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NFL Week 1 Odds: Daily Updates and Lines

Daily updates on Kalshi prices for every NFL Week 1 game, with injury news, the highest-volume matchups and the closest-priced game-winner markets.

Week 1 continues with 14 games across the weekend and Monday night. Sunday’s slate includes Bills 53% (-111) vs. Texans 48% (+111) and Falcons 28% (+264) vs. Steelers 73% (-264) in the early window, followed by Cowboys 61% (-153) vs. Giants 40% (+153) on Sunday Night Football.

Broncos 45% (+122) vs. Chiefs 56% (-127) closes Week 1 on Monday Night Football. Here are the latest Week 1 odds and predictions, pulled directly from Kalshi, Polymarket, FanDuel, and DraftKings.

Week 1 matchups and current odds

32 sides across 16 games, prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, FanDuel and DraftKings, updated Sep 9, 4:16pm ET.

Tap any price to trade it.

FanDuel Predicts and DraftKings Predictions do not offer NFL contracts in states with regulated online sportsbooks. Kalshi and Polymarket US remain available. Odds are shown for all operators so you can compare who has the best price.

None of these venues offer NFL event contracts in Nevada. Odds are shown for reference only.

Promos: KTrade $10, Get $25 PDeposit $10 get a $50 trading bonus FDTrade $5, Get $100 DKSpend $5+, Get $200 in Bonuses (Paid Over 21 Days) Game KalshiiDeposit and trade at least $10 on Kalshi within your first 90 days and get a $25 trading bonus. The bonus is available for trade only and is not cashable. Must be used within 7 days. Eligible US states only. Trade $10, Get $25 Polymarket USi18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization. Deposit $10 get a $50 trading bonus FanDueliRequires $1 trade over five days. The bonus itself is non-withdrawable, but winnings from bonus-funded trades are immediately withdrawable. If the bonus trade wins, you keep the winnings portion but not the original bonus stake. Must be 18+ Trade $5, Get $100 DraftKingsiIn partnership with DraftKings. T&Cs Apply. View full offer terms before trading. Full disclaimer here: Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 21 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 9/20/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK. Spend $5+, Get $200 in Bonuses (Paid Over 21 Days) Patriots @ Seahawks Wed, Sep 9, 8:15pm ET · NBC

Final result and closing odds for New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
NE New England Patriots 10K FINAL +149 ClosedP FINAL +149 ClosedFD FINAL +153 ClosedDK FINAL +151 Closed
SEA Seattle Seahawks 13K FINAL -171 ClosedP FINAL -168 ClosedFD FINAL -217 ClosedDK FINAL -217 Closed

49ers @ Rams Thu, Sep 10, 8:35pm ET · Netflix · Melbourne

Final result and closing odds for San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
SF San Francisco 49ers 27K FINAL +170 ClosedP FINAL +173 ClosedFD FINAL +162 ClosedDK FINAL +138 Closed
LAR Los Angeles Rams 7K FINAL -195 ClosedP FINAL -195 ClosedFD FINAL -230 ClosedDK FINAL -197 Closed

Bills @ Texans Sun, Sep 13, 1:00pm ET · CBS

Final result and closing odds for Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
BUF Buffalo Bills 36K FINAL -119 ClosedP FINAL -116 ClosedFD FINAL -119 ClosedDK FINAL -132 Closed
HOU Houston Texans 31K FINAL +103 ClosedP FINAL +103 ClosedFD FINAL -115 ClosedDK FINAL -106 Closed

Bears @ Panthers Sun, Sep 13, 1:01pm ET · FOX

Final result and closing odds for Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
CHI Chicago Bears 59K FINAL -164 ClosedP FINAL -161 ClosedFD FINAL -159 ClosedDK FINAL -161 Closed
CAR Carolina Panthers 37K FINAL +143 ClosedP FINAL +143 ClosedFD FINAL +114 ClosedDK FINAL +114 Closed

Jets @ Titans Sun, Sep 13, 1:01pm ET · CBS

Final result and closing odds for New York Jets at Tennessee Titans by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
NYJ New York Jets 23K FINAL -101 ClosedP FINAL -101 ClosedFD FINAL +107 ClosedDK FINAL +120 Closed
TEN Tennessee Titans 10K FINAL -114 ClosedP FINAL -112 ClosedFD FINAL -145 ClosedDK FINAL -169 Closed

