Trending marketsWhere every number comes from
The contracts, rate or quote types and calculation behind each figure on the Trending markets page. Data observed Oct 9, 2:00 AM ET; this page updates with it. For a frozen copy, use the snapshot.
Every figure and contract
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
31¢The price to buy Yes on “Yulia Navalnaya” in “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026”, by venue. 42 outcomes; $1.0M traded in 24 hours: $1.0M on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026” traded $1.0M across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0xae76ef049f09b109cfb0a9bfa2335d7c9fde5bd262c64548b43308c810c314ec | direct contract | 31.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 7s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Markus vs Meabe
68¢The price to buy Yes on “Sofia Meabe” in “Markus vs Meabe”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $770K traded in 24 hours: $770K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Markus vs Meabe” traded $770K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXITFWMATCH-26OCT08MARMEA-MEA | direct contract | 68.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 47s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
41.7¢The price to buy Yes on “340-359” in “Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?”, by venue. 26 outcomes; $685K traded in 24 hours: $685K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?” traded $685K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x1a293ddbc68fd590502f95e2d5a0c6bbab6ea26d816cfd0e0a0334fc4a533a7b | direct contract | 41.7¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 7s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Pro Baseball Champion
43.2¢The price to buy Yes on “Los Angeles D” in “Pro Baseball Champion”, by venue. 30 outcomes; $648K traded in 24 hours: $648K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Pro Baseball Champion” traded $648K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXMLB-26-LAD | direct contract | 43.2¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 151s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | tec-mlb-champ-2026-09-27-lad | direct contract | 43.4¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 302s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one. |
Texas Senate winner?
66¢The price to buy Yes on “James Talarico” in “Texas Senate winner?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $642K traded in 24 hours: $642K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Texas Senate winner?” traded $642K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | SENATETX-26-D | direct contract | 66.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 32s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
70¢The price to buy Yes on “↓ 80,000” in “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”, by venue. 26 outcomes; $638K traded in 24 hours: $638K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““What price will Bitcoin hit in October?” traded $638K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x6cdca3f2bdbb59e8d575c713b598b4d8e40fee6358a074304cb4a6d133dcece9 | direct contract | 70.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 7s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Which party will win the U.S. House?
90.1¢The price to buy Yes on “Democratic Party” in “Which party will win the U.S. House?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $553K traded in 24 hours: $553K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Which party will win the U.S. House?” traded $553K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | CONTROLH-2026-D | direct contract | 90.1¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 155s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed didn’t answer for this venue’s linked market. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed didn’t answer for this venue’s linked market. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed didn’t answer for this venue’s linked market. |
DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers: Spread
49¢The price to buy Yes on “DEN Broncos −3.5” in “DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers: Spread”, by venue. 25 outcomes; $440K traded in 24 hours: $434K on Kalshi and $5K on Polymarket US.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers: Spread” traded $440K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11DENLAC-DEN4 | direct contract | 49.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 44s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | aec-nfl-den-lac-2026-10-11 | direct contract | 63.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 167s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
57¢The price to buy Yes on “Nithya Raman” in “Los Angeles Mayor winner?”, by venue. 10 outcomes; $432K traded in 24 hours: $432K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Los Angeles Mayor winner?” traded $432K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXMAYORLA-26-NRAM | direct contract | 57.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 48s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one. |
Fed Decision in October?
