NFLWhere every number comes from
The contracts, rate or quote types and calculation behind each figure on the NFL page. Data observed Oct 4, 10:35 AM ET; this page updates with it. For a frozen copy, use the snapshot.
NFL futures by venue
Every figure and contract
Buffalo Bills: AFC champion
22%Stale
The market-implied chance that Buffalo Bills is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket (22.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Buffalo Bills a 22% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BUF | direct contract | 22.0¢ | 21.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 40s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x1448087be8edc764ad64ee2fa548936c272b191db62f46a60c1f4869ba9492fc | direct contract | 22.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Baltimore Ravens: AFC champion
15%Stale
The market-implied chance that Baltimore Ravens is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.0%), Polymarket (14.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Baltimore Ravens a 15% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BAL | direct contract | 16.0¢ | 15.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 68s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xf56c3543401052711ed407ec692c414e3ccde973a1195cf7274f71d1981c9242 | direct contract | 14.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Kansas City Chiefs: AFC champion
15%Stale
The market-implied chance that Kansas City Chiefs is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (15.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kansas City Chiefs a 15% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-KC | direct contract | 14.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 514s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x983223b53e2dc149079e8919efa1a85f4f2cefe5723e2cdd25d962a122f4f9e3 | direct contract | 15.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Jacksonville Jaguars: AFC champion
9%Stale
The market-implied chance that Jacksonville Jaguars is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacksonville Jaguars a 9% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-JAC | direct contract | 9.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3443s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xf5605b5aa5012ca1d3b51231ae9cb8a77de5a346ff00809be44612f95d68e476 | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Cincinnati Bengals: AFC champion
9%Stale
The market-implied chance that Cincinnati Bengals is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (8.7%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cincinnati Bengals a 9% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-CIN | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1762s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x893eb655d409b75108367f2f8c6196a1d48f7e0fdd490e310287df544873ecc0 | direct contract | 8.70¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Denver Broncos: AFC champion
9%Stale
The market-implied chance that Denver Broncos is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denver Broncos a 9% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-DEN | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3433s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x9cc02d4842fced0040028510696cc52b2bb38936a12fe5fabc76d49859dc272c | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Houston Texans: AFC champion
4%Stale
The market-implied chance that Houston Texans is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (3.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Houston Texans a 4% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-HOU | direct contract | 4.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 314s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x86f097adec2b38cbd44f02d1476a20b26a4ba82d00ced50944126b6096f7950b | direct contract | 3.80¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
New England Patriots: AFC champion
5%Stale
The market-implied chance that New England Patriots is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New England Patriots a 5% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-NE | direct contract | 4.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1710s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x13ef35d4bf77d5e1cb891b15fde4af75a2f9ed8044b898ec9596b1515afbf06a | direct contract | 5.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles Rams: NFC champion
19%Stale
The market-implied chance that Los Angeles Rams is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (19.5%), Polymarket (18.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles Rams a 19% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-LAR | direct contract | 20.0¢ | 19.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 10s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd8e7df41df8b81692f2b6339d18cc16bfac611113595a85ea8f111c1bccc3662 | direct contract | 18.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
San Francisco 49ers: NFC champion
16%Stale
The market-implied chance that San Francisco 49ers is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%), Polymarket (16.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give San Francisco 49ers a 16% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-SF | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 16.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 32s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x59925ff5a84e6eaebd1ed1c6dd776ed27264fd9c52ba99c7020c630f3f720f75 | direct contract | 16.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Seattle Seahawks: NFC champion
14%Stale
The market-implied chance that Seattle Seahawks is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (13.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Seattle Seahawks a 14% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-SEA | direct contract | 15.0¢ | 14.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 226s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x51e241e5cdc5cd2f6ff8fa1bd444cd4751a35f1097ac3fa97711479795ae264c | direct contract | 13.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Chicago Bears: NFC champion
8%Stale
The market-implied chance that Chicago Bears is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chicago Bears a 8% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-CHI | direct contract | 7.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 2402s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x40c2fd0594fdf433c863963c8f29b3c855c446b24d76ccc5e6336fcfc14feab4 | direct contract | 7.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Detroit Lions: NFC champion
7%Stale
The market-implied chance that Detroit Lions is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (5.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Detroit Lions a 7% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-DET | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 46s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x24ab2403cb580e7086cd3a387ff03a275146da35c4d7aec27a1aeb4a1b38d794 | direct contract | 5.75¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Minnesota Vikings: NFC champion
7%Stale
The market-implied chance that Minnesota Vikings is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (6.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Minnesota Vikings a 7% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-MIN | direct contract | 7.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1044s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x7bec3361c613929e115c6abd4877a98da108559e9c58443f073ba6d9205e7617 | direct contract | 6.75¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Philadelphia Eagles: NFC champion
8%Stale
The market-implied chance that Philadelphia Eagles is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (8.3%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Philadelphia Eagles a 8% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-PHI | direct contract | 7.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1970s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xa41cccfd96fbc0e1e75cf9459e59bbb766e845bfd4df851d63a1897ca024c078 | direct contract | 8.30¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Dallas Cowboys: NFC champion
5%Stale
The market-implied chance that Dallas Cowboys is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (4.7%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dallas Cowboys a 5% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-DAL | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 243s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x9e54e526688bba2a22c6092cb9f1cd3aa2727f190fcd4362837d1dc8e2865c7e | direct contract | 4.70¢ | displayed price | stale · 3182s old | Contract ↗ |
Josh Allen: MVP
