The snapshot from Oct 4, 2:07 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/nfl/snapshot/2026-10-04T1456/.
Permanent snapshot · never updated
NFLEvery figure as of Oct 4, 2:56 PM ET
A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records
Buffalo Bills: AFC champion
22%The market-implied chance that Buffalo Bills is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (22.0%), Polymarket (22.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Buffalo Bills a 22% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BUF | direct contract | 23.0¢ | 22.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 255s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x1448087be8edc764ad64ee2fa548936c272b191db62f46a60c1f4869ba9492fc | direct contract | 22.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Baltimore Ravens: AFC champion
15%The market-implied chance that Baltimore Ravens is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%), Polymarket (14.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Baltimore Ravens a 15% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BAL | direct contract | 16.0¢ | 15.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 222s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xf56c3543401052711ed407ec692c414e3ccde973a1195cf7274f71d1981c9242 | direct contract | 14.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Kansas City Chiefs: AFC champion
15%The market-implied chance that Kansas City Chiefs is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (15.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kansas City Chiefs a 15% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-KC | direct contract | 15.0¢ | 14.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 274s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x983223b53e2dc149079e8919efa1a85f4f2cefe5723e2cdd25d962a122f4f9e3 | direct contract | 15.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Cincinnati Bengals: AFC champion
9%The market-implied chance that Cincinnati Bengals is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (8.9%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cincinnati Bengals a 9% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-CIN | direct contract | 10.0¢ | 9.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 401s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x893eb655d409b75108367f2f8c6196a1d48f7e0fdd490e310287df544873ecc0 | direct contract | 8.90¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Jacksonville Jaguars: AFC champion
9%The market-implied chance that Jacksonville Jaguars is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacksonville Jaguars a 9% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-JAC | direct contract | 10.0¢ | 9.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 654s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xf5605b5aa5012ca1d3b51231ae9cb8a77de5a346ff00809be44612f95d68e476 | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Denver Broncos: AFC champion
8%The market-implied chance that Denver Broncos is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denver Broncos a 8% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-DEN | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1610s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x9cc02d4842fced0040028510696cc52b2bb38936a12fe5fabc76d49859dc272c | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Houston Texans: AFC champion
5%The market-implied chance that Houston Texans is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (4.3%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Houston Texans a 5% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-HOU | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 333s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x86f097adec2b38cbd44f02d1476a20b26a4ba82d00ced50944126b6096f7950b | direct contract | 4.30¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
New England Patriots: AFC champion
5%The market-implied chance that New England Patriots is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New England Patriots a 5% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-NE | direct contract | 5.0¢ | 4.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 3014s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x13ef35d4bf77d5e1cb891b15fde4af75a2f9ed8044b898ec9596b1515afbf06a | direct contract | 5.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles Rams: NFC champion
18%The market-implied chance that Los Angeles Rams is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%), Polymarket (18.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles Rams a 18% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-LAR | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 16.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 224s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd8e7df41df8b81692f2b6339d18cc16bfac611113595a85ea8f111c1bccc3662 | direct contract | 18.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
San Francisco 49ers: NFC champion
16%The market-implied chance that San Francisco 49ers is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%), Polymarket (16.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give San Francisco 49ers a 16% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-SF | direct contract | 16.0¢ | 15.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 191s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x59925ff5a84e6eaebd1ed1c6dd776ed27264fd9c52ba99c7020c630f3f720f75 | direct contract | 16.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Seattle Seahawks: NFC champion
14%The market-implied chance that Seattle Seahawks is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (13.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Seattle Seahawks a 14% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-SEA | direct contract | 15.0¢ | 14.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 304s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x51e241e5cdc5cd2f6ff8fa1bd444cd4751a35f1097ac3fa97711479795ae264c | direct contract | 13.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Philadelphia Eagles: NFC champion
9%The market-implied chance that Philadelphia Eagles is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.0%), Polymarket (8.6%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Philadelphia Eagles a 9% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-PHI | direct contract | 11.0¢ | 10.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 993s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xa41cccfd96fbc0e1e75cf9459e59bbb766e845bfd4df851d63a1897ca024c078 | direct contract | 8.65¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Minnesota Vikings: NFC champion
8%The market-implied chance that Minnesota Vikings is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.1%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Minnesota Vikings a 8% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-MIN | direct contract | 9.0¢ | 8.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 356s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x7bec3361c613929e115c6abd4877a98da108559e9c58443f073ba6d9205e7617 | direct contract | 7.10¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Chicago Bears: NFC champion
8%The market-implied chance that Chicago Bears is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chicago Bears a 8% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-CHI | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 3490s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x40c2fd0594fdf433c863963c8f29b3c855c446b24d76ccc5e6336fcfc14feab4 | direct contract | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Detroit Lions: NFC champion
7%The market-implied chance that Detroit Lions is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (5.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Detroit Lions a 7% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-DET | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2272s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x24ab2403cb580e7086cd3a387ff03a275146da35c4d7aec27a1aeb4a1b38d794 | direct contract | 5.80¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Dallas Cowboys: NFC champion
5%The market-implied chance that Dallas Cowboys is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.0%), Polymarket (4.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dallas Cowboys a 5% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-DAL | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 634s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x9e54e526688bba2a22c6092cb9f1cd3aa2727f190fcd4362837d1dc8e2865c7e | direct contract | 4.75¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1366s old | Contract ↗ |
Josh Allen: MVP
25%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Josh Allen is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (24.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Josh Allen a 25% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-JALL | direct contract | 27.0¢ | 24.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 237s old | Contract ↗ |
