol $6	Polymarket — —
TTC Tyler, The Creator	4.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.0% 3–5¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
CB Chris Brown	3.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$1	Kalshi 3.5% 3–4¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
ES Ed Sheeran	3.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$11	Kalshi 3.5% 3–4¢ Vol $11	Polymarket — —
TS Travis Scott	3.0% ↓ -4.5%	—	$1	Kalshi 3.0% 2–4¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
CR Chappell Roan	2.5% ↓ -3.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
GNR Guns N' Roses	2.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
LP Linkin Park	2.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$1	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
MTS Megan Thee Stallion	2.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$432	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $432	Polymarket — —
PI Pink	2.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
RI Rihanna	2.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
KWY Kanye West / Ye	2.4% ↓ -2.7%	0.3%	$7.1K	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $1.2K	Polymarket 2.2% 1.3–3.1¢ Vol $5.9K
AD AC/DC	2.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
CA Christina Aguilera	2.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
CO Coldplay	2.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
CE Cynthia Erivo	2.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
DC Doja Cat	2.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
EA Eagles	2.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
EJ Elton John	2.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
GD Green Day	2.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$5	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $5	Polymarket — —
IS Ice Spice	2.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
ID Imagine Dragons	2.0% ↓ -3.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
KG Karol G	2.0% ↓ -3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
KP Katy Perry	2.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
LB Lil Baby	2.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$61	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $61	Polymarket — —
MC Mariah Carey	2.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
OA Oasis	2.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
OU Outkast	2.0% ↓ -3.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
PJ Pearl Jam	2.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
SR Sexyy Red	2.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
SZ SZA	2.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$4	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $4	Polymarket — —
TP T-Pain	2.0% ↓ -3.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
LW Lil Wayne	1.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$102	Kalshi 1.5% 0–3¢ Vol $102	Polymarket — —

Kalshi lists 48 performers in the 2027 headliner futures market

The 2027 field is more than double the size of Kalshi’s 2026 headliner market, which listed roughly 20 performers before Bad Bunny was selected. Eleven names carry over from last year’s board, including Taylor Swift, Post Malone, JAY-Z, Miley Cyrus, Billie Eilish, Drake, Sabrina Carpenter, Dua Lipa, Foo Fighters, Morgan Wallen, and Metallica. Lady Gaga, who joined Bad Bunny on stage tonight to perform “Die With a Smile,” is also listed on the 2027 market.

Two names that have never headlined a Super Bowl halftime show stand out from the rest of the field.

Taylor Swift, Spotify’s most-streamed artist of all time, appeared on Kalshi’s 2026 headliner board but was not among the top five. Her Eras Tour grossed $2.08 billion and sold 10.2 million tickets across 149 shows — the highest-grossing concert tour in history — and she is already listed among early 2027 sportsbook favorites.

Post Malone finished second on Kalshi’s 2026 headliner market at 25%, behind only JAY-Z, and enters the 2027 cycle with nine RIAA diamond-certified singles, including “Sunflower,” the first song to reach double-diamond status. His Big Ass Stadium Tour grossed $198 million and sold 1.37 million tickets in 2025, with a Part 2 scheduled for summer 2026.

Neither artist has ever performed at a Super Bowl halftime show.

Who will win the Super Bowl?	Who will attend the Super Bowl?	Who will win Super Bowl MVP?
Who will advertise at the Super Bowl?	What will the announcers say?	What color will the Gatorade shower be?

2026 Super Bowl halftime controversy

Bad Bunny headlined the halftime show in 2026. More than 128 million people tuned in to watch the Puerto Rican artist perform hits from his Grammy-winning album, DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS. That made it the fourth-most-watched halftime show of all time, behind only Kendrick Lamar (2025), Michael Jackson (1993), and Usher (2024).

The show featured a host of guest performers and celebrity appearances. Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin both performed alongside Bad Bunny, while the likes of Cardi B, Young Miko, Karol G, Dave Grutman, Pedro Pascal, Jessica Alba, and Ronald Acuña Jr appeared during the spectacle.

Traders bet more than $47.3 million on Kalshi’s market for “Who will perform at the Big Game?” A similar market at Polymarket had more than $10 million in volume.

Did Cardi B perform or not? Polymarket said yes, Kalshi said no

The market expected Cardi B to perform during the halftime show in 2026. Trading volumes reached $2.6 million across Kalshi and Polymarket on her performing. Anyone that bought “yes” contracts on Cardi B would have been delighted when she appeared on a starry front porch during Bad Bunny’s show.

However, her brief cameo ended up causing a great deal of controversy. Cardi B danced to the music, but it’s unclear whether she was singing along. This presented prediction sites with a major conundrum.

Polymarket’s contract was settled as “yes,” as the company decided that she had performed, but Kalshi took a different approach. The site couldn’t decide whether she performed or not, so it issued partial payouts to all traders. Contracts were settled at the last price before trading was paused: $0.74 for “no” holders and $0.26 for “yes” holders.

Kalshi ultimately returned all the money to traders. The company cited the “ambiguity” over whether her attendance constituted a “qualifying performance.” Spokeswoman Elisabeth Diana said: “Under the full rules, singing and dancing counted as a performance, but just dancing in the background did not. In the as-broadcast performance, Cardi B was dancing and mouthing words to the song, but it was unclear if she was ‘singing.’”

The decision proved contentious. A Kalshi user filed a complaint with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which regulates prediction markets. Polymarket’s decision to resolve the contract as “yes” was also disputed, as traders that opted for “no” argued that she didn’t perform. The appeal process is currently ongoing.

Kalshi and Polymarket resolution criteria

Before trading any halftime market, read how it resolves. Both Kalshi and Polymarket operate similarly, but resolution is settled differently.

Contracts trade between $0.01 and $1.00, and the price equals implied probability. A contract at $0.45 implies a 45% chance of that artist performing or making an appearance.

You buy Yes if you think Cardi B will perform, and No if you don’t she will sing. Winning contracts pay $1.00 per contract, and you can sell before settlement if the market moves your way.

Markets close before the performance starts and settle based on what actually happens.

Kalshi’s first song market is specific: a song counts as performed if it’s “at least reasonably begun.” Medleys count each song in order of appearance. Interludes, instrumentals, and sound checks don’t qualify. The market is mutually exclusive, so only one song can win.

Polymarket’s performer markets resolve based on media confirmation. Sources include Billboard, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, official broadcaster coverage, and the performers’ own social media accounts. If an artist appears but no credible source confirms it, the market may not resolve as expected.

Both platforms use footage from the halftime show as the primary resolution source, supplemented by credible reporting. If the event is cancelled or delayed past a specified date, markets resolve to No.

These details matter. A brief instrumental intro before the first song won’t count on Kalshi, and a surprise performer who doesn’t get media coverage might not trigger a Yes on Polymarket.