25%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Josh Allen is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (24.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Josh Allen a 25% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-JALL | direct contract | 24.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 393s old | Contract ↗ |
Brock Purdy: MVP
17%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Brock Purdy is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Brock Purdy a 17% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-BPUR | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 16.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 156s old | Contract ↗ |
Lamar Jackson: MVP
11%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Lamar Jackson is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Lamar Jackson a 11% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-LJAC | direct contract | 10.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 523s old | Contract ↗ |
Patrick Mahomes: MVP
9%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Patrick Mahomes is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Patrick Mahomes a 9% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-PMAH | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1906s old | Contract ↗ |
Joe Burrow: MVP
8%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Joe Burrow is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Joe Burrow a 8% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-JBUR | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 86s old | Contract ↗ |
Trevor Lawrence: MVP
6%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Trevor Lawrence is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Trevor Lawrence a 6% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-TLAR | direct contract | 5.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1036s old | Contract ↗ |
Dak Prescott: MVP
3%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Dak Prescott is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dak Prescott a 3% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-DPRE | direct contract | 3.0¢ | 2.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 20s old | Contract ↗ |
Jahmyr Gibbs: MVP
3%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Jahmyr Gibbs is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jahmyr Gibbs a 3% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-JGIB | direct contract | 2.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 409s old | Contract ↗ |
Jahmyr Gibbs: Offensive Player of the Year
28%Stale
The market-implied chance that Jahmyr Gibbs is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (25.5%), Polymarket (29.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jahmyr Gibbs a 28% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-JGIB | direct contract | 25.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1510s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xcce0f002915a2d9201d20dbbc4fa31e31fa5807fe5de0141f26a3749b05b2781 | direct contract | 29.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Offensive Player of the Year
18%Stale
The market-implied chance that Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%), Polymarket (20.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jaxon Smith-Njigba a 18% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-JSMI | direct contract | 16.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3066s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xd7cffbb2e632275f07a1a9d7fd66b7882820dcaca38bcb0b2d49229300049351 | direct contract | 20.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Bijan Robinson: Offensive Player of the Year
11%Stale
The market-implied chance that Bijan Robinson is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (12.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Bijan Robinson a 11% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-BROB | direct contract | 9.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 2521s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x63038e548cf505c496ac5eefc480e1b0de3474bce04ef11f2709bca7215f1a18 | direct contract | 12.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Kenneth Walker: Offensive Player of the Year
5%Stale
The market-implied chance that Kenneth Walker is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (3.6%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kenneth Walker a 5% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-KWALKER9 | direct contract | 7.0¢ | 6.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 266s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x5fa97ffbcf9a74c2129f2e76b30cf5adb8ee530f8e992e81efbd6bee28a8e0a9 | direct contract | 3.60¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Chris Olave: Offensive Player of the Year
6%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Chris Olave is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chris Olave a 6% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-COLAVE12 | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 98s old | Contract ↗ |
Derrick Henry: Offensive Player of the Year
4%Stale
The market-implied chance that Derrick Henry is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (2.6%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Derrick Henry a 4% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-DHEN | direct contract | 4.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1968s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x2fdf4fc8aa6d1779fbe1fd100d876d64a66a6eee6121b877bbf090fdd4d00fe6 | direct contract | 2.65¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Ja'Marr Chase: Offensive Player of the Year
6%Stale
The market-implied chance that Ja'Marr Chase is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Ja'Marr Chase a 6% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-JCHA | direct contract | 5.0¢ | 4.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 176s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x300e4085e91a58dc2f2007a3692ec7ab9de91bfce472e7be45effcfdbc788ff3 | direct contract | 7.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Jonathan Taylor: Offensive Player of the Year
4%Stale
The market-implied chance that Jonathan Taylor is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (5.2%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jonathan Taylor a 4% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-JTAY | direct contract | 3.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 2579s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x0942bcd104cacdf68ef1ff7be79fe73a829d6ffa80b435a7e8e1f7f82e9a6f7d | direct contract | 5.20¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Jeremiyah Love: Offensive Rookie of the Year
40%Stale
The market-implied chance that Jeremiyah Love is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket (38.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jeremiyah Love a 40% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-JLOV | direct contract | 41.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1850s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xa54653f4ede768fbea4e54f86825998b73f63b92f67349a147dccbbcca2fbc55 | direct contract | 38.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Denzel Boston: Offensive Rookie of the Year
18%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Denzel Boston is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (17.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denzel Boston a 18% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-DBOS | direct contract | 17.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 2356s old | Contract ↗ |
Carnell Tate: Offensive Rookie of the Year
8%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Carnell Tate is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Carnell Tate a 8% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-CTAT | direct contract | 7.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 4332s old | Contract ↗ |
KC Concepcion: Offensive Rookie of the Year
6%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that KC Concepcion is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give KC Concepcion a 6% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-KCON | direct contract | 5.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1718s old | Contract ↗ |
Kenyon Sadiq: Offensive Rookie of the Year
6%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Kenyon Sadiq is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kenyon Sadiq a 6% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-KSAD | direct contract | 5.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 6308s old | Contract ↗ |
Fernando Mendoza: Offensive Rookie of the Year
3%Stale
The market-implied chance that Fernando Mendoza is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.2%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Fernando Mendoza a 3% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-FMEN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 4344s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x486e98c9af637da099612a94ff1c26325f1bd50d92d8718b06ab806537af4b62 | direct contract | 3.25¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Makai Lemon: Offensive Rookie of the Year
