The snapshot from Sep 27, 4:36 AM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/prediction-markets/crypto/snapshot/2026-09-27T0508/.
Permanent snapshot · never updated
Crypto marketsEvery figure as of Sep 27, 5:08 AM ET
A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records
Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up
4%The chance Bitcoin settles above its target price (84,786.64) at the end of the window closing 5:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 16% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 4% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBTC15M-26SEP270515-15 | direct contract | 3.8¢ | 3.9¢ | 3.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 15.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up
3%The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,713.83) at the end of the window closing 5:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 30% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 3% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXETH15M-26SEP270515-15 | direct contract | 2.7¢ | 2.9¢ | 2.80¢ | midpoint | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 30.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
XRP finishes the 15-minute window up
1%The chance XRP settles above its target price (1.5348) at the end of the window closing 5:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 4% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives XRP a 1% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXXRP15M-26SEP270515-15 | direct contract | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | 1.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 4.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up
2%The chance Dogecoin settles above its target price (0.0978945) at the end of the window closing 5:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 25% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Dogecoin a 2% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXDOGE15M-26SEP270515-15 | direct contract | 1.8¢ | 1.9¢ | 1.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 25.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Solana finishes the 15-minute window up
4%The chance Solana settles above its target price (124.1665) at the end of the window closing 5:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 22% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Solana a 4% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSOL15M-26SEP270515-15 | direct contract | 3.6¢ | 3.7¢ | 3.65¢ | midpoint | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 21.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up
19%Single venue
The chance NEAR settles above its target price (5.335) at the end of the window closing 5:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives NEAR a 19% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNEAR15M-26SEP270515-15 | direct contract | 17.0¢ | 20.0¢ | 18.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ |
Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up
6%The chance Hyperliquid settles above its target price (93.0731) at the end of the window closing 5:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 45% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Hyperliquid a 6% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXHYPE15M-26SEP270515-15 | direct contract | 5.7¢ | 6.6¢ | 6.15¢ | midpoint | fresh · 28s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 45.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up
2%Single venue
The chance Zcash settles above its target price (1,661.9171) at the end of the window closing 5:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Zcash a 2% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXZEC15M-26SEP270515-15 | direct contract | 1.7¢ | 1.8¢ | 1.75¢ | midpoint | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ |
BNB finishes the 15-minute window up
2%The chance BNB settles above its target price (778.75) at the end of the window closing 5:15 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 32% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives BNB a 2% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBNB15M-26SEP270515-15 | direct contract | 1.6¢ | 2.0¢ | 1.80¢ | midpoint | fresh · 12s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 32.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume
17%Crypto contracts made up 17.0% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Sep 27, 2026: about $148 million of the $873 million traded.
Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).
Data sources (1)
Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days
$4.1BDollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Aug 28 to Sep 26, 2026, up 20% on the prior 30 days.
Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).