The snapshot from Sep 27, 1:16 AM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/prediction-markets/crypto/snapshot/2026-09-27T0202/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Crypto marketsEvery figure as of Sep 27, 2:02 AM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedSep 27, 2:02 AM ET

Live page updatedSep 27, 2:02 AM ET

Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/prediction-markets/crypto/snapshot/2026-09-27T0202

DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
15-minute markets, window closing 2:15 AM ET (CSV)

Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up

56%

The chance Bitcoin settles above its target price (84,477.79) at the end of the window closing 2:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 48% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 56% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXBTC15M-26SEP270215-15	direct contract	55.0¢	56.0¢	55.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 19s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			47.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up

66%

The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,704.37) at the end of the window closing 2:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 48% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 66% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXETH15M-26SEP270215-15	direct contract	64.0¢	67.0¢	65.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 19s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			47.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

XRP finishes the 15-minute window up

45%

The chance XRP settles above its target price (1.5195) at the end of the window closing 2:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 49% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives XRP a 45% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXXRP15M-26SEP270215-15	direct contract	44.0¢	45.0¢	44.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 19s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			49.00¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up

50%

The chance Dogecoin settles above its target price (0.0963595) at the end of the window closing 2:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 48% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Dogecoin a 50% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXDOGE15M-26SEP270215-15	direct contract	49.0¢	50.0¢	49.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 4s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			47.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Solana finishes the 15-minute window up

67%

The chance Solana settles above its target price (121.1023) at the end of the window closing 2:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 48% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Solana a 67% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSOL15M-26SEP270215-15	direct contract	66.0¢	67.0¢	66.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 4s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			48.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up

60%

Single venue

The chance NEAR settles above its target price (5.4002) at the end of the window closing 2:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives NEAR a 60% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXNEAR15M-26SEP270215-15	direct contract	58.0¢	61.0¢	59.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 4s old	Contract ↗

Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up

52%

The chance Hyperliquid settles above its target price (93.0189) at the end of the window closing 2:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 50% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Hyperliquid a 52% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXHYPE15M-26SEP270215-15	direct contract	51.0¢	53.0¢	52.00¢	midpoint	fresh · 4s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			50.00¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up

43%

Last tradeSingle venue

The chance Zcash settles above its target price (1,656.7964) at the end of the window closing 2:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s last trade for the Up contract in this window: its bid and ask weren’t read in the last minute, so no price to buy is shown. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Zcash a 43% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXZEC15M-26SEP270215-15	direct contract			43.00¢	last trade	fresh · 2s old	Contract ↗

BNB finishes the 15-minute window up

69%

The chance BNB settles above its target price (773.56) at the end of the window closing 2:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 50% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives BNB a 69% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXBNB15M-26SEP270215-15	direct contract	68.0¢	69.0¢	68.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 19s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			49.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume

17%

Crypto contracts made up 16.9% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Sep 27, 2026: about $146 million of the $864 million traded.

Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.

Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).

Data sources (1)

DeFi Rate market data

Prediction-market volume by venue and categoryEndpoint /v1/partner/volumeDeFi Rate’s licensed data feed.

Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days

$4.1B

Dollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Aug 28 to Sep 26, 2026, up 20% on the prior 30 days.

Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.

Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).

Data sources (1)

DeFi Rate market data

Prediction-market volume by venue and categoryEndpoint /v1/partner/volumeDeFi Rate’s licensed data feed.