Brock Purdy: MVP
19%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Brock Purdy is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (18.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Brock Purdy a 19% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-BPUR | direct contract | 19.0¢ | 18.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 355s old | Contract ↗ |
Lamar Jackson: MVP
11%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Lamar Jackson is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Lamar Jackson a 11% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-LJAC | direct contract | 12.0¢ | 11.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 333s old | Contract ↗ |
Patrick Mahomes: MVP
8%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Patrick Mahomes is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Patrick Mahomes a 8% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-PMAH | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 356s old | Contract ↗ |
Joe Burrow: MVP
6%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Joe Burrow is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Joe Burrow a 6% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-JBUR | direct contract | 7.0¢ | 6.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 274s old | Contract ↗ |
Trevor Lawrence: MVP
5%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Trevor Lawrence is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Trevor Lawrence a 5% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-TLAR | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 231s old | Contract ↗ |
Jahmyr Gibbs: MVP
3%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Jahmyr Gibbs is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jahmyr Gibbs a 3% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-JGIB | direct contract | 3.0¢ | 2.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 333s old | Contract ↗ |
Matthew Stafford: MVP
3%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Matthew Stafford is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Matthew Stafford a 3% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLMVP-27-MSTA | direct contract | 3.0¢ | 2.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 237s old | Contract ↗ |
Jahmyr Gibbs: Offensive Player of the Year
30%The market-implied chance that Jahmyr Gibbs is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (30.5%), Polymarket (29.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jahmyr Gibbs a 30% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-JGIB | direct contract | 31.0¢ | 30.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 231s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xcce0f002915a2d9201d20dbbc4fa31e31fa5807fe5de0141f26a3749b05b2781 | direct contract | 29.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Offensive Player of the Year
21%The market-implied chance that Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (18.5%), Polymarket (23.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jaxon Smith-Njigba a 21% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-JSMI | direct contract | 23.0¢ | 18.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 656s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd7cffbb2e632275f07a1a9d7fd66b7882820dcaca38bcb0b2d49229300049351 | direct contract | 23.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Bijan Robinson: Offensive Player of the Year
11%The market-implied chance that Bijan Robinson is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.0%), Polymarket (12.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Bijan Robinson a 11% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-BROB | direct contract | 10.0¢ | 9.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 902s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x63038e548cf505c496ac5eefc480e1b0de3474bce04ef11f2709bca7215f1a18 | direct contract | 12.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Kenneth Walker: Offensive Player of the Year
6%The market-implied chance that Kenneth Walker is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.0%), Polymarket (3.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kenneth Walker a 6% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-KWALKER9 | direct contract | 10.0¢ | 8.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2947s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x5fa97ffbcf9a74c2129f2e76b30cf5adb8ee530f8e992e81efbd6bee28a8e0a9 | direct contract | 3.55¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Chris Olave: Offensive Player of the Year
6%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Chris Olave is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chris Olave a 6% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-COLAVE12 | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2947s old | Contract ↗ |
Derrick Henry: Offensive Player of the Year
5%The market-implied chance that Derrick Henry is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (3.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Derrick Henry a 5% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-DHEN | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2255s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x2fdf4fc8aa6d1779fbe1fd100d876d64a66a6eee6121b877bbf090fdd4d00fe6 | direct contract | 3.55¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Jonathan Taylor: Offensive Player of the Year
5%The market-implied chance that Jonathan Taylor is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (5.2%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jonathan Taylor a 5% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-JTAY | direct contract | 5.0¢ | 4.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2254s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x0942bcd104cacdf68ef1ff7be79fe73a829d6ffa80b435a7e8e1f7f82e9a6f7d | direct contract | 5.20¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Ja'Marr Chase: Offensive Player of the Year
5%The market-implied chance that Ja'Marr Chase is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (6.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Ja'Marr Chase a 5% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOPOTY-27-JCHA | direct contract | 4.0¢ | 3.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 422s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x300e4085e91a58dc2f2007a3692ec7ab9de91bfce472e7be45effcfdbc788ff3 | direct contract | 6.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Jeremiyah Love: Offensive Rookie of the Year
41%The market-implied chance that Jeremiyah Love is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (43.0%), Polymarket (38.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jeremiyah Love a 41% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-JLOV | direct contract | 44.0¢ | 43.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1170s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xa54653f4ede768fbea4e54f86825998b73f63b92f67349a147dccbbcca2fbc55 | direct contract | 38.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Denzel Boston: Offensive Rookie of the Year
18%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Denzel Boston is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (18.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denzel Boston a 18% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-DBOS | direct contract | 20.0¢ | 18.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 884s old | Contract ↗ |
Carnell Tate: Offensive Rookie of the Year
7%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Carnell Tate is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Carnell Tate a 7% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-CTAT | direct contract | 7.0¢ | 6.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 962s old | Contract ↗ |
Jalon Daniels: Offensive Rookie of the Year
4%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Jalon Daniels is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jalon Daniels a 4% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-JDANIELS10 | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 4.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 916s old | Contract ↗ |
Fernando Mendoza: Offensive Rookie of the Year
3%Stale
The market-implied chance that Fernando Mendoza is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.2%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Fernando Mendoza a 3% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-FMEN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 4269s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x486e98c9af637da099612a94ff1c26325f1bd50d92d8718b06ab806537af4b62 | direct contract | 3.25¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Kenyon Sadiq: Offensive Rookie of the Year
3%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Kenyon Sadiq is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kenyon Sadiq a 3% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-KSAD | direct contract | 3.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3799s old | Contract ↗ |