Falcons @ Steelers Sun, Sep 13, 1:01pm ET · FOX

Final result and closing odds for Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
ATL Atlanta Falcons 13K FINAL +246 ClosedP FINAL +245 ClosedFD FINAL +114 ClosedDK FINAL +131 Closed
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers 20K FINAL -283 ClosedP FINAL -277 ClosedFD FINAL -159 ClosedDK FINAL -185 Closed

Browns @ Jaguars Sun, Sep 13, 1:01pm ET · CBS

Final result and closing odds for Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
CLE Cleveland Browns 10K FINAL +341 ClosedP FINAL +349 ClosedFD FINAL +287 ClosedDK FINAL +270 Closed
JAX Jacksonville Jaguars 34K FINAL -392 ClosedP FINAL -394 ClosedFD FINAL -462 ClosedDK FINAL -431 Closed

Buccaneers @ Bengals Sun, Sep 13, 1:01pm ET · FOX

Final result and closing odds for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27K FINAL +170 ClosedP FINAL +169 ClosedFD FINAL +162 ClosedDK FINAL +151 Closed
CIN Cincinnati Bengals 33K FINAL -187 ClosedP FINAL -191 ClosedFD FINAL -230 ClosedDK FINAL -217 Closed

Saints @ Lions Sun, Sep 13, 1:01pm ET · FOX

Final result and closing odds for New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
NO New Orleans Saints 30K FINAL +273 ClosedP FINAL +279 ClosedFD FINAL +236 ClosedDK FINAL +227 Closed
DET Detroit Lions 31K FINAL -314 ClosedP FINAL -315 ClosedFD FINAL -359 ClosedDK FINAL -347 Closed

Ravens @ Colts Sun, Sep 13, 1:01pm ET · CBS

Final result and closing odds for Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
BAL Baltimore Ravens 41K FINAL -158 ClosedP FINAL -158 ClosedFD FINAL -219 ClosedDK FINAL -197 Closed
IND Indianapolis Colts 23K FINAL +137 ClosedP FINAL +140 ClosedFD FINAL +154 ClosedDK FINAL +138 Closed

Packers @ Vikings Sun, Sep 13, 4:25pm ET · CBS

Final result and closing odds for Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
GB Green Bay Packers 22K FINAL +121 ClosedP FINAL +116 ClosedFD FINAL -119 ClosedDK FINAL -125 Closed
MIN Minnesota Vikings 39K FINAL -134 ClosedP FINAL -131 ClosedFD FINAL -115 ClosedDK FINAL -114 Closed

Commanders @ Eagles Sun, Sep 13, 4:25pm ET · FOX

Final result and closing odds for Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
WAS Washington Commanders 22K FINAL +213 ClosedP FINAL +212 ClosedFD FINAL +165 ClosedDK FINAL +165 Closed
PHI Philadelphia Eagles 24K FINAL -245 ClosedP FINAL -239 ClosedFD FINAL -236 ClosedDK FINAL -240 Closed

Cardinals @ Chargers Sun, Sep 13, 4:26pm ET

Final result and closing odds for Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
ARI Arizona Cardinals 26K FINAL +411 ClosedP FINAL +409 ClosedFD FINAL — ClosedDK FINAL — Closed
LAC Los Angeles Chargers 14K FINAL -443 ClosedP FINAL -461 ClosedFD FINAL — ClosedDK FINAL — Closed

Dolphins @ Raiders Sun, Sep 13, 4:26pm ET

Final result and closing odds for Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
MIA Miami Dolphins 13K FINAL +143 ClosedP FINAL +143 ClosedFD FINAL — ClosedDK FINAL — Closed
LV Las Vegas Raiders 27K FINAL -164 ClosedP FINAL -161 ClosedFD FINAL — ClosedDK FINAL — Closed

Cowboys @ Giants Sun, Sep 13, 8:20pm ET

Final result and closing odds for Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
DAL Dallas Cowboys 20K FINAL -171 ClosedP FINAL -168 ClosedFD FINAL — ClosedDK FINAL — Closed
NYG New York Giants 28K FINAL +149 ClosedP FINAL +149 ClosedFD FINAL — ClosedDK FINAL — Closed

Broncos @ Chiefs Mon, Sep 14, 8:15pm ET

Final result and closing odds for Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs by operator

TeamKalshiPolymarket USFanDuelDraftKings
DEN Denver Broncos 10K FINAL +112 ClosedP FINAL +112 ClosedFD FINAL — ClosedDK FINAL — Closed
KC Kansas City Chiefs 31K FINAL -123 ClosedP FINAL -126 ClosedFD FINAL — ClosedDK FINAL — Closed

Prices include taker fees: Kalshi 0.07×P×(1-P) per contract, Polymarket US 0.10% of trade value, FanDuel and DraftKings $0.02 per contract. Maker orders on Kalshi cost less. See our prediction market fees guide for the full breakdown.

