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The snapshot from Oct 12, 7:09 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-12T1955/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 12, 7:55 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 12, 7:55 PM ET
Live page updatedOct 12, 7:55 PM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-12T1955
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.0¢13.0¢12.50¢midpointfresh · 152s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 237s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1211.5%
2026-10-1111.5%
2026-10-1011.5%
2026-10-0911.5%
2026-10-0811.5%
2026-10-0711.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

11%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +771, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (11.45%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 202s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract11.4¢11.5¢11.45¢midpointfresh · 210s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 167s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1211.5%
2026-10-1110.5%
2026-10-1010.5%
2026-10-099.5%
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +883, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (10.50%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 394s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract10.0¢11.0¢10.50¢midpointfresh · 158s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 192s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1210.5%
2026-10-1110.5%
2026-10-1010.5%
2026-10-0910.5%
2026-10-0810.5%
2026-10-0710.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +933, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (10.05%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 158s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract10.0¢10.1¢10.05¢midpointfresh · 195s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 255s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-129.5%
2026-10-119.5%
2026-10-109.5%
2026-10-099.5%
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1122, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.55%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.5¢7.6¢7.55¢midpointfresh · 160s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 357s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-128.5%
2026-10-117.5%
2026-10-106.5%
2026-10-097.5%
2026-10-087.5%
2026-10-077.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1124, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 346s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.0¢8.0¢7.50¢midpointfresh · 186s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 235s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-128.5%
2026-10-118.5%
2026-10-108.5%
2026-10-098.5%
2026-10-088.5%
2026-10-078.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

6%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1458, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.25%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 1552s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract6.2¢6.3¢6.25¢midpointfresh · 174s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 167s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-126.5%
2026-10-116.5%
2026-10-106.5%
2026-10-096.5%
2026-10-086.5%
2026-10-075.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2662, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.85%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 591s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.8¢3.9¢3.85¢midpointfresh · 174s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 235s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2741, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.55%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 162s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.55¢midpointfresh · 2746s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 237s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2799, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.35%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 176s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.3¢3.4¢3.35¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-114.5%
2026-10-104.5%
2026-10-094.5%
2026-10-084.5%
2026-10-074.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2824, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.25%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.2¢3.3¢3.25¢midpointfresh · 196s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 536s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2912, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.95%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.95¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3211, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 2125s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.05¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-123.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3982, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.35%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.35¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 238s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-122.5%
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +5961, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.95%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 456s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.95¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 238s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.5%
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6229, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.75%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 678s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.75¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.5%
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6229, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.75%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 347s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.75¢midpointfresh · 2746s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.5%
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +8375, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2708s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.0¢1.1¢1.05¢midpointfresh · 160s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 530s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 955s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 255s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1373s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.8¢0.9¢0.85¢midpointfresh · 196s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 186s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 648s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 237s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 160s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointfresh · 2727s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2108s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointfresh · 800s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 176s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2125s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2417s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3159s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2746s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 192s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3590s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2750s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 235s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 976s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.3¢0.4¢0.35¢midpointfresh · 162s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 370s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.00¢midpointstale · 3819s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1841s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 825s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2789s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3590s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 2740s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 235s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2434s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 825s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2793s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-12 (139 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-121.0%
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%

The top six teams combined

60%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 60% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-BAL, KXSB-27-SEAinputslast tradefresh