KC Concepcion: Offensive Rookie of the Year
3%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that KC Concepcion is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give KC Concepcion a 3% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-KCON | direct contract | 2.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 4040s old | Contract ↗ |
Mike Washington Jr.: Offensive Rookie of the Year
3%Stale
The market-implied chance that Mike Washington Jr. is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.0%), Polymarket (3.1%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Mike Washington Jr. a 3% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLOROTY-27-MWAS | direct contract | 2.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 4297s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xea7619fab4b12756574624024842a71ca19f351d296b39c348b619bd2e18a7e9 | direct contract | 3.10¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Arvell Reese: Defensive Rookie of the Year
36%The market-implied chance that Arvell Reese is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (33.0%), Polymarket (39.1%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Arvell Reese a 36% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-AREE | direct contract | 36.0¢ | 33.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 231s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xab9d90fd3faa3e5dabd576402752ea69273cec70ed0d710bf8057d202999b55f | direct contract | 39.10¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Jacob Rodriguez: Defensive Rookie of the Year
29%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Jacob Rodriguez is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (29.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacob Rodriguez a 29% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-JROD | direct contract | 30.0¢ | 29.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 371s old | Contract ↗ |
Sonny Styles: Defensive Rookie of the Year
16%The market-implied chance that Sonny Styles is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.0%), Polymarket (16.3%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Sonny Styles a 16% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-SSTY | direct contract | 18.0¢ | 16.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 744s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x119069553cfa70c0bc61f9a6e168645b1ba9f1b59293403cb891e1cd2333f61e | direct contract | 16.30¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
David Bailey: Defensive Rookie of the Year
10%The market-implied chance that David Bailey is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.0%), Polymarket (10.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give David Bailey a 10% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-DBAI | direct contract | 14.0¢ | 10.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 375s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x24c70c3f981e2b59c677fbb64cb6e210496bc9375ba77e9f046613fa2bd2e687 | direct contract | 10.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Dillon Thieneman: Defensive Rookie of the Year
6%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Dillon Thieneman is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dillon Thieneman a 6% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-DTHI | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 5.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1635s old | Contract ↗ |
Caleb Downs: Defensive Rookie of the Year
8%The market-implied chance that Caleb Downs is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.0%), Polymarket (10.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Caleb Downs a 8% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-CDOW | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 387s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x36c1f1a8faba783cf1f8609aa6c9c96b676a76ee2ce7e1940133be69267ccb76 | direct contract | 10.45¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Mansoor Delane: Defensive Rookie of the Year
5%The market-implied chance that Mansoor Delane is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (5.6%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Mansoor Delane a 5% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLDROTY-27-MDEL | direct contract | 5.0¢ | 4.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1635s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd6ea0a89e4785e9fb5bc5e4632affc735f7d47b13b3526d3f3f664e022fc1b6d | direct contract | 5.60¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Malachi Lawrence: Defensive Rookie of the Year
4%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Malachi Lawrence is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Polymarket (3.9%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Malachi Lawrence a 4% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 0xd11ac1f0784d2ebd33ee876e3e899d10c89687db8fd69a4d6632a7c6e97464c3 | direct contract | 3.90¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Ben Johnson: Coach of the Year
14%The market-implied chance that Ben Johnson is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%), Polymarket (12.7%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Ben Johnson a 14% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-BJOH | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 15.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 245s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x2a10e5a5f125442ad310aa09307f17b3cb2b124b2f9975f504d765ea7e547793 | direct contract | 12.65¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Klint Kubiak: Coach of the Year
16%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Klint Kubiak is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Klint Kubiak a 16% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-KKUB | direct contract | 16.0¢ | 15.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 3078s old | Contract ↗ |
Todd Monken: Coach of the Year
15%Single venue
The market-implied chance that Todd Monken is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Todd Monken a 15% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-TMON | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 15.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 3128s old | Contract ↗ |
Kellen Moore: Coach of the Year
8%The market-implied chance that Kellen Moore is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.0%), Polymarket (9.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kellen Moore a 8% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-KMOO | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 338s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x6f66e567a86e01e369c59beb1cd471296e131f8783026e1a1fc43c749409c8c5 | direct contract | 9.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Joe Brady: Coach of the Year
6%The market-implied chance that Joe Brady is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (5.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Joe Brady a 6% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-JBRA | direct contract | 7.0¢ | 6.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 191s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x49aa410c407c3805515a1d5479f4a3d01f3e05388bc786329c7d08492cd3acbc | direct contract | 5.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
John Harbaugh: Coach of the Year
6%The market-implied chance that John Harbaugh is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (5.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give John Harbaugh a 6% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-JOHAR | direct contract | 7.0¢ | 6.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 957s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xf1ba696849e70bdec038aff7ad41017f868e5548ff5ac0956d7b654adaa34a17 | direct contract | 4.95¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Kyle Shanahan: Coach of the Year
6%Single venueStale
The market-implied chance that Kyle Shanahan is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kyle Shanahan a 6% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-KSHA | direct contract | 5.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3775s old | Contract ↗ |
Jesse Minter: Coach of the Year
6%The market-implied chance that Jesse Minter is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (7.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jesse Minter a 6% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLCOTY-27-JMIN | direct contract | 5.0¢ | 4.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 948s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xc5d45c82a7a5e67ecbe0165f67a3c6eb6b3c6b541288615ea4f189f5ea4fc40b | direct contract | 7.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 313s old | Contract ↗ |
Buffalo: AFC East winner