85¢The price to buy Yes on “No change” in “Fed Decision in October?”, by venue. 5 outcomes; $430K traded in 24 hours: $430K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Fed Decision in October?” traded $430K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3 | direct contract | 85.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 52s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
69¢The price to buy Yes on “March 31” in “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?”, by venue. 23 outcomes; $386K traded in 24 hours: $386K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” traded $386K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x8db33416a2d1ebde7438c80129e898f89a5deb3852ca64b37c4bf46513204409 | direct contract | 69.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 90s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one. |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
99.2¢The price to buy Yes on “October 9” in “US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?”, by venue. 12 outcomes; $382K traded in 24 hours: $382K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?” traded $382K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x3813e7ca5c549da6fe72623153d024245a3e1fb28d9d77bf86174645a10d7f0f | direct contract | 99.2¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 49s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
97¢The price to buy Yes on “$79,500 or above” in “BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?”, by venue. 50 outcomes; $359K traded in 24 hours: $359K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?” traded $359K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBTCD-26OCT0917-T79499.99 | direct contract | 97.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Baycurrent Classic Winner
25¢The price to buy Yes on “Jacob Bridgeman” in “Baycurrent Classic Winner”, by venue. 72 outcomes; $350K traded in 24 hours: $350K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Baycurrent Classic Winner” traded $350K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXPGATOUR-BAC26-JBRI | direct contract | 25.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
2027 Pro Football Champion
12¢The price to buy Yes on “Los Angeles R” in “2027 Pro Football Champion”, by venue. 32 outcomes; $326K traded in 24 hours: $326K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2027 Pro Football Champion” traded $326K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LAR | direct contract | 12.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 53s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losram | direct contract | 12.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 216s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xdb88bf08a8244ff54b020d91853d03655b23eea74ed3ced99be6e6e978b0a3c3 | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable · 2824s old | No current two-sided quote | |||
| Gemini | GEMI-PROFB2027-LOSANGELESR | direct contract | 14.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 211s old |
Brazil Presidential election winner?
88¢The price to buy Yes on “Flávio Bolsonaro” in “Brazil Presidential election winner?”, by venue. 14 outcomes; $309K traded in 24 hours: $309K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Brazil Presidential election winner?” traded $309K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBRPRES-26-FBOL | direct contract | 88.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 151s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Open de España presented by Madrid Winner
17¢The price to buy Yes on “Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra” in “Open de España presented by Madrid Winner”, by venue. 128 outcomes; $300K traded in 24 hours: $300K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Open de España presented by Madrid Winner” traded $300K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXDPWORLDTOUR-OPDEPBM26-ELOP | direct contract | 17.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
32¢The price to buy Yes on “Yulia Navalnaya” in “2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner”, by venue. 50 outcomes; $299K traded in 24 hours: $299K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner” traded $299K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNOBELPEACE-27-YNAV | direct contract | 32.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 38s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Bitcoin above ___ on October 9?
–The price to buy Yes on “76,000” in “Bitcoin above ___ on October 9?”, by venue. 11 outcomes; $287K traded in 24 hours: $287K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Bitcoin above ___ on October 9?” traded $287K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0xb316492d31844788b4076f284d58894a66e3e3ffdc0d7fe5c4501da8e4f8d4da | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | failed check · 14s old | No seller below $1 right now. | |||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
62¢The price to buy Yes on “Democrats sweep” in “2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?”, by venue. 4 outcomes; $279K traded in 24 hours: $279K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?” traded $279K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DD | direct contract | 62.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 202s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Gea vs Humbert
–The price to buy Yes on “Arthur Gea” in “Gea vs Humbert”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $274K traded in 24 hours: $274K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Gea vs Humbert” traded $274K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXATPMATCH-26OCT09GEAHUM-GEA | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable · 10s old | No current two-sided quote | |||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
17¢The price to buy Yes on “Jon Ossoff” in “2028 Democratic presidential nominee”, by venue. 48 outcomes; $257K traded in 24 hours: $257K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2028 Democratic presidential nominee” traded $257K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXPRESNOMD-28-JOSS | direct contract | 17.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 32s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed didn’t answer for this venue’s linked market. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed didn’t answer for this venue’s linked market. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed didn’t answer for this venue’s linked market. |
SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks
62¢The price to buy Yes on “Seattle” in “SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $238K traded in 24 hours: $204K on Kalshi and $34K on Polymarket US.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks” traded $238K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT11SFSEA-SEA | direct contract | 62.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | This venue lists the game, but not this outcome. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Where will it rain on Oct 8, 2026?
4¢The price to buy Yes on “Seattle” in “Where will it rain on Oct 8, 2026?”, by venue. 31 outcomes; $230K traded in 24 hours: $230K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Where will it rain on Oct 8, 2026?” traded $230K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXRAIN-26OCT08-SEA | direct contract | 4.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
LV Raiders vs NE Patriots
64¢The price to buy Yes on “New England” in “LV Raiders vs NE Patriots”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $229K traded in 24 hours: $161K on Kalshi, $19K on Polymarket US and $49K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““LV Raiders vs NE Patriots” traded $229K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT11LVNE-NE | direct contract | 64.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 16s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | aec-nfl-lv-ne-2026-10-11:no | direct contract | 63.7¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 67s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | This venue lists the game, but not this outcome. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026?
