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The snapshot from Oct 4, 1:15 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/snapshot/2026-10-05T1557/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Trending marketsEvery figure as of Oct 5, 3:57 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 5, 3:57 PM ET
Live page updatedOct 5, 3:57 PM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/snapshot/2026-10-05T1557
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Most-traded prediction markets (CSV)

ATL Falcons vs NO Saints

53¢

The price to buy Yes on “New Orleans” in “ATL Falcons vs NO Saints”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $4.1M traded in 24 hours: $2.5M on Kalshi, $582K on Polymarket US and $978K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““ATL Falcons vs NO Saints” traded $4.1M across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT05ATLNO-NOdirect contract53.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USaec-nfl-atl-no-2026-10-05:nodirect contract52.8¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 12s oldContract ↗
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableThis venue lists the game, but not this outcome.

France vs Belgium

40¢

The price to buy Yes on “Belgium” in “France vs Belgium”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $2.7M traded in 24 hours: $1.8M on Kalshi and $907K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““France vs Belgium” traded $2.7M across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXUEFANLGAME-26OCT05FRABEL-BELdirect contract40.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x8991e075fd88e3a78a1d92792cdaf5690cc974ce5d24a9afcd0e4a482f598528direct contract39.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 91s oldContract ↗

Romania vs Sweden

77¢

The price to buy Yes on “Sweden” in “Romania vs Sweden”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $2.3M traded in 24 hours: $418K on Kalshi and $1.9M on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Romania vs Sweden” traded $2.3M across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXUEFANLGAME-26OCT05ROUSWE-SWEdirect contract77.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0xb5d7dbb1113e351dc03f9737ddbbb91960eb2860dbb3eba26351be207a208749direct contract75.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 69s oldContract ↗

Italy vs Turkiye

77¢

The price to buy Yes on “Italy” in “Italy vs Turkiye”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $2.1M traded in 24 hours: $1.2M on Kalshi and $899K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Italy vs Turkiye” traded $2.1M across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXUEFANLGAME-26OCT05ITATUR-ITAdirect contract77.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x9837f69b1e4ff58aa7680b6780765657f1d5081da7aac5d81af3501b235e5bc6direct contract77.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 71s oldContract ↗

2027 Pro Football Champion

12¢

The price to buy Yes on “Los Angeles R” in “2027 Pro Football Champion”, by venue. 32 outcomes; $1.5M traded in 24 hours: $1.5M on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2027 Pro Football Champion” traded $1.5M across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract12.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 552s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract12.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 59s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xdb88bf08a8244ff54b020d91853d03655b23eea74ed3ced99be6e6e978b0a3c3direct contract13.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 255s oldContract ↗

Villanueva vs Hardt

51¢

The price to buy Yes on “Nick Hardt” in “Villanueva vs Hardt”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $1.4M traded in 24 hours: $1.3M on Kalshi and $90K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Villanueva vs Hardt” traded $1.4M across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT05VILHAR-HARdirect contract51.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0xebfe6432c0bb5c064b482682b4ca52a8e8abc8e1c349aec3801029412efe445cdirect contract38.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 75s oldContract ↗

Game 2: Chicago WS vs Cleveland

59¢

The price to buy Yes on “Cleveland” in “Game 2: Chicago WS vs Cleveland”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $1.0M traded in 24 hours: $956K on Kalshi and $83K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Game 2: Chicago WS vs Cleveland” traded $1.0M across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXMLBGAME-26OCT051700CWSCLE-CLEdirect contract59.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0xb77a88986eed71d203e1259c283c9f135d6130e08009a18b8a277879e1cc719edirect contract59.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 108s oldContract ↗

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team

72¢

The price to buy Yes on “Aurora Gaming” in “Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team”, by venue. 19 outcomes; $980K traded in 24 hours: $980K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team” traded $980K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0xfa9a81d8ed7204a9b1a8ef58c54cbb52638345d8e9d5de00ed4f8de6916d2b46direct contract72.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 69s oldContract ↗

BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

97¢

The price to buy Yes on “$85,250 or above” in “BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT?”, by venue. 80 outcomes; $814K traded in 24 hours: $814K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT?” traded $814K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXBTCD-26OCT0517-T85249.99direct contract97.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Pro Baseball Champion

27.7¢

The price to buy Yes on “Los Angeles D” in “Pro Baseball Champion”, by venue. 30 outcomes; $603K traded in 24 hours: $603K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Pro Baseball Champion” traded $603K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXMLB-26-LADdirect contract27.7¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 253s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-mlb-champ-2026-09-27-laddirect contract27.6¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 11s oldContract ↗
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableOur feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one.

Brazil Presidential election winner?

