NFLEvery figure as of Oct 4, 11:37 AM ET

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The market-implied chance that Buffalo Bills is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket (22.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Buffalo Bills a 22% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Baltimore Ravens is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.0%), Polymarket (14.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Baltimore Ravens a 15% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Kansas City Chiefs is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (15.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kansas City Chiefs a 15% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Jacksonville Jaguars is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacksonville Jaguars a 9% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Cincinnati Bengals is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (8.7%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cincinnati Bengals a 9% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Denver Broncos is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denver Broncos a 9% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Houston Texans is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (3.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Houston Texans a 4% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that New England Patriots is the 2026–27 AFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New England Patriots a 5% chance (AFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Los Angeles Rams is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (19.5%), Polymarket (18.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles Rams a 19% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that San Francisco 49ers is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%), Polymarket (16.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give San Francisco 49ers a 16% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Seattle Seahawks is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (13.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Seattle Seahawks a 14% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Chicago Bears is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chicago Bears a 8% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Detroit Lions is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (5.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Detroit Lions a 7% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Minnesota Vikings is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (6.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Minnesota Vikings a 7% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Philadelphia Eagles is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (8.3%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Philadelphia Eagles a 8% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Dallas Cowboys is the 2026–27 NFC champion, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (4.7%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dallas Cowboys a 5% chance (NFC champion)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Josh Allen is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (24.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Josh Allen a 25% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Brock Purdy is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (17.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Brock Purdy a 18% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Lamar Jackson is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Lamar Jackson a 11% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Patrick Mahomes is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Patrick Mahomes a 9% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Joe Burrow is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Joe Burrow a 7% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Trevor Lawrence is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Trevor Lawrence a 6% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Jahmyr Gibbs is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jahmyr Gibbs a 3% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Matthew Stafford is the 2026–27 MVP, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Matthew Stafford a 3% chance (MVP)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Jahmyr Gibbs is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (25.5%), Polymarket (29.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jahmyr Gibbs a 28% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%), Polymarket (20.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jaxon Smith-Njigba a 18% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Bijan Robinson is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (12.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Bijan Robinson a 11% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Kenneth Walker is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.0%), Polymarket (3.6%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kenneth Walker a 6% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Chris Olave is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chris Olave a 6% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Derrick Henry is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (2.6%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Derrick Henry a 4% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Ja'Marr Chase is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (7.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Ja'Marr Chase a 6% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Jonathan Taylor is the 2026–27 Offensive Player of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (5.2%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jonathan Taylor a 4% chance (Offensive Player of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Jeremiyah Love is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket (38.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jeremiyah Love a 40% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Denzel Boston is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denzel Boston a 17% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Carnell Tate is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Carnell Tate a 7% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that KC Concepcion is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give KC Concepcion a 6% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Fernando Mendoza is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.2%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Fernando Mendoza a 3% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Kenyon Sadiq is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kenyon Sadiq a 4% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Makai Lemon is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (4.3%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Makai Lemon a 4% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Jalon Daniels is the 2026–27 Offensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jalon Daniels a 3% chance (Offensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Jacob Rodriguez is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (31.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacob Rodriguez a 32% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that David Bailey is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%), Polymarket (17.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give David Bailey a 16% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Sonny Styles is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (12.5%), Polymarket (10.2%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Sonny Styles a 11% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Arvell Reese is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (10.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Arvell Reese a 10% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Caleb Downs is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Caleb Downs a 9% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Dillon Thieneman is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dillon Thieneman a 6% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Hezekiah Masses is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Hezekiah Masses a 6% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Mansoor Delane is the 2026–27 Defensive Rookie of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (5.6%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Mansoor Delane a 5% chance (Defensive Rookie of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Todd Monken is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Todd Monken a 17% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Klint Kubiak is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (15.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Klint Kubiak a 16% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Ben Johnson is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (9.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Ben Johnson a 10% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that John Harbaugh is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (5.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give John Harbaugh a 6% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Kellen Moore is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (10.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kellen Moore a 9% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Joe Brady is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (5.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Joe Brady a 5% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Kevin O'Connell is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kevin O'Connell a 5% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Single venueStale

The market-implied chance that Kyle Shanahan is the 2026–27 Coach of the Year, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kyle Shanahan a 5% chance (Coach of the Year)” (average of Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Buffalo is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (77.5%), Polymarket (78.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Buffalo a 78% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that New England is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (15.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New England a 15% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that New York J is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (2.9%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New York J a 3% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Miami is the 2026–27 AFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Miami a <1% chance (AFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Baltimore is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (53.5%), Polymarket (51.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Baltimore a 53% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Cincinnati is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket (32.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cincinnati a 34% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Cleveland is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Cleveland a 7% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Pittsburgh is the 2026–27 AFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (8.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Pittsburgh a 7% chance (AFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Jacksonville is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (54.5%), Polymarket (56.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Jacksonville a 55% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Houston is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (23.5%), Polymarket (18.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Houston a 21% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Indianapolis is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (23.5%), Polymarket (20.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Indianapolis a 22% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Tennessee is the 2026–27 AFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (2.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Tennessee a 2% chance (AFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Kansas City is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (54.5%), Polymarket (56.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Kansas City a 56% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Denver is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (30.5%), Polymarket (27.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Denver a 29% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Las Vegas is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (12.3%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Las Vegas a 11% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Los Angeles C is the 2026–27 AFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (2.1%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles C a 3% chance (AFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Philadelphia is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (52.5%), Polymarket (51.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Philadelphia a 52% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Dallas is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (27.5%), Polymarket (26.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Dallas a 27% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that New York G is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (10.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New York G a 10% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Washington is the 2026–27 NFC East winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (8.8%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Washington a 9% chance (NFC East winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Detroit is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (37.5%), Polymarket (35.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Detroit a 36% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Minnesota is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket (37.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Minnesota a 37% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Chicago is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket (22.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Chicago a 22% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Green Bay is the 2026–27 NFC North winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Green Bay a 7% chance (NFC North winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that New Orleans is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket (40.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give New Orleans a 41% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Atlanta is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket (21.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Atlanta a 21% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Carolina is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (21.5%), Polymarket (20.0%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Carolina a 21% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Tampa Bay is the 2026–27 NFC South winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket (14.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Tampa Bay a 15% chance (NFC South winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that San Francisco is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket (43.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give San Francisco a 43% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Seattle is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (31.5%), Polymarket (31.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Seattle a 32% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Los Angeles R is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (27.5%), Polymarket (25.5%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Los Angeles R a 27% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

