DeFi RateApp Offers

The snapshot from Oct 12, 6:18 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-12T1909/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 12, 7:09 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 12, 7:09 PM ET
Live page updatedOct 12, 7:09 PM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-12T1909
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 336s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.0¢13.0¢12.50¢midpointfresh · 277s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 223s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1211.5%
2026-10-1111.5%
2026-10-1011.5%
2026-10-0911.5%
2026-10-0811.5%
2026-10-0711.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

11%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +771, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (11.45%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 254s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract11.4¢11.5¢11.45¢midpointfresh · 264s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 332s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1211.5%
2026-10-1110.5%
2026-10-1010.5%
2026-10-099.5%
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +883, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (10.50%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 246s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract10.0¢11.0¢10.50¢midpointfresh · 255s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1210.5%
2026-10-1110.5%
2026-10-1010.5%
2026-10-0910.5%
2026-10-0810.5%
2026-10-0710.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +933, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (10.05%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 276s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract10.0¢10.1¢10.05¢midpointfresh · 226s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 218s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-129.5%
2026-10-119.5%
2026-10-109.5%
2026-10-099.5%
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1122, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.55%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 316s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.5¢7.6¢7.55¢midpointfresh · 251s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 420s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-128.5%
2026-10-117.5%
2026-10-106.5%
2026-10-097.5%
2026-10-087.5%
2026-10-077.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1124, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 326s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.0¢8.0¢7.50¢midpointfresh · 281s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-128.5%
2026-10-118.5%
2026-10-108.5%
2026-10-098.5%
2026-10-088.5%
2026-10-078.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

6%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1458, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.25%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 294s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract6.2¢6.3¢6.25¢midpointfresh · 274s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 332s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-126.5%
2026-10-116.5%
2026-10-106.5%
2026-10-096.5%
2026-10-086.5%
2026-10-075.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2662, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.85%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 328s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.8¢3.9¢3.85¢midpointfresh · 281s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2741, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.55%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 332s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.5¢3.6¢3.55¢midpointfresh · 269s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 223s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2799, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.35%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 328s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.3¢3.4¢3.35¢midpointfresh · 281s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 229s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-114.5%
2026-10-104.5%
2026-10-094.5%
2026-10-084.5%
2026-10-074.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2824, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.25%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.2¢3.3¢3.25¢midpointfresh · 228s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2912, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.95%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.95¢midpointstale · 4950s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 229s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3211, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 898s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.05¢midpointstale · 3782s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 292s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

2%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3982, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.35%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.35¢midpointstale · 4950s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 285s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-122.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

2%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +5961, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.95%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 328s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.95¢midpointstale · 4928s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 285s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.5%
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

2%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6229, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.75%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 319s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.75¢midpointstale · 4950s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 292s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.5%
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

2%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6269, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.70%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 328s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.70¢midpointstale · 4921s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 229s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.5%
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +8375, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3318s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.0¢1.1¢1.05¢midpointfresh · 233s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 223s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 256s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointstale · 4928s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 218s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 812s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.8¢0.9¢0.85¢midpointfresh · 228s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 347s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 328s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointstale · 4943s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 223s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 316s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointstale · 4921s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 229s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3129s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointfresh · 1702s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1879s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2486s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 4943s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3230s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 365s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 4950s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1130s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 796s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 4943s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 248s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 4943s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1091s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 437s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.3¢0.4¢0.35¢midpointfresh · 250s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1121s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1025s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointstale · 4935s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 292s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 796s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointstale · 4928s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +14825, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.35%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 3375s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contractmidpointstale · 3697s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +14825, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.35%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2486s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 3369s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contractmidpointstale · 3699s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

The top six teams combined

60%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 60% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-BAL, KXSB-27-SEAinputslast tradefresh