Crypto marketsWhere every number comes from
The contracts, rate or quote types and calculation behind each figure on the Crypto markets page. Data observed Sep 25, 3:56 PM ET; this page updates with it. For a frozen copy, use the snapshot.
Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up
77%Last tradeSingle venue
The chance Bitcoin settles above its target price (83,970.57) at the end of the window closing 4:00 PM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s last trade for the Up contract in this window: its bid and ask weren’t read in the last minute, so no price to buy is shown. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 77% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBTC15M-26SEP251600-00 | direct contract | 77.00¢ | last trade | fresh · 55s old | Contract ↗ |
Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up
77%Last tradeSingle venue
The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,691.27) at the end of the window closing 4:00 PM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s last trade for the Up contract in this window: its bid and ask weren’t read in the last minute, so no price to buy is shown. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 77% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXETH15M-26SEP251600-00 | direct contract | 77.00¢ | last trade | fresh · 55s old | Contract ↗ |
XRP finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
XRP’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 AM ET (target price 1.5812) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “XRP’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXXRP15M-26SEP251100-00 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Dogecoin’s 15-minute window closing 8:30 AM ET (target price 0.0979112) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Dogecoin’s 15-minute window closing 8:30 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXDOGE15M-26SEP250830-30 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Solana finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Solana’s 15-minute window closing 12:30 PM ET (target price 120.687) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Solana’s 15-minute window closing 12:30 PM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSOL15M-26SEP251230-30 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
NEAR’s 15-minute window closing 5:30 AM ET (target price 4.735) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “NEAR’s 15-minute window closing 5:30 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNEAR15M-26SEP250530-30 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Hyperliquid’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET (target price 91.1875) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Hyperliquid’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXHYPE15M-26SEP250000-00 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Zcash’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET (target price 1,553.1141) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Zcash’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXZEC15M-26SEP250000-00 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
BNB finishes the 15-minute window up
78%Last tradeSingle venue
The chance BNB settles above its target price (775.13) at the end of the window closing 4:00 PM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s last trade for the Up contract in this window: its bid and ask weren’t read in the last minute, so no price to buy is shown. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Kalshi gives BNB a 78% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBNB15M-26SEP251600-00 | direct contract | 78.00¢ | last trade | fresh · 58s old | Contract ↗ |
Gold finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Gold’s 15-minute window closing 1:30 AM ET (target price 4,257) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Gold’s 15-minute window closing 1:30 AM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXGOLD15M-26SEP250130-30 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Silver finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Silver’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET (target price 63.756) settled Down on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Silver’s 15-minute window closing 12:00 AM ET settled Down on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSILVER15M-26SEP250000-00 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume
29%Crypto contracts made up 29.3% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Sep 25, 2026: about $174 million of the $595 million traded.
Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).
Data sources (1)
Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days
$4.1BDollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Aug 26 to Sep 24, 2026, up 20% on the prior 30 days.
Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).