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The snapshot from Oct 4, 10:41 AM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-05T1245/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 5, 12:45 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 5, 12:45 PM ET
Live page updatedOct 5, 12:45 PM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-05T1245
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 563s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.0¢13.0¢12.50¢midpointfresh · 367s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 245s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0511.5%
2026-10-0411.5%
2026-10-0311.5%
2026-10-0211.5%
2026-10-0111.5%
2026-09-3011.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 190s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.0¢13.0¢12.50¢midpointfresh · 315s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 2815s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0511.5%
2026-10-0411.0%
2026-10-0312.5%
2026-10-0212.5%
2026-10-0112.5%
2026-09-3012.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +944, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 166s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.7¢9.8¢9.75¢midpointfresh · 180s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 382s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-059.5%
2026-10-049.5%
2026-10-039.5%
2026-10-029.5%
2026-10-019.5%
2026-09-309.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

9%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1043, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (9.25%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 9% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 202s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.2¢9.3¢9.25¢midpointfresh · 239s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 226s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-058.5%
2026-10-048.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-017.5%
2026-09-307.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1177, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 168s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.0¢8.0¢7.50¢midpointfresh · 1817s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 161s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-058.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-016.5%
2026-09-306.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

7%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1255, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.15%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 7% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 202s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.1¢7.2¢7.15¢midpointfresh · 203s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 2818s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-057.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-038.5%
2026-10-028.5%
2026-10-018.5%
2026-09-308.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

5%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1780, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (4.95%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 344s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract4.9¢5.0¢4.95¢midpointfresh · 278s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 2991s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-055.5%
2026-10-045.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2215, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (3.95%) and Polymarket US (4.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 202s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.9¢4.0¢3.95¢midpointfresh · 239s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 215s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-054.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2717, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.65%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 1592s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.6¢3.7¢3.65¢midpointfresh · 176s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 2895s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2717, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.65%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 327s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.6¢3.7¢3.65¢midpointfresh · 2762s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 237s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2774, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.45%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 1003s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.4¢3.5¢3.45¢midpointfresh · 2766s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 229s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2859, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 1241s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.15¢midpointstale · 3644s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 217s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3290, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.85%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 202s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.8¢2.9¢2.85¢midpointfresh · 167s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 2826s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-052.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3576, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 1227s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.1¢3.2¢3.15¢midpointfresh · 534s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 2858s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-052.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3631, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 202s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.0¢3.1¢3.05¢midpointfresh · 180s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 2977s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-052.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6797, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.35%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 810s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.35¢midpointfresh · 3582s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 2945s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7307, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 2496s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.05¢midpointfresh · 3590s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 2977s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.0%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7307, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 539s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.0¢1.1¢1.05¢midpointfresh · 382s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 2923s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +8829, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1581s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.8¢0.9¢0.85¢midpointfresh · 189s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2977s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 791s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointfresh · 3582s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2964s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1948s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointfresh · 3582s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 226s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1012s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 3577s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 243s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1896s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointstale · 3620s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2923s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 370s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointstale · 3644s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2961s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1406s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointstale · 3620s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 229s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (131 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1826s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 3620s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2953s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 693s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 3620s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2981s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1750s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 3597s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2981s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2255s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 3582s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2975s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1736s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointstale · 3610s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2977s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2167s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.3¢0.4¢0.35¢midpointfresh · 490s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2975s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 791s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 3582s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2975s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

The top six teams combined

57%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 57% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BALinputslast tradefresh