The snapshot from Sep 27, 2:02 AM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/prediction-markets/crypto/snapshot/2026-09-27T0238/.
Permanent snapshot · never updated
Crypto marketsEvery figure as of Sep 27, 2:38 AM ET
A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records
Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up
11%The chance Bitcoin settles above its target price (84,588.14) at the end of the window closing 2:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 16% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 11% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBTC15M-26SEP270245-45 | direct contract | 10.0¢ | 11.0¢ | 10.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 16.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up
28%The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,709.33) at the end of the window closing 2:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 12% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 28% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXETH15M-26SEP270245-45 | direct contract | 27.0¢ | 28.0¢ | 27.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 12.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
XRP finishes the 15-minute window up
28%The chance XRP settles above its target price (1.5234) at the end of the window closing 2:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 20% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives XRP a 28% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXXRP15M-26SEP270245-45 | direct contract | 27.0¢ | 29.0¢ | 28.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 19.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up
53%The chance Dogecoin settles above its target price (0.0969529) at the end of the window closing 2:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 14% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Dogecoin a 53% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXDOGE15M-26SEP270245-45 | direct contract | 51.0¢ | 54.0¢ | 52.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 13.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Solana finishes the 15-minute window up
38%The chance Solana settles above its target price (121.4682) at the end of the window closing 2:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 11% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Solana a 38% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSOL15M-26SEP270245-45 | direct contract | 37.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 37.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 11.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up
50%Single venue
The chance NEAR settles above its target price (5.4371) at the end of the window closing 2:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives NEAR a 50% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNEAR15M-26SEP270245-45 | direct contract | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ | 50.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up
8%The chance Hyperliquid settles above its target price (93.1237) at the end of the window closing 2:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 13% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Hyperliquid a 8% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXHYPE15M-26SEP270245-45 | direct contract | 7.9¢ | 8.0¢ | 7.95¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 13.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up
13%Single venue
The chance Zcash settles above its target price (1,660.0368) at the end of the window closing 2:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Zcash a 13% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXZEC15M-26SEP270245-45 | direct contract | 11.0¢ | 15.0¢ | 13.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 10s old | Contract ↗ |
BNB finishes the 15-minute window up
42%The chance BNB settles above its target price (774.67) at the end of the window closing 2:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 18% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives BNB a 42% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBNB15M-26SEP270245-45 | direct contract | 41.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 41.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 6s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 18.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume
17%Crypto contracts made up 16.9% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Sep 27, 2026: about $146 million of the $864 million traded.
Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).
Data sources (1)
Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days
$4.1BDollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Aug 28 to Sep 26, 2026, up 20% on the prior 30 days.
Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).