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The snapshot from Oct 5, 4:24 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-05T1709/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 5, 5:09 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 5, 5:09 PM ET
Live page updatedOct 5, 5:09 PM ET
Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-05T1709
DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LARdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 250s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.0¢13.0¢12.50¢midpointfresh · 320s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losramdirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 165s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0511.5%
2026-10-0411.5%
2026-10-0311.5%
2026-10-0211.5%
2026-10-0111.5%
2026-09-3011.5%

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

12%

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +770, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BUFdirect contract10.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract12.0¢13.0¢12.50¢midpointfresh · 171s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbildirect contract11.50¢midpointfresh · 185s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-0510.5%
2026-10-0411.0%
2026-10-0312.5%
2026-10-0212.5%
2026-10-0112.5%
2026-09-3012.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

10%

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +944, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (9.75%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SFdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 179s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.7¢9.8¢9.75¢midpointfresh · 205s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-sanersdirect contract9.50¢midpointfresh · 191s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-059.5%
2026-10-049.5%
2026-10-039.5%
2026-10-029.5%
2026-10-019.5%
2026-09-309.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

9%

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1043, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (9.25%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 9% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-KCdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 173s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract9.2¢9.3¢9.25¢midpointfresh · 251s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchidirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 303s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-058.5%
2026-10-048.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-017.5%
2026-09-307.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1124, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-SEAdirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 250s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.0¢8.0¢7.50¢midpointfresh · 211s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seaseadirect contract8.50¢midpointfresh · 197s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-058.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-037.5%
2026-10-027.5%
2026-10-016.5%
2026-09-306.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

8%

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1230, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.55%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-BALdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 153s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract7.5¢7.6¢7.55¢midpointfresh · 208s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balravdirect contract7.50¢midpointfresh · 816s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-057.5%
2026-10-047.5%
2026-10-038.5%
2026-10-028.5%
2026-10-018.5%
2026-09-308.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

5%

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1780, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (4.95%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-JACdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 244s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract4.95¢midpointfresh · 2963s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjagdirect contract5.50¢midpointfresh · 327s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-055.5%
2026-10-045.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2215, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (3.95%) and Polymarket US (4.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CHIdirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 233s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.95¢midpointfresh · 2969s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibeadirect contract4.50¢midpointfresh · 180s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-054.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2717, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.65%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 355s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.6¢3.7¢3.65¢midpointfresh · 423s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinbendirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 256s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

4%

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2741, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.55%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DALdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 489s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.5¢3.6¢3.55¢midpointfresh · 337s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcowdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 178s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2774, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.45%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DENdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 456s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.4¢3.5¢3.45¢midpointfresh · 441s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbrodirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 297s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-034.5%
2026-10-024.5%
2026-10-014.5%
2026-09-304.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2859, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MINdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 485s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.15¢midpointfresh · 2927s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvikdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 275s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-053.5%
2026-10-043.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3290, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.85%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PHIdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 241s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract2.8¢2.9¢2.85¢midpointfresh · 433s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieagdirect contract3.50¢midpointfresh · 256s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-052.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3576, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NEdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 475s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.1¢3.2¢3.15¢midpointfresh · 337s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpatdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 319s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-052.5%
2026-10-042.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

3%

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3576, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-DETdirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 241s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract3.1¢3.2¢3.15¢midpointfresh · 169s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detliodirect contract2.50¢midpointfresh · 969s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-052.5%
2026-10-044.5%
2026-10-033.5%
2026-10-023.5%
2026-10-013.5%
2026-09-303.5%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6797, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.35%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-GBdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 465s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.35¢midpointfresh · 2969s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepacdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 897s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6942, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.25%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LVdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 237s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.25¢midpointfresh · 2963s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasraidirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 305s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-032.5%
2026-10-022.5%
2026-10-012.5%
2026-09-302.5%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7307, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.05%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NOdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 465s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract1.05¢midpointfresh · 2956s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsaidirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 938s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.0%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

1%

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7712, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-HOUdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 456s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointfresh · 2927s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtexdirect contract1.50¢midpointfresh · 955s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.5%
2026-10-041.5%
2026-10-031.5%
2026-10-021.5%
2026-10-011.5%
2026-09-301.5%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-INDdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1634s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.95¢midpointfresh · 2921s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 963s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CARdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 413s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.85¢midpointfresh · 2914s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpandirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 160s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYGdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1465s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 2952s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgiadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 283s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ATLdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 293s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointfresh · 2914s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfaldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 197s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-CLEdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 489s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.65¢midpointstale · 4727s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebrodirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 353s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (131 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-PITdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 293s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.55¢midpointfresh · 1778s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitstedirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 309s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-LACdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 293s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2921s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loschadirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 303s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TBdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1439s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2921s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambucdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 380s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-ARIdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2611s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2927s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricardirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 946s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-NYJdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2611s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.45¢midpointfresh · 2914s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjetdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 415s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-MIAdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 3564s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 2952s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadoldirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 827s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-WASdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 2611s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.3¢0.4¢0.35¢midpointfresh · 315s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascomdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 176s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXSB-27-TENdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 1634s oldContract ↗
Polymarketwill-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championshipdirect contract0.35¢midpointfresh · 2952s oldContract ↗
Polymarket UStec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentitdirect contract1.00¢midpointfresh · 176s oldContract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

DateValue
2026-10-051.0%
2026-10-041.0%
2026-10-031.0%
2026-10-021.0%
2026-10-011.0%
2026-09-301.0%

The top six teams combined

57%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 57% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
Kalshi + PolymarketKXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BALinputslast tradefresh