Dolphins vs. Raiders Week 1 Odds & Predictions
Prediction markets currently favor Las Vegas Raiders at -153 odds, with an implied probability of 60.5%. Miami Dolphins carries +153 odds, with an implied probability of 39.5%. Las Vegas named Kirk Cousins its Week 1 starter on Sept. 2, while Miami begins the Jeff Hafley era with Malik Willis leading the offense and Kenneth Grant on injured reserve. This tracker compares live prices across Kalshi, Gemini, Polymarket US and Polymarket Global using volume-weighted average pricing, with prices refreshed hourly.
Top US prediction apps to trade on Week 1 Dolphins vs. Raiders (available in 50 states)
Trade $10, Get $25
T&C’s apply.
Deposit $10 get a $50 trading bonus
Risk Disclaimer
Trade $10, Get $10
T&C’s apply.
Week 1 line movement: Dolphins vs. Raiders
Hover for details · Cursor-synced tooltips
Tap "Chart settings" to adjust the chart.
Chart settings
Current odds on Dolphins vs. Raiders
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
LVRLas Vegas Raiders
Vol —
Spread 0.0%
Agg
60.5%↓ -3.0%
K
60.5%
P
60.5%
U
60.5%
G
60.5%
MDMiami Dolphins
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
39.5%↑ +2.0%
U
40.0%
K
39.5%
P
39.5%
G
39.5%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LVR Las Vegas Raiders | 60.5% ↓ -3.0% | 0.0% | — |
Kalshi
60.5%
|
Polymarket
60.5%
|
Polymarket US
60.5%
|
Gemini
60.5%
|
MD Miami Dolphins | 39.5% ↑ +2.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
39.5%
|
Polymarket
39.5%
|
Polymarket US
40.0%
|
Gemini
39.5%
|
Arbitrage Scanner
Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations
Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)
| Outcome | Venue Pair | Leg A (Buy) | Leg B (Sell) | Gross Spread | After Fees | Actionable | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LVR Las Vegas Raiders |
Polymarket
→
Polymarket US | Buy @ P 40¢ | Sell @ U 60¢ | +20.00% | +20.00% |
Yes | |
MD Miami Dolphins |
Polymarket
→
Polymarket US | Buy @ P 40¢ | Sell @ U 39.5¢ | -0.50% | -0.50% |
No |
Outcome Diff
| Outcome A | Outcome B | Venue | A Odds | B Odds | Diff | Strategy | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LVR Las Vegas Raiders |
MD Miami Dolphins |
Kalshi | A 60.5% | B 39.5% | +21.00% | Buy spread | |
LVR Las Vegas Raiders |
MD Miami Dolphins |
Polymarket | A 60.5% | B 39.5% | +21.00% | Buy spread | |
LVR Las Vegas Raiders |
MD Miami Dolphins |
Gemini | A 60.5% | B 39.5% | +21.00% | Buy spread | |
LVR Las Vegas Raiders |
MD Miami Dolphins |
Polymarket US | A 60.5% | B 40.0% | +20.50% | Buy spread |
After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.
Build a free 2026 NFL Pick’em pool with no sign-up required. Invite friends, colleagues and share on social. We keep track and do the work for you. You can also opt for a paper copy with our printable NFL schedules.
Patriots-Seahawks Prediction Market Volume Jumps from $5.8M to $105.5M in 24 Hours
The first game of the 2026 regular season nearly quadrupled the Kalshi volume generated by last year’s opener, pushing reported volume across three operators above $111 million.
Prediction Market NFL Trading Volume Could Reach $57 Billion This Season
DeFi Rate projects Kalshi NFL trading volume will reach roughly $3.2 billion through Week 1 and $57 billion across the full 2026–27 season. The forecast reflects the sharp expansion in prediction-market participation and NFL contract inventory over the past year, while using last season’s week-by-week trading pattern to model how volume is likely to build across the season rather than extrapolating the current growth rate indefinitely.
NFL Win Totals 2026: What Prediction Markets Say About All 32 Teams
The Super Bowl favorite Rams and several other contenders are expected to battle for double digit wins, while others could have their work cut out to finish the season above .500.
NFL Again Demands Prediction Markets Pull ‘Objectionable’ Bets Ahead of Kickoff
The league says contracts on player injuries, officiating, broadcast mentions and easily manipulated plays remain available months after its first warning. Its latest letter, sent days before the 2026 season begins, sharpens the pressure on Kalshi, Polymarket and other federally regulated exchanges, and notably calls their products “bets.”
NFL Week 1 Predictions: Daily Updates and Odds
Atlanta will start Cooper Rush after ruling out Tua Tagovailoa and Michael Penix Jr., while Pittsburgh moved from a 5.5-point to a 6.5-point favorite and the Falcons’ Kalshi win price fell two percentage points to 30%. Cowboys vs. Giants was Sunday’s most-traded matchup with $797,954 in Kalshi game composite volume as of 7:00 a.m. ET on Sept. 12. Among the weekend’s closest-priced game-winner markets, Bills vs. Texans had Buffalo at 52% and Houston at 48% on Kalshi.
NFL Prediction Market Volume Reaches $167.8M in Week Ending August 16
NFL volume across Kalshi, Polymarket Global and Polymarket US hit $167.8 million, up 324.4% from week prior.