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The snapshot from Oct 5, 5:54 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/nfl/snapshot/2026-10-06T1949/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

NFLEvery figure as of Oct 6, 7:49 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 6, 7:49 PM ET
Live page updatedOct 6, 7:49 PM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/nfl/snapshot/2026-10-06T1949
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
NFL futures by venue (CSV)

Buffalo Bills: AFC champion

18%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Buffalo Bills is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (19.0%), Polymarket (17.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Buffalo Bills a 18% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BUFdirect contract20.0¢19.00¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x1448087be8edc764ad64ee2fa548936c272b191db62f46a60c1f4869ba9492fcdirect contract17.50¢displayed pricestale · 10299s oldContract ↗

Kansas City Chiefs: AFC champion

18%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Kansas City Chiefs is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%), Polymarket (19.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kansas City Chiefs a 18% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-KCdirect contract17.0¢16.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x983223b53e2dc149079e8919efa1a85f4f2cefe5723e2cdd25d962a122f4f9e3direct contract19.50¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗

Baltimore Ravens: AFC champion

15%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Baltimore Ravens is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%), Polymarket (15.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Baltimore Ravens a 15% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BALdirect contract16.0¢15.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xf56c3543401052711ed407ec692c414e3ccde973a1195cf7274f71d1981c9242direct contract15.00¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗

Jacksonville Jaguars: AFC champion

12%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Jacksonville Jaguars is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (11.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacksonville Jaguars a 12% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-JACdirect contract12.0¢11.50¢displayed pricefresh · 2715s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xf5605b5aa5012ca1d3b51231ae9cb8a77de5a346ff00809be44612f95d68e476direct contract11.50¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗

Cincinnati Bengals: AFC champion

7%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Cincinnati Bengals is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (6.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cincinnati Bengals a 7% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-CINdirect contract8.0¢7.50¢displayed pricefresh · 122s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x893eb655d409b75108367f2f8c6196a1d48f7e0fdd490e310287df544873ecc0direct contract6.45¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗

Denver Broncos: AFC champion

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Denver Broncos is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (8.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denver Broncos a 8% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-DENdirect contract8.0¢7.50¢displayed pricefresh · 2558s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x9cc02d4842fced0040028510696cc52b2bb38936a12fe5fabc76d49859dc272cdirect contract8.00¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗

New England Patriots: AFC champion

7%

Stale

The market-implied chance that New England Patriots is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (7.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New England Patriots a 7% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-NEdirect contract7.0¢6.50¢displayed pricefresh · 57s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x13ef35d4bf77d5e1cb891b15fde4af75a2f9ed8044b898ec9596b1515afbf06adirect contract7.00¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗

Houston Texans: AFC champion

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Houston Texans is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Houston Texans a 3% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-HOUdirect contract4.0¢3.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x86f097adec2b38cbd44f02d1476a20b26a4ba82d00ced50944126b6096f7950bdirect contract3.00¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗

Los Angeles Rams: NFC champion

19%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Los Angeles Rams is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (19.5%), Polymarket (18.5%), Poly US (18.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles Rams a 19% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-LARdirect contract20.0¢19.50¢displayed pricefresh · 76s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd8e7df41df8b81692f2b6339d18cc16bfac611113595a85ea8f111c1bccc3662direct contract18.50¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-nfcchamp-2027-01-31-w-lardirect contract19.0¢18.50¢displayed pricefresh · 90s oldContract ↗

San Francisco 49ers: NFC champion

18%

Stale

The market-implied chance that San Francisco 49ers is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%), Polymarket (18.5%), Poly US (17.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give San Francisco 49ers a 18% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-SFdirect contract17.0¢16.50¢displayed pricefresh · 190s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x59925ff5a84e6eaebd1ed1c6dd776ed27264fd9c52ba99c7020c630f3f720f75direct contract18.50¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-nfcchamp-2027-01-31-w-sfdirect contract18.0¢17.50¢displayed pricefresh · 90s oldContract ↗

Seattle Seahawks: NFC champion

15%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Seattle Seahawks is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (14.0%), Poly US (15.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Seattle Seahawks a 15% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-SEAdirect contract15.0¢14.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x51e241e5cdc5cd2f6ff8fa1bd444cd4751a35f1097ac3fa97711479795ae264cdirect contract14.00¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-nfcchamp-2027-01-31-w-seadirect contract16.0¢15.50¢displayed pricefresh · 3005s oldContract ↗

Chicago Bears: NFC champion

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Chicago Bears is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.5%), Poly US (8.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chicago Bears a 8% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-CHIdirect contract9.0¢8.50¢displayed pricefresh · 265s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x40c2fd0594fdf433c863963c8f29b3c855c446b24d76ccc5e6336fcfc14feab4direct contract7.50¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-nfcchamp-2027-01-31-w-chidirect contract9.0¢8.50¢displayed pricefresh · 146s oldContract ↗

Minnesota Vikings: NFC champion

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Minnesota Vikings is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (6.9%), Poly US (7.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Minnesota Vikings a 8% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-MINdirect contract9.0¢8.50¢displayed pricefresh · 77s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x7bec3361c613929e115c6abd4877a98da108559e9c58443f073ba6d9205e7617direct contract6.85¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-nfcchamp-2027-01-31-w-mindirect contract8.0¢7.50¢displayed pricefresh · 146s oldContract ↗

Dallas Cowboys: NFC champion

7%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Dallas Cowboys is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (6.8%), Poly US (7.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dallas Cowboys a 7% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-DALdirect contract8.0¢7.50¢displayed pricefresh · 289s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x9e54e526688bba2a22c6092cb9f1cd3aa2727f190fcd4362837d1dc8e2865c7edirect contract6.80¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-nfcchamp-2027-01-31-w-daldirect contract8.0¢7.00¢displayed pricefresh · 70s oldContract ↗

Detroit Lions: NFC champion

5%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Detroit Lions is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (5.0%), Poly US (5.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Detroit Lions a 5% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-DETdirect contract6.0¢5.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x24ab2403cb580e7086cd3a387ff03a275146da35c4d7aec27a1aeb4a1b38d794direct contract5.00¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-nfcchamp-2027-01-31-w-detdirect contract6.0¢5.50¢displayed pricefresh · 188s oldContract ↗