83¢

The price to buy Yes on “Flávio Bolsonaro” in “Brazil Presidential election winner?”, by venue. 14 outcomes; $584K traded in 24 hours: $584K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Brazil Presidential election winner?” traded $584K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXBRPRES-26-FBOLdirect contract83.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 179s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?

–

The price to buy Yes on “Up” in “Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?”, by venue. 1 outcomes; $535K traded in 24 hours: $535K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?” traded $535K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x9c112394cb10a937fac9708860e53ce8b57742cf90c0b5ecb73f049edc5c31a4direct contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailable · 800s oldNo current two-sided quote

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

4.9¢

The price to buy Yes on “Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?” in “Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?”, by venue. 1 outcomes; $526K traded in 24 hours: $526K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?” traded $526K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390direct contract4.9¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 114s oldContract ↗

Game 2: New York Y vs Tampa Bay

53¢

The price to buy Yes on “New York Y” in “Game 2: New York Y vs Tampa Bay”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $505K traded in 24 hours: $505K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Game 2: New York Y vs Tampa Bay” traded $505K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXMLBGAME-26OCT052000NYYTB-NYYdirect contract53.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 72s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland

40¢

The price to buy Yes on “Tie” in “Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $414K traded in 24 hours: $252K on Kalshi and $161K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland” traded $414K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXUEFANLGAME-26OCT05BIHPOL-TIEdirect contract40.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x63fc806f249e6461d52ca87e5e867801dfce6941d5fa56ce5281df48e5876690direct contract38.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 77s oldContract ↗

Texas Senate winner?

67¢

The price to buy Yes on “James Talarico” in “Texas Senate winner?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $410K traded in 24 hours: $410K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Texas Senate winner?” traded $410K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiSENATETX-26-Ddirect contract67.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 74s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Evans vs Buchwald

58¢

The price to buy Yes on “Tatum Evans” in “Evans vs Buchwald”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $362K traded in 24 hours: $362K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Evans vs Buchwald” traded $362K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXITFWMATCH-26OCT05EVABUC-EVAdirect contract58.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93¢

The price to buy Yes on “Democratic Party” in “Which party will win the House in 2026?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $336K traded in 24 hours: $336K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Which party will win the House in 2026?” traded $336K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4direct contract93.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 71s oldContract ↗

Which party will win the U.S. House?

91.7¢

The price to buy Yes on “Democratic Party” in “Which party will win the U.S. House?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $318K traded in 24 hours: $318K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Which party will win the U.S. House?” traded $318K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiCONTROLH-2026-Ddirect contract91.7¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 314s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableOur feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableOur feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one.

Atlanta vs New Orleans: Touchdowns

64¢

The price to buy Yes on “Bijan Robinson: 1+” in “Atlanta vs New Orleans: Touchdowns”, by venue. 52 outcomes; $315K traded in 24 hours: $315K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Atlanta vs New Orleans: Touchdowns” traded $315K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLTD-26OCT05ATLNO-ATLBROBINSON7-1direct contract64.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 98s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16¢

The price to buy Yes on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” in “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”, by venue. 1 outcomes; $289K traded in 24 hours: $289K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” traded $289K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846direct contract16.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 114s oldContract ↗

Tampa Bay vs Dallas: 1st Touchdown

23¢

The price to buy Yes on “Javonte Williams” in “Tampa Bay vs Dallas: 1st Touchdown”, by venue. 23 outcomes; $287K traded in 24 hours: $287K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Tampa Bay vs Dallas: 1st Touchdown” traded $287K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLFIRSTTD-26OCT08TBDAL-DALJWILLIAMS33direct contract23.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 410s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

United States of America vs United Arab Emirates

62¢

The price to buy Yes on “United States of America” in “United States of America vs United Arab Emirates”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $271K traded in 24 hours: $271K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““United States of America vs United Arab Emirates” traded $271K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXODIMATCH-26OCT051100UAEUSA-USAdirect contract62.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

AFC Championship Winner

19¢

The price to buy Yes on “Buffalo” in “AFC Championship Winner”, by venue. 16 outcomes; $270K traded in 24 hours: $270K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““AFC Championship Winner” traded $270K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BUFdirect contract19.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 368s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Where will it rain on Oct 5, 2026?

–

The price to buy Yes on “Houston” in “Where will it rain on Oct 5, 2026?”, by venue. 30 outcomes; $265K traded in 24 hours: $265K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Where will it rain on Oct 5, 2026?” traded $265K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXRAIN-26OCT05-HOUdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailable · 132s oldNo current two-sided quote
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

61¢

The price to buy Yes on “Nithya Raman” in “Los Angeles Mayor winner?”, by venue. 10 outcomes; $265K traded in 24 hours: $265K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Los Angeles Mayor winner?” traded $265K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXMAYORLA-26-NRAMdirect contract61.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 638s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableOur feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableOur feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one.

