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The snapshot from Oct 6, 10:24 AM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-06T1104/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 6, 11:04 AM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 6, 11:04 AM ET
Live page updatedOct 6, 11:04 AM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-06T1104
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 199s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.50¢midpointstale · 4636s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 96s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0611.5%
2026-10-0411.5%
2026-10-0311.5%
2026-10-0211.5%
2026-10-0111.5%
2026-09-3011.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

11%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +795, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (10.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 101s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.0¢13.0¢12.50¢midpointfresh · 110s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 74s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0610.5%
2026-10-0411.0%
2026-10-0312.5%
2026-10-0212.5%
2026-10-0112.5%
2026-09-3012.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

10%

Stale

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +944, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 126s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.75¢midpointstale · 4630s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 154s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-069.5%
2026-10-049.5%
2026-10-039.5%
2026-10-029.5%
2026-10-019.5%
2026-09-309.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

9%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1034, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (9.45%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 9% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 199s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.4¢9.5¢9.45¢midpointfresh · 253s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 47s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-068.5%
2026-10-048.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-017.5%
2026-09-307.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1124, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 124s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.0¢8.0¢7.50¢midpointfresh · 74s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 56s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-068.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-016.5%
2026-09-306.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

8%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1230, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.55%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 153s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.55¢midpointstale · 4663s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 49s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-067.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-038.5%
2026-10-028.5%
2026-10-018.5%
2026-09-308.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

6%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1692, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (5.75%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 148s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract5.7¢5.8¢5.75¢midpointfresh · 46s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 87s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-065.5%
2026-10-045.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

5%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2112, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (4.55%) and Polymarket US (4.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 110s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract4.5¢4.6¢4.55¢midpointfresh · 771s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 209s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-064.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2693, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.75%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 57s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.7¢3.8¢3.75¢midpointfresh · 315s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 91s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

4%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2693, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.75%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 126s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.75¢midpointstale · 4705s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 123s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2774, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.45%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 156s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.45¢midpointstale · 4653s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 56s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2859, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 186s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.1¢3.2¢3.15¢midpointfresh · 85s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 96s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3576, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 186s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.15¢midpointstale · 4636s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 133s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3674, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.95%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 153s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.9¢3.0¢2.95¢midpointfresh · 74s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 134s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

3%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3702, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.90%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 153s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.90¢midpointstale · 4663s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 91s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6797, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.35%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 126s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.35¢midpointfresh · 1319s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 123s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7146, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.15%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 126s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.15¢midpointstale · 4625s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 96s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +8829, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 155s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointfresh · 1319s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 51s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 103s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointstale · 4636s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 61s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 81s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointstale · 4667s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 96s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 314s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.8¢0.9¢0.85¢midpointfresh · 160s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 51s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.0%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 126s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointstale · 4653s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 47s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 126s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointstale · 4625s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 91s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 314s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointfresh · 1326s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 169s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 126s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointstale · 4653s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 203s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (131 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 126s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 4684s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 47s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 135s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 4636s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 74s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2653s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 4663s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 74s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2653s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointstale · 4653s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 56s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 357s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointstale · 4647s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 134s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2653s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 1319s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 56s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2672s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointstale · 4653s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 203s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

The top six teams combined

57%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 57% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BALinputslast tradefresh