77%The market-implied chance that Buffalo is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (76.5%), Polymarket (78.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Buffalo a 77% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCEAST-27-BUF | direct contract | 77.0¢ | 76.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1703s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x4a2f2a0b4d381c7db4154b10f083fb6143de7b0051757623c6e92b74dc57432e | direct contract | 78.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
New England: AFC East winner
17%The market-implied chance that New England is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%), Polymarket (17.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New England a 17% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCEAST-27-NE | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 15.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 240s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x5b8385a6518042266e4310cb74068a57edd8c1a0d52fe5d200ef4ccbc26740fe | direct contract | 17.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
New York J: AFC East winner
4%Stale
The market-implied chance that New York J is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.0%), Polymarket (2.6%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New York J a 4% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCEAST-27-NYJ | direct contract | 5.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 3616s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xe569003c7e95dcfeaef4763596b6478dd95cb44d3ea12f73db4c2c63f9349556 | direct contract | 2.60¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Miami: AFC East winner
1%Stale
The market-implied chance that Miami is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (1.1%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Miami a 1% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCEAST-27-MIA | direct contract | 1.00¢ | displayed price | stale · 6949s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xcff34e73b6fc78da3fe3dffc1cacc0af35835cb9c3cae220c9575ba132462e33 | direct contract | 1.15¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Baltimore: AFC North winner
57%The market-implied chance that Baltimore is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (58.5%), Polymarket (54.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Baltimore a 57% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-BAL | direct contract | 59.0¢ | 58.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 255s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x74472d82bf55db42f9a30e354f92f86d09d39b3cd6b368e3f17c69ebe3d54e44 | direct contract | 54.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Cincinnati: AFC North winner
30%The market-implied chance that Cincinnati is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (30.5%), Polymarket (30.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cincinnati a 30% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-CIN | direct contract | 31.0¢ | 30.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 243s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x779a70f850eaf259358095f62f7fe4ec1563ae23e33af84c92a0599c3f564e0d | direct contract | 30.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Cleveland: AFC North winner
7%The market-implied chance that Cleveland is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.0%), Polymarket (7.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cleveland a 7% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-CLE | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 243s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x823b60dbfd245942833931cc291d2290c802f549fd3b55ab2102e9ad23413e16 | direct contract | 7.05¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Pittsburgh: AFC North winner
7%The market-implied chance that Pittsburgh is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Pittsburgh a 7% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCNORTH-27-PIT | direct contract | 6.0¢ | 5.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 241s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd343ac8afb661672dceda67537546281b2e3f76db481625dfdd7b9be26dc719b | direct contract | 8.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Jacksonville: AFC South winner
52%The market-implied chance that Jacksonville is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (52.0%), Polymarket (51.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacksonville a 52% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-JAC | direct contract | 53.0¢ | 52.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1610s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x523467bf87aa77871560e2fedec3cca33a0ade81d1dadf6e93cf50bbc7a432a5 | direct contract | 54.0¢ | 51.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 505s old | Contract ↗ |
Indianapolis: AFC South winner
23%The market-implied chance that Indianapolis is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (24.0%), Polymarket (22.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Indianapolis a 23% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-IND | direct contract | 25.0¢ | 24.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1116s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x54af4c40b9f56eb937115a08e81e6d1edfa51cd4b4780108cccdb94a9ec4c3b5 | direct contract | 22.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Houston: AFC South winner
22%The market-implied chance that Houston is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (22.5%), Polymarket (20.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Houston a 22% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-HOU | direct contract | 23.0¢ | 22.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1610s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x51e2f604323d55910ce3db196d0349de1b3457516f4fb4c845db40127222a48f | direct contract | 20.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Tennessee: AFC South winner
2%The market-implied chance that Tennessee is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (2.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Tennessee a 2% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCSOUTH-27-TEN | direct contract | 2.0¢ | 1.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2819s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x60f9f28cbff2c63b7942217142e010002a71745e0bdbf4dd66feab3158a6852c | direct contract | 2.80¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Kansas City: AFC West winner
55%The market-implied chance that Kansas City is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (53.5%), Polymarket (55.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kansas City a 55% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCWEST-27-KC | direct contract | 54.0¢ | 53.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 2092s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x1e617bcdbf6f79d3d03e505345cd1e2146a9dab1e1c6f941cff145e278d3fe12 | direct contract | 55.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Denver: AFC West winner
30%The market-implied chance that Denver is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (30.5%), Polymarket (28.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denver a 30% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCWEST-27-DEN | direct contract | 31.0¢ | 30.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1506s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xc157dcb7324b6956deb3e2275ea2c694d850abeabba1db750a7ec1d12a27895b | direct contract | 28.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Las Vegas: AFC West winner
12%The market-implied chance that Las Vegas is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (12.7%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Las Vegas a 12% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LV | direct contract | 11.0¢ | 10.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 391s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x5c1a190e1b2081ded534136e7dfaef58e80d28f559d4215b4225759bc86cae65 | direct contract | 12.65¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles C: AFC West winner
3%Stale
The market-implied chance that Los Angeles C is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (2.1%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles C a 3% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LAC | direct contract | 3.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 3877s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0x9a240a568047146e9e67f8fdaa7991c4b5814dddffed33e83e7a9f8aef5a5245 | direct contract | 2.15¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Philadelphia: NFC East winner
55%The market-implied chance that Philadelphia is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (57.0%), Polymarket (52.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Philadelphia a 55% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCEAST-27-PHI | direct contract | 58.0¢ | 57.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 255s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x092217c37b6ae23a7d4aaaa277aa5570adf3043db6e8be4bc348e70b33ba816e | direct contract | 52.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Dallas: NFC East winner