Philadelphia Eagles: NFC champion

6%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Philadelphia Eagles is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (5.7%), Poly US (5.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Philadelphia Eagles a 6% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-PHIdirect contract6.0¢5.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xa41cccfd96fbc0e1e75cf9459e59bbb766e845bfd4df851d63a1897ca024c078direct contract5.70¢displayed pricestale · 10302s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-nfcchamp-2027-01-31-w-phidirect contract6.0¢5.50¢displayed pricefresh · 201s oldContract ↗

Brock Purdy: MVP

20%

The market-implied chance that Brock Purdy is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (19.5%), Polymarket (21.6%), Poly US (18.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Brock Purdy a 20% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLMVP-27-BPURdirect contract20.0¢19.50¢displayed pricefresh · 113s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x6e6819aad914476a8d548452d962d51fa5e0444aead63f2b2b9169a8b028beb1direct contract23.5¢21.55¢displayed pricefresh · 64s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-mvp-2027-02-11-w-bropurdirect contract19.0¢18.50¢displayed pricefresh · 120s oldContract ↗

Josh Allen: MVP

20%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Josh Allen is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (18.5%), Polymarket (19.5%), Poly US (21.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Josh Allen a 20% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLMVP-27-JALLdirect contract19.0¢18.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd1375d878771db8beecd19af2a1150708e950cc06593ae0f58e0bd2de5396caadirect contract19.50¢displayed pricestale · 10280s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-mvp-2027-02-11-w-josalldirect contract22.0¢21.50¢displayed pricefresh · 236s oldContract ↗

Patrick Mahomes: MVP

12%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Patrick Mahomes is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (10.7%), Poly US (13.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Patrick Mahomes a 12% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLMVP-27-PMAHdirect contract11.0¢10.50¢displayed pricefresh · 76s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x5d41b5d07bc3096d92d35674e7bbc1af421243a69c8e313659e254e9962a59b8direct contract10.70¢displayed pricestale · 10280s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-mvp-2027-02-11-w-patmahdirect contract14.0¢13.50¢displayed pricefresh · 213s oldContract ↗

Dak Prescott: MVP

7%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Dak Prescott is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (5.5%), Poly US (8.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dak Prescott a 7% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLMVP-27-DPREdirect contract8.0¢7.50¢displayed pricefresh · 90s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xba3bb016db3960dcd2e32a177a23947530bd3966618aa047e2cc44f108bc32f0direct contract5.45¢displayed pricestale · 10280s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-mvp-2027-02-11-w-dakpredirect contract9.0¢8.50¢displayed pricefresh · 90s oldContract ↗

Trevor Lawrence: MVP

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Trevor Lawrence is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (7.9%), Poly US (10.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Trevor Lawrence a 8% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLMVP-27-TLARdirect contract7.0¢6.50¢displayed pricefresh · 84s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x13e17c518f6e6f5238044eac1452cd2f3f36e368d5f803978301a8e7214ef74fdirect contract7.90¢displayed pricestale · 8084s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-mvp-2027-02-11-w-trelawdirect contract12.0¢10.00¢displayed pricefresh · 175s oldContract ↗

Lamar Jackson: MVP

6%

The market-implied chance that Lamar Jackson is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.0%), Polymarket (6.0%), Poly US (6.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Lamar Jackson a 6% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLMVP-27-LJACdirect contract6.0¢5.00¢displayed pricefresh · 77s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x3b774c2f0ccb7f794fb7445fafa41feda55be9080e4e348c914d82e809b266bedirect contract7.0¢6.00¢displayed pricefresh · 546s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-mvp-2027-02-11-w-lamjacdirect contract7.0¢6.50¢displayed pricefresh · 237s oldContract ↗

Joe Burrow: MVP

5%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Joe Burrow is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (3.3%), Poly US (6.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Joe Burrow a 5% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLMVP-27-JBURdirect contract5.0¢4.50¢displayed pricefresh · 289s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x355608eef04905ef4a53e229502e9dd335143f67d616e9ccfeaadbfc2fb80fe1direct contract3.30¢displayed pricestale · 10280s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-mvp-2027-02-11-w-joeburdirect contract7.0¢6.50¢displayed pricefresh · 237s oldContract ↗

Bijan Robinson: MVP

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Bijan Robinson is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (1.8%), Poly US (3.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Bijan Robinson a 3% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket and Poly US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLMVP-27-BROBdirect contract4.0¢3.50¢displayed pricefresh · 57s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x9c54f3f862f30e56981350f2637f4f99e04382b2e94b7dba17f5e218b3171430direct contract1.80¢displayed pricestale · 10280s oldContract ↗
Poly UStec-nfl-mvp-2027-02-11-w-bijrobdirect contract4.0¢3.50¢displayed pricefresh · 71s oldContract ↗

Bijan Robinson: Offensive Player of the Year

19%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Bijan Robinson is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.0%), Polymarket (17.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Bijan Robinson a 19% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOPOTY-27-BROBdirect contract22.0¢21.00¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x63038e548cf505c496ac5eefc480e1b0de3474bce04ef11f2709bca7215f1a18direct contract17.00¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Jahmyr Gibbs: Offensive Player of the Year

24%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Jahmyr Gibbs is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (20.5%), Polymarket (26.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jahmyr Gibbs a 24% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOPOTY-27-JGIBdirect contract21.0¢20.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xcce0f002915a2d9201d20dbbc4fa31e31fa5807fe5de0141f26a3749b05b2781direct contract26.50¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Kenneth Walker: Offensive Player of the Year

17%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Kenneth Walker is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (18.5%), Polymarket (15.4%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kenneth Walker a 17% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOPOTY-27-KWALKER9direct contract20.0¢18.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x5fa97ffbcf9a74c2129f2e76b30cf5adb8ee530f8e992e81efbd6bee28a8e0a9direct contract15.40¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Offensive Player of the Year

12%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (12.5%), Polymarket (12.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jaxon Smith-Njigba a 12% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOPOTY-27-JSMIdirect contract13.0¢12.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd7cffbb2e632275f07a1a9d7fd66b7882820dcaca38bcb0b2d49229300049351direct contract12.00¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