Kickoff times are ET and subject to NFL flexible scheduling.

Prices are indicative and change constantly. Verify on the venue before trading.

Prices include trading fees where a fee model is configured for the operator.

Prices exclude trading fees. Fee models differ by venue, so a fee-free comparison favours whichever venue charges most.

Best available price outlined.

As of Sep 9, 4:16pm ET — prices may be stale, verify before trading

Kalshi Deposit and trade at least $10 on Kalshi within your first 90 days and get a $25 trading bonus. The bonus is available for trade only and is not cashable. Must be used within 7 days. Eligible US states only.

Polymarket US 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

FanDuel Requires $1 trade over five days. The bonus itself is non-withdrawable, but winnings from bonus-funded trades are immediately withdrawable. If the bonus trade wins, you keep the winnings portion but not the original bonus stake. Must be 18+

DraftKings In partnership with DraftKings. T&Cs Apply. View full offer terms before trading. Full disclaimer here: Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 21 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 9/20/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

Free Bracket Pool – Live Game or Printable

Build a free 2026 NFL Pick’em pool with no sign-up required. Invite friends, colleagues and share on social. We keep track and do the work for you. You can also opt for a paper copy with our printable NFL schedules.

Week 1 odds and predictions

New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX | Ford Field, Detroit, MI |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Saints+7.5 (55¢)26% (+292)O 49.5 (52¢)
Lions-7.5 (46¢)75% (-292)U 49.5 (49¢)

Detroit is one of Week 1’s largest favorites, but New Orleans still has key availability questions. The Saints ruled Cameron Jordan, Oscar Delp and Audric Estimé out, while NFL Network reported Sunday morning that Alvin Kamara is not expected to play because of his knee injury. Detroit placed running back Isiah Pacheco on injured reserve with a knee injury, and safeties Kerby Joseph and Brian Branch and center Cade Mays also will not be available for the opener.

Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX | Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Bears-2.5 (55¢)60% (-147)O 46.5 (52¢)
Panthers+2.5 (46¢)40% (+153)U 46.5 (49¢)

Chicago is a slight road favorite against the defending NFC South champions. Wide receiver Rome Odunze, backup quarterback Tyson Bagent, tackle Ozzy Trapilo and safety Xavier Woods are questionable, while the Bears remain without nickel cornerback Kyler Gordon, defensive lineman Shemar Turner and linebacker Noah Sewell after all three opened the season on reserve/PUP. Carolina ruled out edge rusher Patrick Jones II and remains without offensive lineman Brady Christensen, who must miss at least four games on injured reserve. For Caleb Williams, the opener is an early test of whether Chicago’s deep skill group can produce more consistently against a division winner.

Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS | NRG Stadium, Houston, TX |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Bills-1.5 (49¢)53% (-111)O 44.5 (50¢)
Texans+1.5 (52¢)48% (+111)U 44.5 (51¢)

Kalshi traders have Bills–Texans priced close to a coin flip. Houston lost wide receiver Jayden Higgins to a season-ending ACL tear and subsequently acquired Kayshon Boutte from New England. Buffalo listed running back Ty Johnson, defensive back Jordan Hancock and defensive lineman T.J. Sanders as questionable for Sunday. Houston carried no final injury designations into the game.

Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Ravens-3.5 (46¢)61% (-153)O 47.5 (52¢)
Colts+3.5 (55¢)40% (+153)U 47.5 (49¢)

Indianapolis enters with Daniel Jones back after last season’s Achilles tear, while Baltimore begins the Jesse Minter era with Lamar Jackson leading Declan Doyle’s offense. Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers received no final game designation, but defensive tackle Nnamdi Madubuike and linebacker Teddye Buchanan are out, while wide receiver Devontez Walker is questionable. Indianapolis listed linebacker Austin Ajiake as questionable and also will be without cornerback Cam Taylor-Britt, who must serve a one-game suspension.

Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Falcons+6.5 (52¢)28% (+264)O 40.5 (51¢)
Steelers-6.5 (49¢)73% (-264)U 40.5 (50¢)

Atlanta expects Cooper Rush to start despite back spasms over the weekend after ruling out Tua Tagovailoa with an oblique injury and Michael Penix Jr. with a knee injury for Sunday, ESPN reported. The Falcons’ edge depth is also reduced, with Jalon Walker on injured reserve after a season-ending ACL tear and 2025 sack leader James Pearce Jr. suspended for the first eight games. Pittsburgh has greater clarity at quarterback with Aaron Rodgers returning, although NFL Network and ESPN reported Sunday morning that cornerback Joey Porter Jr. is unlikely to play because of his back injury. Kalshi traders have Pittsburgh favored by 6.5 points, while Atlanta’s win price fell from 32% Friday morning to 28% Sunday morning.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals| Sunday, Sept. 13 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX | Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Buccaneers+3.5 (50¢)36% (+182)O 50.5 (49¢)
Bengals-3.5 (51¢)64% (-174)U 50.5 (52¢)

Tristan Wirfs has returned to full-team work, reuniting Tampa Bay’s projected starting offensive line. Buccaneers wide receiver Jalen McMillan, tackle Justin Skule and running back Sean Tucker are doubtful, while linebacker Christian Rozeboom is questionable. Cincinnati defensive end Shemar Stewart is doubtful; Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins received no final game designation.

New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans| Sunday, Sept. 13 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS | Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Jets+1.5 (52¢)49% (+106)O 38.5 (52¢)
Titans-1.5 (49¢)52% (-106)U 38.5 (49¢)

Geno Smith is back for a second Jets stint, while Tennessee continues with Cam Ward as its starter. Breece Hall received no final game designation, but the Jets ruled out edge rusher Joseph Ossai, wide receiver Tim Patrick and running back Kene Nwangwu; cornerback D’Angelo Ponds is doubtful. Tennessee linebacker Cedric Gray is also out. Kalshi traders have Jets-Titans among the closest-priced Week 1 games as Smith’s experience meets a younger Titans offense in Ward’s second season.

Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS | EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Browns+9.5 (52¢)21% (+388)O 40.5 (49¢)
Jaguars-9.5 (49¢)79% (-365)U 40.5 (52¢)

Cleveland settled its quarterback competition Aug. 24, when Todd Monken named Deshaun Watson the Week 1 starter over Shedeur Sanders. The Browns listed running back LeQuint Allen Jr. as questionable. Jacksonville ruled out guard Teven Jenkins, listed center Parker Brailsford as questionable and already placed 2025 starting right guard Patrick Mekari on injured reserve with a designation to return. Kalshi traders have Jacksonville as the clear favorite, but its interior line will open with a new alignment in front of Trevor Lawrence.

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Commanders+5.5 (49¢)32% (+217)O 44.5 (47¢)
Eagles-5.5 (52¢)68% (-208)U 44.5 (54¢)

Washington will open without left tackle Laremy Tunsil and defensive tackle Jer’Zhan Newton, with Brandon Coleman back at tackle in Tunsil’s absence. The Commanders carried no final injury designations into Sunday. Philadelphia ruled out linebacker Jonathan Greenard with a pectoral injury.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings| Sunday, Sept. 13 | 4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | US Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Packers+2.5 (52¢)46% (+120)O 45.5 (52¢)
Vikings-2.5 (49¢)55% (-120)U 45.5 (49¢)

Minnesota will begin the season with Kyler Murray under center, while Green Bay remains without Micah Parsons and Josh Jacobs. Green Bay ruled out defensive tackle Warren Brinson and listed guard Aaron Banks, linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper and tackle Zach Bako-Bewele as questionable. Minnesota carried no final injury designations into Sunday, and safety Harrison Smith is set to play.

Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 4:25 p.m. ET | FOX |Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Dolphins+3.5 (54¢)40% (+153)O 40.5 (49¢)
Raiders-3.5 (47¢)61% (-153)U 40.5 (52¢)

Las Vegas named Kirk Cousins its Week 1 starting quarterback on Sept. 2, ending the camp competition with Fernando Mendoza and Aidan O’Connell. Miami opens the Jeff Hafley era with Malik Willis leading a young offense, while defensive tackle Kenneth Grant will be unavailable after going on injured reserve. Kalshi traders still have Las Vegas favored by 3.5 points, while Miami’s win price climbed from 37% to 40% overnight. Raiders Pro Bowl tight end Brock Bowers underwent a meniscus procedure and will miss the opener. The matchup now centers on whether Cousins can provide immediate stability against a Miami team beginning a broader reset under Hafley and Willis.

