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Crypto marketsWhere every number comes from

The contracts, rate or quote types and calculation behind each figure on the Crypto markets page. Data observed Sep 25, 3:56 PM ET; this page updates with it. For a frozen copy, use the snapshot.

Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up

77%

Last tradeSingle venue

The chance Bitcoin settles above its target price (83,970.57) at the end of the window closing 4:00 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s last trade for the Up contract in this window: its bid and ask weren’t read in the last minute, so no price to buy is shown. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 77% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXBTC15M-26SEP251600-00direct contract77.00¢last tradefresh · 55s oldContract ↗

Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up

77%

Last tradeSingle venue

The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,691.27) at the end of the window closing 4:00 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s last trade for the Up contract in this window: its bid and ask weren’t read in the last minute, so no price to buy is shown. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 77% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXETH15M-26SEP251600-00direct contract77.00¢last tradefresh · 55s oldContract ↗

XRP finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

XRP’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 AM ET (target price 1.5812) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “XRP’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXXRP15M-26SEP251100-00direct contractkalshi settlementsettledContract ↗

Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

Dogecoin’s 15-minute window closing 8:30 AM ET (target price 0.0979112) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Dogecoin’s 15-minute window closing 8:30 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXDOGE15M-26SEP250830-30direct contractkalshi settlementsettledContract ↗

Solana finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

Solana’s 15-minute window closing 12:30 PM ET (target price 120.687) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Solana’s 15-minute window closing 12:30 PM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSOL15M-26SEP251230-30direct contractkalshi settlementsettledContract ↗

NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

NEAR’s 15-minute window closing 5:30 AM ET (target price 4.735) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “NEAR’s 15-minute window closing 5:30 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNEAR15M-26SEP250530-30direct contractkalshi settlementsettledContract ↗

Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

Hyperliquid’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET (target price 91.1875) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Hyperliquid’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXHYPE15M-26SEP250000-00direct contractkalshi settlementsettledContract ↗

Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

Zcash’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET (target price 1,553.1141) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Zcash’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXZEC15M-26SEP250000-00direct contractkalshi settlementsettledContract ↗

BNB finishes the 15-minute window up

78%

Last tradeSingle venue

The chance BNB settles above its target price (775.13) at the end of the window closing 4:00 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s last trade for the Up contract in this window: its bid and ask weren’t read in the last minute, so no price to buy is shown. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Kalshi gives BNB a 78% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXBNB15M-26SEP251600-00direct contract78.00¢last tradefresh · 58s oldContract ↗

Gold finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

Gold’s 15-minute window closing 1:30 AM ET (target price 4,257) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Gold’s 15-minute window closing 1:30 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXGOLD15M-26SEP250130-30direct contractkalshi settlementsettledContract ↗

Silver finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

Silver’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET (target price 63.756) settled Down on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Silver’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET settled Down on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSILVER15M-26SEP250000-00direct contractkalshi settlementsettledContract ↗

Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume

29%

Crypto contracts made up 29.3% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Sep 25, 2026: about $174 million of the $595 million traded.

Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.

Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).

Data sources (1)

DeFi Rate market data
Prediction-market volume by venue and categoryEndpoint /v1/partner/volumeDeFi Rate’s licensed data feed.

Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days

$4.1B

Dollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Aug 26 to Sep 24, 2026, up 20% on the prior 30 days.

Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.

Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).

Data sources (1)

DeFi Rate market data
Prediction-market volume by venue and categoryEndpoint /v1/partner/volumeDeFi Rate’s licensed data feed.