DeFi RateApp Offers

The snapshot from Oct 8, 1:06 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-08T1349/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 8, 1:49 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 8, 1:49 PM ET
Live page updatedOct 8, 1:49 PM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-08T1349
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 570s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.0¢13.0¢12.50¢midpointfresh · 224s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 392s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0811.5%
2026-10-0711.5%
2026-10-0611.5%
2026-10-0511.5%
2026-10-0411.5%
2026-10-0311.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

11%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +823, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (11.50%) and Polymarket US (10.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 243s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 2165s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 229s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0810.5%
2026-10-0710.5%
2026-10-0610.5%
2026-10-0510.5%
2026-10-0411.0%
2026-10-0312.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +944, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 259s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.75¢midpointfresh · 2172s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 393s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%
2026-10-069.5%
2026-10-059.5%
2026-10-049.5%
2026-10-039.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +944, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 243s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.75¢midpointfresh · 2185s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 438s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-089.5%
2026-10-079.5%
2026-10-068.5%
2026-10-058.5%
2026-10-048.5%
2026-10-037.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1124, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 944s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 2194s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 317s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-088.5%
2026-10-078.5%
2026-10-068.5%
2026-10-058.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-037.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1212, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.85%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 946s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.85¢midpointfresh · 2194s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 479s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-087.5%
2026-10-077.5%
2026-10-067.5%
2026-10-057.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-038.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

6%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1482, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (5.95%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 259s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract5.9¢6.0¢5.95¢midpointfresh · 212s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract6.50¢midpointfresh · 393s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-086.5%
2026-10-075.5%
2026-10-065.5%
2026-10-055.5%
2026-10-045.5%
2026-10-034.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

5%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2051, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (4.95%) and Polymarket US (4.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 576s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract4.95¢midpointfresh · 2185s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 226s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-084.5%
2026-10-074.5%
2026-10-064.5%
2026-10-054.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

4%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2662, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.85%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 276s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.85¢midpointstale · 4114s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 226s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2717, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.65%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 560s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.65¢midpointfresh · 598s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 479s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-032.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2799, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.35%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 1604s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.3¢3.4¢3.35¢midpointfresh · 277s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 317s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2859, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 410s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.15¢midpointfresh · 2194s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 392s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-083.5%
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-033.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3631, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 244s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.05¢midpointfresh · 611s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 317s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-052.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-031.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3717, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.85%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 259s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.85¢midpointfresh · 2165s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 538s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-052.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3932, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.45%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 276s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.45¢midpointfresh · 2165s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 226s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-082.5%
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-052.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-033.5%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6893, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.30%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 3293s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.30¢midpointfresh · 585s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 392s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-032.5%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6942, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.25%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 630s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.25¢midpointfresh · 2172s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 392s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7146, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.15%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1224s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.15¢midpointfresh · 2172s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 479s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7476, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1319s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointfresh · 2194s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 538s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.5%
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2784s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointfresh · 611s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 380s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 453s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointfresh · 605s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 438s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10770, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.75%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 297s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.75¢midpointfresh · 598s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 226s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2056s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 2185s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 538s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1180s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 2172s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 317s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (134 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3013s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointstale · 4114s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 424s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 556s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2172s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 438s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2178s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2172s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 229s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 259s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2194s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 229s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (133 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 259s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2165s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 317s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 259s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 2151s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 538s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (133 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1319s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 2165s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 317s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3293s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 2165s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 317s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-08 (135 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-081.0%
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%

The top six teams combined

58%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 58% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BALinputslast tradefresh