Trending marketsEvery figure as of Oct 13, 7:46 AM ET

The price to buy Yes on “Democratic Party” in “Which party will win the U.S. House?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $821K traded in 24 hours: $821K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Which party will win the U.S. House?” traded $821K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “LGD Gaming” in “LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming”, by venue. 53 outcomes; $671K traded in 24 hours: $671K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming” traded $671K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Milwaukee” in “Pro Baseball Champion”, by venue. 30 outcomes; $628K traded in 24 hours: $628K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Pro Baseball Champion” traded $628K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “San Francisco” in “2027 Pro Football Champion”, by venue. 32 outcomes; $596K traded in 24 hours: $596K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2027 Pro Football Champion” traded $596K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Barcelona” in “Galatasaray vs Barcelona”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $553K traded in 24 hours: $337K on Kalshi and $216K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Galatasaray vs Barcelona” traded $553K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “360-379” in “Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?”, by venue. 26 outcomes; $494K traded in 24 hours: $494K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?” traded $494K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Jon Ossoff” in “2028 Democratic presidential nominee”, by venue. 48 outcomes; $493K traded in 24 hours: $493K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2028 Democratic presidential nominee” traded $493K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “October 15” in “US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?”, by venue. 12 outcomes; $480K traded in 24 hours: $480K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?” traded $480K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Democrats sweep” in “2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?”, by venue. 4 outcomes; $416K traded in 24 hours: $416K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?” traded $416K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “$78,250 or above” in “BTC price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?”, by venue. 80 outcomes; $412K traded in 24 hours: $412K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““BTC price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?” traded $412K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “No change” in “Fed Decision in October?”, by venue. 5 outcomes; $344K traded in 24 hours: $344K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Fed Decision in October?” traded $344K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Nithya Raman” in “Los Angeles Mayor winner?”, by venue. 10 outcomes; $326K traded in 24 hours: $326K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Los Angeles Mayor winner?” traded $326K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “78,000” in “Bitcoin above ___ on October 13?”, by venue. 11 outcomes; $292K traded in 24 hours: $292K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Bitcoin above ___ on October 13?” traded $292K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Barcelona” in “LALIGA: 2027 Champion”, by venue. 24 outcomes; $283K traded in 24 hours: $283K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““LALIGA: 2027 Champion” traded $283K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “James Talarico” in “Texas Senate winner?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $280K traded in 24 hours: $280K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Texas Senate winner?” traded $280K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Club Atlético de Madrid” in “Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $278K traded in 24 hours: $278K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC” traded $278K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Oklahoma City” in “2027 Pro Basketball Champion”, by venue. 30 outcomes; $265K traded in 24 hours: $265K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2027 Pro Basketball Champion” traded $265K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” in “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”, by venue. 1 outcomes; $257K traded in 24 hours: $257K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” traded $257K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “San Francisco” in “NFC West Division Winner”, by venue. 4 outcomes; $242K traded in 24 hours: $242K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““NFC West Division Winner” traded $242K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Tampa Bay” in “Game 2: Cleveland vs Tampa Bay”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $238K traded in 24 hours: $238K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Game 2: Cleveland vs Tampa Bay” traded $238K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Harry Kane” in “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”, by venue. 31 outcomes; $219K traded in 24 hours: $219K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Ballon d'Or Winner 2026” traded $219K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “October 15” in “US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?”, by venue. 7 outcomes; $214K traded in 24 hours: $214K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?” traded $214K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Atletico” in “Atletico vs Manchester United”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $211K traded in 24 hours: $211K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Atletico vs Manchester United” traded $211K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Seattle” in “SEA Seahawks vs DEN Broncos”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $210K traded in 24 hours: $154K on Kalshi and $56K on Polymarket US.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““SEA Seahawks vs DEN Broncos” traded $210K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Bangladesh” in “Afghanistan vs Bangladesh”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $210K traded in 24 hours: $210K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Afghanistan vs Bangladesh” traded $210K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Alexander Zverev” in “Zverev vs Bublik”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $187K traded in 24 hours: $187K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Zverev vs Bublik” traded $187K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Milwaukee” in “National League Champion”, by venue. 