Pro Football: Philadelphia Total Wins

–

Stale

The price to buy Yes on “3+ wins” in “Pro Football: Philadelphia Total Wins”, by venue. 17 outcomes; $263K traded in 24 hours: $263K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Pro Football: Philadelphia Total Wins” traded $263K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLWINS-27PHI-3direct contractprice to buy (yes ask)stale · 8333s oldStale quote: last observed 139 minutes before this capture, so it isn’t a current price.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

65¢

The price to buy Yes on “Democrats sweep” in “2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?”, by venue. 4 outcomes; $260K traded in 24 hours: $260K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?” traded $260K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DDdirect contract65.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 293s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

California Governor winner? (Person)

96.6¢

The price to buy Yes on “Xavier Becerra” in “California Governor winner? (Person)”, by venue. 25 outcomes; $245K traded in 24 hours: $245K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““California Governor winner? (Person)” traded $245K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXGOVCA-26-XBECdirect contract96.6¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 445s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

32¢

The price to buy Yes on “$85,700 or above” in “BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT?”, by venue. 188 outcomes; $242K traded in 24 hours: $242K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT?” traded $242K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXBTCD-26OCT0516-T85699.99direct contract32.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Ukraine vs Hungary

63¢

The price to buy Yes on “Hungary” in “Ukraine vs Hungary”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $239K traded in 24 hours: $69K on Kalshi and $171K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Ukraine vs Hungary” traded $239K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXUEFANLGAME-26OCT05UKRHUN-HUNdirect contract63.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x34a9ca1886bf5086116687c7ed864125c6ea128a4a4adde3175c298a7aaff524direct contractprice to buy (yes ask)failed check · 72s oldFailed our check: far from every other venue, so it’s likely a data error.

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

80¢

The price to buy Yes on “↑ 87,500” in “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”, by venue. 23 outcomes; $232K traded in 24 hours: $232K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““What price will Bitcoin hit in October?” traded $232K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x42dc04e485b5d8ec749326fe564820ee37a1c63425f43d7b0755a016afd5c4cbdirect contract80.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 114s oldContract ↗

Iowa Governor winner?

89¢

The price to buy Yes on “Rob Sand” in “Iowa Governor winner?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $231K traded in 24 hours: $231K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Iowa Governor winner?” traded $231K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiGOVPARTYIA-26-Ddirect contract89.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 644s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

47.7¢

The price to buy Yes on “Gadi Eizenkot” in “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?”, by venue. 19 outcomes; $220K traded in 24 hours: $220K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?” traded $220K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4direct contract47.7¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 150s oldContract ↗

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 5, 2026?

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The price to buy Yes on “101° to 102°” in “Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 5, 2026?”, by venue. 6 outcomes; $213K traded in 24 hours: $213K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 5, 2026?” traded $213K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXHIGHLAX-26OCT05-B101.5direct contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailable · 122s oldNo current two-sided quote
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6¢

The price to buy Yes on “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” in “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?”, by venue. 1 outcomes; $211K traded in 24 hours: $211K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” traded $211K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3bdirect contract6.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 169s oldContract ↗

Fed Decision in October?

79¢

The price to buy Yes on “No change” in “Fed Decision in October?”, by venue. 5 outcomes; $209K traded in 24 hours: $209K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Fed Decision in October?” traded $209K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3direct contract79.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 217s oldContract ↗

Atlanta vs New Orleans: Receiving Yards

87¢

The price to buy Yes on “Juwan Johnson: 15+” in “Atlanta vs New Orleans: Receiving Yards”, by venue. 99 outcomes; $205K traded in 24 hours: $205K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Atlanta vs New Orleans: Receiving Yards” traded $205K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLRECYDS-26OCT05ATLNO-NOJJOHNSON83-15direct contract87.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 122s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

72¢

The price to buy Yes on “March 31” in “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?”, by venue. 23 outcomes; $204K traded in 24 hours: $204K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” traded $204K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableOur feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableOur feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one.
Polymarket0x8db33416a2d1ebde7438c80129e898f89a5deb3852ca64b37c4bf46513204409direct contract72.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 647s oldContract ↗

Northern Ireland vs Georgia

46¢

The price to buy Yes on “Tie” in “Northern Ireland vs Georgia”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $195K traded in 24 hours: $120K on Kalshi and $76K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Northern Ireland vs Georgia” traded $195K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXUEFANLGAME-26OCT05NIRGEO-TIEdirect contract46.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0xa8292b6ded60e124b29744ef70f798e9fa7f4eb080a9b906b2b77781b2cec410direct contract44.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 91s oldContract ↗

S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

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The price to buy Yes on “7,655 or above” in “S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT?”, by venue. 70 outcomes; $184K traded in 24 hours: $184K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT?” traded $184K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXINXU-26OCT05H1600-T7654.9999direct contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailable · 108s oldNo current two-sided quote
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Iowa Senate winner?