24%The market-implied chance that Dallas is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (25.5%), Polymarket (21.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dallas a 24% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCEAST-27-DAL | direct contract | 26.0¢ | 25.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 244s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xf137b480d9969c45716c067f5702503fce14fda10caa5f0b28919eb6543d9393 | direct contract | 21.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
New York G: NFC East winner
10%The market-implied chance that New York G is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (10.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New York G a 10% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCEAST-27-NYG | direct contract | 10.0¢ | 9.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 234s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xa82cb14f2a30bb85faf7cfefde5e2792a64eef16fa5018370cf6b92aaf13ee9a | direct contract | 10.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Washington: NFC East winner
8%The market-implied chance that Washington is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (8.7%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Washington a 8% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCEAST-27-WAS | direct contract | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 234s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xe3d32e7b18873a33ba23d9ef9d07e2dbf188c5e829096a724e9dc8f5acb3fc91 | direct contract | 8.70¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Detroit: NFC North winner
36%The market-implied chance that Detroit is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (38.5%), Polymarket (33.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Detroit a 36% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-DET | direct contract | 39.0¢ | 38.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x4f9a05553110a4b9836ebbd0302bee725394f8fb14be8574b099280ffbcbe0cb | direct contract | 33.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Minnesota: NFC North winner
37%The market-implied chance that Minnesota is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket (37.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Minnesota a 37% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-MIN | direct contract | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 642s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd90ebec0082a990159940d8927f52de8fb5acd269f31a78f1daed5e0b0b707cf | direct contract | 37.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Chicago: NFC North winner
20%The market-implied chance that Chicago is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (18.5%), Polymarket (21.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chicago a 20% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-CHI | direct contract | 19.0¢ | 18.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 386s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x27f0a7e03f8e4afc417f74ed532c6216c431ecec27b2a136b5b894007dd46dc6 | direct contract | 21.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Green Bay: NFC North winner
7%The market-implied chance that Green Bay is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.0%), Polymarket (6.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Green Bay a 7% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCNORTH-27-GB | direct contract | 9.0¢ | 8.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 182s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xa8deedb9c5becf96d94fbcfc2e1697e8fdc5cf8785b0a145e916483a79b98b45 | direct contract | 6.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
New Orleans: NFC South winner
40%The market-implied chance that New Orleans is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (40.5%), Polymarket (39.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New Orleans a 40% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-NO | direct contract | 41.0¢ | 40.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 886s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xd6118440343968bb7dba587482a24e77308f438df8f76077363249248e240ef5 | direct contract | 39.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Carolina: NFC South winner
21%The market-implied chance that Carolina is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket (20.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Carolina a 21% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-CAR | direct contract | 22.0¢ | 21.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 704s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x6a9f85c9a5294b7a0cb591f2f352d8c0b321c33877ffe3e1c060922e94ee84fb | direct contract | 20.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Atlanta: NFC South winner
21%The market-implied chance that Atlanta is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.0%), Polymarket (20.2%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Atlanta a 21% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-ATL | direct contract | 22.0¢ | 21.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 414s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xc9cd55df7aaab8ee01938e55d2062c0805399fc8d9f5315c6a35df462dbba6d6 | direct contract | 20.25¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Tampa Bay: NFC South winner
15%The market-implied chance that Tampa Bay is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%), Polymarket (14.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Tampa Bay a 15% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-TB | direct contract | 16.0¢ | 15.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 276s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x2878996ec4e5f5ab35ff934937f1a74186ff1e351d9734b9e70bc6b9d00107eb | direct contract | 14.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
San Francisco: NFC West winner
42%The market-implied chance that San Francisco is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (41.0%), Polymarket (42.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give San Francisco a 42% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCWEST-27-SF | direct contract | 42.0¢ | 41.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1116s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x22b6c3c4253d8988c6b181b0b1ea2bf06c128a01f599116d0b8b3fe435a39fcb | direct contract | 44.0¢ | 42.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 203s old | Contract ↗ |
Seattle: NFC West winner
32%Stale
The market-implied chance that Seattle is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (31.5%), Polymarket (31.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Seattle a 32% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCWEST-27-SEA | direct contract | 31.50¢ | displayed price | stale · 6802s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | 0xcc9f029bbc572cbd3ef5dcb2befcc25ee7cbd38ee3c6af7f78fbeb9bafbffe64 | direct contract | 31.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles R: NFC West winner
24%The market-implied chance that Los Angeles R is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (26.0%), Polymarket (22.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles R a 24% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCWEST-27-LAR | direct contract | 27.0¢ | 26.00¢ | displayed price | fresh · 243s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0x1436bea9d6f5891a35f2dfc1c73a3102ca91c7b464b4fd4e2a937956f13e43f8 | direct contract | 22.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Arizona: NFC West winner
1%The market-implied chance that Arizona is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 2:56 PM ET.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Arizona a 1% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLNFCWEST-27-ARI | direct contract | 2.0¢ | 1.50¢ | displayed price | fresh · 243s old | Contract ↗ | |
| Polymarket | 0xdf1627c20d47787a22d1f848e1121454645794f920ad1ac4190e2586d92442a5 | direct contract | 1.40¢ | displayed price | fresh · 1321s old | Contract ↗ |
Baltimore Ravens beat the Titans
99%The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win their Week 4 game (TEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (98.5%), Polymarket US (98.4%), Polymarket (98.9%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Ravens a 99% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04TENBAL-BAL | direct contract | 98.0¢ | 99.0¢ | 98.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ten-bal-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 98.3¢ | 98.5¢ | 98.37¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x371b212c6f2a75fb4ae3a9a11dd20d2b0fb46dc1302043b8e48e5ab4e3c20bd5 | direct contract | 98.7¢ | 99.0¢ | 98.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI
13%Last trade
The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +669, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (12.5%) and Polymarket (13.50%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.
Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 13% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-BUF | direct contract | 12.50¢ | last trade | fresh · 197s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 13.0¢ | 14.0¢ | 13.50¢ | last trade | fresh · 214s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-04 (131 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-29 | 12.5% |
Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Browns
LostWhether the Pittsburgh Steelers won their Week 4 game (PIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15pm ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.
Kalshi settled this contract No on Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET: the Browns won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.
Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Steelers lost to the Browns in Week 4, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT01PITCLE-PIT | direct contract | settlement, Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET | settled No | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-pit-cle-2026-10-01 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 1, 11:47 PM ET | settled No | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket | 0x8a9f8be5bef9bc8d36c7895707a4f2561d49de9f5467b6675ba206196e8bd2e2 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 2, 12:02 AM ET | settled No | Contract ↗ |
Cleveland Browns beat the Steelers
WonWhether the Cleveland Browns won their Week 4 game (PIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15pm ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.
Kalshi settled this contract Yes on Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET: the Browns won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.
Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Browns beat the Steelers in Week 4, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT01PITCLE-CLE | direct contract | settlement, Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET | settled Yes | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-pit-cle-2026-10-01 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 1, 11:47 PM ET | settled Yes | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket | 0x8a9f8be5bef9bc8d36c7895707a4f2561d49de9f5467b6675ba206196e8bd2e2 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 2, 12:02 AM ET | settled Yes | Contract ↗ |
Arizona Cardinals beat the Giants
51%The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win their Week 4 game (ARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (55.5%), Polymarket US (55.6%), Polymarket (40.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cardinals a 51% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04ARINYG-ARI | direct contract | 55.0¢ | 56.0¢ | 55.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ari-nyg-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 55.5¢ | 55.8¢ | 55.63¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x96b3caf87aeaae3cf5fe87e2faaf72c56ab4161d626a1898df469c0b02a9de62 | direct contract | 40.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 40.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
New York Giants beat the Cardinals
49%The market-implied chance the New York Giants win their Week 4 game (ARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (43.5%), Polymarket US (44.4%), Polymarket (59.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Giants a 49% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04ARINYG-NYG | direct contract | 43.0¢ | 44.0¢ | 43.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ari-nyg-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 44.3¢ | 44.5¢ | 44.37¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x96b3caf87aeaae3cf5fe87e2faaf72c56ab4161d626a1898df469c0b02a9de62 | direct contract | 59.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 59.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
Dallas Cowboys beat the Texans
26%The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win their Week 4 game (DAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket US (21.6%), Polymarket (33.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cowboys a 26% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DALHOU-DAL | direct contract | 21.0¢ | 22.0¢ | 21.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-dal-hou-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 21.5¢ | 21.8¢ | 21.62¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x3a56072b26b0d190234a994eff5024320b4af35fea7e50b8aa36b92e1fca83de | direct contract | 33.0¢ | 34.0¢ | 33.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 205s old | Contract ↗ |
Houston Texans beat the Cowboys
74%The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win their Week 4 game (DAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (77.5%), Polymarket US (78.4%), Polymarket (66.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Texans a 74% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DALHOU-HOU | direct contract | 77.0¢ | 78.0¢ | 77.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-dal-hou-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 78.3¢ | 78.5¢ | 78.38¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x3a56072b26b0d190234a994eff5024320b4af35fea7e50b8aa36b92e1fca83de | direct contract | 66.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 66.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 205s old | Contract ↗ |
Green Bay Packers beat the Buccaneers
87%The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win their Week 4 game (GB at TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (90.5%), Polymarket US (89.4%), Polymarket (82.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Packers a 87% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04GBTB-GB | direct contract | 90.0¢ | 91.0¢ | 90.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-gb-tb-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 89.3¢ | 89.5¢ | 89.38¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x7bac333f88898b0be7c34cc49c184f50896d4daf4ab59a4e74a8f0a887db2092 | direct contract | 82.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 82.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Packers
13%The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win their Week 4 game (GB at TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket US (10.6%), Polymarket (17.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buccaneers a 13% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04GBTB-TB | direct contract | 9.0¢ | 10.0¢ | 9.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-gb-tb-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 10.5¢ | 10.8¢ | 10.62¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x7bac333f88898b0be7c34cc49c184f50896d4daf4ab59a4e74a8f0a887db2092 | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 17.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Bengals
71%The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win their Week 4 game (JAC at CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (64.5%), Polymarket (76.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jaguars a 71% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04JACCIN-JAC | direct contract | 64.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 64.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x81e170222731d446af3abee9802708a8d8a5f8a064c0c807ae88c6ed0b43f96f | direct contract | 76.0¢ | 77.0¢ | 76.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 191s old | Contract ↗ |
Cincinnati Bengals beat the Jaguars
30%The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win their Week 4 game (JAC at CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket (23.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bengals a 30% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04JACCIN-CIN | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x81e170222731d446af3abee9802708a8d8a5f8a064c0c807ae88c6ed0b43f96f | direct contract | 23.0¢ | 24.0¢ | 23.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 191s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles Rams beat the Eagles