4%Stale
The market-implied chance that Makai Lemon is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (4.3%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Makai Lemon a 4% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-MLEM | direct contract | 3.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 6352s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x906809bb4571202cb99aee4a6ba64921646338de19bcb86ab6f320189db9f229 | direct contract | 4.35¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Jalon Daniels: Offensive Rookie of the Year
3%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Jalon Daniels is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jalon Daniels a 3% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-JDANIELS10 | direct contract | 3.0¢ | 2.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 294s old | Contract ↗ |
Jacob Rodriguez: Defensive Rookie of the Year
32%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Jacob Rodriguez is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (31.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacob Rodriguez a 32% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-JROD | direct contract | 32.0¢ | 31.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 264s old | Contract ↗ |
David Bailey: Defensive Rookie of the Year
16%Stale
The market-implied chance that David Bailey is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%), Polymarket (17.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give David Bailey a 16% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-DBAI | direct contract | 15.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3822s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x24c70c3f981e2b59c677fbb64cb6e210496bc9375ba77e9f046613fa2bd2e687 | direct contract | 17.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Sonny Styles: Defensive Rookie of the Year
11%Stale
The market-implied chance that Sonny Styles is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (12.5%), Polymarket (10.2%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Sonny Styles a 11% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-SSTY | direct contract | 12.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 492s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x119069553cfa70c0bc61f9a6e168645b1ba9f1b59293403cb891e1cd2333f61e | direct contract | 10.20¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Arvell Reese: Defensive Rookie of the Year
10%Stale
The market-implied chance that Arvell Reese is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (10.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Arvell Reese a 10% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-AREE | direct contract | 10.0¢ | 9.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 142s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xab9d90fd3faa3e5dabd576402752ea69273cec70ed0d710bf8057d202999b55f | direct contract | 10.75¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Dillon Thieneman: Defensive Rookie of the Year
8%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Dillon Thieneman is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dillon Thieneman a 8% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-DTHI | direct contract | 10.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 138s old | Contract ↗ |
Caleb Downs: Defensive Rookie of the Year
8%Stale
The market-implied chance that Caleb Downs is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Caleb Downs a 8% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-CDOW | direct contract | 6.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3632s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x36c1f1a8faba783cf1f8609aa6c9c96b676a76ee2ce7e1940133be69267ccb76 | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Hezekiah Masses: Defensive Rookie of the Year
6%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Hezekiah Masses is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Hezekiah Masses a 6% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-HMASSES35 | direct contract | 5.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1882s old | Contract ↗ |
Mansoor Delane: Defensive Rookie of the Year
5%Stale
The market-implied chance that Mansoor Delane is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (5.6%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Mansoor Delane a 5% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-MDEL | direct contract | 4.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3822s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xd6ea0a89e4785e9fb5bc5e4632affc735f7d47b13b3526d3f3f664e022fc1b6d | direct contract | 5.60¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Todd Monken: Coach of the Year
18%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Todd Monken is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (17.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Todd Monken a 18% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-TMON | direct contract | 17.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 440s old | Contract ↗ |
Klint Kubiak: Coach of the Year
16%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Klint Kubiak is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Klint Kubiak a 16% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-KKUB | direct contract | 15.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 2825s old | Contract ↗ |
Ben Johnson: Coach of the Year
10%Stale
The market-implied chance that Ben Johnson is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (9.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Ben Johnson a 10% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-BJOH | direct contract | 12.0¢ | 11.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x2a10e5a5f125442ad310aa09307f17b3cb2b124b2f9975f504d765ea7e547793 | direct contract | 9.45¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Kellen Moore: Coach of the Year
9%Stale
The market-implied chance that Kellen Moore is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (10.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kellen Moore a 9% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-KMOO | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1454s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x6f66e567a86e01e369c59beb1cd471296e131f8783026e1a1fc43c749409c8c5 | direct contract | 10.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
John Harbaugh: Coach of the Year
6%Stale
The market-implied chance that John Harbaugh is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (5.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give John Harbaugh a 6% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-JOHAR | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xf1ba696849e70bdec038aff7ad41017f868e5548ff5ac0956d7b654adaa34a17 | direct contract | 4.95¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Joe Brady: Coach of the Year
5%Stale
The market-implied chance that Joe Brady is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (5.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Joe Brady a 5% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-JBRA | direct contract | 5.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1848s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x49aa410c407c3805515a1d5479f4a3d01f3e05388bc786329c7d08492cd3acbc | direct contract | 5.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Jesse Minter: Coach of the Year
7%Stale
The market-implied chance that Jesse Minter is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jesse Minter a 7% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-JMIN | direct contract | 5.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 4158s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xc5d45c82a7a5e67ecbe0165f67a3c6eb6b3c6b541288615ea4f189f5ea4fc40b | direct contract | 7.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1649s old | Contract ↗ |
Kyle Shanahan: Coach of the Year
6%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Kyle Shanahan is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kyle Shanahan a 6% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-KSHA | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 144s old | Contract ↗ |
Buffalo: AFC East winner
78%Stale
The market-implied chance that Buffalo is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (77.5%), Polymarket (78.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Buffalo a 78% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCEAST-27-BUF | direct contract | 77.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3608s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x4a2f2a0b4d381c7db4154b10f083fb6143de7b0051757623c6e92b74dc57432e | direct contract | 78.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