85¢The price to buy Yes on “Below 38.1%” in “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026?”, by venue. 9 outcomes; $228K traded in 24 hours: $228K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026?” traded $228K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT09-U38.1 | direct contract | 85.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Mannarino vs Cobolli
57¢The price to buy Yes on “Flavio Cobolli” in “Mannarino vs Cobolli”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $228K traded in 24 hours: $150K on Kalshi and $78K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Mannarino vs Cobolli” traded $228K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXATPMATCH-26OCT09MANCOB-COB | direct contract | 57.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x1ac824b08f65fd7b6f4423f8a051bf1c4a6e51aecc564bb959d5d6eb22c0a80c | direct contract | 63.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 7s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars
77¢The price to buy Yes on “Jacksonville” in “PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $228K traded in 24 hours: $228K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““PHI Eagles vs JAC Jaguars” traded $228K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT11PHIJAC-JAC | direct contract | 77.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 16s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Georgia vs Alabama
53¢The price to buy Yes on “Alabama” in “Georgia vs Alabama”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $226K traded in 24 hours: $183K on Kalshi and $43K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Georgia vs Alabama” traded $226K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNCAAFGAME-26OCT10UGAALA-ALA | direct contract | 53.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0xce1e98e4a3a85b8e031de5afa80af228c34346f7f23d0136ddde34422d174a33 | direct contract | 53.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 32s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Shelton vs Altmaier
98¢The price to buy Yes on “Ben Shelton” in “Shelton vs Altmaier”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $225K traded in 24 hours: $225K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Shelton vs Altmaier” traded $225K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXATPMATCH-26OCT07SHEALT-SHE | direct contract | 98.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
HOU Texans vs TEN Titans
77¢The price to buy Yes on “Houston” in “HOU Texans vs TEN Titans”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $220K traded in 24 hours: $209K on Kalshi and $11K on Polymarket US.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““HOU Texans vs TEN Titans” traded $220K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT11HOUTEN-HOU | direct contract | 77.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 38s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | aec-nfl-hou-ten-2026-10-11 | direct contract | 77.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 302s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
MLB: 2026 National League Champion
62¢The price to buy Yes on “Los Angeles Dodgers” in “MLB: 2026 National League Champion”, by venue. 15 outcomes; $217K traded in 24 hours: $217K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““MLB: 2026 National League Champion” traded $217K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x07d6d1ac69e705071cfaa10ab950f8231dc3de7cb03638cbabb7fbf481806797 | direct contract | 62.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 38s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Ohio Senate winner?
62¢The price to buy Yes on “Sherrod Brown” in “Ohio Senate winner?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $212K traded in 24 hours: $212K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Ohio Senate winner?” traded $212K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | SENATEOHS-26-D | direct contract | 62.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 428s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
American League Champion
63¢The price to buy Yes on “Tampa Bay” in “American League Champion”, by venue. 15 outcomes; $209K traded in 24 hours: $209K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““American League Champion” traded $209K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXMLBAL-26-TB | direct contract | 63.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 1374s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed didn’t answer for this venue’s linked market. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed didn’t answer for this venue’s linked market. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Our feed didn’t answer for this venue’s linked market. |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17¢The price to buy Yes on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” in “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”, by venue. 1 outcomes; $195K traded in 24 hours: $195K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” traded $195K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846 | direct contract | 17.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
62¢The price to buy Yes on “Democratic Party” in “Which party will win the U.S. Senate?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $184K traded in 24 hours: $184K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Which party will win the U.S. Senate?” traded $184K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | CONTROLS-2026-D | direct contract | 62.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 8s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
53¢The price to buy Yes on “Harry Kane” in “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”, by venue. 31 outcomes; $175K traded in 24 hours: $175K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Ballon d'Or Winner 2026” traded $175K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x12dc2b61723b2a54fc1947a307389b5f32038e7a29a0e936ad1fe410b969d06a | direct contract | 53.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 104s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
CHI Bears vs GB Packers
53¢The price to buy Yes on “Chicago” in “CHI Bears vs GB Packers”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $170K traded in 24 hours: $100K on Kalshi, $19K on Polymarket US and $51K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““CHI Bears vs GB Packers” traded $170K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT11CHIGB-CHI | direct contract | 53.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 18s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | aec-nfl-chi-gb-2026-10-11 | direct contract | 52.5¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 153s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | This venue lists the game, but not this outcome. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Other Mommy · Rotten Tomatoes score
40¢The price to buy Yes on “Above 30” in “Other Mommy · Rotten Tomatoes score”, by venue. 19 outcomes; $170K traded in 24 hours: $170K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Other Mommy · Rotten Tomatoes score” traded $170K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXRT-OTH-30 | direct contract | 40.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
NFC South Division Winner
37¢The price to buy Yes on “Atlanta” in “NFC South Division Winner”, by venue. 4 outcomes; $164K traded in 24 hours: $164K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““NFC South Division Winner” traded $164K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-ATL | direct contract | 37.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?