34%The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win their Week 4 game (LAR at PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (32.5%), Polymarket US (34.6%), Polymarket (33.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Rams a 34% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04LARPHI-LAR | direct contract | 32.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 32.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-lar-phi-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 34.5¢ | 34.8¢ | 34.62¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x00175589d9a20da7fc783d639788f42c51d7505c7147f38bfa72fe7223d1cabc | direct contract | 33.0¢ | 34.0¢ | 33.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
Philadelphia Eagles beat the Rams
66%The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win their Week 4 game (LAR at PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (66.5%), Polymarket US (65.4%), Polymarket (66.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Eagles a 66% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04LARPHI-PHI | direct contract | 66.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 66.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-lar-phi-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 65.3¢ | 65.5¢ | 65.38¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x00175589d9a20da7fc783d639788f42c51d7505c7147f38bfa72fe7223d1cabc | direct contract | 66.0¢ | 67.0¢ | 66.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
New England Patriots beat the Bills
33%The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win their Week 4 game (NE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (37.5%), Polymarket US (37.1%), Polymarket (25.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Patriots a 33% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04NEBUF-NE | direct contract | 37.0¢ | 38.0¢ | 37.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ne-buf-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 37.0¢ | 37.3¢ | 37.12¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xa4e8985378f0ce110f8316ac41e3004e2f9db4e4963d7e98cd851df322a28f8d | direct contract | 25.0¢ | 26.0¢ | 25.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 191s old | Contract ↗ |
Buffalo Bills beat the Patriots
67%The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win their Week 4 game (NE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (62.5%), Polymarket US (62.9%), Polymarket (74.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bills a 67% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04NEBUF-BUF | direct contract | 62.0¢ | 63.0¢ | 62.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ne-buf-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 62.7¢ | 63.0¢ | 62.88¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xa4e8985378f0ce110f8316ac41e3004e2f9db4e4963d7e98cd851df322a28f8d | direct contract | 74.0¢ | 75.0¢ | 74.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 191s old | Contract ↗ |
New York Jets beat the Bears
15%The market-implied chance the New York Jets win their Week 4 game (NYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (17.5%), Polymarket US (15.9%), Polymarket (12.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jets a 15% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04NYJCHI-NYJ | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 17.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-nyj-chi-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 15.8¢ | 16.0¢ | 15.88¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xf46d979c9e93a315674f077e772788e1a8912ab7069d54c248d49c3810f80e0c | direct contract | 12.0¢ | 13.0¢ | 12.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 191s old | Contract ↗ |
Chicago Bears beat the Jets
85%The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win their Week 4 game (NYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (82.5%), Polymarket US (84.1%), Polymarket (87.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bears a 85% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04NYJCHI-CHI | direct contract | 82.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 82.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-nyj-chi-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 84.0¢ | 84.3¢ | 84.12¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xf46d979c9e93a315674f077e772788e1a8912ab7069d54c248d49c3810f80e0c | direct contract | 87.0¢ | 88.0¢ | 87.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 191s old | Contract ↗ |
Tennessee Titans beat the Ravens
1%The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win their Week 4 game (TEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket US (1.6%), Polymarket (1.1%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Titans a 1% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04TENBAL-TEN | direct contract | 1.0¢ | 2.0¢ | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ten-bal-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 1.5¢ | 1.8¢ | 1.63¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x371b212c6f2a75fb4ae3a9a11dd20d2b0fb46dc1302043b8e48e5ab4e3c20bd5 | direct contract | 1.0¢ | 1.3¢ | 1.15¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
Miami Dolphins beat the Vikings
17%The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win their Week 4 game (MIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (17.5%), Polymarket US (17.4%), Polymarket (17.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dolphins a 17% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04MIAMIN-MIA | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 17.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-mia-min-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 17.3¢ | 17.5¢ | 17.37¢ | displayed price | fresh · 194s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x4bd4aee3295388425ac107648cecde754160a24da43701d8f4641a3232117263 | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 18.0¢ | 17.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 220s old | Contract ↗ |
Minnesota Vikings beat the Dolphins
83%The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win their Week 4 game (MIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (82.5%), Polymarket US (82.6%), Polymarket (82.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Vikings a 83% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04MIAMIN-MIN | direct contract | 82.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 82.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-mia-min-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 82.5¢ | 82.8¢ | 82.63¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 194s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x4bd4aee3295388425ac107648cecde754160a24da43701d8f4641a3232117263 | direct contract | 82.0¢ | 83.0¢ | 82.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 220s old | Contract ↗ |
Denver Broncos beat the 49ers
41%The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win their Week 4 game (DEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket US (40.6%), Polymarket (40.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Broncos a 41% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DENSF-DEN | direct contract | 41.0¢ | 42.0¢ | 41.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-den-sf-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 40.5¢ | 40.8¢ | 40.62¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x372cb2824b340e5519120544e7b15a574b77680c396e82bd7710260daa380a32 | direct contract | 40.0¢ | 41.0¢ | 40.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 269s old | Contract ↗ |
San Francisco 49ers beat the Broncos
59%The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win their Week 4 game (DEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (59.5%), Polymarket US (59.4%), Polymarket (59.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the 49ers a 59% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DENSF-SF | direct contract | 59.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 59.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-den-sf-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 59.3¢ | 59.5¢ | 59.38¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x372cb2824b340e5519120544e7b15a574b77680c396e82bd7710260daa380a32 | direct contract | 59.0¢ | 60.0¢ | 59.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 269s old | Contract ↗ |
Kansas City Chiefs beat the Raiders