57¢

The price to buy Yes on “Ashley Hinson” in “Iowa Senate winner?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $182K traded in 24 hours: $182K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Iowa Senate winner?” traded $182K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiSENATEIA-26-Rdirect contract57.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 331s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

47.7¢

The price to buy Yes on “Harry Kane” in “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”, by venue. 31 outcomes; $178K traded in 24 hours: $178K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Ballon d'Or Winner 2026” traded $178K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x12dc2b61723b2a54fc1947a307389b5f32038e7a29a0e936ad1fe410b969d06adirect contract47.7¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 154s oldContract ↗

Montenegro vs Armenia

51¢

The price to buy Yes on “Montenegro” in “Montenegro vs Armenia”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $177K traded in 24 hours: $87K on Kalshi and $90K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Montenegro vs Armenia” traded $177K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXUEFANLGAME-26OCT05MNEARM-MNEdirect contract51.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

17¢

The price to buy Yes on “Jon Ossoff” in “2028 Democratic presidential nominee”, by venue. 48 outcomes; $174K traded in 24 hours: $174K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““2028 Democratic presidential nominee” traded $174K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXPRESNOMD-28-JOSSdirect contract17.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableOur feed doesn’t link this venue’s market to this one.
Polymarket0x74dba1ce1ae9dd535414e85f2d9ab5ea32c0fb1acc9b7130b67e6d91217e24e1direct contract14.9¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 6s oldContract ↗

Cordoba vs Tenerife

77¢

The price to buy Yes on “Cordoba” in “Cordoba vs Tenerife”, by venue. 3 outcomes; $174K traded in 24 hours: $65K on Kalshi and $108K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Cordoba vs Tenerife” traded $174K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXLALIGA2GAME-26OCT05CORTEN-CORdirect contract77.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x5196bf05312d0fa45da527d170995f4326cd2c546169327c1bcbfb03194ee8dfdirect contract76.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 69s oldContract ↗

Next French Presidential Election

43.5¢

The price to buy Yes on “Marine Le Pen” in “Next French Presidential Election”, by venue. 42 outcomes; $173K traded in 24 hours: $173K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Next French Presidential Election” traded $173K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x8126317d621047fb13d508a2651eecc8d38305904671822a62309c5aabd353aadirect contract43.5¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 97s oldContract ↗

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

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The price to buy Yes on “October 5” in “US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?”, by venue. 12 outcomes; $154K traded in 24 hours: $154K on Polymarket.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?” traded $154K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshidirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarket0x08f9b1643d8bd2ab639da3e90ef88f7d15d62831c80e6accbed606ab053ef74ddirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)failed check · 77s oldNo seller below $1 right now.

BetBoom Team vs. Aurora Gaming

90¢

The price to buy Yes on “Aurora Gaming” in “BetBoom Team vs. Aurora Gaming”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $154K traded in 24 hours: $154K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““BetBoom Team vs. Aurora Gaming” traded $154K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXCS2GAME-26OCT051230BBAUR-AURdirect contract90.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Nevada Governor winner?

52¢

The price to buy Yes on “Aaron Ford” in “Nevada Governor winner?”, by venue. 2 outcomes; $153K traded in 24 hours: $153K on Kalshi.

Explicit Yes asks from two-sided quotes on each venue, observed within an hour of the time shown. Quotes that fail our consistency check (sides that don’t add up, or a price far from every other venue) are held back.

Quote type: Price to buy (Yes ask). Cited as: ““Nevada Governor winner?” traded $153K across venues in 24 hours” (Kalshi and venue quotes via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiGOVPARTYNV-26-Ddirect contract52.0¢price to buy (yes ask)fresh · 738s oldContract ↗
Poly USdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.
Polymarketdirect contractprice to buy (yes ask)unavailableNot among this venue’s most-traded markets in the last 24 hours, or not listed there.

Sports’ share of the 50 most-traded markets

73%

The share of 24-hour volume on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket in the 50 most-traded open markets that comes from sports markets.

24 of the 50 markets are sports. Their combined 24-hour volume is $20.7M of $28.3M.

Measure: 24-hour traded volume. Cited as: “Sports make up 73% of volume in the 50 most-traded prediction markets” (DeFi Rate calculation from Kalshi and Polymarket volume).

Data sources (1)

All venues
24-hour volume, 50 most-traded open marketsSummed from the board below.