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers| Sunday, Sept. 13 | 4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Cardinals+9.5 (52¢)19% (+441)O 47.5 (49¢)
Chargers-9.5 (49¢)81% (-413)U 47.5 (52¢)

Arizona’s backfield changed at roster cutdown when James Conner went on injured reserve with a designation to return. Arizona listed running back Jeremiyah Love as questionable and ruled out Isaiah Adams, Garrett Williams and Dadrion Taylor-Demerson. Another backfield absence would place additional pressure on Tyler Allgeier against Week 1’s largest favorite. Los Angeles ruled out defensive back Deane Leonard and listed edge rusher Tuli Tuipulotu as questionable; the Chargers are also adjusting up front, with Jake Slaughter taking over at center after Tyler Biadasz suffered a season-ending ACL tear.

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 8:20 p.m. ET | NBC (SNF) | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Cowboys-3.5 (46¢)61% (-153)O 47.5 (51¢)
Giants+3.5 (55¢)40% (+153)U 47.5 (50¢)

This will be John Harbaugh’s first regular-season game as Giants head coach. Malik Nabers is questionable with a knee injury, while left tackle Andrew Thomas received no final game designation. Dallas ruled out running back Malik Davis. Nabers’ availability remains the Giants’ most important injury question against a revamped Cowboys secondary.

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs | Monday, Sept. 14 | 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC (MNF) | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |

TeamKalshi SpreadKalshi MoneylineKalshi O/U
Broncos+2.5 (51¢)45% (+125)O 43.5 (50¢)
Chiefs-2.5 (50¢)56% (-125)U 43.5 (51¢)

Kansas City ruled out safety Chamarri Conner and tackle Josh Simmons after both missed all three practices. Patrick Mahomes practiced fully throughout the week and received no game designation, while defensive tackle Chris Jones missed Saturday’s practice but also received no designation. Denver wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. practiced fully and is available. Bo Nix returns for Denver after an ankle injury kept him out of last season’s AFC Championship Game, with Kalshi traders continuing to price Kansas City as only a slight favorite.

Missouri readers can compare current operators, legal status, and additional prediction markets in Missouri.

Notable Week 1 line moves

Among the 14 remaining Week 1 games, Kalshi’s board has produced six representative spread changes compared with DeFi Rate’s first archived snapshot on Aug. 9. Falcons-Steelers widened from Pittsburgh -3.5 to -6.5, Browns-Jaguars widened from Jacksonville -7.5 to -9.5, and Packers-Vikings widened from Minnesota -1.5 to -2.5. Jets-Titans narrowed from Tennessee -2.5 to -1.5, Cardinals-Chargers narrowed from Los Angeles -10.5 to -9.5, and Washington-Philadelphia widened from Philadelphia -4.5 to -5.5.

The largest moneyline change is in Falcons-Steelers. Atlanta fell from 41% to 28% while Pittsburgh climbed from 59% to 73%. Miami also rose from 35% to 40% against Las Vegas, and Minnesota moved from 50% to 55% while Green Bay fell from 50% to 46%.

Five other matchups have produced a probability move of at least three points on one side. New York rose from 44% to 49% while Tennessee fell from 55% to 52%, Dallas climbed from 58% to 61% while the Giants fell from 43% to 40%, and Baltimore eased from 64% to 61% while Indianapolis rose from 37% to 40%. Buffalo rose from 50% to 53%, while Cleveland fell from 24% to 21%.

NFL Week 1 results

Seattle rallied from a 10-point second-half deficit to beat New England 13-10 in Wednesday night’s opener. The Seahawks scored all 13 of their points after halftime, tying the game on a fourth-quarter touchdown and winning on their final field goal. See the New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks market page for event details, and read our analysis of how Patriots-Seahawks prediction market volume jumped from $5.8 million to $105.5 million in 24 hours.

San Francisco answered the Rams’ second-quarter touchdown with 24 consecutive points to win 27-7 in Melbourne. The 49ers scored a touchdown in each of the final three quarters and held Los Angeles scoreless after halftime. See San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams for event details.

What to expect from NFL prediction markets this season

The 2026 season represents another significant step in the growth of NFL prediction market trading. For traders, the practical implication is that the NFL is no longer just a sportsbook sport. It is a fully functioning prediction market ecosystem with real liquidity, regulated infrastructure, and a growing suite of contracts that will expand as the season progresses. Readers can compare prediction market apps and review current NFL promos before choosing where to trade Week 1 contracts. 

With the preseason complete, trading focus is shifting from offseason futures to Week 1 game contracts. Prices can change quickly as official practice reports and active/inactive lists clarify player availability, while season-long futures will remain available throughout the regular season.

Related: See daily trading volume on NFL markets