New England: AFC East winner
15%Stale
The market-implied chance that New England is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (15.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New England a 15% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCEAST-27-NE | direct contract | 14.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 4571s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x5b8385a6518042266e4310cb74068a57edd8c1a0d52fe5d200ef4ccbc26740fe | direct contract | 15.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
New York J: AFC East winner
3%Stale
The market-implied chance that New York J is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (2.9%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New York J a 3% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCEAST-27-NYJ | direct contract | 3.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 2176s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xe569003c7e95dcfeaef4763596b6478dd95cb44d3ea12f73db4c2c63f9349556 | direct contract | 2.85¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Miami: AFC East winner
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance that Miami is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Miami a <1% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCEAST-27-MIA | direct contract | 1.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 4509s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xcff34e73b6fc78da3fe3dffc1cacc0af35835cb9c3cae220c9575ba132462e33 | direct contract | 0.40¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Baltimore: AFC North winner
53%Stale
The market-implied chance that Baltimore is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (53.5%), Polymarket (51.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Baltimore a 53% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-BAL | direct contract | 54.0¢ | 53.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x74472d82bf55db42f9a30e354f92f86d09d39b3cd6b368e3f17c69ebe3d54e44 | direct contract | 51.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Cincinnati: AFC North winner
34%Stale
The market-implied chance that Cincinnati is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket (32.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cincinnati a 34% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-CIN | direct contract | 35.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3467s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x779a70f850eaf259358095f62f7fe4ec1563ae23e33af84c92a0599c3f564e0d | direct contract | 32.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Cleveland: AFC North winner
7%Stale
The market-implied chance that Cleveland is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cleveland a 7% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-CLE | direct contract | 7.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3842s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x823b60dbfd245942833931cc291d2290c802f549fd3b55ab2102e9ad23413e16 | direct contract | 7.05¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Pittsburgh: AFC North winner
7%Stale
The market-implied chance that Pittsburgh is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.0%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Pittsburgh a 7% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-PIT | direct contract | 7.0¢ | 6.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 6s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd343ac8afb661672dceda67537546281b2e3f76db481625dfdd7b9be26dc719b | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Jacksonville: AFC South winner
55%Stale
The market-implied chance that Jacksonville is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (54.5%), Polymarket (56.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacksonville a 55% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-JAC | direct contract | 55.0¢ | 54.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 180s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x523467bf87aa77871560e2fedec3cca33a0ade81d1dadf6e93cf50bbc7a432a5 | direct contract | 56.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Houston: AFC South winner
21%Stale
The market-implied chance that Houston is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (23.5%), Polymarket (18.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Houston a 21% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-HOU | direct contract | 24.0¢ | 23.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 180s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x51e2f604323d55910ce3db196d0349de1b3457516f4fb4c845db40127222a48f | direct contract | 18.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Indianapolis: AFC South winner
21%Stale
The market-implied chance that Indianapolis is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket (20.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Indianapolis a 21% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-IND | direct contract | 21.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1597s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x54af4c40b9f56eb937115a08e81e6d1edfa51cd4b4780108cccdb94a9ec4c3b5 | direct contract | 20.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Tennessee: AFC South winner
2%Stale
The market-implied chance that Tennessee is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (2.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Tennessee a 2% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-TEN | direct contract | 2.0¢ | 1.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 180s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x60f9f28cbff2c63b7942217142e010002a71745e0bdbf4dd66feab3158a6852c | direct contract | 2.80¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Kansas City: AFC West winner
56%Stale
The market-implied chance that Kansas City is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (54.5%), Polymarket (56.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kansas City a 56% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCWEST-27-KC | direct contract | 54.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 2010s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x1e617bcdbf6f79d3d03e505345cd1e2146a9dab1e1c6f941cff145e278d3fe12 | direct contract | 56.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Denver: AFC West winner
29%Stale
The market-implied chance that Denver is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (30.5%), Polymarket (27.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denver a 29% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCWEST-27-DEN | direct contract | 31.0¢ | 30.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 226s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xc157dcb7324b6956deb3e2275ea2c694d850abeabba1db750a7ec1d12a27895b | direct contract | 27.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Las Vegas: AFC West winner
11%Stale
The market-implied chance that Las Vegas is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (12.3%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Las Vegas a 11% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LV | direct contract | 10.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1105s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x5c1a190e1b2081ded534136e7dfaef58e80d28f559d4215b4225759bc86cae65 | direct contract | 12.35¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles C: AFC West winner
3%Stale
The market-implied chance that Los Angeles C is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (2.1%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles C a 3% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LAC | direct contract | 3.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 4580s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x9a240a568047146e9e67f8fdaa7991c4b5814dddffed33e83e7a9f8aef5a5245 | direct contract | 2.15¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Philadelphia: NFC East winner
52%Stale
The market-implied chance that Philadelphia is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (52.5%), Polymarket (51.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Philadelphia a 52% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCEAST-27-PHI | direct contract | 52.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 2090s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x092217c37b6ae23a7d4aaaa277aa5570adf3043db6e8be4bc348e70b33ba816e | direct contract | 51.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Dallas: NFC East winner
28%Stale
