The snapshot from Sep 26, 11:57 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/prediction-markets/crypto/snapshot/2026-09-27T0039/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Crypto marketsEvery figure as of Sep 27, 12:39 AM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedSep 27, 12:39 AM ET

Live page updatedSep 27, 12:39 AM ET

Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/prediction-markets/crypto/snapshot/2026-09-27T0039

DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
15-minute markets, window closing 12:45 AM ET (CSV)

Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up

The chance Bitcoin settles above its target price (84,416.48) at the end of the window closing 12:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 6% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 3% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXBTC15M-26SEP270045-45	direct contract	2.7¢	2.8¢	2.75¢	midpoint	fresh · 13s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			6.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up

The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,696.25) at the end of the window closing 12:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 10% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 3% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXETH15M-26SEP270045-45	direct contract	3.4¢	3.5¢	3.45¢	midpoint	fresh · 13s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			9.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

XRP finishes the 15-minute window up

The chance XRP settles above its target price (1.5122) at the end of the window closing 12:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 13% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives XRP a 3% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXXRP15M-26SEP270045-45	direct contract	2.3¢	2.7¢	2.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 13s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			13.00¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up

The chance Dogecoin settles above its target price (0.0959137) at the end of the window closing 12:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 36% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Dogecoin a 4% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXDOGE15M-26SEP270045-45	direct contract	3.4¢	3.6¢	3.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 13s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			36.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Solana finishes the 15-minute window up

The chance Solana settles above its target price (120.4427) at the end of the window closing 12:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 28% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Solana a 5% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSOL15M-26SEP270045-45	direct contract	5.2¢	5.3¢	5.25¢	midpoint	fresh · 13s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			27.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up

93%

Single venue

The chance NEAR settles above its target price (5.0227) at the end of the window closing 12:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives NEAR a 93% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXNEAR15M-26SEP270045-45	direct contract	92.5¢	93.6¢	93.05¢	midpoint	fresh · 13s old	Contract ↗

Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up

The chance Hyperliquid settles above its target price (93.6817) at the end of the window closing 12:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 12% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Hyperliquid a 5% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXHYPE15M-26SEP270045-45	direct contract	4.5¢	4.9¢	4.70¢	midpoint	fresh · 13s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			11.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up

52%

Single venue

The chance Zcash settles above its target price (1,638.6527) at the end of the window closing 12:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Zcash a 52% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXZEC15M-26SEP270045-45	direct contract	51.0¢	53.0¢	52.00¢	midpoint	fresh · 13s old	Contract ↗

BNB finishes the 15-minute window up

19%

The chance BNB settles above its target price (771.85) at the end of the window closing 12:45 AM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 15% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives BNB a 19% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXBNB15M-26SEP270045-45	direct contract	17.0¢	21.0¢	19.00¢	midpoint	fresh · 13s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			15.00¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Gold finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

Gold’s 15-minute window closing 5:00 PM ET (target price 4,284.94) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Gold’s 15-minute window closing 5:00 PM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXGOLD15M-26SEP251700-00	direct contract				kalshi settlement	settled	Contract ↗

Silver finishes the 15-minute window up

–

Single venue

Silver’s 15-minute window closing 5:00 PM ET (target price 64.286) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.

Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.

Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Silver’s 15-minute window closing 5:00 PM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSILVER15M-26SEP251700-00	direct contract				kalshi settlement	settled	Contract ↗

Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume

17%

Crypto contracts made up 17.2% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Sep 26, 2026: about $146 million of the $850 million traded.

Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.

Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).

Data sources (1)

DeFi Rate market data

Prediction-market volume by venue and categoryEndpoint /v1/partner/volumeDeFi Rate’s licensed data feed.

Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days

$4.1B

Dollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Aug 28 to Sep 26, 2026, up 20% on the prior 30 days.

Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.

Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).

Data sources (1)

DeFi Rate market data

Prediction-market volume by venue and categoryEndpoint /v1/partner/volumeDeFi Rate’s licensed data feed.