We track today’s most active event contracts across sports, politics, business, and culture, pulling live data from Kalshi and Polymarket. You can see current odds and 24-hour trading volume at a glance, organized by category. For more events, use the view all markets links.
Today's sports markets
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille
SRF
Stade Rennais FC 1901
100.0%
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) – LEC Playoffs
NV
Natus Vincere
100.0%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma
DRA
Draw
100.0%
Today's political markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
JDV
J.D. Vance
50.0%
MR
Marco Rubio
19.0%
TC
Tucker Carlson
4.0%
DT
Donald Trump
2.0%
RD
Ron DeSantis
2.0%
DTJ
Donald Trump Jr.
2.0%
TC
Ted Cruz
2.0%
ET
Eric Trump
1.0%
KK
Kim Kardashian
1.0%
TB
Tom Brady
1.0%
IT
Ivanka Trump
1.0%
TM
Thomas Massie
1.0%
TG
Tulsi Gabbard
1.0%
GY
Glenn Youngkin
1.0%
PH
Pete Hegseth
1.0%
RP
Rand Paul
1.0%
KB
Katie Britt
1.0%
SB
Steve Bannon
1.0%
MTG
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1.0%
BD
Byron Donalds
1.0%
BK
Brian Kemp
1.0%
JH
Josh Hawley
1.0%
MP
Mike Pence
1.0%
RFK
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1.0%
KN
Kristi Noem
1.0%
JT
John Thune
1.0%
GA
Greg Abbott
1.0%
EM
Elon Musk
1.0%
CO
Candace Owens
1.0%
ES
Elise Stefanik
1.0%
EK
Erika Kirk
1.0%
NH
Nikki Haley
1.0%
JK
Joe Kent
1.0%
JNK
John N. Kennedy
1.0%
TC
Tom Cotton
1.0%
RS
Rick Scott
1.0%
DB
Doug Burgum
1.0%
Next French Presidential Election
MLP
Marine Le Pen
34.0%
EP
Édouard Philippe
28.0%
JLM
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
12.0%
DL
David Lisnard
6.0%
FH
François Hollande
3.0%
BR
Bruno Retailleau
3.0%
JB
Jordan Bardella
2.0%
GA
Gabriel Attal
2.0%
SK
Sarah Knafo
2.0%
RG
Raphaël Glucksmann
2.0%
DDV
Dominique de Villepin
1.0%
SL
Sébastien Lecornu
1.0%
EZ
Éric Zemmour
1.0%
XB
Xavier Bertrand
1.0%
OF
Olivier Faure
1.0%
JC
Jean Castex
1.0%
MB
Michel Barnier
1.0%
JB
Juan Branco
1.0%
KB
Karim Bouamrane
1.0%
MT
Marine Tondelier
1.0%
CG
Clémence Guetté
1.0%
FR
François Ruffin
1.0%
CD
Carole Delga
1.0%
MM
Marion Maréchal
1.0%
FB
François Bayrou
1.0%
NDA
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
1.0%
MB
Manuel Bompard
1.0%
GD
Gérald Darmanin
1.0%
BC
Bernard Cazeneuve
1.0%
Brazil Presidential Election
FB
Flávio Bolsonaro
53.0%
LIL
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
45.0%
RS
Renan Santos
2.0%
AC
Augusto Cury
1.0%
PM
Pablo Marçal
1.0%
RZ
Romeu Zema
1.0%
RC
Ronaldo Caiado
1.0%
JB
Jair Bolsonaro
1.0%
MB
Michelle Bolsonaro
1.0%
TDF
Tarcisio de Freitas
1.0%
FH
Fernando Haddad
1.0%
TC
Tereza Cristina
1.0%
GA
Geraldo Alckmin
1.0%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
AOC
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
19.0%
JO
Jon Ossoff
16.0%
GN
Gavin Newsom
14.0%
KH
Kamala Harris
8.0%
JS
Josh Shapiro
6.0%
PB
Pete Buttigieg
6.0%
MK
Mark Kelly
3.0%
AB
Andy Beshear
3.0%
RE
Rahm Emanuel
3.0%
JT
James Talarico
2.0%
WM
Wes Moore
2.0%
RK
Ro Khanna
2.0%
JS
Jon Stewart
1.0%
HB
Hunter Biden
1.0%
DTR
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1.0%
JBP
J.B. Pritzker
1.0%
CB
Cory Booker
1.0%
CC
Chelsea Clinton
1.0%
RW
Raphael Warnock
1.0%
GW
Gretchen Whitmer
1.0%
CM
Chris Murphy
1.0%
MO
Michelle Obama
1.0%
BO
Barack Obama
1.0%
BS
Bernie Sanders
1.0%
ZM
Zohran Mamdani
1.0%
ES
Elissa Slotkin
1.0%
JC
Jasmine Crockett
1.0%
HC
Hillary Clinton
1.0%
MC
Mark Cuban
1.0%
SAS
Stephen A. Smith
1.0%
LJ
LeBron James
1.0%
MRB
MrBeast
1.0%
RC
Roy Cooper
1.0%
GR
