Christopher has been writing professionally since 2014, with a focus on casinos and sports betting. After New Jersey legalized sports betting in 2018, he shifted his full attention to the gambling industry, joining Caten...
August 22, 2026 11:06 am PDT | Updated: September 12, 2026
Atlanta will start Cooper Rush after ruling out Tua Tagovailoa and Michael Penix Jr., while Pittsburgh moved from a 5.5-point to a 6.5-point favorite and the Falcons’ Kalshi win price fell two percentage points to 30%. Cowboys vs. Giants was Sunday’s most-traded matchup with $797,954 in Kalshi game composite volume as of 7:00 a.m. ET on Sept. 12. Among the weekend’s closest-priced game-winner markets, Bills vs. Texans had Buffalo at 52% and Houston at 48% on Kalshi.
Week 1 continues with 14 games across the weekend and Monday night. Sunday’s slate includes Bills 52% (-108) vs. Texans 48% (+108) and Falcons 30% (+233) vs. Steelers 71% (-245) in the early window, followed by Cowboys 61% (-156) vs. Giants 40% (+150) on Sunday Night Football.
Broncos 45% (+122) vs. Chiefs 56% (-127) closes Week 1 on Monday Night Football. Here are the latest Week 1 odds and predictions, pulled directly from Kalshi, Polymarket, FanDuel, and DraftKings.
Week 1 matchups and current odds
88 sides across 16 games, prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, FanDuel and DraftKings, updated Sep 9, 4:16pm ET.
Tap any price to trade it.Kalshi best on 14 of 28 sidesPolymarket US best on 23 of 28 sidesPolymarket US best on 20 of 28 sidesPolymarket US best on 53 of 84 sides
FanDuel Predicts and DraftKings Predictions do not offer NFL contracts in states with regulated online sportsbooks. Kalshi and Polymarket US remain available. Odds are shown for all operators so you can compare who has the best price.
None of these venues offer NFL event contracts in Nevada. Odds are shown for reference only.
GameKalshiiDeposit and trade at least $10 on Kalshi within your first 90 days and get a $25 trading bonus. The bonus is available for trade only and is not cashable. Must be used within 7 days. Eligible US states only.Trade $10, Get $25Polymarket USi18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.Deposit $10 get a $50 trading bonusFanDueliRequires $1 trade over five days. The bonus itself is non-withdrawable, but winnings from bonus-funded trades are immediately withdrawable. If the bonus trade wins, you keep the winnings portion but not the original bonus stake. Must be 18+Trade $5, Get $100DraftKingsiIn partnership with DraftKings. T&Cs Apply. View full offer terms before trading. Full disclaimer here: Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered
Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 21 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 9/20/26
at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.Spend $5+, Get $200 in Bonuses (Paid Over 21 Days)
Bills @ Texans · CBS
Moneyline odds for Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans by operator
Final result and closing odds for New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks by operator
Team
Kalshi
Polymarket US
FanDuel
DraftKings
NENew England Patriots10
KFINAL+149Closed
PFINAL+149Closed
FDFINAL+153Closed
DKFINAL+151Closed
SEASeattle Seahawks13
KFINAL-171Closed
PFINAL-168Closed
FDFINAL-217Closed
DKFINAL-217Closed
49ers @ Rams · Netflix · Melbourne
Final result and closing odds for San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams by operator
Team
Kalshi
Polymarket US
FanDuel
DraftKings
SFSan Francisco 49ers27
KFINAL+170Closed
PFINAL+173Closed
FDFINAL+162Closed
DKFINAL+138Closed
LARLos Angeles Rams7
KFINAL-195Closed
PFINAL-195Closed
FDFINAL-230Closed
DKFINAL-197Closed
Prices include taker fees: Kalshi 0.07×P×(1-P) per contract, Polymarket US 0.10% of trade value, FanDuel and DraftKings $0.02 per contract. Maker orders on Kalshi cost less. See our prediction market fees guide for the full breakdown.
Kickoff times are ET and subject to NFL flexible scheduling.
Prices are indicative and change constantly. Verify on the venue before trading.
Prices include trading fees where a fee model is configured for the operator.
Prices exclude trading fees. Fee models differ by venue, so a fee-free comparison favours whichever venue charges most.
Best available price outlined.
As of — prices may be stale, verify before trading
Kalshi Deposit and trade at least $10 on Kalshi within your first 90 days and get a $25 trading bonus. The bonus is available for trade only and is not cashable. Must be used within 7 days. Eligible US states only.
