Trending marketsEvery figure as of Oct 13, 5:20 AM ET

The price to buy Yes on “Democratic Party” in “Which party will win the U.S. House?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $820K traded in 24 hours: $820K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Which party will win the U.S. House?” traded $820K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Milwaukee” in “Pro Baseball Champion”, by venue. 30 outcomes; $634K traded in 24 hours: $634K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Pro Baseball Champion” traded $634K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “San Francisco” in “2027 Pro Football Champion”, by venue. 32 outcomes; $596K traded in 24 hours: $596K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2027 Pro Football Champion” traded $596K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “October 15” in “US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?”, by venue. 12 outcomes; $554K traded in 24 hours: $554K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?” traded $554K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Jon Ossoff” in “2028 Democratic presidential nominee”, by venue. 48 outcomes; $493K traded in 24 hours: $493K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2028 Democratic presidential nominee” traded $493K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Barcelona” in “Galatasaray vs Barcelona”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $455K traded in 24 hours: $325K on Kalshi and $131K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Galatasaray vs Barcelona” traded $455K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “360-379” in “Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?”, by venue. 26 outcomes; $437K traded in 24 hours: $437K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?” traded $437K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “LGD Gaming” in “LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming”, by venue. 51 outcomes; $435K traded in 24 hours: $435K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming” traded $435K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Democrats sweep” in “2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?”, by venue. 4 outcomes; $411K traded in 24 hours: $411K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?” traded $411K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “October 15” in “US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?”, by venue. 7 outcomes; $393K traded in 24 hours: $393K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?” traded $393K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Australia” in “South Africa vs Australia”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $369K traded in 24 hours: $369K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““South Africa vs Australia” traded $369K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “No change” in “Fed Decision in October?”, by venue. 5 outcomes; $343K traded in 24 hours: $343K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Fed Decision in October?” traded $343K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Nithya Raman” in “Los Angeles Mayor winner?”, by venue. 10 outcomes; $326K traded in 24 hours: $326K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Los Angeles Mayor winner?” traded $326K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “$78,000 or above” in “BTC price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?”, by venue. 80 outcomes; $322K traded in 24 hours: $322K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““BTC price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?” traded $322K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Team WE” in “FlyQuest vs. Team WE”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $292K traded in 24 hours: $292K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““FlyQuest vs. Team WE” traded $292K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “James Talarico” in “Texas Senate winner?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $282K traded in 24 hours: $282K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Texas Senate winner?” traded $282K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “76,000” in “Bitcoin above ___ on October 13?”, by venue. 11 outcomes; $266K traded in 24 hours: $266K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Bitcoin above ___ on October 13?” traded $266K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Oklahoma City” in “2027 Pro Basketball Champion”, by venue. 30 outcomes; $265K traded in 24 hours: $265K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2027 Pro Basketball Champion” traded $265K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Club Atlético de Madrid” in “Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $264K traded in 24 hours: $264K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC” traded $264K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Nikola Bartunkova” in “Tagger vs Bartunkova”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $262K traded in 24 hours: $262K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Tagger vs Bartunkova” traded $262K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” in “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”, by venue. 1 outcomes; $257K traded in 24 hours: $257K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” traded $257K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

