The snapshot from Oct 5, 12:45 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-05T1311/.
Permanent snapshot · never updated
Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 5, 1:11 PM ET
A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records
Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI
12%The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LAR | direct contract | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 350s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 12.0¢ | 13.0¢ | 12.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 234s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losram | direct contract | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 148s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 11.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 11.5% |
Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI
12%The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-BUF | direct contract | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 160s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 12.0¢ | 13.0¢ | 12.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 882s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbil | direct contract | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 143s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 11.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 12.5% |
San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI
10%The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +944, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-SF | direct contract | 9.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 177s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 9.7¢ | 9.8¢ | 9.75¢ | midpoint | fresh · 263s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-saners | direct contract | 9.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 144s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 9.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 9.5% |
Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI
9%The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1043, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (9.25%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 9% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-KC | direct contract | 8.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 251s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 9.2¢ | 9.3¢ | 9.25¢ | midpoint | fresh · 166s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchi | direct contract | 8.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 275s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 7.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 7.5% |
Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI
8%The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1177, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-SEA | direct contract | 8.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 142s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 7.0¢ | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 725s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seasea | direct contract | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 262s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 6.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 6.5% |
Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI
8%The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1195, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.15%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-BAL | direct contract | 8.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1191s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 7.1¢ | 7.2¢ | 7.15¢ | midpoint | fresh · 453s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balrav | direct contract | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 272s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 8.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 8.5% |
Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI
5%The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1780, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (4.95%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-JAC | direct contract | 5.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 455s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 4.9¢ | 5.0¢ | 4.95¢ | midpoint | fresh · 245s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjag | direct contract | 5.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 144s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 4.5% |
Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI
4%The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2215, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (3.95%) and Polymarket US (4.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CHI | direct contract | 4.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1149s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.9¢ | 4.0¢ | 3.95¢ | midpoint | fresh · 659s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibea | direct contract | 4.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 151s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 3.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 3.5% |
Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI
4%The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2717, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.65%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CIN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 389s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.6¢ | 3.7¢ | 3.65¢ | midpoint | fresh · 602s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinben | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 824s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 4.5% |
Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI
4%The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2717, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.65%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-DAL | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 435s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.6¢ | 3.7¢ | 3.65¢ | midpoint | fresh · 564s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcow | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 143s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 2.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 2.5% |
Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2774, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.45%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-DEN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 447s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.4¢ | 3.5¢ | 3.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 224s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbro | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 218s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 4.5% |
Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI
3%Stale
The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2859, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-MIN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 238s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.15¢ | midpoint | stale · 5213s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvik | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 148s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 3.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 3.5% |
Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3290, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.85%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-PHI | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 443s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 2.8¢ | 2.9¢ | 2.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 341s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieag | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 723s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 3.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 3.5% |
New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3576, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NE | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 451s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.1¢ | 3.2¢ | 3.15¢ | midpoint | fresh · 395s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpat | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 728s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.5% |
Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3631, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-DET | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 376s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.0¢ | 3.1¢ | 3.05¢ | midpoint | fresh · 369s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detlio | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 861s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 3.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 3.5% |
Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI
1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6797, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.35%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-GB | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2379s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.35¢ | midpoint | stale · 5151s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepac | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 854s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.5% |
New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI
1%Stale
The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7307, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NO | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 433s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.05¢ | midpoint | stale · 5159s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsai | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 853s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI
1%The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7307, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LV | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 665s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.0¢ | 1.1¢ | 1.05¢ | midpoint | fresh · 234s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasrai | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 863s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 2.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 2.5% |
Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI
1%The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7712, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-HOU | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 775s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | 0.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 820s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtex | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 859s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.5% |
Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-IND | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 352s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.95¢ | midpoint | stale · 5151s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcol | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 857s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CAR | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 393s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.85¢ | midpoint | stale · 5151s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpan | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 275s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NYG | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1025s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.65¢ | midpoint | stale · 5146s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgia | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 277s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-ATL | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 273s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.65¢ | midpoint | stale · 5189s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfal | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 866s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-PIT | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1155s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.55¢ | midpoint | stale · 5213s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitste | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 865s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CLE | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1383s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.55¢ | midpoint | stale · 5189s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebro | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 280s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (131 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LAC | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 654s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | stale · 5189s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loscha | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 230s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-TB | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2262s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | stale · 5189s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambuc | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 746s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-ARI | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 3319s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | stale · 5166s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricar | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 853s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NYJ | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | stale · 3824s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | stale · 5151s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjet | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 861s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-MIA | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 671s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.35¢ | midpoint | stale · 5179s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadol | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 855s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-WAS | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | stale · 3736s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | 0.35¢ | midpoint | fresh · 285s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascom | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 859s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-TEN | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2360s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.35¢ | midpoint | stale · 5151s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentit | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 850s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
The top six teams combined
58%Last trade
The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.
Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.
Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 58% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi + Polymarket | KXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BAL | inputs | last trade | fresh |