Polymarket US 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
FanDuel Requires $1 trade over five days. The bonus itself is non-withdrawable, but winnings from bonus-funded trades are immediately withdrawable. If the bonus trade wins, you keep the winnings portion but not the original bonus stake. Must be 18+
DraftKings In partnership with DraftKings. T&Cs Apply. View full offer terms before trading. Full disclaimer here: Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered
Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 21 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 9/20/26
at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
Free Bracket Pool – Live Game or Printable
Build a free 2026 NFL Pick’em pool with no sign-up required. Invite friends, colleagues and share on social. We keep track and do the work for you. You can also opt for a paper copy with our printable NFL schedules.
Detroit is one of Week 1’s largest favorites, but New Orleans still has key availability questions. Cameron Jordan is out with a hamstring injury, while Alvin Kamara is questionable with a knee injury. Detroit placed running back Isiah Pacheco on injured reserve with a knee injury, and safeties Kerby Joseph and Brian Branch and center Cade Mays also will not be available for the opener.
Chicago is a slight road favorite against the defending NFC South champions. Wide receiver Rome Odunze is questionable with a calf injury, while the Bears remain without nickel cornerback Kyler Gordon, defensive lineman Shemar Turner and linebacker Noah Sewell after all three opened the season on reserve/PUP. Carolina added veteran tight end Darren Waller to Bryce Young’s receiving group, and he worked with the first team Sept. 2, but offensive lineman Brady Christensen must miss at least four games on injured reserve. For Caleb Williams, the opener is an early test of whether Chicago’s deep skill group can produce more consistently against a division winner.
Kalshi traders have Bills–Texans priced close to a coin flip. Houston lost wide receiver Jayden Higgins to a season-ending ACL tear and subsequently acquired Kayshon Boutte from New England. Buffalo listed running back Ty Johnson, defensive back Jordan Hancock and defensive lineman T.J. Sanders as questionable for Sunday. Houston carried no final injury designations into the game.
Indianapolis enters with Daniel Jones back after last season’s Achilles tear, while Baltimore begins the Jesse Minter era with Lamar Jackson leading Declan Doyle’s offense. Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers received no final game designation, but defensive tackle Nnamdi Madubuike is out with a neck injury. Indianapolis listed linebacker Austin Ajiake as questionable and also will be without cornerback Cam Taylor-Britt, who must serve a one-game suspension.
Atlanta will start Cooper Rush after ruling out Tua Tagovailoa with an oblique injury and Michael Penix Jr. with a knee injury for Sunday. The Falcons’ edge depth is also reduced, with Jalon Walker on injured reserve after a season-ending ACL tear and 2025 sack leader James Pearce Jr. suspended for the first eight games. Pittsburgh has greater clarity at quarterback with Aaron Rodgers returning, although he will be directing Mike McCarthy’s new offense. Kalshi traders now have Pittsburgh favored by 6.5 points, while Atlanta’s win price fell from 32% Friday morning to 30% Saturday morning.
Tristan Wirfs has returned to full-team work, reuniting Tampa Bay’s projected starting offensive line. Buccaneers wide receiver Jalen McMillan is doubtful with a knee injury, while linebacker Christian Rozeboom is questionable. Cincinnati defensive end Shemar Stewart is doubtful; Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins received no final game designation.
Geno Smith is back for a second Jets stint, while Tennessee continues with Cam Ward as its starter. Breece Hall received no final game designation, but the Jets ruled out edge rusher Joseph Ossai and wide receiver Tim Patrick. Tennessee linebacker Cedric Gray is also out. Kalshi traders have Jets–Titans priced close to a coin flip as Smith’s experience meets a younger Titans offense in Ward’s second season.
Cleveland settled its quarterback competition Aug. 24, when Todd Monken named Deshaun Watson the Week 1 starter over Shedeur Sanders. Jacksonville will be without 2025 starting right guard Patrick Mekari for at least four games after placing him on injured reserve with a designation to return, and Ezra Cleveland has shifted from left guard to right guard. Kalshi traders have Jacksonville as the clear favorite, but its interior line will open with a new alignment in front of Trevor Lawrence.
Washington will open without left tackle Laremy Tunsil and defensive tackle Jer’Zhan Newton, with Brandon Coleman back at tackle in Tunsil’s absence. The Commanders carried no final injury designations into Sunday. Philadelphia ruled out linebacker Jonathan Greenard with a pectoral injury and listed tight end Eli Stowers as questionable.