Stale

The price to buy Yes on “San Francisco” in “NFC West Division Winner”, by venue. 4 outcomes; $242K traded in 24 hours: $242K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““NFC West Division Winner” traded $242K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Tampa Bay” in “Game 2: Cleveland vs Tampa Bay”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $226K traded in 24 hours: $226K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Game 2: Cleveland vs Tampa Bay” traded $226K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Harry Kane” in “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”, by venue. 31 outcomes; $209K traded in 24 hours: $209K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Ballon d'Or Winner 2026” traded $209K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Seattle” in “SEA Seahawks vs DEN Broncos”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $199K traded in 24 hours: $147K on Kalshi and $52K on Polymarket US.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““SEA Seahawks vs DEN Broncos” traded $199K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Atletico” in “Atletico vs Manchester United”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $188K traded in 24 hours: $188K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Atletico vs Manchester United” traded $188K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Milwaukee” in “National League Champion”, by venue. 15 outcomes; $180K traded in 24 hours: $180K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““National League Champion” traded $180K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Barcelona” in “LALIGA: 2027 Champion”, by venue. 24 outcomes; $176K traded in 24 hours: $176K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““LALIGA: 2027 Champion” traded $176K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Bangladesh” in “Afghanistan vs Bangladesh”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $170K traded in 24 hours: $170K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Afghanistan vs Bangladesh” traded $170K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “FC Internazionale Milano” in “FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $167K traded in 24 hours: $167K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV” traded $167K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “No Hormuz Agreement” in “Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $165K traded in 24 hours: $165K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?” traded $165K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “↑ 85,000” in “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”, by venue. 29 outcomes; $158K traded in 24 hours: $158K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““What price will Bitcoin hit in October?” traded $158K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%” in “Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory”, by venue. 8 outcomes; $151K traded in 24 hours: $151K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory” traded $151K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Cleveland” in “American League Champion”, by venue. 15 outcomes; $145K traded in 24 hours: $145K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““American League Champion” traded $145K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “December 31” in “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”, by venue. 7 outcomes; $145K traded in 24 hours: $145K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?” traded $145K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Gamba” in “Newcastle vs Gamba”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $136K traded in 24 hours: $136K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Newcastle vs Gamba” traded $136K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Ammunition” in “What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)”, by venue. 14 outcomes; $130K traded in 24 hours: $130K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)” traded $130K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “LGD Gaming” in “LGD Gaming vs. OKSavingsBank BRION”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $129K traded in 24 hours: $129K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““LGD Gaming vs. OKSavingsBank BRION” traded $129K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “San Francisco” in “NFC Championship Winner”, by venue. 16 outcomes; $120K traded in 24 hours: $120K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““NFC Championship Winner” traded $120K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “$82,500 or above” in “BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?”, by venue. 50 outcomes; $119K traded in 24 hours: $119K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?” traded $119K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Boston” in “Where will it rain on Oct 13, 2026?”, by venue. 33 outcomes; $109K traded in 24 hours: $109K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Where will it rain on Oct 13, 2026?” traded $109K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Georgia” in “College Football National Championship Winner”, by venue. 52 outcomes; $108K traded in 24 hours: $108K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““College Football National Championship Winner” traded $108K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “38.1%” in “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?”, by venue. 9 outcomes; $105K traded in 24 hours: $105K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?” traded $105K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “J.D. Vance” in “2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?”, by venue. 32 outcomes; $102K traded in 24 hours: $102K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?” traded $102K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Xavier Becerra” in “California Governor winner? (Person)”, by venue. 25 outcomes; $101K traded in 24 hours: $101K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““California Governor winner? (Person)” traded $101K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “March 31” in “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?”, by venue. 23 outcomes; $97K traded in 24 hours: $97K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” traded $97K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Democrats Sweep” in “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms”, by venue. 5 outcomes; $97K traded in 24 hours: $97K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms” traded $97K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Democratic Party” in “Which party will win the U.S. Senate?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $96K traded in 24 hours: $96K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Which party will win the U.S. Senate?” traded $96K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez” in “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”, by venue. 53 outcomes; $91K traded in 24 hours: $91K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” traded $91K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The price to buy Yes on “Brock Purdy” in “MVP Winner?”, by venue. 49 outcomes; $91K traded in 24 hours: $91K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““MVP Winner?” traded $91K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

The share of 24-hour volume on Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and Gemini in the 50 most-traded open markets that comes from sports markets.

24 of the 50 markets are sports. Their combined 24-hour volume is $6.1M of $12.6M.

Measure: 24-hour traded volume. Cited as: “Sports make up 48% of volume in the 50 most-traded prediction markets” (DeFi Rate calculation from Kalshi and Polymarket volume).

Data sources (1)