The market-implied chance that Dallas is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (28.5%), Polymarket (26.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dallas a 28% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCEAST-27-DAL | direct contract | 29.0¢ | 28.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 118s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xf137b480d9969c45716c067f5702503fce14fda10caa5f0b28919eb6543d9393 | direct contract | 26.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Washington: NFC East winner
9%Stale
The market-implied chance that Washington is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.0%), Polymarket (8.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Washington a 9% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCEAST-27-WAS | direct contract | 10.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 1228s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xe3d32e7b18873a33ba23d9ef9d07e2dbf188c5e829096a724e9dc8f5acb3fc91 | direct contract | 8.80¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
New York G: NFC East winner
10%Stale
The market-implied chance that New York G is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (10.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New York G a 10% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCEAST-27-NYG | direct contract | 9.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1178s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xa82cb14f2a30bb85faf7cfefde5e2792a64eef16fa5018370cf6b92aaf13ee9a | direct contract | 10.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Detroit: NFC North winner
36%Stale
The market-implied chance that Detroit is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (37.5%), Polymarket (35.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Detroit a 36% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-DET | direct contract | 37.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 607s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x4f9a05553110a4b9836ebbd0302bee725394f8fb14be8574b099280ffbcbe0cb | direct contract | 35.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Minnesota: NFC North winner
37%Stale
The market-implied chance that Minnesota is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket (37.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Minnesota a 37% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-MIN | direct contract | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 90s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd90ebec0082a990159940d8927f52de8fb5acd269f31a78f1daed5e0b0b707cf | direct contract | 37.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Chicago: NFC North winner
22%Stale
The market-implied chance that Chicago is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket (22.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chicago a 22% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-CHI | direct contract | 22.0¢ | 21.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 8s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x27f0a7e03f8e4afc417f74ed532c6216c431ecec27b2a136b5b894007dd46dc6 | direct contract | 22.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Green Bay: NFC North winner
7%Stale
The market-implied chance that Green Bay is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Green Bay a 7% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-GB | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 140s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xa8deedb9c5becf96d94fbcfc2e1697e8fdc5cf8785b0a145e916483a79b98b45 | direct contract | 7.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
New Orleans: NFC South winner
41%Stale
The market-implied chance that New Orleans is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket (40.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New Orleans a 41% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-NO | direct contract | 42.0¢ | 41.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 270s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd6118440343968bb7dba587482a24e77308f438df8f76077363249248e240ef5 | direct contract | 40.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Carolina: NFC South winner
21%Stale
The market-implied chance that Carolina is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket (20.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Carolina a 21% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-CAR | direct contract | 22.0¢ | 21.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x6a9f85c9a5294b7a0cb591f2f352d8c0b321c33877ffe3e1c060922e94ee84fb | direct contract | 20.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Atlanta: NFC South winner
21%Stale
The market-implied chance that Atlanta is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.0%), Polymarket (21.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Atlanta a 21% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-ATL | direct contract | 22.0¢ | 21.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 148s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xc9cd55df7aaab8ee01938e55d2062c0805399fc8d9f5315c6a35df462dbba6d6 | direct contract | 21.40¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Tampa Bay: NFC South winner
15%Stale
The market-implied chance that Tampa Bay is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (14.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Tampa Bay a 15% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-TB | direct contract | 14.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 699s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x2878996ec4e5f5ab35ff934937f1a74186ff1e351d9734b9e70bc6b9d00107eb | direct contract | 14.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
San Francisco: NFC West winner
43%Stale
The market-implied chance that San Francisco is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket (43.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give San Francisco a 43% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCWEST-27-SF | direct contract | 41.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 1810s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x22b6c3c4253d8988c6b181b0b1ea2bf06c128a01f599116d0b8b3fe435a39fcb | direct contract | 43.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Seattle: NFC West winner
32%Stale
The market-implied chance that Seattle is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (31.5%), Polymarket (31.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Seattle a 32% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCWEST-27-SEA | direct contract | 32.0¢ | 31.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 112s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xcc9f029bbc572cbd3ef5dcb2befcc25ee7cbd38ee3c6af7f78fbeb9bafbffe64 | direct contract | 31.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles R: NFC West winner
27%Stale
The market-implied chance that Los Angeles R is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (27.5%), Polymarket (25.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles R a 27% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCWEST-27-LAR | direct contract | 28.0¢ | 27.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 122s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x1436bea9d6f5891a35f2dfc1c73a3102ca91c7b464b4fd4e2a937956f13e43f8 | direct contract | 25.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Arizona: NFC West winner
1%Stale
The market-implied chance that Arizona is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 10:35 AM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Arizona a 1% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCWEST-27-ARI | direct contract | 2.0¢ | 1.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 36s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xdf1627c20d47787a22d1f848e1121454645794f920ad1ac4190e2586d92442a5 | direct contract | 1.35¢ | displayed price | stale · 3140s old | Contract ↗ |
Baltimore Ravens beat the Titans
85%The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win their Week 4 game (TEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (85.5%), Polymarket US (85.4%), Polymarket (85.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Ravens a 85% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04TENBAL-BAL | direct contract | 85.0¢ | 86.0¢ | 85.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 6s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ten-bal-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 85.3¢ | 85.5¢ | 85.38¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 9s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x371b212c6f2a75fb4ae3a9a11dd20d2b0fb46dc1302043b8e48e5ab4e3c20bd5 | direct contract | 85.0¢ | 86.0¢ | 85.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 55s old | Contract ↗ |
Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI
13%Last trade
The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +669, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (12.5%) and Polymarket (13.50%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.
Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 13% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-BUF | direct contract | 12.50¢ | last trade | fresh · 237s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 13.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 13.50¢ | last trade | fresh · 44s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-04 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-29 | 12.5% |
Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Browns
LostWhether the Pittsburgh Steelers won their Week 4 game (PIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15pm ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.
Kalshi settled this contract No on Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET: the Browns won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.
Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Steelers lost to the Browns in Week 4, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT01PITCLE-PIT | direct contract | settlement, Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET | settled No | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-pit-cle-2026-10-01 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 1, 11:47 PM ET | settled No | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket | 0x8a9f8be5bef9bc8d36c7895707a4f2561d49de9f5467b6675ba206196e8bd2e2 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 2, 12:02 AM ET | settled No | Contract ↗ |
Cleveland Browns beat the Steelers
WonWhether the Cleveland Browns won their Week 4 game (PIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15pm ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.
Kalshi settled this contract Yes on Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET: the Browns won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.
Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Browns beat the Steelers in Week 4, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT01PITCLE-CLE | direct contract | settlement, Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET | settled Yes | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-pit-cle-2026-10-01 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 1, 11:47 PM ET | settled Yes | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket | 0x8a9f8be5bef9bc8d36c7895707a4f2561d49de9f5467b6675ba206196e8bd2e2 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 2, 12:02 AM ET | settled Yes | Contract ↗ |
Arizona Cardinals beat the Giants
56%The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win their Week 4 game (ARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (56.5%), Polymarket US (56.1%), Polymarket (55.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cardinals a 56% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04ARINYG-ARI | direct contract | 56.0¢ | 57.0¢ | 56.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 8s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ari-nyg-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 56.0¢ | 56.3¢ | 56.13¢ | displayed price | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x96b3caf87aeaae3cf5fe87e2faaf72c56ab4161d626a1898df469c0b02a9de62 | direct contract | 55.0¢ | 56.0¢ | 55.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 8s old | Contract ↗ |
New York Giants beat the Cardinals
44%The market-implied chance the New York Giants win their Week 4 game (ARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (43.5%), Polymarket US (43.9%), Polymarket (44.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Giants a 44% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04ARINYG-NYG | direct contract | 43.0¢ | 44.0¢ | 43.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ari-nyg-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 43.8¢ | 44.0¢ | 43.87¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x96b3caf87aeaae3cf5fe87e2faaf72c56ab4161d626a1898df469c0b02a9de62 | direct contract | 44.0¢ | 45.0¢ | 44.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 8s old | Contract ↗ |
Dallas Cowboys beat the Texans
42%The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win their Week 4 game (DAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (42.5%), Polymarket US (41.6%), Polymarket (42.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cowboys a 42% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DALHOU-DAL | direct contract | 42.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 42.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-dal-hou-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 41.5¢ | 41.8¢ | 41.63¢ | displayed price | fresh · 15s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x3a56072b26b0d190234a994eff5024320b4af35fea7e50b8aa36b92e1fca83de | direct contract | 42.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 42.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 37s old | Contract ↗ |
Houston Texans beat the Cowboys
58%The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win their Week 4 game (DAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (57.5%), Polymarket US (58.4%), Polymarket (57.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Texans a 58% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DALHOU-HOU | direct contract | 57.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 57.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-dal-hou-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 58.3¢ | 58.5¢ | 58.37¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 15s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x3a56072b26b0d190234a994eff5024320b4af35fea7e50b8aa36b92e1fca83de | direct contract | 57.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 57.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 37s old | Contract ↗ |
Green Bay Packers beat the Buccaneers
60%The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win their Week 4 game (GB at TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (59.5%), Polymarket US (60.4%), Polymarket (59.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Packers a 60% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04GBTB-GB | direct contract | 59.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 59.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 6s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-gb-tb-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 60.3¢ | 60.5¢ | 60.38¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x7bac333f88898b0be7c34cc49c184f50896d4daf4ab59a4e74a8f0a887db2092 | direct contract | 59.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 59.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 37s old | Contract ↗ |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Packers
40%The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win their Week 4 game (GB at TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (39.5%), Polymarket US (39.6%), Polymarket (40.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buccaneers a 40% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04GBTB-TB | direct contract | 39.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 39.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-gb-tb-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 39.5¢ | 39.8¢ | 39.62¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 2s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x7bac333f88898b0be7c34cc49c184f50896d4daf4ab59a4e74a8f0a887db2092 | direct contract | 40.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 40.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 37s old | Contract ↗ |
Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Bengals
43%The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win their Week 4 game (JAC at CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (42.5%), Polymarket (43.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jaguars a 43% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04JACCIN-JAC | direct contract | 42.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 42.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 14s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x81e170222731d446af3abee9802708a8d8a5f8a064c0c807ae88c6ed0b43f96f | direct contract | 43.0¢ | 44.0¢ | 43.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 9s old | Contract ↗ |
Cincinnati Bengals beat the Jaguars
57%The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win their Week 4 game (JAC at CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (56.5%), Polymarket (56.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bengals a 57% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04JACCIN-CIN | direct contract | 56.0¢ | 57.0¢ | 56.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x81e170222731d446af3abee9802708a8d8a5f8a064c0c807ae88c6ed0b43f96f | direct contract | 56.0¢ | 57.0¢ | 56.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 9s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles Rams beat the Eagles