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The market-implied chance that Arizona is the 2026–27 NFC West winner, settled on the official result.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.4%). Observed Oct 4, about 11:37 AM ET.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give Arizona a 1% chance (NFC West winner)” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win their Week 4 game (IND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30am ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (85.5%), Polymarket US (85.9%), Polymarket (86.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Colts a 86% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Last trade

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +669, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (12.5%) and Polymarket (13.50%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 13% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-04 (131 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Whether the Pittsburgh Steelers won their Week 4 game (PIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15pm ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.

Kalshi settled this contract No on Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET: the Browns won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.

Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Steelers lost to the Browns in Week 4, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Whether the Cleveland Browns won their Week 4 game (PIT at CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15pm ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.

Kalshi settled this contract Yes on Oct 1, 11:49 PM ET: the Browns won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.

Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Browns beat the Steelers in Week 4, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win their Week 4 game (ARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (56.5%), Polymarket US (56.1%), Polymarket (55.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cardinals a 56% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win their Week 4 game (ARI at NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (43.5%), Polymarket US (43.9%), Polymarket (44.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Giants a 44% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win their Week 4 game (DAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (42.5%), Polymarket US (42.1%), Polymarket (42.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cowboys a 42% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win their Week 4 game (DAL at HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (57.5%), Polymarket US (57.9%), Polymarket (57.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Texans a 58% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win their Week 4 game (GB at TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (59.5%), Polymarket US (59.6%), Polymarket (59.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Packers a 60% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win their Week 4 game (GB at TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (40.5%), Polymarket US (40.4%), Polymarket (40.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buccaneers a 40% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win their Week 4 game (JAC at CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (42.5%), Polymarket (43.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jaguars a 43% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win their Week 4 game (JAC at CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (56.5%), Polymarket (56.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bengals a 57% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win their Week 4 game (LAR at PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (63.5%), Polymarket US (63.6%), Polymarket (62.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Rams a 63% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win their Week 4 game (LAR at PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket US (36.4%), Polymarket (37.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Eagles a 36% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win their Week 4 game (NE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (25.5%), Polymarket US (26.1%), Polymarket (25.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Patriots a 26% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win their Week 4 game (NE at BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (73.5%), Polymarket US (73.9%), Polymarket (74.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bills a 74% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win their Week 4 game (NYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (36.5%), Polymarket US (36.4%), Polymarket (36.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jets a 36% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win their Week 4 game (NYJ at CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (63.5%), Polymarket US (63.6%), Polymarket (63.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bears a 64% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win their Week 4 game (TEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket US (14.6%), Polymarket (14.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Titans a 15% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win their Week 4 game (TEN at BAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (85.5%), Polymarket US (85.4%), Polymarket (85.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Ravens a 85% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win their Week 4 game (MIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (17.5%), Polymarket US (17.1%), Polymarket (17.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dolphins a 17% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win their Week 4 game (MIA at MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (82.5%), Polymarket US (82.9%), Polymarket (82.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Vikings a 83% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win their Week 4 game (DEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (41.5%), Polymarket US (41.1%), Polymarket (40.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Broncos a 41% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win their Week 4 game (DEN at SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (58.5%), Polymarket US (58.9%), Polymarket (59.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the 49ers a 59% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win their Week 4 game (KC at LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (67.5%), Polymarket US (66.9%), Polymarket (67.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chiefs a 67% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win their Week 4 game (KC at LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (32.5%), Polymarket US (33.1%), Polymarket (32.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Raiders a 33% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win their Week 4 game (LAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (24.5%), Polymarket US (24.4%), Polymarket (24.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chargers a 24% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win their Week 4 game (LAC at SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (75.5%), Polymarket US (75.6%), Polymarket (75.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seahawks a 76% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win their Week 4 game (DET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (64.5%), Polymarket US (64.9%), Polymarket (64.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Lions a 65% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win their Week 4 game (DET at CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (35.5%), Polymarket US (35.1%), Polymarket (35.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Panthers a 35% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win their Week 4 game (IND at WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30am ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket US (14.1%), Polymarket (13.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Commanders a 14% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win their Week 4 game (ATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (46.5%), Polymarket US (46.1%), Polymarket (46.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Falcons a 46% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win their Week 4 game (ATL at NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (54.5%), Polymarket US (53.9%), Polymarket (53.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Saints a 54% chance to win in Week 4” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).