Minnesota will begin the season with Kyler Murray under center, while Green Bay remains without Micah Parsons and Josh Jacobs. Packers defensive tackle Warren Brinson and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper missed Wednesday and Thursday practice; Aaron Banks, Javon Hargrave, Barryn Sorrell, Zach Bako-Bewele and Devonte Wyatt were limited Thursday, while Jordan Morgan improved to full participation. Green Bay ruled out defensive tackle Warren Brinson and listed Aaron Banks, Ty’Ron Hopper and Zach Bako-Bewele as questionable. Minnesota carried no final injury designations into Sunday.
Las Vegas named Kirk Cousins its Week 1 starting quarterback on Sept. 2, ending the camp competition with Fernando Mendoza and Aidan O’Connell. Miami opens the Jeff Hafley era with Malik Willis leading a young offense, while defensive tackle Kenneth Grant will be unavailable after going on injured reserve. Kalshi traders still have Las Vegas favored by 3.5 points, while Miami’s win price climbed from 37% to 40% overnight. Raiders Pro Bowl tight end Brock Bowers underwent a meniscus procedure and will miss the opener. The matchup now centers on whether Cousins can provide immediate stability against a Miami team beginning a broader reset under Hafley and Willis.
Arizona’s backfield changed at roster cutdown when James Conner went on injured reserve with a designation to return. Arizona listed running back Jeremiyah Love as questionable and ruled out Isaiah Adams, Garrett Williams and Dadrion Taylor-Demerson. Another backfield absence would place additional pressure on Tyler Allgeier against Week 1’s largest favorite. Los Angeles is also adjusting up front, with Jake Slaughter taking over at center after Tyler Biadasz suffered a season-ending ACL tear.
This will be John Harbaugh’s first regular-season game as Giants head coach. Malik Nabers is questionable with a knee injury, while left tackle Andrew Thomas received no final game designation. Dallas ruled out running back Malik Davis. Nabers’ availability remains the Giants’ most important injury question against a revamped Cowboys secondary.
Patrick Mahomes was a full participant Thursday as Kansas City prepared for Monday night’s opener. Denver wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. also practiced fully, while Chiefs safety Chamarri Conner and tackle Josh Simmons did not participate. Bo Nix returns for Denver after an ankle injury kept him out of last season’s AFC Championship Game. Kalshi traders continue to price Kansas City as only a slight favorite.
Deposit and trade at least $10 on Kalshi within your first 90 days and get a $25 trading bonus. The bonus is available for trade only and is not cashable. Must be used within 7 days. Eligible US states only.
Among the 14 remaining Week 1 games, Kalshi’s board has produced six representative spread changes compared with DeFi Rate’s first archived snapshot on Aug. 9. Falcons-Steelers widened from Pittsburgh -3.5 to -6.5, Browns-Jaguars widened from Jacksonville -7.5 to -9.5, and Packers-Vikings widened from Minnesota -1.5 to -2.5. Jets-Titans narrowed from Tennessee -2.5 to -1.5, Cardinals-Chargers narrowed from Los Angeles -10.5 to -9.5, and Washington-Philadelphia widened from Philadelphia -4.5 to -5.5.
The largest moneyline change is in Falcons-Steelers. Atlanta fell from 41% to 30% while Pittsburgh climbed from 59% to 71%. Miami also rose from 35% to 40% against Las Vegas, and Minnesota moved from 50% to 55% while Green Bay fell from 50% to 46%.
Three other matchups have produced a probability move of at least three points on one side. New York rose from 44% to 49% while Tennessee fell from 55% to 52%, Dallas climbed from 58% to 61% while the Giants fell from 43% to 40%, and Baltimore eased from 64% to 61% while Indianapolis rose from 37% to 40%.
San Francisco answered the Rams’ second-quarter touchdown with 24 consecutive points to win 27-7 in Melbourne. The 49ers scored a touchdown in each of the final three quarters and held Los Angeles scoreless after halftime. See San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams for event details.
What to expect from NFL prediction markets this season
The 2026 season represents another significant step in the growth of NFL prediction market trading. For traders, the practical implication is that the NFL is no longer just a sportsbook sport. It is a fully functioning prediction market ecosystem with real liquidity, regulated infrastructure, and a growing suite of contracts that will expand as the season progresses. Readers can compare prediction market apps and review current NFL promos before choosing where to trade Week 1 contracts.
With the preseason complete, trading focus is shifting from offseason futures to Week 1 game contracts. Prices can change quickly as official practice reports and active/inactive lists clarify player availability, while season-long futures will remain available throughout the regular season.
Christopher has been writing professionally since 2014, with a focus on casinos and sports betting. After New Jersey legalized sports betting in 2018, he shifted his full attention to the gambling industry, joining Catena Media in 2021. He contributes in-depth analysis and guides on many igaming sites.