The snapshot from Sep 27, 3:21 AM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/prediction-markets/crypto/snapshot/2026-09-27T0355/.
Permanent snapshot · never updated
Crypto marketsEvery figure as of Sep 27, 3:55 AM ET
A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records
Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up
92%The chance Bitcoin settles above its target price (84,607.61) at the end of the window closing 4:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 56% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 92% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBTC15M-26SEP270400-00 | direct contract | 91.7¢ | 91.8¢ | 91.75¢ | midpoint | fresh · 13s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 55.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up
79%The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,711.67) at the end of the window closing 4:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 94% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 79% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXETH15M-26SEP270400-00 | direct contract | 78.0¢ | 79.0¢ | 78.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 13s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 94.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
XRP finishes the 15-minute window up
89%The chance XRP settles above its target price (1.5319) at the end of the window closing 4:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 91% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives XRP a 89% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXXRP15M-26SEP270400-00 | direct contract | 88.0¢ | 89.0¢ | 88.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 13s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 91.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up
98%The chance Dogecoin settles above its target price (0.0976818) at the end of the window closing 4:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 78% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Dogecoin a 98% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXDOGE15M-26SEP270400-00 | direct contract | 98.1¢ | 98.7¢ | 98.40¢ | midpoint | fresh · 13s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 77.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Solana finishes the 15-minute window up
98%The chance Solana settles above its target price (122.2422) at the end of the window closing 4:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 78% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Solana a 98% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSOL15M-26SEP270400-00 | direct contract | 98.4¢ | 98.5¢ | 98.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 11s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 77.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up
2%Single venue
The chance NEAR settles above its target price (5.4333) at the end of the window closing 4:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives NEAR a 2% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNEAR15M-26SEP270400-00 | direct contract | 1.7¢ | 1.8¢ | 1.75¢ | midpoint | fresh · 13s old | Contract ↗ |
Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up
73%The chance Hyperliquid settles above its target price (93.112) at the end of the window closing 4:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 75% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Hyperliquid a 73% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXHYPE15M-26SEP270400-00 | direct contract | 71.0¢ | 74.0¢ | 72.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 11s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 75.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up
64%Single venue
The chance Zcash settles above its target price (1,661.8554) at the end of the window closing 4:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Zcash a 64% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXZEC15M-26SEP270400-00 | direct contract | 62.0¢ | 66.0¢ | 64.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 11s old | Contract ↗ |
BNB finishes the 15-minute window up
95%The chance BNB settles above its target price (777.12) at the end of the window closing 4:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 90% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives BNB a 95% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBNB15M-26SEP270400-00 | direct contract | 95.0¢ | 95.2¢ | 95.10¢ | midpoint | fresh · 11s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 90.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume
17%Crypto contracts made up 16.8% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Sep 27, 2026: about $147 million of the $871 million traded.
Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).
Data sources (1)
Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days
$4.1BDollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Aug 28 to Sep 26, 2026, up 20% on the prior 30 days.
Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).