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The snapshot from Oct 6, 4:53 AM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-06T0535/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 6, 5:35 AM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 6, 5:35 AM ET
Live page updatedOct 6, 5:35 AM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-06T0535
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.50¢midpointfresh · 1412s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0611.5%
2026-10-0411.5%
2026-10-0311.5%
2026-10-0211.5%
2026-10-0111.5%
2026-09-3011.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

11%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +795, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (10.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 202s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.0¢13.0¢12.50¢midpointfresh · 91s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 147s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0610.5%
2026-10-0411.0%
2026-10-0312.5%
2026-10-0212.5%
2026-10-0112.5%
2026-09-3012.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +944, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.7¢9.8¢9.75¢midpointfresh · 78s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 193s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-069.5%
2026-10-049.5%
2026-10-039.5%
2026-10-029.5%
2026-10-019.5%
2026-09-309.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

9%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1034, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (9.45%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 9% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 370s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.4¢9.5¢9.45¢midpointfresh · 78s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 163s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-068.5%
2026-10-048.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-017.5%
2026-09-307.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1122, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.55%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 76s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.55¢midpointfresh · 3167s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 138s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-068.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-038.5%
2026-10-028.5%
2026-10-018.5%
2026-09-308.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1124, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.0¢8.0¢7.50¢midpointfresh · 119s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-068.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-016.5%
2026-09-306.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

6%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1695, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (5.70%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract5.5¢5.9¢5.70¢midpointfresh · 78s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 193s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-065.5%
2026-10-045.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

5%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2108, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (4.60%) and Polymarket US (4.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract4.5¢4.7¢4.60¢midpointfresh · 169s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 99s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-064.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2693, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.75%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.7¢3.8¢3.75¢midpointfresh · 1036s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 99s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2741, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.55%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 201s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.5¢3.6¢3.55¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 138s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2774, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.45%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.45¢midpointfresh · 1406s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2859, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 386s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.15¢midpointfresh · 3167s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-063.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3576, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.15¢midpointfresh · 1412s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3631, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.9¢3.2¢3.05¢midpointfresh · 277s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 182s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3702, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.90%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.8¢3.0¢2.90¢midpointfresh · 105s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 99s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-062.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6797, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.35%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.35¢midpointfresh · 3156s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 138s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7146, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.15%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 645s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.15¢midpointfresh · 3148s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.8¢1.1¢0.95¢midpointfresh · 154s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 182s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.0%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointfresh · 3156s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 136s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointfresh · 3156s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10209, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.90%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 596s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.90¢midpointfresh · 1432s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 182s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointfresh · 3156s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 163s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 3148s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 99s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11394, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.60%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 201s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.60¢midpointfresh · 3135s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 96s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointfresh · 3156s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (131 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 3156s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 163s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 1406s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 147s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 1425s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 147s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 3156s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 3148s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 182s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 1399s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 840s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 1399s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-06 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-061.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

The top six teams combined

58%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 58% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-BAL, KXSB-27-SEAinputslast tradefresh