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NFL London game prediction markets: Colts vs. Commanders picks, props with Kalshi promo code RATE

Indianapolis is priced at 65% to beat Washington in London, while eligible new Kalshi users can claim a $25 trading bonus with promo code RATE.

The Colts and Commanders meet Sunday morning at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London for the NFL's latest international matchup.

The action kicks off at 9:30 a.m. ET on NFL Network. Both teams enter at 1-2, with Washington coming off a 33-31 win over Seattle and Indianapolis earning its first victory on a late field goal against Houston.

Prediction market trading is active for this matchup and expected to remain that way heading into and after kickoff. New users can sign up to trade on the game and claim a $25 trading bonus with Kalshi promo code RATE.

How to claim the Kalshi $25 bonus for NFL London game

Kalshi's current welcome offer gives eligible new users a $25 trading bonus after completing the qualifying requirements. Here's how to claim it:

  1. Create an account: Sign up for Kalshi and enter promo code RATE.

  2. Verify your identity: Complete the required identity verification.

  3. Make a deposit: Fund your new account with at least $10.

  4. Make your first trades: Trade at least $10 in qualifying contracts within 90 days.

  5. Get the bonus: Receive $25 in trading credit within 24 hours after completing the requirements.

The trading credit expires seven days after it is issued. The bonus is awarded whether the qualifying trades win or lose. For a full breakdown of the offer, platform, fees, and availability, see our Kalshi review.

Colts vs. Commanders prices on Kalshi

OutcomeKalshi probability$100 winning return
Colts win65%$153.85
Commanders win35%$285.71
Colts win by over 4.5 points49%$204.08
Over 47.5 points scored50%$200.00
Daniel Jones throws for 225+ yards51%$196.08
Marcus Mariota throws for 225+ yards41%$243.90
Jonathan Taylor rushes for 90+ yards49%$204.08
Jacory Croskey-Merritt rushes for 60+ yards50%$200.00
Daniel Jones throws 2+ TDs50%$200.00
Marcus Mariota throws 2+ TDs40%$250.00

Colts vs. Commanders prediction market preview

The Colts enter London as the market favorite after picking up their first win of the season against Houston. Washington also broke into the win column last week, beating Seattle behind Marcus Mariota.

Mariota will make another start Sunday with Jayden Daniels ruled out because of a dislocated left elbow. Mariota threw three touchdown passes against Seattle and now faces an Indianapolis defense that has allowed 30.3 points per game through three weeks.

Kalshi gives Indianapolis a 65% probability of winning, compared with 35% for Washington. The supporting markets suggest a potentially tighter matchup: the Colts winning by more than 4.5 points is priced at 49%, while the contract for more than 47.5 total points sits at 50%.

Kalshi props for Colts vs. Commanders

Kalshi also offers a deep selection of player markets for Sunday's game.

Daniel Jones is listed at a 51% probability of throwing for at least 225 yards and a 50% chance of recording two or more touchdown passes. Mariota sits at 41% to reach 225 passing yards and 40% to throw at least two touchdowns.

In the backfield, Jonathan Taylor reaching 90 yards is priced at 49%, while Washington running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt reaching 60 yards sits at 50%. Taylor leads Indianapolis with 258 rushing yards and four touchdowns through three games, while Croskey-Merritt leads Washington with 142 yards.

Those markets can move leading into Sunday's 9:30 a.m. ET kickoff as traders react to new information and activity on the order book, and could remain active for live trading after the game begins.

Trading on Colts vs. Commanders at Kalshi

Kalshi operates as a prediction market exchange rather than a traditional sportsbook. Contracts generally trade between $0.01 and $0.99 and settle at $1 if the selected outcome occurs or $0 if it does not.

For example, a Colts win contract trading at 65ยข costs $0.65. If Indianapolis wins, it settles at $1, producing a 35ยข profit per contract before applicable fees. If Washington wins, the contract settles at zero.

Prices can change before and during the game as users buy and sell contracts. Traders can also exit positions before settlement rather than holding every contract until the final result.

Prediction market trading carries financial risk, and market probabilities do not guarantee an outcome. Losing contracts can settle at zero, so users should only trade money they can afford to lose.