CeeDee Lamb: Offensive Player of the Year

6%

Stale

The market-implied chance that CeeDee Lamb is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (3.6%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give CeeDee Lamb a 6% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOPOTY-27-CLAMdirect contract8.0¢7.50¢displayed pricefresh · 55s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd3ec077e7aaefaa76bd2dd0e3019edcabd07b88fd872f104444d3525078094a0direct contract3.65¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Chris Olave: Offensive Player of the Year

5%

Single venue

The market-implied chance that Chris Olave is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chris Olave a 5% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOPOTY-27-COLAVE12direct contract5.0¢4.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗

Jonathan Taylor: Offensive Player of the Year

5%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Jonathan Taylor is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (6.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jonathan Taylor a 5% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOPOTY-27-JTAYdirect contract4.0¢3.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x0942bcd104cacdf68ef1ff7be79fe73a829d6ffa80b435a7e8e1f7f82e9a6f7ddirect contract6.00¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Josh Allen: Offensive Player of the Year

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Josh Allen is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.0%), Polymarket (2.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Josh Allen a 3% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOPOTY-27-JALLdirect contract4.0¢3.00¢displayed pricefresh · 57s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xe71d77b57da349ec3392f39913c5e6bb61609237b8132467d072e38fc7c805e5direct contract2.55¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Jeremiyah Love: Offensive Rookie of the Year

33%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Jeremiyah Love is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (32.0%), Polymarket (34.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jeremiyah Love a 33% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOROTY-27-JLOVdirect contract33.0¢32.00¢displayed pricefresh · 181s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xa54653f4ede768fbea4e54f86825998b73f63b92f67349a147dccbbcca2fbc55direct contract34.50¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Carnell Tate: Offensive Rookie of the Year

22%

Single venue

The market-implied chance that Carnell Tate is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Carnell Tate a 22% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOROTY-27-CTATdirect contract22.0¢21.50¢displayed pricefresh · 57s oldContract ↗

Denzel Boston: Offensive Rookie of the Year

18%

Single venue

The market-implied chance that Denzel Boston is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (17.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denzel Boston a 18% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOROTY-27-DBOSdirect contract18.0¢17.50¢displayed pricefresh · 509s oldContract ↗

KC Concepcion: Offensive Rookie of the Year

6%

Single venue

The market-implied chance that KC Concepcion is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give KC Concepcion a 6% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOROTY-27-KCONdirect contract6.0¢5.50¢displayed pricefresh · 90s oldContract ↗

Fernando Mendoza: Offensive Rookie of the Year

2%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Fernando Mendoza is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (1.9%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Fernando Mendoza a 2% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOROTY-27-FMENdirect contract3.0¢2.50¢displayed pricefresh · 245s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x486e98c9af637da099612a94ff1c26325f1bd50d92d8718b06ab806537af4b62direct contract1.95¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Makai Lemon: Offensive Rookie of the Year

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Makai Lemon is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (4.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Makai Lemon a 3% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOROTY-27-MLEMdirect contract2.50¢displayed pricestale · 10412s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x906809bb4571202cb99aee4a6ba64921646338de19bcb86ab6f320189db9f229direct contract4.00¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Malachi Fields: Offensive Rookie of the Year

2%

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Malachi Fields is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Malachi Fields a 2% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOROTY-27-MFIELDS88direct contract2.00¢displayed pricestale · 7701s oldContract ↗

Antonio Williams: Offensive Rookie of the Year

2%

Single venue

The market-implied chance that Antonio Williams is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Antonio Williams a 2% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLOROTY-27-AWILLIAMS14direct contract2.0¢1.50¢displayed pricefresh · 375s oldContract ↗

Jacob Rodriguez: Defensive Rookie of the Year

33%

Single venue

The market-implied chance that Jacob Rodriguez is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (33.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacob Rodriguez a 33% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLDROTY-27-JRODdirect contract34.0¢33.00¢displayed pricefresh · 84s oldContract ↗

Arvell Reese: Defensive Rookie of the Year

31%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Arvell Reese is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (30.5%), Polymarket (31.2%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Arvell Reese a 31% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLDROTY-27-AREEdirect contract31.0¢30.50¢displayed pricefresh · 7s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xab9d90fd3faa3e5dabd576402752ea69273cec70ed0d710bf8057d202999b55fdirect contract31.25¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Sonny Styles: Defensive Rookie of the Year

13%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Sonny Styles is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (12.5%), Polymarket (13.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Sonny Styles a 13% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLDROTY-27-SSTYdirect contract13.0¢12.50¢displayed pricefresh · 35s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x119069553cfa70c0bc61f9a6e168645b1ba9f1b59293403cb891e1cd2333f61edirect contract13.50¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Mansoor Delane: Defensive Rookie of the Year

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Mansoor Delane is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (9.2%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Mansoor Delane a 8% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLDROTY-27-MDELdirect contract8.0¢7.50¢displayed pricefresh · 3s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd6ea0a89e4785e9fb5bc5e4632affc735f7d47b13b3526d3f3f664e022fc1b6ddirect contract9.20¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

David Bailey: Defensive Rookie of the Year

7%

Stale

The market-implied chance that David Bailey is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give David Bailey a 7% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLDROTY-27-DBAIdirect contract7.0¢6.50¢displayed pricefresh · 58s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x24c70c3f981e2b59c677fbb64cb6e210496bc9375ba77e9f046613fa2bd2e687direct contract6.50¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Caleb Downs: Defensive Rookie of the Year

5%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Caleb Downs is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (5.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Caleb Downs a 5% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLDROTY-27-CDOWdirect contract5.0¢4.50¢displayed pricefresh · 598s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x36c1f1a8faba783cf1f8609aa6c9c96b676a76ee2ce7e1940133be69267ccb76direct contract5.50¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Dillon Thieneman: Defensive Rookie of the Year

5%

Single venue

The market-implied chance that Dillon Thieneman is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dillon Thieneman a 5% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLDROTY-27-DTHIdirect contract5.0¢4.50¢displayed pricefresh · 55s oldContract ↗

