Kalshi's Celebrity Super Bowl Market: Final Odds & Results

Kalshi and Polymarket traders priced in which A-listers would be spotted inside Levi’s Stadium when the Seattle Seahawks faced the New England Patriots in 2026. Celebrity sightings have always been part of the Super Bowl spectacle, but prediction markets are turning that red-carpet tradition into a tradeable proposition. Think of them as celebrity prop bets — similar to the novelty wagers sportsbooks offer on the coin toss or national anthem length, except here you’re buying and selling shares on whether Tom Brady or Taylor Swift will actually be in the building. The other major difference, it’s open to all 50 states, including California where Super Bowl betting is not currently available.

Jay-Z, Kendall Jenner, and Leonardo Di Caprio were among the celebrities we spotted at the 2026 Super Bowl. Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton also caused a media storm after making their first public appearance as a couple at Levi’s Stadium. There was a strong Puerto Rican contingent supporting Bad Bunny, while sports stars like Tom Brady, the Manning brothers, Travis Kelce, and Roger Federer also enjoyed the big game.

Celebrities confirmed at the Super Bowl

The 2026 Super Bowl was undoubtedly a star-studded affair. Justin and Hailey Bieber, Jon Bon Jovi, Adama Sandler, Travis Scott, Nicky Gathrite, Jamie Foxx, Mike McGuiness, Kevin Costner, Chase DeMoor, MGK, and Alix Earle were all in attendance. Famous faces like Jessica Alba, Pedro Pascal, and Cardi B appeared during the halftime show, and Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin performed alongside Bad Bunny.

Chris Pratt, Rob Lowe, and Elizabeth Banks enjoyed the action too. We also spotted Coco Jones, Billie Joe Armstrong, Sofia Vergara, Eiza González, Keke Palmer, Jon Hamm, Brandi Carlile… The list of celebs just went on and on. However, one man generated the biggest buzz among traders. In the build-up to the Super Bowl, it was rumored that Mark Wahlberg would attend. The Hollywood star is a Patriots fan, so it seemed highly plausible.

Traders quickly wagered more than $24 million on whether Wahlberg would attend the game, exceeding the amount staked on 31 other celebrities. More was staked on Wahlberg attending than President Trump. In the end, he didn’t turn up, which may have been for the best, as his beloved New England Patriots suffered a heavy defeat.

Kalshi and Polymarket resolution criteria

These Super Bowl entertainment props work differently from traditional sports betting. On sites like Kalshi and Polymarket, traders buy and sell contracts that settle at $1 (Yes) or (No), rather than placing fixed wagers against a sportsbook. The price reflects the market’s real-time consensus probability — so a 92¢ contract implies a 92% chance of attending the Super Bowl.

For the celebrity attendance markets specifically, “attending” is defined as being physically present inside Levi’s Stadium between the start and end of the game. Resolution is sourced from major news agency reports and social media posts by the celebrities themselves. Pre-game and post-game appearances outside the stadium don’t count.

Super Bowl prop bets have expanded far beyond the coin toss and Gatorade color. The top tier of celebrity attendance odds at Super Bowl LX is driven by professional obligations (Brady, Kelce), political positioning (Newsom), established fandom (Affleck, Damon), and entertainment industry ties (Cardi B, Gaga).