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The snapshot from Oct 7, 6:33 AM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-07T0717/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 7, 7:17 AM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 7, 7:17 AM ET
Live page updatedOct 7, 7:17 AM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-07T0717
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 157s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.50¢midpointfresh · 1752s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 217s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0711.5%
2026-10-0411.5%
2026-10-0311.5%
2026-10-0211.5%
2026-10-0111.5%
2026-09-3011.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

11%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +795, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (11.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 975s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract11.0¢12.0¢11.50¢midpointfresh · 165s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0710.5%
2026-10-0411.0%
2026-10-0312.5%
2026-10-0212.5%
2026-10-0112.5%
2026-09-3012.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +944, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 265s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.7¢9.8¢9.75¢midpointfresh · 194s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 376s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-079.5%
2026-10-049.5%
2026-10-039.5%
2026-10-029.5%
2026-10-019.5%
2026-09-309.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

9%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +985, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (9.65%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 9% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 1097s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.6¢9.7¢9.65¢midpointfresh · 183s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 207s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-078.5%
2026-10-048.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-017.5%
2026-09-307.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1124, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 957s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.50¢midpointstale · 5155s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 158s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-078.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-016.5%
2026-09-306.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1212, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.85%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 921s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.8¢7.9¢7.85¢midpointfresh · 204s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 170s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-077.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-038.5%
2026-10-028.5%
2026-10-018.5%
2026-09-308.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

6%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1679, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (5.85%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 975s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract5.8¢5.9¢5.85¢midpointfresh · 206s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 186s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-075.5%
2026-10-045.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

5%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1920, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (4.85%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 675s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract4.8¢4.9¢4.85¢midpointfresh · 188s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 176s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-074.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2662, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.85%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 435s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.8¢3.9¢3.85¢midpointfresh · 165s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 325s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

4%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2741, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.55%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 896s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.55¢midpointstale · 4033s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 170s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2774, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.45%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 655s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.45¢midpointfresh · 1748s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 158s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2859, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 1267s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.1¢3.2¢3.15¢midpointfresh · 199s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 217s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-073.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3631, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 965s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.0¢3.1¢3.05¢midpointfresh · 200s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 158s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3717, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.85%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 627s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.85¢midpointstale · 4022s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 341s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

2%

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3932, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.45%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 2231s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.4¢2.5¢2.45¢midpointfresh · 186s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 325s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-072.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6942, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.25%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 2231s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.25¢midpointstale · 5137s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 217s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7146, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.15%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1607s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.15¢midpointstale · 4027s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 308s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7307, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 1822s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.05¢midpointstale · 5155s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 221s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7307, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 430s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.05¢midpointstale · 5145s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 217s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.5%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 765s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointstale · 4027s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 619s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointstale · 4027s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 297s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10770, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.75%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 877s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.75¢midpointfresh · 1735s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 341s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10770, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.75%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1836s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.75¢midpointfresh · 1741s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 325s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 945s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointstale · 5145s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 319s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (131 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11394, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.60%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 821s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.60¢midpointstale · 5155s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1300s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1224s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 4027s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 297s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2231s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 5145s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2231s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 5155s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 298s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2231s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 5137s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 664s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1224s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointstale · 4022s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 616s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2231s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointstale · 5137s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 665s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2231s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 1748s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 637s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-07 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-071.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

The top six teams combined

58%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 58% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BALinputslast tradefresh