Malachi Lawrence: Defensive Rookie of the Year

4%

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Malachi Lawrence is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Polymarket (3.9%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Malachi Lawrence a 4% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Polymarket0xd11ac1f0784d2ebd33ee876e3e899d10c89687db8fd69a4d6632a7c6e97464c3direct contract3.90¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Ben Johnson: Coach of the Year

16%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Ben Johnson is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%), Polymarket (15.1%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Ben Johnson a 16% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLCOTY-27-BJOHdirect contract17.0¢16.50¢displayed pricefresh · 57s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x2a10e5a5f125442ad310aa09307f17b3cb2b124b2f9975f504d765ea7e547793direct contract15.10¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Klint Kubiak: Coach of the Year

16%

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Klint Kubiak is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Klint Kubiak a 16% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLCOTY-27-KKUBdirect contract15.50¢displayed pricestale · 4977s oldContract ↗

Todd Monken: Coach of the Year

14%

Single venue

The market-implied chance that Todd Monken is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (13.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Todd Monken a 14% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLCOTY-27-TMONdirect contract14.0¢13.50¢displayed pricefresh · 57s oldContract ↗

John Harbaugh: Coach of the Year

7%

Stale

The market-implied chance that John Harbaugh is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (5.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give John Harbaugh a 7% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLCOTY-27-JOHARdirect contract11.0¢9.50¢displayed pricefresh · 58s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xf1ba696849e70bdec038aff7ad41017f868e5548ff5ac0956d7b654adaa34a17direct contract4.95¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Jesse Minter: Coach of the Year

7%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Jesse Minter is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (9.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jesse Minter a 7% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLCOTY-27-JMINdirect contract6.0¢5.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xc5d45c82a7a5e67ecbe0165f67a3c6eb6b3c6b541288615ea4f189f5ea4fc40bdirect contract9.00¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Kevin O'Connell: Coach of the Year

6%

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Kevin O'Connell is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kevin O'Connell a 6% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLCOTY-27-KOCOdirect contract5.50¢displayed pricestale · 6057s oldContract ↗

Kyle Shanahan: Coach of the Year

6%

Single venue

The market-implied chance that Kyle Shanahan is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kyle Shanahan a 6% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLCOTY-27-KSHAdirect contract6.0¢5.50¢displayed pricefresh · 57s oldContract ↗

Andy Reid: Coach of the Year

4%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Andy Reid is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (2.6%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Andy Reid a 4% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLCOTY-27-AREIdirect contract5.0¢4.50¢displayed pricefresh · 58s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xe189c6cbeb5f8509545069cc44249b85132df610d2aad48965512b1303c611dddirect contract2.60¢displayed pricestale · 9299s oldContract ↗

Buffalo: AFC East winner

68%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Buffalo is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (68.5%), Polymarket (67.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Buffalo a 68% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCEAST-27-BUFdirect contract69.0¢68.50¢displayed pricefresh · 1375s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x4a2f2a0b4d381c7db4154b10f083fb6143de7b0051757623c6e92b74dc57432edirect contract67.50¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

New England: AFC East winner

27%

Stale

The market-implied chance that New England is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (27.5%), Polymarket (26.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New England a 27% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCEAST-27-NEdirect contract28.0¢27.50¢displayed pricefresh · 1247s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x5b8385a6518042266e4310cb74068a57edd8c1a0d52fe5d200ef4ccbc26740fedirect contract26.00¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

New York J: AFC East winner

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance that New York J is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (2.3%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New York J a 3% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCEAST-27-NYJdirect contract4.0¢3.50¢displayed pricefresh · 1797s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xe569003c7e95dcfeaef4763596b6478dd95cb44d3ea12f73db4c2c63f9349556direct contract2.30¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Miami: AFC East winner

1%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Miami is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (1.1%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Miami a 1% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCEAST-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢displayed pricestale · 4013s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xcff34e73b6fc78da3fe3dffc1cacc0af35835cb9c3cae220c9575ba132462e33direct contract1.05¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Baltimore: AFC North winner

58%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Baltimore is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (59.5%), Polymarket (56.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Baltimore a 58% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCNORTH-27-BALdirect contract60.0¢59.50¢displayed pricefresh · 90s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x74472d82bf55db42f9a30e354f92f86d09d39b3cd6b368e3f17c69ebe3d54e44direct contract56.00¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Cincinnati: AFC North winner

26%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Cincinnati is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (27.5%), Polymarket (25.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cincinnati a 26% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCNORTH-27-CINdirect contract28.0¢27.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x779a70f850eaf259358095f62f7fe4ec1563ae23e33af84c92a0599c3f564e0ddirect contract25.00¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Cleveland: AFC North winner

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Cleveland is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.1%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cleveland a 8% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCNORTH-27-CLEdirect contract9.0¢8.50¢displayed pricefresh · 90s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x823b60dbfd245942833931cc291d2290c802f549fd3b55ab2102e9ad23413e16direct contract7.10¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Pittsburgh: AFC North winner

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Pittsburgh is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.0%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Pittsburgh a 8% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCNORTH-27-PITdirect contract8.0¢7.00¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd343ac8afb661672dceda67537546281b2e3f76db481625dfdd7b9be26dc719bdirect contract8.50¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Jacksonville: AFC South winner

65%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Jacksonville is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (65.5%), Polymarket (64.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacksonville a 65% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-JACdirect contract66.0¢65.50¢displayed pricefresh · 2223s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x523467bf87aa77871560e2fedec3cca33a0ade81d1dadf6e93cf50bbc7a432a5direct contract64.00¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Indianapolis: AFC South winner

18%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Indianapolis is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (17.0%), Polymarket (18.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Indianapolis a 18% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-INDdirect contract18.0¢17.00¢displayed pricefresh · 1465s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x54af4c40b9f56eb937115a08e81e6d1edfa51cd4b4780108cccdb94a9ec4c3b5direct contract18.00¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Houston: AFC South winner

14%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Houston is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (13.5%), Polymarket (13.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Houston a 14% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-HOUdirect contract14.0¢13.50¢displayed pricefresh · 3155s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x51e2f604323d55910ce3db196d0349de1b3457516f4fb4c845db40127222a48fdirect contract13.50¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Tennessee: AFC South winner