47¢The price to buy Yes on “↑ 84,000” in “What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?”, by venue. 19 outcomes; $158K traded in 24 hours: $158K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?” traded $158K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0xe5bcb5a8fe12329cf87be9e6ed0bc36e274645f76e34895ac47fe4caf23c8b47 | direct contract | 47.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 88s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Will the SAVE Act become law?
2.1¢The price to buy Yes on “Before Jan 4, 2027” in “Will the SAVE Act become law?”, by venue. 1 outcomes; $151K traded in 24 hours: $151K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Will the SAVE Act become law?” traded $151K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSAVEACT-27-JAN04 | direct contract | 2.1¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Thunder vs. Hawks
63.5¢The price to buy Yes on “Hawks” in “Thunder vs. Hawks”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $150K traded in 24 hours: $150K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Thunder vs. Hawks” traded $150K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0xc9bd5b8cda4e5109f9025fb6a70efc88f81df3587a1c705fd3008b0487100e35 | direct contract | 63.5¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
63¢The price to buy Yes on “Democrats Sweep” in “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms”, by venue. 5 outcomes; $123K traded in 24 hours: $123K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms” traded $123K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d | direct contract | 63.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
62¢The price to buy Yes on “↑ 90,000” in “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”, by venue. 46 outcomes; $123K traded in 24 hours: $123K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?” traded $123K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0xbb379a14cd03f68c35c279ddbd928a6326f4fd2e21827f8cdaaf59715d6df50e | direct contract | 62.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 14s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
14.6¢The price to buy Yes on “360-379” in “Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?”, by venue. 26 outcomes; $121K traded in 24 hours: $121K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?” traded $121K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x2d168fef2839c5035c85acde606a76d43821a748fe31d7d992f6a066f6053f47 | direct contract | 14.6¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
99.3¢The price to buy Yes on “October 9” in “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?”, by venue. 27 outcomes; $119K traded in 24 hours: $119K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?” traded $119K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x6f4b75cb7dbe82fdcc339acd703f0d0d215b0af33cc48c7ba5e1485b2e174a9d | direct contract | 99.3¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 25s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex
65¢The price to buy Yes on “Paper Rex” in “Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex”, by venue. 17 outcomes; $118K traded in 24 hours: $118K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex” traded $118K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x5f34d5905ad1dea016cfa6e2dd77fb220f0017ec7afcbe8ec9f41ad9e3865d11 | direct contract | 65.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 64s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
28¢The price to buy Yes on “December 31, 2028” in “Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?”, by venue. 4 outcomes; $115K traded in 24 hours: $115K on Polymarket.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?” traded $115K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | 0x22f8fd30d000ac57ad567c6fae3982fdea710720bbc343f0a9d667c6bcb2535d | direct contract | 28.0¢ | price to buy (yes ask) | fresh · 5s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?
–The price to buy Yes on “82° or below” in “Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?”, by venue. 6 outcomes; $113K traded in 24 hours: $113K on Kalshi.
Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.
Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?” traded $113K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXHIGHLAX-26OCT08-T83 | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable · 47s old | No current two-sided quote | |||
| Poly US | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Polymarket | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. | ||||
| Gemini | direct contract | price to buy (yes ask) | unavailable | Not among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there. |