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The snapshot from Oct 10, 4:42 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-11T1858/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 11, 6:58 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 11, 6:58 PM ET
Live page updatedOct 11, 6:58 PM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-11T1858
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 138s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.50¢midpointfresh · 2946s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 172s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1111.5%
2026-10-1011.5%
2026-10-0911.5%
2026-10-0811.5%
2026-10-0711.5%
2026-10-0611.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

11%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +823, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (11.50%) and Polymarket US (10.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 204s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 1087s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 162s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1110.5%
2026-10-1010.5%
2026-10-0910.5%
2026-10-0810.5%
2026-10-0710.5%
2026-10-0610.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +869, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (10.95%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 136s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract10.9¢11.0¢10.95¢midpointfresh · 158s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 133s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1110.5%
2026-10-1010.5%
2026-10-099.5%
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%
2026-10-069.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +940, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.85%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 457s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.8¢9.9¢9.85¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 400s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-119.5%
2026-10-109.5%
2026-10-099.5%
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%
2026-10-068.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

9%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1076, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%) and Polymarket (8.50%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 9% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 1114s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contractmidpointstale · 4047s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-118.5%
2026-10-108.5%
2026-10-098.5%
2026-10-088.5%
2026-10-078.5%
2026-10-068.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

7%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1285, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.65%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 7% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 136s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.6¢7.7¢7.65¢midpointfresh · 154s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 2724s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-117.5%
2026-10-106.5%
2026-10-097.5%
2026-10-087.5%
2026-10-077.5%
2026-10-067.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

7%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1411, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.85%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 7% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 146s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract6.8¢6.9¢6.85¢midpointfresh · 147s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 133s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-116.5%
2026-10-106.5%
2026-10-096.5%
2026-10-086.5%
2026-10-075.5%
2026-10-065.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2617, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (4.05%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 226s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract4.05¢midpointfresh · 2946s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 307s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-062.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2885, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 121s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.0¢3.1¢3.05¢midpointfresh · 168s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 3254s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-104.5%
2026-10-094.5%
2026-10-084.5%
2026-10-074.5%
2026-10-064.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2885, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 195s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.0¢3.1¢3.05¢midpointfresh · 173s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 1382s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2977, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.75%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 204s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.7¢3.8¢3.75¢midpointfresh · 149s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 3259s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3179, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 170s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.15¢midpointfresh · 2946s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 296s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3348, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (2.70%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 384s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.70¢midpointfresh · 2932s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 521s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-062.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3497, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (2.35%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 121s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.3¢2.4¢2.35¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 1697s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-113.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +5888, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (2.00%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 234s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.00¢midpointfresh · 1087s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 3272s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-062.5%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6229, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.75%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 228s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.75¢midpointfresh · 2946s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 266s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6479, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.55%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1368s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.5¢1.6¢1.55¢midpointfresh · 168s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1350s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6703, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.40%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1025s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.40¢midpointfresh · 2932s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1379s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.5%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 276s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointfresh · 2946s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1503s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10770, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.75%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 321s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.7¢0.8¢0.75¢midpointfresh · 132s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 526s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 362s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 2932s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3285s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 146s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 1087s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 539s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.75%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 364s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.75¢midpointfresh · 2939s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contractmidpointstale · 4483s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.75%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 364s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.75¢midpointstale · 4549s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contractmidpointstale · 4221s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11394, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.60%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 382s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.60¢midpointfresh · 2932s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 268s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 211s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2946s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1616s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1611s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.4¢0.5¢0.45¢midpointfresh · 234s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 520s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1029s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 1087s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3414s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2895s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 1121s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3424s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 540s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 1087s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3387s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 941s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 1087s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3495s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.45%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2516s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2946s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contractmidpointstale · 4614s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-11 (138 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-111.0%
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%

The top six teams combined

58%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 58% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BALinputslast tradefresh