2%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Tennessee is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (2.8%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Tennessee a 2% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢displayed pricestale · 5949s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x60f9f28cbff2c63b7942217142e010002a71745e0bdbf4dd66feab3158a6852cdirect contract2.80¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Kansas City: AFC West winner

64%

The market-implied chance that Kansas City is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (63.5%), Polymarket (65.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kansas City a 64% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCWEST-27-KCdirect contract64.0¢63.50¢displayed pricefresh · 57s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x1e617bcdbf6f79d3d03e505345cd1e2146a9dab1e1c6f941cff145e278d3fe12direct contract67.0¢65.00¢displayed pricefresh · 3037s oldContract ↗

Denver: AFC West winner

24%

The market-implied chance that Denver is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (23.5%), Polymarket (23.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denver a 24% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCWEST-27-DENdirect contract24.0¢23.50¢displayed pricefresh · 1625s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xc157dcb7324b6956deb3e2275ea2c694d850abeabba1db750a7ec1d12a27895bdirect contract25.0¢23.50¢displayed pricefresh · 1636s oldContract ↗

Las Vegas: AFC West winner

10%

The market-implied chance that Las Vegas is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.8%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Las Vegas a 10% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCWEST-27-LVdirect contract10.0¢9.50¢displayed pricefresh · 339s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x5c1a190e1b2081ded534136e7dfaef58e80d28f559d4215b4225759bc86cae65direct contract11.2¢9.80¢displayed pricefresh · 1636s oldContract ↗

Los Angeles C: AFC West winner

1%

The market-implied chance that Los Angeles C is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.2%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles C a 1% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLAFCWEST-27-LACdirect contract2.0¢1.50¢displayed pricefresh · 3130s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x9a240a568047146e9e67f8fdaa7991c4b5814dddffed33e83e7a9f8aef5a5245direct contract2.2¢1.20¢displayed pricefresh · 2728s oldContract ↗

Dallas: NFC East winner

45%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Dallas is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (46.5%), Polymarket (44.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dallas a 45% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCEAST-27-DALdirect contract47.0¢46.50¢displayed pricefresh · 651s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xf137b480d9969c45716c067f5702503fce14fda10caa5f0b28919eb6543d9393direct contract44.00¢displayed pricestale · 10288s oldContract ↗

Philadelphia: NFC East winner

34%

The market-implied chance that Philadelphia is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (32.5%), Polymarket (35.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Philadelphia a 34% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCEAST-27-PHIdirect contract33.0¢32.50¢displayed pricefresh · 55s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x092217c37b6ae23a7d4aaaa277aa5570adf3043db6e8be4bc348e70b33ba816edirect contract36.0¢35.00¢displayed pricefresh · 334s oldContract ↗

New York G: NFC East winner

13%

Stale

The market-implied chance that New York G is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (12.5%), Polymarket (13.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New York G a 13% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCEAST-27-NYGdirect contract13.0¢12.50¢displayed pricefresh · 429s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xa82cb14f2a30bb85faf7cfefde5e2792a64eef16fa5018370cf6b92aaf13ee9adirect contract13.00¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Washington: NFC East winner

6%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Washington is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.2%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Washington a 6% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCEAST-27-WASdirect contract7.0¢6.50¢displayed pricefresh · 49s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xe3d32e7b18873a33ba23d9ef9d07e2dbf188c5e829096a724e9dc8f5acb3fc91direct contract6.20¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Minnesota: NFC North winner

38%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Minnesota is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (37.5%), Polymarket (38.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Minnesota a 38% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCNORTH-27-MINdirect contract38.0¢37.50¢displayed pricefresh · 2658s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd90ebec0082a990159940d8927f52de8fb5acd269f31a78f1daed5e0b0b707cfdirect contract38.00¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Chicago: NFC North winner

30%

The market-implied chance that Chicago is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (28.5%), Polymarket (31.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chicago a 30% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCNORTH-27-CHIdirect contract29.0¢28.50¢displayed pricefresh · 113s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x27f0a7e03f8e4afc417f74ed532c6216c431ecec27b2a136b5b894007dd46dc6direct contract32.0¢31.50¢displayed pricefresh · 64s oldContract ↗

Detroit: NFC North winner

27%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Detroit is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (27.5%), Polymarket (26.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Detroit a 27% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCNORTH-27-DETdirect contract28.0¢27.50¢displayed pricefresh · 140s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x4f9a05553110a4b9836ebbd0302bee725394f8fb14be8574b099280ffbcbe0cbdirect contract26.50¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Green Bay: NFC North winner

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Green Bay is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Green Bay a 8% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCNORTH-27-GBdirect contract9.0¢8.50¢displayed pricefresh · 317s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xa8deedb9c5becf96d94fbcfc2e1697e8fdc5cf8785b0a145e916483a79b98b45direct contract7.50¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Atlanta: NFC South winner

34%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Atlanta is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (34.5%), Polymarket (33.6%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Atlanta a 34% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-ATLdirect contract35.0¢34.50¢displayed pricefresh · 57s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xc9cd55df7aaab8ee01938e55d2062c0805399fc8d9f5315c6a35df462dbba6d6direct contract33.55¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Carolina: NFC South winner

28%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Carolina is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (27.5%), Polymarket (28.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Carolina a 28% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-CARdirect contract28.0¢27.50¢displayed pricefresh · 49s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x6a9f85c9a5294b7a0cb591f2f352d8c0b321c33877ffe3e1c060922e94ee84fbdirect contract28.50¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

New Orleans: NFC South winner

23%

Stale

The market-implied chance that New Orleans is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (22.0%), Polymarket (23.0%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New Orleans a 23% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-NOdirect contract23.0¢22.00¢displayed pricefresh · 55s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd6118440343968bb7dba587482a24e77308f438df8f76077363249248e240ef5direct contract23.00¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Tampa Bay: NFC South winner

9%

The market-implied chance that Tampa Bay is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (7.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Tampa Bay a 9% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-TBdirect contract10.0¢9.50¢displayed pricefresh · 78s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x2878996ec4e5f5ab35ff934937f1a74186ff1e351d9734b9e70bc6b9d00107ebdirect contract9.0¢7.50¢displayed pricefresh · 319s oldContract ↗

