The snapshot from Oct 9, 3:51 AM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-09T0439/.
Permanent snapshot · never updated
Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 9, 4:39 AM ET
A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records
Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI
12%The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LAR | direct contract | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 110s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 12.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 3360s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losram | direct contract | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 152s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 11.5% |
Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI
11%The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +823, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (11.50%) and Polymarket US (10.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-BUF | direct contract | 10.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 126s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 11.0¢ | 12.0¢ | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 344s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbil | direct contract | 10.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 363s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 10.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 10.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 10.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 10.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 10.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 11.0% |
Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI
10%The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +940, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.85%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-KC | direct contract | 9.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 300s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 9.8¢ | 9.9¢ | 9.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 168s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchi | direct contract | 9.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 215s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 8.5% |
San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI
10%The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +944, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-SF | direct contract | 9.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 106s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 9.7¢ | 9.8¢ | 9.75¢ | midpoint | fresh · 274s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-saners | direct contract | 9.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 298s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 9.5% |
Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI
8%The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1124, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-SEA | direct contract | 8.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1133s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 7.0¢ | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 165s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seasea | direct contract | 8.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 326s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 7.5% |
Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI
7%The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1274, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (7.85%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 7% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-BAL | direct contract | 6.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1238s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 7.8¢ | 7.9¢ | 7.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 278s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balrav | direct contract | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 395s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 6.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 7.5% |
Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI
6%The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1492, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (5.85%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-JAC | direct contract | 6.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 763s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 5.8¢ | 5.9¢ | 5.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 317s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjag | direct contract | 6.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 298s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 6.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 6.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 5.5% |
Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI
5%The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1949, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (5.65%) and Polymarket US (4.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CHI | direct contract | 4.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 874s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 5.6¢ | 5.7¢ | 5.65¢ | midpoint | fresh · 257s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibea | direct contract | 4.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 302s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 4.5% |
Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI
4%The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2693, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.75%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CIN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1166s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.7¢ | 3.8¢ | 3.75¢ | midpoint | fresh · 174s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinben | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 302s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2799, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.35%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-DEN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1783s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.3¢ | 3.4¢ | 3.35¢ | midpoint | fresh · 304s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbro | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 326s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2885, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-MIN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 700s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.0¢ | 3.1¢ | 3.05¢ | midpoint | fresh · 215s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvik | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 152s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3631, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NE | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 451s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.0¢ | 3.1¢ | 3.05¢ | midpoint | fresh · 181s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpat | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 472s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 2.5% |
Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3717, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.85%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-DET | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 763s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 2.8¢ | 2.9¢ | 2.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 387s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detlio | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 355s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 4.5% |
Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3900, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.50%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-DAL | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1702s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 2.4¢ | 2.6¢ | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 410s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcow | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 612s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI
2%The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3932, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.45%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-PHI | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 680s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 2.4¢ | 2.5¢ | 2.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 172s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieag | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 592s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 2.5% |
Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI
1%The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6893, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.30%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-ATL | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1148s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.30¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1725s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfal | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 152s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI
1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6942, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.25%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LV | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 658s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.25¢ | midpoint | stale · 5300s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasrai | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 152s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI
1%The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7146, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.15%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-GB | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 966s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.15¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1672s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepac | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 612s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI
1%The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7307, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-HOU | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1133s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.05¢ | midpoint | fresh · 3360s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtex | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 601s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-IND | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | stale · 3847s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.95¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1725s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcol | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 189s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CAR | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1133s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1725s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpan | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 215s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10770, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.75%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NYG | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1820s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.75¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1664s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgia | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 302s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NO | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1796s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.65¢ | midpoint | fresh · 3360s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsai | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 355s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CLE | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1133s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.65¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1725s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebro | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 472s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-PIT | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1924s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.55¢ | midpoint | stale · 5328s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitste | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2323s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LAC | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1220s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1725s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loscha | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 215s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-TB | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1820s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1725s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambuc | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 363s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-ARI | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 763s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1761s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricar | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1056s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (134 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NYJ | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 763s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1717s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjet | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 3448s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-MIA | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 818s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.35¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1664s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadol | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 601s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (134 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-TEN | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | stale · 3847s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.35¢ | midpoint | fresh · 3323s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentit | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1054s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +14825, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.35%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-WAS | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1133s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.35¢ | midpoint | fresh · 1717s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascom | direct contract | midpoint | stale · 3708s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-09 (136 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
The top six teams combined
57%Last trade
The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.
Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.
Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 57% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi + Polymarket | KXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BAL | inputs | last trade | fresh |