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The snapshot from Oct 9, 11:28 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-10T0025/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 10, 12:25 AM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 10, 12:25 AM ET
Live page updatedOct 10, 12:25 AM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-10T0025
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 173s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.50¢midpointfresh · 2607s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1011.5%
2026-10-0911.5%
2026-10-0811.5%
2026-10-0711.5%
2026-10-0611.5%
2026-10-0511.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

11%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +823, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (11.50%) and Polymarket US (10.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 154s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 2598s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 166s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1010.5%
2026-10-0910.5%
2026-10-0810.5%
2026-10-0710.5%
2026-10-0610.5%
2026-10-0510.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +876, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (10.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 208s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.7¢9.8¢9.75¢midpointfresh · 1176s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 137s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-1010.5%
2026-10-099.5%
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%
2026-10-069.5%
2026-10-059.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +940, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.85%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 142s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.8¢9.9¢9.85¢midpointfresh · 161s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 130s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-109.5%
2026-10-099.5%
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%
2026-10-068.5%
2026-10-058.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1124, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 2464s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.0¢8.0¢7.50¢midpointfresh · 1257s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 177s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-108.5%
2026-10-098.5%
2026-10-088.5%
2026-10-078.5%
2026-10-068.5%
2026-10-058.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1204, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (8.00%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 1586s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.9¢8.1¢8.00¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 195s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-107.5%
2026-10-097.5%
2026-10-087.5%
2026-10-077.5%
2026-10-067.5%
2026-10-057.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

6%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1470, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.10%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 488s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract6.0¢6.2¢6.10¢midpointfresh · 1725s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 284s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-106.5%
2026-10-096.5%
2026-10-086.5%
2026-10-075.5%
2026-10-065.5%
2026-10-055.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

6%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1661, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (6.05%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 197s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract6.0¢6.1¢6.05¢midpointfresh · 425s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 140s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-105.5%
2026-10-094.5%
2026-10-084.5%
2026-10-074.5%
2026-10-064.5%
2026-10-054.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2693, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.75%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 1214s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.75¢midpointfresh · 3302s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 140s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-053.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2799, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.35%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 671s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.35¢midpointfresh · 946s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 177s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-053.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2885, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 396s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.05¢midpointfresh · 2616s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-103.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-053.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3631, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 446s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.0¢3.1¢3.05¢midpointfresh · 3131s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 177s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-052.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3717, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.85%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 282s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.85¢midpointfresh · 2598s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 151s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-052.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3949, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.40%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 1267s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.3¢2.5¢2.40¢midpointfresh · 307s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 140s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-092.5%
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-052.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +4102, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.15%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 197s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.0¢2.3¢2.15¢midpointfresh · 445s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 195s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-102.5%
2026-10-093.5%
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-053.5%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6893, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.30%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 124s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.30¢midpointfresh · 3302s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-051.5%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7043, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.20%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1273s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.20¢midpointfresh · 3302s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-051.0%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7146, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.15%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 240s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.15¢midpointfresh · 2623s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 195s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-051.5%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7146, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.15%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 778s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.15¢midpointfresh · 2616s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 151s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.5%
2026-10-091.5%
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-051.5%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1400s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointfresh · 3302s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 137s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 292s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointfresh · 3302s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 130s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10770, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.75%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1981s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.75¢midpointfresh · 2587s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 140s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1310s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 2607s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 151s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.5%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 551s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 2607s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 177s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1566s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointfresh · 3302s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 154s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 246s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2623s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 130s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 651s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2607s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 166s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3295s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2616s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 166s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3295s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 3302s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 177s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3512s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 3302s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 151s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointstale · 3707s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 2598s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 177s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2851s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 2598s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1290s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-10 (137 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-101.0%
2026-10-091.0%
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%

The top six teams combined

58%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 58% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BALinputslast tradefresh