San Francisco: NFC West winner

40%

Stale

The market-implied chance that San Francisco is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (39.5%), Polymarket (39.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give San Francisco a 40% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCWEST-27-SFdirect contract40.0¢39.50¢displayed pricefresh · 265s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x22b6c3c4253d8988c6b181b0b1ea2bf06c128a01f599116d0b8b3fe435a39fcbdirect contract39.50¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Seattle: NFC West winner

31%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Seattle is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (29.5%), Polymarket (31.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Seattle a 31% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCWEST-27-SEAdirect contract30.0¢29.50¢displayed pricefresh · 2819s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xcc9f029bbc572cbd3ef5dcb2befcc25ee7cbd38ee3c6af7f78fbeb9bafbffe64direct contract31.50¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Los Angeles R: NFC West winner

27%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Los Angeles R is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (27.5%), Polymarket (26.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles R a 27% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCWEST-27-LARdirect contract27.50¢displayed pricestale · 5381s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x1436bea9d6f5891a35f2dfc1c73a3102ca91c7b464b4fd4e2a937956f13e43f8direct contract26.50¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Arizona: NFC West winner

1%

Stale

The market-implied chance that Arizona is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (1.5%). Observed Oct 6, about 7:49 PM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Arizona a 1% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLNFCWEST-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢displayed pricestale · 9455s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xdf1627c20d47787a22d1f848e1121454645794f920ad1ac4190e2586d92442a5direct contract1.45¢displayed pricestale · 10289s oldContract ↗

Dallas Cowboys beat the Buccaneers

80%

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win their Week 5 game (TB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (79.5%), Polymarket US (79.6%), Polymarket (79.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cowboys a 80% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT08TBDAL-DALdirect contract79.0¢80.0¢79.50¢midpointfresh · 59s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-tb-dal-2026-10-08direct contract79.5¢79.8¢79.63¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 87s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd43898f7e10c30da1adf9c23c808fc8861ec7c0a53195e4a187c199a9b19f376direct contract79.0¢80.0¢79.50¢midpointfresh · 62s oldContract ↗

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 271s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.50¢midpointfresh · 2358s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 200s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0611.5%
2026-10-0411.5%
2026-10-0311.5%
2026-10-0211.5%
2026-10-0111.5%
2026-09-3011.5%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Cowboys

20%

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win their Week 5 game (TB at DAL, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (20.5%), Polymarket US (20.4%), Polymarket (20.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buccaneers a 20% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT08TBDAL-TBdirect contract20.0¢21.0¢20.50¢midpointfresh · 68s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-tb-dal-2026-10-08direct contract20.3¢20.5¢20.37¢displayed pricefresh · 87s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd43898f7e10c30da1adf9c23c808fc8861ec7c0a53195e4a187c199a9b19f376direct contract20.0¢21.0¢20.50¢midpointfresh · 62s oldContract ↗

Philadelphia Eagles beat the Jaguars

24%

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win their Week 5 game (PHI at JAC, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30am ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (23.5%), Polymarket (23.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Eagles a 24% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11PHIJAC-PHIdirect contract23.0¢24.0¢23.50¢midpointfresh · 103s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xc2cf94d904ba94a2d446c7fcda06fb3e62f0b3708ab0d1519b2904e84a1fb96bdirect contract23.0¢24.0¢23.50¢midpointfresh · 146s oldContract ↗

Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Eagles

77%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win their Week 5 game (PHI at JAC, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30am ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (76.5%), Polymarket (76.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jaguars a 77% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11PHIJAC-JACdirect contract76.0¢77.0¢76.50¢midpointfresh · 56s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xc2cf94d904ba94a2d446c7fcda06fb3e62f0b3708ab0d1519b2904e84a1fb96bdirect contract76.0¢77.0¢76.50¢midpointfresh · 146s oldContract ↗

Cincinnati Bengals beat the Dolphins

76%

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win their Week 5 game (CIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (76.5%), Polymarket US (76.1%), Polymarket (76.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bengals a 76% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11CINMIA-CINdirect contract76.0¢77.0¢76.50¢midpointfresh · 59s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-cin-mia-2026-10-11direct contract76.0¢76.3¢76.12¢displayed pricefresh · 87s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x030b74606dc6d85673931a49594d9601a64ce8afdfe97e7cc7ffd4895864316cdirect contract76.0¢77.0¢76.50¢midpointfresh · 391s oldContract ↗

Miami Dolphins beat the Bengals

24%

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win their Week 5 game (CIN at MIA, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (24.5%), Polymarket US (23.9%), Polymarket (23.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dolphins a 24% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11CINMIA-MIAdirect contract24.0¢25.0¢24.50¢midpointfresh · 59s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-cin-mia-2026-10-11direct contract23.8¢24.0¢23.88¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 87s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x030b74606dc6d85673931a49594d9601a64ce8afdfe97e7cc7ffd4895864316cdirect contract23.0¢24.0¢23.50¢midpointfresh · 391s oldContract ↗

Cleveland Browns beat the Jets

45%

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win their Week 5 game (CLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (45.5%), Polymarket US (45.1%), Polymarket (44.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Browns a 45% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11CLENYJ-CLEdirect contract45.0¢46.0¢45.50¢midpointfresh · 59s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-cle-nyj-2026-10-11direct contract45.0¢45.3¢45.13¢displayed pricefresh · 176s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xbfb4a383d3a8bdfb1f47a388eaf0534af7f56403e1571d3e1e1f2f074d27838fdirect contract44.0¢45.0¢44.50¢midpointfresh · 92s oldContract ↗

New York Jets beat the Browns

55%

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win their Week 5 game (CLE at NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (55.5%), Polymarket US (54.9%), Polymarket (55.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jets a 55% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11CLENYJ-NYJdirect contract55.0¢56.0¢55.50¢midpointfresh · 292s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-cle-nyj-2026-10-11direct contract54.8¢55.0¢54.87¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 176s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xbfb4a383d3a8bdfb1f47a388eaf0534af7f56403e1571d3e1e1f2f074d27838fdirect contract55.0¢56.0¢55.50¢midpointfresh · 92s oldContract ↗