63%The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win their Week 4 game (LAR at PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (63.5%), Polymarket US (63.6%), Polymarket (62.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Rams a 63% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04LARPHI-LAR | direct contract | 63.0¢ | 64.0¢ | 63.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 14s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-lar-phi-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 63.5¢ | 63.7¢ | 63.62¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x00175589d9a20da7fc783d639788f42c51d7505c7147f38bfa72fe7223d1cabc | direct contract | 62.0¢ | 63.0¢ | 62.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 13s old | Contract ↗ |
Philadelphia Eagles beat the Rams
37%The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win their Week 4 game (LAR at PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (36.5%), Polymarket US (36.4%), Polymarket (37.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Eagles a 37% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04LARPHI-PHI | direct contract | 36.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 36.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-lar-phi-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 36.3¢ | 36.5¢ | 36.38¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 2s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x00175589d9a20da7fc783d639788f42c51d7505c7147f38bfa72fe7223d1cabc | direct contract | 37.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 37.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 13s old | Contract ↗ |
New England Patriots beat the Bills
26%The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win their Week 4 game (NE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (25.5%), Polymarket US (26.1%), Polymarket (26.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Patriots a 26% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04NEBUF-NE | direct contract | 25.0¢ | 26.0¢ | 25.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ne-buf-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 26.0¢ | 26.3¢ | 26.12¢ | displayed price | fresh · 11s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xa4e8985378f0ce110f8316ac41e3004e2f9db4e4963d7e98cd851df322a28f8d | direct contract | 26.0¢ | 27.0¢ | 26.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 25s old | Contract ↗ |
Buffalo Bills beat the Patriots
74%The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win their Week 4 game (NE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (73.5%), Polymarket US (73.9%), Polymarket (73.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bills a 74% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04NEBUF-BUF | direct contract | 73.0¢ | 74.0¢ | 73.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ne-buf-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 73.8¢ | 74.0¢ | 73.88¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 11s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xa4e8985378f0ce110f8316ac41e3004e2f9db4e4963d7e98cd851df322a28f8d | direct contract | 73.0¢ | 74.0¢ | 73.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 25s old | Contract ↗ |
New York Jets beat the Bears
36%The market-implied chance the New York Jets win their Week 4 game (NYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket US (36.4%), Polymarket (36.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jets a 36% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04NYJCHI-NYJ | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-nyj-chi-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 36.3¢ | 36.5¢ | 36.38¢ | displayed price | fresh · 19s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xf46d979c9e93a315674f077e772788e1a8912ab7069d54c248d49c3810f80e0c | direct contract | 36.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 36.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 44s old | Contract ↗ |
Chicago Bears beat the Jets
64%The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win their Week 4 game (NYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (63.5%), Polymarket US (63.6%), Polymarket (63.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bears a 64% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04NYJCHI-CHI | direct contract | 63.0¢ | 64.0¢ | 63.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-nyj-chi-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 63.5¢ | 63.7¢ | 63.62¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 19s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xf46d979c9e93a315674f077e772788e1a8912ab7069d54c248d49c3810f80e0c | direct contract | 63.0¢ | 64.0¢ | 63.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 44s old | Contract ↗ |
Tennessee Titans beat the Ravens
15%The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win their Week 4 game (TEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket US (14.6%), Polymarket (14.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Titans a 15% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04TENBAL-TEN | direct contract | 14.0¢ | 15.0¢ | 14.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 8s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ten-bal-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 14.5¢ | 14.8¢ | 14.62¢ | displayed price | fresh · 9s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x371b212c6f2a75fb4ae3a9a11dd20d2b0fb46dc1302043b8e48e5ab4e3c20bd5 | direct contract | 14.0¢ | 15.0¢ | 14.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 55s old | Contract ↗ |
Miami Dolphins beat the Vikings
17%The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win their Week 4 game (MIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (17.5%), Polymarket US (17.1%), Polymarket (17.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dolphins a 17% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04MIAMIN-MIA | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 17.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 28s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-mia-min-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 17.3¢ | 17.13¢ | displayed price | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x4bd4aee3295388425ac107648cecde754160a24da43701d8f4641a3232117263 | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 17.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 111s old | Contract ↗ |
Minnesota Vikings beat the Dolphins
83%The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win their Week 4 game (MIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (82.5%), Polymarket US (82.9%), Polymarket (82.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Vikings a 83% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04MIAMIN-MIN | direct contract | 82.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 82.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 26s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-mia-min-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 82.8¢ | 83.0¢ | 82.87¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x4bd4aee3295388425ac107648cecde754160a24da43701d8f4641a3232117263 | direct contract | 82.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 82.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 111s old | Contract ↗ |
Denver Broncos beat the 49ers
42%The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win their Week 4 game (DEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket US (42.9%), Polymarket (41.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Broncos a 42% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DENSF-DEN | direct contract | 41.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 41.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 6s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-den-sf-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 42.8¢ | 43.0¢ | 42.87¢ | displayed price | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x372cb2824b340e5519120544e7b15a574b77680c396e82bd7710260daa380a32 | direct contract | 41.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 41.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 30s old | Contract ↗ |
San Francisco 49ers beat the Broncos