Gina Raimondo
1.0%
RG
Ruben Gallego
1.0%
AS
Abigail Spanberger
1.0%
AY
Andrew Yang
1.0%
JP
Jared Polis
1.0%
JF
John Fetterman
1.0%
GP
Graham Platner
1.0%
JS
Josh Stein
1.0%
BOR
Beto O’Rourke
1.0%
GC
George Clooney
1.0%
LC
Liz Cheney
1.0%
Today's business markets
Google market share this week
A16
Above 17.6%
99.0%
A14
Above 18.4%
56.0%
A18
Above 18.8%
25.0%
A11
Above 19.1%
10.0%
A13
Above 19.35%
6.0%
A16
Above 19.6%
5.0%
A21
Above 21.1%
1.0%
A19
Above 19.9%
1.0%
A24
Above 20.4%
1.0%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
BO1
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.0%
BO1
Before Oct 10, 2026
5.0%
BO1
Before Oct 17, 2026
22.0%
BO2
Before Oct 24, 2026
39.0%
BN1
Before Nov 1, 2026
70.0%
BD1
Before Dec 1, 2026
90.0%
BJ1
Before Jan 1, 2027
95.0%
BF1
Before Feb 1, 2027
93.0%
BM1
Before Mar 1, 2027
96.0%
BA1
Before Apr 1, 2027
97.0%
Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
A3
Above -3%
49.0%
A2
Above -2%
28.0%
A1
Above -1%
19.0%
ABO
Above 0%
11.0%
A2
Above 2%
4.0%
A1
Above 1%
4.0%
A3
Above 3%
2.0%
A4
Above 4%
2.0%
A6
Above 6%
1.0%
A5
Above 5%
1.0%
A1
Above 10%
1.0%
A9
Above 9%
1.0%
A7
Above 7%
1.0%
A8
Above 8%
1.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
NO
No
91.0%
YES
Yes
9.0%
Today's culture markets
"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office
6M
$6M
93.0%
67
$6M–$7M
4.0%
78
$7M–$8M
1.0%
91
$9M–$10M
1.0%
89
$8M–$9M
1.0%
10M
$10M
1.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by…?
WTU
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027
4.0%
S3
September 30
1.0%
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
99
$950M–$960M
63.0%
99
$940M–$950M
37.0%
940
$940M
1.0%
970
$970M
1.0%
99
$960M–$970M
1.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
NO
No
97.0%
YES
Yes
3.0%
Today's economic markets
Fed Decision in September?
WTF
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting
81.0%
WTB
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting
20.0%
WTF
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting
1.0%
WTF
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting
1.0%
WTF
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting
1.0%
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
H2
Hike 25bps
80.0%
MR
Maintain rate
20.0%
H2
Hike >25bps
2.0%
C2
Cut 25bps
1.0%
C2
Cut >25bps
1.0%
Fed Decision in October?
WTB
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
62.0%
WTF
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
38.0%
WTF
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
1.0%
WTF
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
1.0%
WTF
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
1.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
YES
Yes
89.0%
NO
No
11.0%
Today's world markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 – 9/13)
A1
Above 10
99.0%
A1
Above 15
98.0%
A2
Above 20
97.0%
A2
Above 25
90.0%
A3
Above 30
43.0%
A3
Above 35
16.0%
A4
Above 40
7.0%
A4
Above 45
4.0%
A5
Above 50
3.0%
A7
Above 75
2.0%
A1
Above 100
2.0%
What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
SAU
Saudi
88.0%
OGG
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
85.0%
REP
Republican
70.0%
DIE
Diesel
63.0%
VAN
Vance
63.0%
T5T
Trump (5+ times)
63.0%
I3T
Iran (3+ times)
54.0%
INF
Inflation
45.0%
FIR
Fed / Interest Rate
32.0%
AAI
AI / Artificial Intelligence
26.0%
DD
Democrat / Democratic
22.0%
DS
Dividend / Stimulus
21.0%
IRE
Ireland
16.0%
AC
Anthropic / Claude
15.0%
SC
Supreme Court
14.0%
New US-Iran nuclear deal in 2026?