Houston Texans beat the Titans

75%

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win their Week 5 game (HOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (75.5%), Polymarket US (75.4%), Polymarket (75.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Texans a 75% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11HOUTEN-HOUdirect contract75.0¢76.0¢75.50¢midpointfresh · 79s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-hou-ten-2026-10-11direct contract75.3¢75.5¢75.37¢displayed pricefresh · 90s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x84756283070dc84074ea29cb7f3780eb733e49b407a069d0600c12f7b2d75953direct contract75.0¢76.0¢75.50¢midpointfresh · 395s oldContract ↗

Tennessee Titans beat the Texans

25%

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win their Week 5 game (HOU at TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (25.5%), Polymarket US (24.6%), Polymarket (24.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Titans a 25% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11HOUTEN-TENdirect contract25.0¢26.0¢25.50¢midpointfresh · 68s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-hou-ten-2026-10-11direct contract24.5¢24.8¢24.63¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 90s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x84756283070dc84074ea29cb7f3780eb733e49b407a069d0600c12f7b2d75953direct contract24.0¢25.0¢24.50¢midpointfresh · 395s oldContract ↗

Indianapolis Colts beat the Steelers

43%

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win their Week 5 game (IND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (43.5%), Polymarket US (43.1%), Polymarket (43.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Colts a 43% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11INDPIT-INDdirect contract43.0¢44.0¢43.50¢midpointfresh · 84s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-ind-pit-2026-10-11direct contract43.0¢43.3¢43.13¢displayed pricefresh · 71s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xf7c106f4716d0572c0f38ba02defb9417d6b56be478f668e891d3f0272f507e8direct contract43.0¢44.0¢43.50¢midpointfresh · 154s oldContract ↗

Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Colts

57%

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win their Week 5 game (IND at PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (56.5%), Polymarket US (56.9%), Polymarket (56.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Steelers a 57% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11INDPIT-PITdirect contract56.0¢57.0¢56.50¢midpointfresh · 89s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-ind-pit-2026-10-11direct contract56.8¢57.0¢56.87¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 71s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xf7c106f4716d0572c0f38ba02defb9417d6b56be478f668e891d3f0272f507e8direct contract56.0¢57.0¢56.50¢midpointfresh · 154s oldContract ↗

Las Vegas Raiders beat the Patriots

37%

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win their Week 5 game (LV at NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (36.5%), Polymarket US (36.6%), Polymarket (36.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Raiders a 37% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11LVNE-LVdirect contract36.0¢37.0¢36.50¢midpointfresh · 59s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-lv-ne-2026-10-11direct contract36.5¢36.8¢36.62¢displayed pricefresh · 71s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x625636ba175df2cf3d51809404716a52019cc7f4d96158225f755bd3eb15efffdirect contract36.0¢37.0¢36.50¢midpointfresh · 216s oldContract ↗

New England Patriots beat the Raiders

63%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win their Week 5 game (LV at NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (63.5%), Polymarket US (63.4%), Polymarket (63.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Patriots a 63% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11LVNE-NEdirect contract63.0¢64.0¢63.50¢midpointfresh · 290s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-lv-ne-2026-10-11direct contract63.2¢63.5¢63.38¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 71s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x625636ba175df2cf3d51809404716a52019cc7f4d96158225f755bd3eb15efffdirect contract63.0¢64.0¢63.50¢midpointfresh · 216s oldContract ↗

Minnesota Vikings beat the Saints

55%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win their Week 5 game (MIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (55.5%), Polymarket US (54.9%), Polymarket (55.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Vikings a 55% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11MINNO-MINdirect contract55.0¢56.0¢55.50¢midpointfresh · 56s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-min-no-2026-10-11direct contract54.8¢55.0¢54.88¢displayed pricefresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xfe12f4fdccaa16e65da0eed135d9fadee0b02d961f282633e21b98509a3b379ddirect contract55.0¢56.0¢55.50¢midpointfresh · 188s oldContract ↗

New Orleans Saints beat the Vikings

45%

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win their Week 5 game (MIN at NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (44.5%), Polymarket US (45.1%), Polymarket (44.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Saints a 45% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11MINNO-NOdirect contract44.0¢45.0¢44.50¢midpointfresh · 56s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-min-no-2026-10-11direct contract45.0¢45.3¢45.12¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xfe12f4fdccaa16e65da0eed135d9fadee0b02d961f282633e21b98509a3b379ddirect contract44.0¢45.0¢44.50¢midpointfresh · 188s oldContract ↗

New York Giants beat the Commanders

38%

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win their Week 5 game (NYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (37.5%), Polymarket US (37.6%), Polymarket (37.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Giants a 38% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11NYGWAS-NYGdirect contract37.0¢38.0¢37.50¢midpointfresh · 77s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-nyg-was-2026-10-11direct contract37.5¢37.8¢37.62¢displayed pricefresh · 87s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x9439c48ded4ed27d043d8f6d027292a2260d7629f538a1caa8267d4f5c43f691direct contract37.50¢displayed pricefresh · 2366s oldContract ↗

Washington Commanders beat the Giants

62%

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win their Week 5 game (NYG at WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (62.5%), Polymarket US (62.4%), Polymarket (62.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Commanders a 62% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11NYGWAS-WASdirect contract62.0¢63.0¢62.50¢midpointfresh · 77s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-nyg-was-2026-10-11direct contract62.3¢62.5¢62.38¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 87s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x9439c48ded4ed27d043d8f6d027292a2260d7629f538a1caa8267d4f5c43f691direct contract62.50¢displayed pricefresh · 2366s oldContract ↗

Denver Broncos beat the Chargers

63%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win their Week 5 game (DEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (62.5%), Polymarket US (62.9%), Polymarket (62.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Broncos a 63% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11DENLAC-DENdirect contract62.0¢63.0¢62.50¢midpointfresh · 58s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-den-lac-2026-10-11direct contract62.7¢63.0¢62.87¢displayed pricefresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x95532ccb25b8f75736a52837bc964b4326f4e27b45eef12d52521890207bbc78direct contract62.50¢displayed pricefresh · 2371s oldContract ↗