58%The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win their Week 4 game (DEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (57.5%), Polymarket US (57.1%), Polymarket (58.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the 49ers a 58% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DENSF-SF | direct contract | 57.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 57.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 8s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-den-sf-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 57.0¢ | 57.3¢ | 57.13¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x372cb2824b340e5519120544e7b15a574b77680c396e82bd7710260daa380a32 | direct contract | 58.0¢ | 59.0¢ | 58.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 30s old | Contract ↗ |
Kansas City Chiefs beat the Raiders
67%The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win their Week 4 game (KC at LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (66.5%), Polymarket US (66.9%), Polymarket (66.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chiefs a 67% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04KCLV-KC | direct contract | 66.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 66.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-kc-lv-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 66.8¢ | 67.0¢ | 66.87¢ | displayed price | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe60540dd8b6e4e1aa38e5a30ef976d8f54b37084477cb1ea447deadf52297480 | direct contract | 66.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 66.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 19s old | Contract ↗ |
Las Vegas Raiders beat the Chiefs
33%The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win their Week 4 game (KC at LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (33.5%), Polymarket US (33.1%), Polymarket (33.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Raiders a 33% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04KCLV-LV | direct contract | 33.0¢ | 34.0¢ | 33.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-kc-lv-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 33.0¢ | 33.3¢ | 33.13¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 4s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe60540dd8b6e4e1aa38e5a30ef976d8f54b37084477cb1ea447deadf52297480 | direct contract | 33.0¢ | 34.0¢ | 33.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 19s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles Chargers beat the Seahawks
24%The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win their Week 4 game (LAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (24.5%), Polymarket US (24.4%), Polymarket (24.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chargers a 24% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04LACSEA-LAC | direct contract | 24.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 24.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-lac-sea-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 24.3¢ | 24.5¢ | 24.37¢ | displayed price | fresh · 11s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe118f91dcdec822cf1d8b063c382f935fb742525ae495d0030de99d94235bd12 | direct contract | 24.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 24.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 9s old | Contract ↗ |
Seattle Seahawks beat the Chargers
76%The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win their Week 4 game (LAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (75.5%), Polymarket US (75.6%), Polymarket (75.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seahawks a 76% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04LACSEA-SEA | direct contract | 75.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 75.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-lac-sea-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 75.5¢ | 75.8¢ | 75.63¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 11s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe118f91dcdec822cf1d8b063c382f935fb742525ae495d0030de99d94235bd12 | direct contract | 75.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 75.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 9s old | Contract ↗ |
Detroit Lions beat the Panthers
65%The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win their Week 4 game (DET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (64.5%), Polymarket US (64.9%), Polymarket (64.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Lions a 65% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DETCAR-DET | direct contract | 64.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 64.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 8s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-det-car-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 64.8¢ | 65.0¢ | 64.87¢ | displayed price | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe3a64c1539a79d7bb6544bd29bbf441f2e139113a5899ac69b8d0ebd813fab7e | direct contract | 64.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 64.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 19s old | Contract ↗ |
Carolina Panthers beat the Lions
35%The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win their Week 4 game (DET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket US (35.1%), Polymarket (35.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Panthers a 35% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DETCAR-CAR | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-det-car-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 35.3¢ | 35.13¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe3a64c1539a79d7bb6544bd29bbf441f2e139113a5899ac69b8d0ebd813fab7e | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 19s old | Contract ↗ |
Indianapolis Colts beat the Commanders
65%The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win their Week 4 game (IND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30am ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (64.5%), Polymarket US (64.6%), Polymarket (64.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Colts a 65% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS-IND | direct contract | 64.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 64.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ind-was-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 64.5¢ | 64.8¢ | 64.62¢ | displayed price | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x0dc7d4a71a89164e7b02e2cb34911d5365895444c9da507436993ea47a6b06d3 | direct contract | 64.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 64.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 28s old | Contract ↗ |
Washington Commanders beat the Colts
35%The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win their Week 4 game (IND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30am ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket US (35.4%), Polymarket (35.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Commanders a 35% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS-WAS | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 0s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ind-was-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 35.3¢ | 35.5¢ | 35.38¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 3s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x0dc7d4a71a89164e7b02e2cb34911d5365895444c9da507436993ea47a6b06d3 | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 28s old | Contract ↗ |
Atlanta Falcons beat the Saints
46%The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win their Week 4 game (ATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (46.5%), Polymarket US (46.1%), Polymarket (46.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Falcons a 46% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT05ATLNO-ATL | direct contract | 46.0¢ | 47.0¢ | 46.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 14s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-atl-no-2026-10-05 | direct contract | 46.0¢ | 46.3¢ | 46.13¢ | displayed price | fresh · 65s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x0821f464f7a3e8cde824ad5b971008110484cbf9ea28883d936589ed22bc621a | direct contract | 46.0¢ | 47.0¢ | 46.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 127s old | Contract ↗ |
New Orleans Saints beat the Falcons
54%The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win their Week 4 game (ATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (54.5%), Polymarket US (53.9%), Polymarket (53.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Saints a 54% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT05ATLNO-NO | direct contract | 54.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 54.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-atl-no-2026-10-05 | direct contract | 53.8¢ | 54.0¢ | 53.87¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 65s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x0821f464f7a3e8cde824ad5b971008110484cbf9ea28883d936589ed22bc621a | direct contract | 53.0¢ | 54.0¢ | 53.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 127s old | Contract ↗ |