15 outcomes; $182K traded in 24 hours: $182K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““National League Champion” traded $182K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “No Hormuz Agreement” in “Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $168K traded in 24 hours: $168K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?” traded $168K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “↑ 85,000” in “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”, by venue. 29 outcomes; $163K traded in 24 hours: $163K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““What price will Bitcoin hit in October?” traded $163K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Tie” in “Shanghai Port vs Daejeon Citizen”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $161K traded in 24 hours: $110K on Kalshi and $51K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Shanghai Port vs Daejeon Citizen” traded $161K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%” in “Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory”, by venue. 8 outcomes; $153K traded in 24 hours: $153K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory” traded $153K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “December 31” in “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”, by venue. 7 outcomes; $151K traded in 24 hours: $151K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?” traded $151K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “FC Internazionale Milano” in “FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $149K traded in 24 hours: $149K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV” traded $149K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “LGD Gaming” in “LGD Gaming vs. OKSavingsBank BRION”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $146K traded in 24 hours: $146K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““LGD Gaming vs. OKSavingsBank BRION” traded $146K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Cleveland” in “American League Champion”, by venue. 15 outcomes; $146K traded in 24 hours: $146K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““American League Champion” traded $146K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Boston” in “Where will it rain on Oct 13, 2026?”, by venue. 33 outcomes; $133K traded in 24 hours: $133K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Where will it rain on Oct 13, 2026?” traded $133K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “$82,500 or above” in “BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?”, by venue. 50 outcomes; $127K traded in 24 hours: $127K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?” traded $127K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Arsenal” in “Arsenal vs Lille”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $123K traded in 24 hours: $71K on Kalshi and $52K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Arsenal vs Lille” traded $123K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Ammunition” in “What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)”, by venue. 14 outcomes; $120K traded in 24 hours: $120K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)” traded $120K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Nepal” in “Oman vs Nepal”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $115K traded in 24 hours: $115K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Oman vs Nepal” traded $115K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Slavia Prague” in “Sabah Masazir vs Slavia Prague”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $115K traded in 24 hours: $115K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Sabah Masazir vs Slavia Prague” traded $115K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Alexander Zverev” in “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik”, by venue. 16 outcomes; $115K traded in 24 hours: $115K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik” traded $115K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Los Angeles D” in “Game 3: Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $113K traded in 24 hours: $113K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Game 3: Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D” traded $113K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “March 31” in “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?”, by venue. 23 outcomes; $109K traded in 24 hours: $109K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” traded $109K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “38.1%” in “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?”, by venue. 9 outcomes; $109K traded in 24 hours: $109K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?” traded $109K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Georgia” in “College Football National Championship Winner”, by venue. 52 outcomes; $108K traded in 24 hours: $108K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““College Football National Championship Winner” traded $108K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “J.D. Vance” in “2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?”, by venue. 32 outcomes; $102K traded in 24 hours: $102K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?” traded $102K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Xavier Becerra” in “California Governor winner? (Person)”, by venue. 25 outcomes; $101K traded in 24 hours: $101K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““California Governor winner? (Person)” traded $101K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez” in “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”, by venue. 53 outcomes; $95K traded in 24 hours: $95K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” traded $95K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Brock Purdy” in “MVP Winner?”, by venue. 49 outcomes; $95K traded in 24 hours: $95K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““MVP Winner?” traded $95K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The share of 24-hour volume on Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and Gemini in the 50 most-traded open markets that comes from sports markets.

26 of the 50 markets are sports. Their combined 24-hour volume is $6.4M of $12.7M.

Measure: 24-hour traded volume. Cited as: “Sports make up 50% of volume in the 50 most-traded prediction markets” (DeFi Rate calculation from Kalshi and Polymarket volume).

Data sources (1)