67%The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win their Week 4 game (KC at LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (67.5%), Polymarket US (67.1%), Polymarket (67.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chiefs a 67% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04KCLV-KC | direct contract | 67.0¢ | 68.0¢ | 67.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-kc-lv-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 67.0¢ | 67.3¢ | 67.13¢ | displayed price | fresh · 194s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe60540dd8b6e4e1aa38e5a30ef976d8f54b37084477cb1ea447deadf52297480 | direct contract | 67.0¢ | 68.0¢ | 67.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 193s old | Contract ↗ |
Las Vegas Raiders beat the Chiefs
33%The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win their Week 4 game (KC at LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (32.5%), Polymarket US (32.9%), Polymarket (32.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Raiders a 33% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04KCLV-LV | direct contract | 32.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 32.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-kc-lv-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 32.8¢ | 33.0¢ | 32.87¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 194s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe60540dd8b6e4e1aa38e5a30ef976d8f54b37084477cb1ea447deadf52297480 | direct contract | 32.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 32.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 193s old | Contract ↗ |
Los Angeles Chargers beat the Seahawks
24%The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win their Week 4 game (LAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (24.5%), Polymarket US (24.4%), Polymarket (24.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chargers a 24% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04LACSEA-LAC | direct contract | 24.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 24.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-lac-sea-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 24.3¢ | 24.5¢ | 24.37¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe118f91dcdec822cf1d8b063c382f935fb742525ae495d0030de99d94235bd12 | direct contract | 24.0¢ | 25.0¢ | 24.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 279s old | Contract ↗ |
Seattle Seahawks beat the Chargers
76%The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win their Week 4 game (LAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (75.5%), Polymarket US (75.6%), Polymarket (75.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seahawks a 76% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04LACSEA-SEA | direct contract | 75.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 75.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-lac-sea-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 75.5¢ | 75.8¢ | 75.63¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe118f91dcdec822cf1d8b063c382f935fb742525ae495d0030de99d94235bd12 | direct contract | 75.0¢ | 76.0¢ | 75.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 279s old | Contract ↗ |
Detroit Lions beat the Panthers
65%The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win their Week 4 game (DET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (64.5%), Polymarket US (64.9%), Polymarket (64.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Lions a 65% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DETCAR-DET | direct contract | 64.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 64.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 187s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-det-car-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 64.8¢ | 65.0¢ | 64.87¢ | displayed price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe3a64c1539a79d7bb6544bd29bbf441f2e139113a5899ac69b8d0ebd813fab7e | direct contract | 64.0¢ | 65.0¢ | 64.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
Carolina Panthers beat the Lions
35%The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win their Week 4 game (DET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket US (35.1%), Polymarket (35.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Panthers a 35% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04DETCAR-CAR | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-det-car-2026-10-04 | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 35.3¢ | 35.13¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0xe3a64c1539a79d7bb6544bd29bbf441f2e139113a5899ac69b8d0ebd813fab7e | direct contract | 35.0¢ | 36.0¢ | 35.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 188s old | Contract ↗ |
Indianapolis Colts beat the Commanders
WonWhether the Indianapolis Colts won their Week 4 game (IND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30am ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.
Kalshi settled this contract Yes on Oct 4, 12:45 PM ET: the Colts won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.
Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Colts beat the Commanders in Week 4, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS-IND | direct contract | settlement, Oct 4, 12:45 PM ET | settled Yes | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ind-was-2026-10-04 | direct contract | no price after trading stopped | still listed as open · 1007s old | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket | 0x0dc7d4a71a89164e7b02e2cb34911d5365895444c9da507436993ea47a6b06d3 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 4, 1:12 PM ET | settled Yes | Contract ↗ |
Washington Commanders beat the Colts
LostWhether the Washington Commanders won their Week 4 game (IND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30am ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.
Kalshi settled this contract No on Oct 4, 12:45 PM ET: the Colts won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.
Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Commanders lost to the Colts in Week 4, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT04INDWAS-WAS | direct contract | settlement, Oct 4, 12:45 PM ET | settled No | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-ind-was-2026-10-04 | direct contract | no price after trading stopped | still listed as open · 1007s old | Contract ↗ | |||
| Polymarket | 0x0dc7d4a71a89164e7b02e2cb34911d5365895444c9da507436993ea47a6b06d3 | direct contract | settlement, Oct 4, 1:12 PM ET | settled No | Contract ↗ |
Atlanta Falcons beat the Saints
46%The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win their Week 4 game (ATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (46.5%), Polymarket US (46.1%), Polymarket (46.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Falcons a 46% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT05ATLNO-ATL | direct contract | 46.0¢ | 47.0¢ | 46.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 196s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-atl-no-2026-10-05 | direct contract | 46.0¢ | 46.3¢ | 46.13¢ | displayed price | fresh · 194s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x0821f464f7a3e8cde824ad5b971008110484cbf9ea28883d936589ed22bc621a | direct contract | 46.0¢ | 47.0¢ | 46.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 234s old | Contract ↗ |
New Orleans Saints beat the Falcons
54%The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win their Week 4 game (ATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.
Average of Kalshi (54.5%), Polymarket US (53.9%), Polymarket (53.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.
Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Saints a 54% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNFLGAME-26OCT05ATLNO-NO | direct contract | 54.0¢ | 55.0¢ | 54.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 191s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | aec-nfl-atl-no-2026-10-05 | direct contract | 53.8¢ | 54.0¢ | 53.87¢ | 1 − other side's price | fresh · 194s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | 0x0821f464f7a3e8cde824ad5b971008110484cbf9ea28883d936589ed22bc621a | direct contract | 53.0¢ | 54.0¢ | 53.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 234s old | Contract ↗ |