Los Angeles Chargers beat the Broncos

37%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win their Week 5 game (DEN at LAC, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (37.5%), Polymarket US (37.1%), Polymarket (37.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chargers a 37% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11DENLAC-LACdirect contract37.0¢38.0¢37.50¢midpointfresh · 68s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-den-lac-2026-10-11direct contract37.0¢37.3¢37.13¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 70s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x95532ccb25b8f75736a52837bc964b4326f4e27b45eef12d52521890207bbc78direct contract37.50¢displayed pricefresh · 2371s oldContract ↗

Chicago Bears beat the Packers

58%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win their Week 5 game (CHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (58.5%), Polymarket US (58.2%), Polymarket (58.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bears a 58% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11CHIGB-CHIdirect contract58.0¢59.0¢58.50¢midpointfresh · 76s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-chi-gb-2026-10-11direct contract58.0¢58.5¢58.25¢midpointfresh · 120s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x58251a1a43830e12c81e6f82691c3bdcad6550bfc6e43e0bf7ed479f4a5f8600direct contract58.0¢59.0¢58.50¢midpointfresh · 708s oldContract ↗

Green Bay Packers beat the Bears

42%

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win their Week 5 game (CHI at GB, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (42.5%), Polymarket US (41.8%), Polymarket (41.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Packers a 42% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11CHIGB-GBdirect contract42.0¢43.0¢42.50¢midpointfresh · 59s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-chi-gb-2026-10-11direct contract41.5¢42.0¢41.75¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 120s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x58251a1a43830e12c81e6f82691c3bdcad6550bfc6e43e0bf7ed479f4a5f8600direct contract41.0¢42.0¢41.50¢midpointfresh · 708s oldContract ↗

Detroit Lions beat the Cardinals

69%

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win their Week 5 game (DET at ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (69.5%), Polymarket US (69.9%), Polymarket (68.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Lions a 69% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11DETARI-DETdirect contract69.0¢70.0¢69.50¢midpointfresh · 76s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-det-ari-2026-10-11direct contract69.8¢70.0¢69.87¢displayed pricefresh · 213s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x54ab3ea34abb0577de6b341c33c59ec75ee80df89f0135451fe63809a9588392direct contract68.0¢69.0¢68.50¢midpointfresh · 197s oldContract ↗

Arizona Cardinals beat the Lions

31%

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win their Week 5 game (DET at ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (30.5%), Polymarket US (30.1%), Polymarket (31.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cardinals a 31% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11DETARI-ARIdirect contract30.0¢31.0¢30.50¢midpointfresh · 128s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-det-ari-2026-10-11direct contract30.0¢30.3¢30.13¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 213s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x54ab3ea34abb0577de6b341c33c59ec75ee80df89f0135451fe63809a9588392direct contract31.0¢32.0¢31.50¢midpointfresh · 197s oldContract ↗

San Francisco 49ers beat the Seahawks

42%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win their Week 5 game (SF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket US (42.4%), Polymarket (41.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the 49ers a 42% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11SFSEA-SFdirect contract41.0¢42.0¢41.50¢midpointfresh · 77s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-sf-sea-2026-10-11direct contract42.3¢42.5¢42.37¢displayed pricefresh · 201s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xb8f8ac0fbc08449be5f6d4eff0bfe05d68d4feacce05b94f0318799f5a24186ddirect contract41.0¢42.0¢41.50¢midpointfresh · 235s oldContract ↗

Seattle Seahawks beat the 49ers

58%

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win their Week 5 game (SF at SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (58.5%), Polymarket US (57.6%), Polymarket (58.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seahawks a 58% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11SFSEA-SEAdirect contract58.0¢59.0¢58.50¢midpointfresh · 59s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-sf-sea-2026-10-11direct contract57.5¢57.8¢57.63¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 201s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xb8f8ac0fbc08449be5f6d4eff0bfe05d68d4feacce05b94f0318799f5a24186ddirect contract58.0¢59.0¢58.50¢midpointfresh · 235s oldContract ↗

Baltimore Ravens beat the Falcons

39%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win their Week 5 game (BAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (39.5%), Polymarket US (39.2%), Polymarket (38.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Ravens a 39% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11BALATL-BALdirect contract39.0¢40.0¢39.50¢midpointfresh · 56s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-bal-atl-2026-10-11direct contract39.0¢39.5¢39.25¢midpointfresh · 429s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x82aa1f82105f9e33964821e1251a48153752a3b1c9b4a3e856fccedc490bbb12direct contract38.0¢39.0¢38.50¢midpointfresh · 468s oldContract ↗

Atlanta Falcons beat the Ravens

61%

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win their Week 5 game (BAL at ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (60.5%), Polymarket US (60.8%), Polymarket (61.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Falcons a 61% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT11BALATL-ATLdirect contract60.0¢61.0¢60.50¢midpointfresh · 56s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-bal-atl-2026-10-11direct contract60.5¢61.0¢60.75¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 429s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x82aa1f82105f9e33964821e1251a48153752a3b1c9b4a3e856fccedc490bbb12direct contract61.0¢62.0¢61.50¢midpointfresh · 468s oldContract ↗

Buffalo Bills beat the Rams

40%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win their Week 5 game (BUF at LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (40.5%), Polymarket US (40.1%), Polymarket (40.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bills a 40% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT12BUFLAR-BUFdirect contract40.0¢41.0¢40.50¢midpointfresh · 187s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-buf-lar-2026-10-12direct contract40.0¢40.3¢40.12¢displayed pricefresh · 146s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x587a72a6a00a6e395178fcab9bf4398f5f15bb9b87c25c0dc3e1aef342c4f125direct contract40.0¢41.0¢40.50¢midpointfresh · 497s oldContract ↗

Los Angeles Rams beat the Bills

60%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win their Week 5 game (BUF at LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (60.5%), Polymarket US (59.9%), Polymarket (59.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Rams a 60% chance to win in Week 5” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26OCT12BUFLAR-LARdirect contract60.0¢61.0¢60.50¢midpointfresh · 79s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-buf-lar-2026-10-12direct contract59.8¢60.0¢59.88¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 146s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x587a72a6a00a6e395178fcab9bf4398f5f15bb9b87c25c0dc3e1aef342c4f125direct contract59.0¢60.0¢59.50¢midpointfresh · 497s oldContract ↗