BJ2
Before Jan 20, 2029
29.0%
B2
Before 2028
22.0%
BM2
Before Mar 2027
9.0%
B2
Before 2027
8.0%
BF2
Before Feb 2027
8.0%
BD2
Before Dec 2026
7.0%
BN2
Before Nov 2026
3.0%
BO2
Before Oct 2026
1.0%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
BO1
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.0%
BN1
Before Nov 1, 2026
3.0%
BD1
Before Dec 1, 2026
4.0%
B2
Before 2027
5.0%
B2
Before 2028
13.0%
BJ2
Before Jan 20, 2029
21.0%
Today's tech markets
Elon Musk # tweets September 4 – September 11, 2026?
11
160–179
100.0%
11
140–159
1.0%
Elon Musk # tweets September 8 – September 15, 2026?
11
180–199
28.0%
11
160–179
25.0%
22
200–219
18.0%
11
140–159
16.0%
22
220–239
9.0%
11
120–139
4.0%
22
240–259
3.0%
11
100–119
1.0%
89
80–99
1.0%
22
260–279
1.0%
33
300–319
1.0%
22
280–299
1.0%
33
340–359
1.0%
33
320–339
1.0%
33
360–379
1.0%
33
380–399
1.0%
67
60–79
1.0%
When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18?
BO1
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.0%
BJ1
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.0%
BF1
Before Feb 1, 2027
7.0%
BM1
Before Mar 1, 2027
20.0%
BA1
Before Apr 1, 2027
73.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
WAH
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026
94.0%
WOH
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026
3.0%
WGH
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026
2.0%
WMH
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026
1.0%
WSH
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026
1.0%
WDH
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026
1.0%
WMH
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026
1.0%
Today's finance markets
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
95
$95
82.0%
90
$90
58.0%
105
$105
54.0%
110
$110
35.0%
85
$85
33.0%
115
$115
22.0%
80
$80
15.0%
120
$120
12.0%
75
$75
8.0%
125
$125
7.0%
130
$130
5.0%
70
$70
3.0%
140
$140
3.0%
150
$150
1.0%
60
$60
1.0%
50
$50
1.0%
65
$65
1.0%
20
$20
1.0%
40
$40
1.0%
30
$30
1.0%
55
$55
1.0%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVI
NVIDIA
76.0%
APP
Apple
19.0%
ALP
Alphabet
6.0%
SPA
SpaceX
1.0%
MIC
Microsoft
1.0%
TES
Tesla
1.0%
SA
Saudi Aramco
1.0%
AMA
Amazon
1.0%
Largest Company end of September?
NVI
NVIDIA
95.0%
APP
Apple
5.0%
ALP
Alphabet
1.0%
BRO
Broadcom
1.0%
MIC
Microsoft
1.0%
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
WTE
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting
100.0%
Today's crypto markets
Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
70
$70,000
100.0%
Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
70
$76,000
100.0%
Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
70
$72,000
100.0%
70
$70,000
100.0%
70
$74,000
99.0%
70
$76,000
96.0%
70
$78,000
11.0%
80
$80,000
2.0%
80
$82,000
1.0%
80
$86,000
1.0%
80
$84,000
1.0%
80
$88,000
1.0%
90
$90,000
1.0%
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
70
$75,000
71.0%
80
$80,000
63.0%
75
$72,500
43.0%
85
$82,500
39.0%
80
$85,000
25.0%
70
$70,000
24.0%
65
$67,500
14.0%
85
$87,500
14.0%
60
$65,000
9.0%
90
$90,000
9.0%
65
$62,500
5.0%
95
$92,500
5.0%
90
$95,000
4.0%
60
$60,000
3.0%
95
$97,500
3.0%
10
$100,000
2.0%
50
$55,000
1.0%
55
$57,500
1.0%